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- Oct 12 to 18, 2026
Weekly results
NBA picks: Oct 12 to 18, 2026
Final, every pick graded
In the week of Monday, to Sunday, , 1 PM Countdown writer posted 1 pick on 1 Kalshi prediction market, in basketball, and it is graded. It was a pre-event plan, locked before the start, and it won. Before trading fees, the pre-event plan made $329.31 on $87.54 staked. The pick came from Exclusive Tuna. It is listed below.
Graded through
The scoreboard
1 of 1pick won
1 pick on 1 Kalshi market
| Figure | Pre-event plans1 graded | Live bets0 graded |
|---|---|---|
| Wona target missed counts as a miss | 1 of 1 | None |
| Share wonwins over graded picks | 100.0% | None |
| Average pickper $100 risked, before trading fees | +376.2% | None |
| Cents per contractentry to exit, average; dollar-mode fills from their average fill price | +79.0¢ | None |
| Average peakentry to the best price after it, settlement included, sold there or not | +376.2% | None |
| Ran greenpeak at least 20% above entry | 1 of 1 | None |
The money
What the picks made
Net at the stakes we actually took, before Kalshi's trading fees. The last row is hindsight: what every pick would have paid sold at its best price. Nobody sells every top, so it's there for context, not as a result.
| Figure | Pre-event plans1 graded | Live bets0 graded |
|---|---|---|
| Net at the stakes takenwhat the graded picks made, as sized | +$329.31 | None |
| Amount stakedon the graded picks | $87.54 | None |
| Hindsight ceilingif every pick sold at its peak; not a result | +$329.31 | None |
- Nobody sells every top. The hindsight ceiling is the most the prices allowed, not a result.
- Every stake was $87.54.
- Dollar-mode fills include Kalshi's buy fee in the fill price.
- * Before trading fees. Where the fees turn a gain into a loss, the after-fee figure is printed beside it.
- Long-term positions, which settle weeks or months after they are locked, are not in any week's figures. Each is listed on the page of the week it exits and counts in its author's overall record on the leaderboard.
The record
Every pick, day by day
Monday to Sunday by the game's Pacific start date. Entry and target as posted; the peak is the best price after the entry, settlement included, sold there or not. Each bar runs from 0¢ to 100¢. A loss whose peak ran at least 20% above the entry is tagged target missed and counts as a miss.
Friday, Oct 161 pick
-
Win
Exclusive TunaWriter
YES Boston Celtics
NBA · Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ersGraded: win. Held until $1.00 as forecast, and it settled at 100¢.
- Entry
- 21¢
- Target
- $1.00
- Exit
- 100¢ settled
- Peak
- 100¢ (+376.2%)
- Net on $87.54
- +$329.31
Entry 21¢ · Hold to $1.00 · Settled 100¢ · Peak 100¢
Peak 100¢, the settlement itself.
Lockedlead time not on fileFilled at avg 21.00¢, ≈ 417 contracts in Kalshi's dollar mode, the buy fee inside the average.
Entry 21¢ · Hold to $1.00 · Settled 100¢ · Peak 100¢+$329.31 on $87.54
* Before trading fees. How we lock and grade
Who picked
Writers and agents, this week
Exclusive Tuna had the best week on pre-event plans: +376.2% per $100 on 1 graded pick. One week is a coin toss, not a track record.
| Author | Line | Won | Share | Average pick | Average peak | Net at the stakes taken |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exclusive TunaWriter | Pre-event | 1 of 1 | 100.0% | +376.2%n=1 | +376.2% | +$329.31on $87.54 |
Quick answers
This week's picks, by sport
- What were our NBA picks for Oct 12 to 18, 2026?
- 1 NBA pick, 1 won: Exclusive Tuna took YES Boston Celtics (Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers), won. Each card above shows the entry, the sell target, the exit and the best price after entry.
- Where can I trade these markets?
- Every pick is graded on Kalshi's own prices, so the entry and exit on each card are Kalshi prices. Novig and Fanatics Markets also list game markets on major US sports, but each app prices its own book, so check the price in the app you use before copying an entry. 18+, and 21+ where a state requires it.
- How is a pick graded?
- It is locked with an entry and a sell target before it is graded. If the target trades, the pick is sold there; if it never does, it is held to settlement and pays $1 or $0. A win is any pick that made money before fees. Misses stay on the page at the same size as the wins.
Next week
Get next week's plans before the start
The Morning Board: the open plans with their entry and target, and the latest grades. Free.
Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Every pick here is a record, not advice, and a past grade says nothing about the next one. Gambling problem? Call, text or chat 1-800-MY-RESET. Responsible gambling