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Soccer match markets

Soccer markets have three outcomes: each team to win, and a tie. A YES on a team loses if the match is drawn, which is the first thing to understand before you trade one.

GuidesKXEPLGAME checked Sep 19, 2026

Season: European leagues run August to May. MLS runs February to December.

Live from Kalshi

Open Soccer markets

YES prices in cents from Kalshi's public data. Only markets that close after right now are shown, grouped by match.

Loading from Kalshi

Loading open markets from Kalshi

BidThe most a buyer will pay right now. Selling now gets you this.
AskThe least a seller will take. Buying now costs this.
LastThe price of the most recent trade.
SpreadAsk minus bid. Amber at 10¢ or more, where the gap eats most edges.

Source: Kalshi public market data, series KXEPLGAME, checked for this page on Sep 19, 2026. Prices can be a few seconds old. They are market prices, not our picks and not a recommendation. PM Countdown isn't affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi.

Method, not picks

How we approach Soccer

What we look at before we write a plan. Every plan still has three lines: the buy price, the sell target and the hold rule.

  1. The draw is its own contract

    Kalshi's Premier League matches list a home win, an away win and a tie. Buying one team to win means you lose on a draw too.

  2. Wait for the team sheets

    Lineups come out about an hour before kickoff. Rotation in a busy week can change a match, so we price after the sheets.

  3. Fixture congestion

    Midweek cup and European games tire squads. We look at the schedule around a match, not only the match.

  4. Read what counts

    Check in the rules whether a market settles on regular time plus stoppage time, or includes extra time.

Before you trade

What to check first

  • Remember the draw: YES on a team loses on a tie.
  • Wait for confirmed lineups.
  • Read whether extra time counts.
  • Check the spread and the fee.

Every market on Kalshi has its own rules page. When our checklist and the rules disagree, the rules win.

The math on one plan

10 contracts, 22¢ buy, 35¢ sell order

Buy 10 YES at 22¢$2.20
Taker fee0.07 × 10 × 0.22 × 0.78 = $0.12012, rounded up$0.13
If the 35¢ sell order fills$3.50 back, minus a $0.04 maker fee if Kalshi charges one on that market (0.0175 × 10 × 0.35 × 0.65, rounded up)+$1.13
If it never trades and winsSettles at $1.00 × 10 = $10.00, minus the $2.33 cost+$7.67
If it never trades and losesSettles at $0. This is the most you can lose.−$2.33

Fee formulas from Kalshi's fee schedule. Same numbers as our UFC 331 plan. An example, not a recommendation.

Basics

How Soccer markets work

One contract

One YES per outcome

Each side gets its own YES contract. It pays $1.00 if that outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't.

Probability

Price reads as a chance

A 22¢ YES price means the market puts it near 22%. Your edge is the gap between that and your own estimate.

Spread

Bid, ask and the gap

You buy at the ask and sell at the bid. The gap between them is a cost you pay every time you go in and out.

Fees

Fees move break-even

Kalshi's taker fee is 0.07 × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up to the cent. Resting orders on many markets pay a lower maker rate. Fee schedule

Coverage

Leagues we cover

Leagues vary by series on Kalshi. We add a league to the board only after its series returns markets in a check we can date.

  • Series checkedPremier LeagueSeries KXEPLGAME, checked Sep 19, 2026
  • PlannedMLSKXMLSGAME returned no markets on Sep 19, 2026
  • PlannedChampions LeagueKXUCLGAME returned no markets on Sep 19, 2026
  • PlannedLa LigaSeries not checked yet
  • PlannedSerie ASeries not checked yet
  • PlannedBundesligaSeries not checked yet

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21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Not financial or betting advice. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER, or call, text or chat 1-800-MY-RESET.