Basketball
College basketball guides
We checked Kalshi's public data for a college basketball game series on Sep 19, 2026 and found no open markets, which fits a season that starts in November. Until a series is confirmed, this page teaches the method instead of showing a board.
Season: The season starts in November. Markets checked closer to tip-off.
21+This page is written for adults 21 and over. We don't aim content at students, campuses or college audiences.
No board yet
Markets checked closer to tip-off
We looked for a Kalshi college basketball game series on Sep 19, 2026 (KXNCAABGAME and KXNCAAMBGAME) and neither returned markets. When a series is confirmed, this spot becomes a live board. We won't show a board we can't source.
How game markets work
Each team gets a YES contract that pays $1.00 if it wins and $0 if it doesn't. A 30¢ price reads as roughly a 30% chance. You buy at the ask and sell at the bid.
What to check
Is the spread narrow? What happens in overtime or a postponement? Is the stake one unit or less? What's your sell target, and what do you do if it never trades?
Start the Trade Smart path
Five short lessons: bankroll and units, taking profits, prices and fees, tilt and loss limits, and fast markets.
Series checked with Kalshi's public API on Sep 19, 2026. PM Countdown isn't affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi.
Method, not picks
How we approach College basketball
What we look at before we write a plan. Every plan still has three lines: the buy price, the sell target and the hold rule.
Hundreds of teams, thin information
Most games get little coverage and little trading. We only look at games where the price has a narrow spread.
Big favorites pay little
A 95¢ contract can make at most 5¢ before fees. We don't collect pennies on mismatches.
Size down on uncertainty
Player availability news is less complete than in the pros. Less information means a smaller stake, or none.
The plan comes first
Buy price, sell target and hold rule are written before tip-off, the same as every other sport.
Before you trade
What to check first
- Confirm Kalshi lists the game before you plan around it.
- Check the spread first.
- Read the rules for overtime and postponement.
- Keep every stake inside your unit.
Every market on Kalshi has its own rules page. When our checklist and the rules disagree, the rules win.
10 contracts, 22¢ buy, 35¢ sell order
| Buy 10 YES at 22¢ | $2.20 |
|---|---|
| Taker fee0.07 × 10 × 0.22 × 0.78 = $0.12012, rounded up | $0.13 |
| If the 35¢ sell order fills$3.50 back, minus a $0.04 maker fee if Kalshi charges one on that market (0.0175 × 10 × 0.35 × 0.65, rounded up) | +$1.13 |
| If it never trades and winsSettles at $1.00 × 10 = $10.00, minus the $2.33 cost | +$7.67 |
| If it never trades and losesSettles at $0. This is the most you can lose. | −$2.33 |
Fee formulas from Kalshi's fee schedule. Same numbers as our UFC 331 plan. An example, not a recommendation.
Basics
How College basketball markets work
One YES per outcome
Each side gets its own YES contract. It pays $1.00 if that outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't.
Price reads as a chance
A 22¢ YES price means the market puts it near 22%. Your edge is the gap between that and your own estimate.
Bid, ask and the gap
You buy at the ask and sell at the bid. The gap between them is a cost you pay every time you go in and out.
Fees move break-even
Kalshi's taker fee is 0.07 × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up to the cent. Resting orders on many markets pay a lower maker rate. Fee schedule
Trade Smart path
Related lessons
Free, every morning
Get the Morning Board
One market a day with the buy price, sell target and hold rule written out, plus a 60-second lesson. Free, and you can leave any time.
21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Not financial or betting advice. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER, or call, text or chat 1-800-MY-RESET.
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