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WNBA playoffs · First round, Game 2 · Wednesday, Sep 30

Dream at Mystics, Game 2: Atlanta leads the series 1-0, and it could end in Washington

Atlanta Dream (30-14) visit Washington Mystics (28-16) in the first round of the 2026 WNBA playoffs, best of three. Kalshi had the Dream at 62¢ before tip-off.

Tip-off

4:00 PM PT

Wednesday, Sep 30

Arena

CareFirst Arena

Washington, DC

On TV

ESPN

As listed by ESPN

Kalshi to buy

62¢ vs 38¢

ATL, WSH

What’s at stake

Game 2 is in Washington, where the Mystics beat Atlanta twice this season, 81-76 on Jul 2 and 79-74 on Aug 7. Washington went 15-7 at home.

Atlanta leads 1-0 after winning Game 1 92-77. Washington led by as many as 11 in the second quarter, and Atlanta turned 23 Mystics turnovers into 27 points while committing 7 of its own. Rhyne Howard scored 26, 10 of them from the free-throw line.

The first round is best of three: an Atlanta win here ends the series, and a Washington win forces a deciding Game 3 back in Atlanta.

Five reasons to watch this one

  1. The money is on the Dream. Kalshi had Dream at 62¢ and Mystics at 38¢ at our read, Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 9:27 PM PT.1 That is the crowd, not a projection of ours, and the crowd is wrong often enough to be worth checking.
  2. The series has its own price. The market to win the round had Dream at 92¢ and Mystics at 10¢ to buy, read Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 9:27 PM PT.1 That price moves every time a game in the series ends.
  3. Allisha Gray, G for the Dream. 19.0 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.6 assists a game in the 2026 regular season, on 46.3% shooting.2
  4. Shakira Austin, C for the Mystics. 17.0 points, 9.5 rebounds and 2.6 assists a game in the 2026 regular season, on 48.3% shooting.2
  5. They have met three times already. Washington won the season series 2-1; the scores are in the tape below.2

Every number here is stamped with the source it came from, and nothing in this list is a pick.

Where the series stands

Atlanta leads the series 1-0. The first round is best of three: two wins takes it.

First-round schedule, Atlanta Dream and Washington Mystics
GameTip-offArenaResult
Game 1: Mystics at DreamSun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM PTState Farm Arena, AtlantaFinal: Mystics 77, Dream 92 Result page
Game 2: Dream at MysticsWed, Sep 30, 4:00 PM PTCareFirst Arena, WashingtonScheduled
Game 3, if neededOnly played if the teams split the first two.

Schedule, arenas and results from ESPN, read Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 9:29 PM PT.2

How Game 1 went

Mystics 77, Dream 92 at State Farm Arena.

Game 1 score by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Mystics2615122477
Atlanta Dream2115292792
Game 1 double-figure scorers
PlayerTeamMinPtsRebAstFG
Rhyne HowardDream3926117-18
Sonia CitronMystics3525638-15
Allisha GrayDream3522308-16
Kiki IriafenMystics23151407-14
Angel ReeseDream30131214-15
DeWanna BonnerDream2213424-8
Shakira AustinMystics34121624-11
Jordin CanadaDream36103104-11

Every player who scored 10 or more, from ESPN’s box score, read Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 9:29 PM PT.2

The full Game 1 result: box score, runs and the market

Tale of the tape

2026 regular seasonAtlanta DreamWashington Mystics
Record30-1428-16
Home15-715-7
Road15-713-9
Last fiveWWWWWoldest firstWWWWLoldest first
Points a game91.384.0
Rebounds a game35.637.7
Assists a game21.519.7
Field goal %44.3 11th45.4 7th
Three-point %32.5 11th32.3 12th
Free throw %78.6 10th73.1 14th
Season seriesWashington won the season series 2-1
  • Jun 6: WSH 77, ATL 109 at Atlanta
  • Jul 2: ATL 76, WSH 81 at Washington
  • Aug 7: ATL 74, WSH 79 at Washington

Records, team averages, league ranks (the small number beside a percentage), form and the season series from ESPN, read Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 9:29 PM PT.2 Averages are regular-season figures; playoff games are not in them.

Who to watch

Atlanta Dream · G · #15

Allisha Gray

19.0 points · 3.5 rebounds · 2.6 assists · 46.3 FG% · 33.9 3P% · 32.6 minutes · 44 games

Atlanta Dream · F · #5

Angel Reese

16.4 points · 12.1 rebounds · 2.8 assists · 45.1 FG% · 19.3 3P% · 31.0 minutes · 43 games

Atlanta Dream · G · #3

Jordin Canada

11.6 points · 3.5 rebounds · 7.3 assists · 43.1 FG% · 29.2 3P% · 31.1 minutes · 43 games

Washington Mystics · C · #0

Shakira Austin

17.0 points · 9.5 rebounds · 2.6 assists · 48.3 FG% · 31.5 3P% · 29.4 minutes · 43 games

Washington Mystics · F · #44

Kiki Iriafen

15.3 points · 9.6 rebounds · 1.5 assists · 51.3 FG% · 33.3 3P% · 28.1 minutes · 41 games

Washington Mystics · G · #22

Sonia Citron

16.8 points · 3.8 rebounds · 4.4 assists · 48.3 FG% · 34.2 3P% · 33.0 minutes · 40 games

The players ESPN lists as each team’s leader in points, rebounds, assists and its overall rating, with their 2026 regular-season averages from ESPN’s player pages.2 Nothing here is a projection for this game. Names link to each player’s ESPN stats page.

Who might not play

2 players are on the two reports. This is the part that moves a price in the hour before tip-off.

PlayerTeamStatusNote
Matilde VillaAtlanta DreamOutCoach's Decision. Listed to return 2027-05-01.
Brionna JonesAtlanta DreamOutLeft Leg. Listed to return 2027-05-01.

ESPN injury report for this game, read Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 9:29 PM PT.2 A return date of 2027-05-01 is how ESPN marks a player out for the rest of the season. Reports change close to tip-off.

What the market says

Kalshi game prices
To win this gameBid / askLastContracts traded
Atlanta Dream61¢ / 62¢63¢6,955
Washington Mystics37¢ / 38¢38¢3,756

Kalshi event KXWNBAGAME-26SEP30ATLWSH, read Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 9:27 PM PT, before tip-off.1 You pay the ask to buy and take the bid to sell, so a round trip costs more than one column suggests.

Kalshi series prices
To win the seriesBid / askLastContracts traded
Atlanta Dream91¢ / 92¢91¢10,079
Washington Mystics8¢ / 10¢9¢19,682

Kalshi event KXWNBASERIES-26WSHATLR1, read Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 9:27 PM PT.1

DraftKings had ATL -3.5 with a total of 164.5. ESPN’s matchup model gives Washington Mystics 39.5% and Atlanta Dream 60.5%.2 We show the market, the book and the model side by side and leave the conclusion to you.

PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, ESPN, DraftKings or the WNBA.

Reading the price

A contract pays $1.00 if its side wins and nothing if it does not, so 62¢ on the Dream is the crowd saying about 62%. The two asks add to 100%, and the 0 points over 100 are what it costs to take either side.

If the desk posts a call on this game it goes up with the buy price, the sell target and what happens if the target never fills, and it is graded on Kalshi’s own trade history with both fee legs counted, win or lose. A miss stays on the record next to the wins.

Every WNBA game page, and every call the desk has graded.

What this page does not know

  • No PM Countdown writer has posted a call on this game. If one does, it appears on this page with its entry, its target and its grade.

Sources

Prices and reports move after these reads; this page is not updated in place.

  1. Kalshi public API, events KXWNBAGAME-26SEP30ATLWSH and KXWNBASERIES-26WSHATLR1, and one-minute candles where a game had already tipped, read Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 9:27 PM PT. kalshi.com
  2. ESPN WNBA scoreboard and game summary for event 401918019 (records, arena, TV, team averages and ranks, injuries, season series, last five, DraftKings line, matchup model, Game 1 box score), and ESPN’s player pages for each listed player, read Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 9:29 PM PT. espn.com

PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, ESPN, DraftKings or the WNBA. Prices shown are the market’s own, not our picks.

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ATL62¢
WSH38¢
Tip-offWed 4:00 PM PT
Trade on KalshiTrade