Live from Kalshi
Open Boxing markets
YES prices in cents from Kalshi's public data. Only markets that close after right now are shown, grouped by fight.
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Source: Kalshi public market data, series KXBOXING, checked for this page on Sep 19, 2026. Prices can be a few seconds old. They are market prices, not our picks and not a recommendation. PM Countdown isn't affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi.
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Method, not picks
How we approach Boxing
What we look at before we write a plan. Every plan still has three lines: the buy price, the sell target and the hold rule.
Judges are part of the price
Many fights go the distance. We price how the scorecards could go, not only who looks better.
Weight and late changes
Missed weight and replacements happen. We re-check the plan after the weigh-in.
Draws are real
Read what a draw does to your contract before you buy. It's in the market rules.
Same method
Buy below fair value, place the sell order before the first bell, and write down the hold rule.
Before you trade
What to check first
- A draw pays 50¢ while the champion keeps the belt. A defence you were right about can still lose you money.
- Read the postponement window on that market. Venues write different deadlines into different contracts.
- Find out who is fighting at home, then whether it is likely to reach the cards. Home edge concentrates in decisions.
- Check for a rehydration clause. A cap 10 to 15lb over the limit is a real handicap and is often unpriced.
- On a title fight there is a second weigh-in on fight morning. Missing it costs the belt, not the bout.
- Confirm the distance. Twelve rounds carries two more rounds of stoppage risk than ten.
- Boxing books are thinner than UFC by an order of magnitude. Size to the book, not the occasion.
Every market on Kalshi has its own rules page. When our checklist and the rules disagree, the rules win.
Boxing contracts on Kalshi
| Draw | Pays 50¢ a side |
|---|---|
| Champion on a draw | Keeps the belt anyway |
| Postponement | Read that market's window |
Read from Kalshi's filed contract terms for boxing. The one-line summary on a market page is not the contract; the terms are. Rules vary by series, so check the market you are actually trading.
Basics
How Boxing markets work
One YES per outcome
Each side gets its own YES contract. It pays $1.00 if that outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't.
Price reads as a chance
A 22¢ YES price means the market puts it near 22%. What matters is the gap between that and your own estimate.
Bid, ask and the gap
You buy at the ask and sell at the bid. The gap between them is a cost you pay every time you go in and out.
Fees move break-even
Kalshi's taker fee is 0.07 × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up to the cent. Resting orders on many markets pay a lower maker rate. Fee schedule
Trade Smart path
Related lessons
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Our markets with the buy price, sell target and hold rule written out, plus a 60-second lesson. Free, and you can leave any time.
21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Not financial or betting advice. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.
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