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Kalshi · Bitcoin hourly · live strikes

Bitcoin 1 Hour Market

Pick the hour and a strike on Kalshi’s hourly BTC contract. You get the live chart, the price for each strike and your payout after fees.

Bitcoin only: it’s the one hourly crypto market we’ve confirmed on Kalshi.

BTC 15-minute deskHow to read it
BTC / USD Coinbase · 1-hour candles

Short-term read

Move needed
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Typical move
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ATR 14
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15m range
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1h range
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vs VWAP
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Heuristics, not odds of winning. σ = recent realized volatility of these candles, scaled to the time left.

Signals

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Chart patterns from these candles. Heuristics, not odds of winning.

    Coinbase BTC-USD candles, your time zone. Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks’ BRTI, which includes Coinbase. Charts by TradingView

    Reset monitor · this device

    Before the next trade

    After a loss, a big win or a long session, take a few minutes off the desk before the next trade.

    Why the break?

    On the desk today: . Counts while a desk page is open and on screen.

    Foreword

    Exclusive TunaLead writer · pen name

    Trading 15-minute markets moves fast. A setup can change in minutes, so I want the right information in front of me before I make a decision.

    That’s why I use PM Countdown. It puts the indicators and market information I care about in one place, so I can review the setup, understand the price being offered, and decide whether it’s actually worth taking.

    The reset is part of my process too. After a big win, a tough loss, or too much time at the screen, five minutes away helps me come back focused instead of chasing the next trade.

    I don’t need to trade every market. I want the right setup at the right price. PM Countdown helps me stay disciplined and wait for it.

    Exclusive Tuna

    Reset running

    5:00

    Answer honestly. Only you see this, and nothing is saved.

    1. Is the next trade about getting that loss back?
    2. Do I know today’s loss limit in dollars?
    3. Have I reached it?
    4. Would I size the next trade bigger than I planned this morning?
    1. Have I moved some of it to my bank account?
    2. Does money I just won feel easier to risk than money I put in?
    3. Would I size up the next trade because I’m up?
    4. Do I know when I’m stopping today?
    1. Have I stood up in the last hour?
    2. Have I eaten something in the last few hours?
    3. Did I get a normal night’s sleep?
    4. Is it later than I planned to stop?

    After a loss

    Let this one go.

    After a big win

    Move some of it to your bank.

    What to do with a big win: the set-aside, the move off the exchange, and the size of the next bankroll.

    Been at it too long

    Get up for a bit.

    Tools for a longer break
    Your limits

    The most you’re OK losing today. We’ll keep it in front of you.

    Saved only in this browser. Nothing is sent to us. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

    How to read the hourly desk

    One hour, many strikes

    Kalshi’s hourly BTC contract (KXBTCD) asks one question per strike: will BTC be at or above this price when the hour closes?

    The 15-minute desk
    1. Pick the hour

      Kalshi lists the coming hours ahead of time, but each one only starts trading 1 hour before it closes. Until then the desk shows its strikes and says it isn’t trading yet, with no price.

    2. Pick a strike

      The desk starts on the strike nearest the live BTC price. Up is the Kalshi ask for YES at that strike; Down is 100 minus the YES bid.

    3. Read the payout

      The stake, contracts, Kalshi fee and what you get if right or lose if wrong use the same math as the 15-minute desk: fee = 0.07 × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up to the cent.

    4. Then decide

      Signals, the short-term read and Market pulse describe the candles and the news. They are heuristics, not odds of winning.

    Only risk what you can afford to lose. This desk is information, not advice, and PM Countdown isn't affiliated with Kalshi. Kalshi users can set funding caps and opt-outs in the Responsible Trading Hub. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Responsible gambling guide