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Tennis match markets

Each player gets a YES contract that pays $1 on a win. Prices swing set by set, which makes tennis a clean place to practice setting the sell target before the first serve.

GuidesKXATPMATCHKXWTAMATCH checked Sep 19, 2026

Season: Tours run from January to November, with four Slams.

Live from Kalshi

Open Tennis markets

YES prices in cents from Kalshi's public data. Only markets that close after right now are shown, grouped by match.

Loading from Kalshi

Loading open markets from Kalshi

BidThe most a buyer will pay right now. Selling now gets you this.
AskThe least a seller will take. Buying now costs this.
LastThe price of the most recent trade.
SpreadAsk minus bid. Amber at 10¢ or more, where the gap eats most edges.

Source: Kalshi public market data, series KXATPMATCH, KXWTAMATCH, checked for this page on Sep 19, 2026. Prices can be a few seconds old. They are market prices, not our picks and not a recommendation. PM Countdown isn't affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi.

Method, not picks

How we approach Tennis

What we look at before we write a plan. Every plan still has three lines: the buy price, the sell target and the hold rule.

  1. Read the retirement rule

    Players retire mid-match more often than in other sports. Check how the market settles if that happens before you buy.

  2. Surface and schedule

    Clay, grass and hard courts suit different players, and a long match the day before matters. Both go into our fair value.

  3. Momentum is not a signal

    A lost set moves the price a lot. The order we placed before the first serve does the work, not the feeling mid-match.

  4. Stale rows happen

    Kalshi's open list has carried past-dated matches. This board shows only markets whose close time is still ahead.

Before you trade

What to check first

  • Read how a retirement or walkover settles.
  • Check the match date against the close time.
  • Check the spread on early-round matches.
  • Keep the stake to one unit.

Every market on Kalshi has its own rules page. When our checklist and the rules disagree, the rules win.

The math on one plan

10 contracts, 22¢ buy, 35¢ sell order

Buy 10 YES at 22¢$2.20
Taker fee0.07 × 10 × 0.22 × 0.78 = $0.12012, rounded up$0.13
If the 35¢ sell order fills$3.50 back, minus a $0.04 maker fee if Kalshi charges one on that market (0.0175 × 10 × 0.35 × 0.65, rounded up)+$1.13
If it never trades and winsSettles at $1.00 × 10 = $10.00, minus the $2.33 cost+$7.67
If it never trades and losesSettles at $0. This is the most you can lose.−$2.33

Fee formulas from Kalshi's fee schedule. Same numbers as our UFC 331 plan. An example, not a recommendation.

Basics

How Tennis markets work

One contract

One YES per outcome

Each side gets its own YES contract. It pays $1.00 if that outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't.

Probability

Price reads as a chance

A 22¢ YES price means the market puts it near 22%. Your edge is the gap between that and your own estimate.

Spread

Bid, ask and the gap

You buy at the ask and sell at the bid. The gap between them is a cost you pay every time you go in and out.

Fees

Fees move break-even

Kalshi's taker fee is 0.07 × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up to the cent. Resting orders on many markets pay a lower maker rate. Fee schedule

Free, every morning

Get the Morning Board

One market a day with the buy price, sell target and hold rule written out, plus a 60-second lesson. Free, and you can leave any time.

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21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Not financial or betting advice. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER, or call, text or chat 1-800-MY-RESET.