Get freeFree trades
  1. Home
  2. Sports
  3. Soccer

World

Soccer match markets

Soccer markets have three outcomes: each team to win, and a tie. A YES on a team loses if the match is drawn, which is the first thing to understand before you trade one.

GuidesKXEPLGAME checked Sep 19, 2026

Season: European leagues run August to May. MLS runs February to December.

Live from Kalshi

Open Soccer markets

YES prices in cents from Kalshi's public data. Only markets that close after right now are shown, grouped by match.

Loading from Kalshi

Loading open markets from Kalshi

BidThe most a buyer will pay right now. Selling now gets you this.
AskThe least a seller will take. Buying now costs this.
LastThe price of the most recent trade.
SpreadAsk minus bid. Amber at 10¢ or more, where the gap eats most edges.

Source: Kalshi public market data, series KXEPLGAME, checked for this page on Sep 19, 2026. Prices can be a few seconds old. They are market prices, not our picks and not a recommendation. PM Countdown isn't affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi.

Method, not picks

How we approach Soccer

What we look at before we write a plan. Every plan still has three lines: the buy price, the sell target and the hold rule.

  1. The draw is its own contract

    Kalshi's Premier League matches list a home win, an away win and a tie. Buying one team to win means you lose on a draw too.

  2. Wait for the team sheets

    Lineups come out about an hour before kickoff. Rotation in a busy week can change a match, so we price after the sheets.

  3. Fixture congestion

    Midweek cup and European games tire squads. We look at the schedule around a match, not only the match.

  4. Read what counts

    Check in the rules whether a market settles on regular time plus stoppage time, or includes extra time.

Before you trade

What to check first

  • Read the result scope first. “Full match” and “regulation time” settle a draw in opposite directions.
  • Under full-match scope a draw contract cannot win a knockout tie, because penalties confirm a winner.
  • Price the draw as a real third outcome. It has taken about 23% of Premier League fixtures over ten seasons.
  • Do not anchor on a long-run draw average. Season rates have run from 18.7% to 31.3%.
  • Starting elevens drop about 75 minutes before kickoff. That is the largest scheduled release.
  • Expect rotation either side of a midweek European tie. Those clubs made about a third more changes.
  • Use pre-2020 home numbers again. The empty-stadium collapse had reversed by 2022-23.
  • A match not resumed within 48 hours settles at the last fair price, not a refund.

Every market on Kalshi has its own rules page. When our checklist and the rules disagree, the rules win.

How this market settles

Soccer contracts on Kalshi

Full match scopeIncludes extra time and penalties
Regulation time scopeA draw is a draw
Not resumed in 48 hoursLast fair price

Read from Kalshi's filed contract terms for soccer. The one-line summary on a market page is not the contract; the terms are. Rules vary by series, so check the market you are actually trading.

Basics

How Soccer markets work

One contract

One YES per outcome

Each side gets its own YES contract. It pays $1.00 if that outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't.

Probability

Price reads as a chance

A 22¢ YES price means the market puts it near 22%. What matters is the gap between that and your own estimate.

Spread

Bid, ask and the gap

You buy at the ask and sell at the bid. The gap between them is a cost you pay every time you go in and out.

Fees

Fees move break-even

Kalshi's taker fee is 0.07 × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up to the cent. Resting orders on many markets pay a lower maker rate. Fee schedule

Coverage

Leagues we cover

Leagues vary by series on Kalshi. We add a league to the board only after its series returns markets in a check we can date.

  • Series checkedPremier LeagueSeries KXEPLGAME, checked Sep 19, 2026
  • PlannedMLSKXMLSGAME returned no markets on Sep 19, 2026
  • PlannedChampions LeagueKXUCLGAME returned no markets on Sep 19, 2026
  • PlannedLa LigaSeries not checked yet
  • PlannedSerie ASeries not checked yet
  • PlannedBundesligaSeries not checked yet

Trade Smart path

Related lessons

All lessons
Lesson 03Kalshi prices and feesWhy 22¢ reads as about 22%, and how the spread and fees move your break-even.Lesson 02Cash out on purposeWrite the buy price, the sell target and the hold rule before the event starts.Lesson 01Bankroll and unitsSize every position from money you could lose without touching rent. One unit is 1 to 2% of it.

Free email

Get the Morning Board

Our markets with the buy price, sell target and hold rule written out, plus a 60-second lesson. Free, and you can leave any time.

No spam, no sharing your email.

21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Not financial or betting advice. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

More sports