Live from Kalshi
Open Boxing markets
YES prices in cents from Kalshi's public data. Only markets that close after right now are shown, grouped by fight.
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Source: Kalshi public market data, series KXBOXING, checked for this page on Sep 19, 2026. Prices can be a few seconds old. They are market prices, not our picks and not a recommendation. PM Countdown isn't affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi.
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Method, not picks
How we approach Boxing
What we look at before we write a plan. Every plan still has three lines: the buy price, the sell target and the hold rule.
Judges are part of the price
Many fights go the distance. We price how the scorecards could go, not only who looks better.
Weight and late changes
Missed weight and replacements happen. We re-check the plan after the weigh-in.
Draws are real
Read what a draw does to your contract before you buy. It's in the market rules.
Same method
Buy below fair value, place the sell order before the first bell, and write down the hold rule.
Before you trade
What to check first
- Read what a draw or no contest does to your contract.
- Re-check after the weigh-in.
- Check the spread. Fewer traders can mean wider gaps.
- Keep the stake to one unit.
Every market on Kalshi has its own rules page. When our checklist and the rules disagree, the rules win.
10 contracts, 22¢ buy, 35¢ sell order
| Buy 10 YES at 22¢ | $2.20 |
|---|---|
| Taker fee0.07 × 10 × 0.22 × 0.78 = $0.12012, rounded up | $0.13 |
| If the 35¢ sell order fills$3.50 back, minus a $0.04 maker fee if Kalshi charges one on that market (0.0175 × 10 × 0.35 × 0.65, rounded up) | +$1.13 |
| If it never trades and winsSettles at $1.00 × 10 = $10.00, minus the $2.33 cost | +$7.67 |
| If it never trades and losesSettles at $0. This is the most you can lose. | −$2.33 |
Fee formulas from Kalshi's fee schedule. Same numbers as our UFC 331 plan. An example, not a recommendation.
Basics
How Boxing markets work
One YES per outcome
Each side gets its own YES contract. It pays $1.00 if that outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't.
Price reads as a chance
A 22¢ YES price means the market puts it near 22%. Your edge is the gap between that and your own estimate.
Bid, ask and the gap
You buy at the ask and sell at the bid. The gap between them is a cost you pay every time you go in and out.
Fees move break-even
Kalshi's taker fee is 0.07 × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up to the cent. Resting orders on many markets pay a lower maker rate. Fee schedule
Trade Smart path
Related lessons
Free, every morning
Get the Morning Board
One market a day with the buy price, sell target and hold rule written out, plus a 60-second lesson. Free, and you can leave any time.
21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Not financial or betting advice. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER, or call, text or chat 1-800-MY-RESET.
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