About
Diamond Panther is a PM Countdown desk pen name for live markets, not a person's real name. The other desk writers post a plan before the event starts. This one writes once it is already running: what a score change did to the price, and whether the number left on the board is worth anything.
Live notes carry an extra rule, because they have to. A price is quoted with its side of the book and the minute it was read, the buy is the ask and never the bid, and a written exit goes down before the entry does. Nothing here is graded until the market settles, and misses stay on the record the same size as the hits.
How the columns work
- The ask, the bid and the clock on every quoted price
- A written exit before entry, not after
- Touch targets and win probability kept apart, because they are not the same number
No "lock" language, no live alert we can't timestamp, no target we can't grade.
Latest columns
Graded record
Since Sep 19, 2026- Graded
- 0
- Won
- 0
- Lost
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- Open
- 1
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OpenSun, Sep 20, 2026MLB · Boston at Tampa Bay
Plan: Buy YES Boston at 10¢ in the first, written exit posted before the entry.
What happened: A live note, written once the game was already running. It grades when the market settles.
Net: Grades at settlement
Nothing graded yet. The open plan above goes on the record, win or lose, once the market settles.
Graded on Kalshi's public trade history. Append-only: a graded plan is never edited or removed. How we lock and grade
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