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Kalshi · BTC hourly · KXBTCD strike ladder
BTC hourly desk
Pick the hour and a strike on Kalshi’s hourly BTC contract. You get the live chart, the price for each strike and your payout after fees.
BTC only: KXBTCD is the one hourly series we’ve confirmed on Kalshi.
Dot = the Kalshi contract in the panel (hourly). Every tab charts BTC around the same contract.
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The odds and payout on this page still update on their own.
Short-term read
- Move needed
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- Typical move
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- ATR 14
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- 15m range
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- 1h range
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- vs VWAP
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Heuristics, not odds of winning. σ = recent realized volatility of these candles, scaled to the time left.
Signals
—Chart patterns from these candles. Heuristics, not odds of winning.
Coinbase BTC-USD candles, your time zone. Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks’ BRTI, which includes Coinbase. Charts by TradingView
Session check · this device
Time on the desk today
Counts only while a desk page is open and on screen. Resets at midnight.
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How to read the hourly desk
One hour, many strikes
Kalshi’s hourly BTC contract (KXBTCD) asks one question per strike: will BTC be at or above this price when the hour closes?
- Pick the hour
Kalshi lists the coming hours ahead of time, but each one only starts trading 1 hour before it closes. Until then the desk shows its strikes and says it isn’t trading yet, with no price.
- Pick a strike
The desk starts on the strike nearest the live BTC price. Up is the Kalshi ask for YES at that strike; Down is 100 minus the YES bid.
- Read the payout
The stake, contracts, Kalshi fee and what you get if right or lose if wrong use the same math as the 15-minute desk: fee = 0.07 × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up to the cent.
- Then decide
Signals, the short-term read and Market pulse describe the candles and the news. They are heuristics, not odds of winning.
21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. This desk is information, not advice, and PM Countdown isn't affiliated with Kalshi. Kalshi users can set funding caps and opt-outs in the Responsible Trading Hub. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Responsible gambling guide