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WNBA playoffs · First round, Game 1 · Sunday, Sep 27

Mystics at Dream, Game 1: the WNBA playoffs open in Atlanta

Washington Mystics (28-16) visit Atlanta Dream (30-14) in the first round of the 2026 WNBA playoffs, best of three. Kalshi had the Dream at 73¢ at tip-off.

Tip-off

4:00 PM PT

Sunday, Sep 27

Arena

State Farm Arena

Atlanta, GA

On TV

Prime Video

As listed by ESPN

Kalshi at tip-off

28¢ vs 73¢

WSH, ATL

Final

Mystics 77, Dream 92 Atlanta leads the series 1-0. The preview below is as it stood at tip-off.

See the result

What’s at stake

Atlanta finished 30-14 and won its last five regular-season games, two of them in New York in the final week. Washington finished 28-16 and won four of its last five. Washington also won the season series 2-1, both wins at home in Washington.

Atlanta's one win in the series was 109-77 in Atlanta on Jun 6, and Game 1 is in Atlanta. Angel Reese averaged 12.1 rebounds for the Dream, and Washington averaged 37.7 rebounds a game as a team.

Five reasons to watch this one

  1. The money is on the Dream. Kalshi had Mystics at 28¢ and Dream at 73¢ at tip-off.1 That is the crowd, not a projection of ours, and the crowd is wrong often enough to be worth checking.
  2. The series has its own price. The market to win the round had Mystics at 10¢ and Dream at 92¢ to buy, read Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 9:27 PM PT.1 That read is from after this game, so the result is already in it.
  3. Shakira Austin, C for the Mystics. 17.0 points, 9.5 rebounds and 2.6 assists a game in the 2026 regular season, on 48.3% shooting.2
  4. Allisha Gray, G for the Dream. 19.0 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.6 assists a game in the 2026 regular season, on 46.3% shooting.2
  5. They have met three times already. Washington won the season series 2-1; the scores are in the tape below.2

Every number here is stamped with the source it came from, and nothing in this list is a pick.

Where the series stands

Atlanta leads the series 1-0. The first round is best of three: two wins takes it.

First-round schedule, Washington Mystics and Atlanta Dream
GameTip-offArenaResult
Game 1: Mystics at DreamSun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM PTState Farm Arena, AtlantaFinal: Mystics 77, Dream 92 Result page
Game 2: Dream at MysticsWed, Sep 30, 4:00 PM PTCareFirst Arena, WashingtonScheduled
Game 3, if neededOnly played if the teams split the first two.

Schedule, arenas and results from ESPN, read Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 9:29 PM PT.2

How Game 1 went

Mystics 77, Dream 92 at State Farm Arena.

Game 1 score by quarter
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Mystics2615122477
Atlanta Dream2115292792
Game 1 double-figure scorers
PlayerTeamMinPtsRebAstFG
Rhyne HowardDream3926117-18
Sonia CitronMystics3525638-15
Allisha GrayDream3522308-16
Kiki IriafenMystics23151407-14
Angel ReeseDream30131214-15
DeWanna BonnerDream2213424-8
Shakira AustinMystics34121624-11
Jordin CanadaDream36103104-11

Every player who scored 10 or more, from ESPN’s box score, read Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 9:29 PM PT.2

The full Game 1 result: box score, runs and the market

Tale of the tape

2026 regular seasonWashington MysticsAtlanta Dream
Record28-1630-14
Home15-715-7
Road13-915-7
Last fiveLWWWWoldest firstWWWWWoldest first
Points a game84.091.3
Rebounds a game37.735.6
Assists a game19.721.5
Field goal %45.4 7th44.3 11th
Three-point %32.3 12th32.5 11th
Free throw %73.1 14th78.6 10th
Season seriesWashington won the season series 2-1
  • Jun 6: WSH 77, ATL 109 at Atlanta
  • Jul 2: ATL 76, WSH 81 at Washington
  • Aug 7: ATL 74, WSH 79 at Washington

Records, team averages, league ranks (the small number beside a percentage), form and the season series from ESPN, read Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 9:29 PM PT.2 Averages are regular-season figures; playoff games are not in them.

Who to watch

Washington Mystics · C · #0

Shakira Austin

17.0 points · 9.5 rebounds · 2.6 assists · 48.3 FG% · 31.5 3P% · 29.4 minutes · 43 games

Washington Mystics · F · #44

Kiki Iriafen

15.3 points · 9.6 rebounds · 1.5 assists · 51.3 FG% · 33.3 3P% · 28.1 minutes · 41 games

Washington Mystics · G · #22

Sonia Citron

16.8 points · 3.8 rebounds · 4.4 assists · 48.3 FG% · 34.2 3P% · 33.0 minutes · 40 games

Atlanta Dream · G · #15

Allisha Gray

19.0 points · 3.5 rebounds · 2.6 assists · 46.3 FG% · 33.9 3P% · 32.6 minutes · 44 games

Atlanta Dream · F · #5

Angel Reese

16.4 points · 12.1 rebounds · 2.8 assists · 45.1 FG% · 19.3 3P% · 31.0 minutes · 43 games

Atlanta Dream · G · #3

Jordin Canada

11.6 points · 3.5 rebounds · 7.3 assists · 43.1 FG% · 29.2 3P% · 31.1 minutes · 43 games

The players ESPN lists as each team’s leader in points, rebounds, assists and its overall rating, with their 2026 regular-season averages from ESPN’s player pages.2 Nothing here is a projection for this game. Names link to each player’s ESPN stats page.

Who might not play

2 players are on the two reports. This is the part that moves a price in the hour before tip-off.

PlayerTeamStatusNote
Matilde VillaAtlanta DreamOutCoach's Decision. Listed to return 2027-05-01.
Brionna JonesAtlanta DreamOutLeft Leg. Listed to return 2027-05-01.

ESPN injury report for this game, read Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 9:29 PM PT.2 A return date of 2027-05-01 is how ESPN marks a player out for the rest of the season. Reports change close to tip-off.

What the market says

Kalshi game prices
To win this gameBid / askLastContracts traded
Washington Mystics27¢ / 28¢28¢1,115,700
Atlanta Dream72¢ / 73¢73¢996,082

Kalshi event KXWNBAGAME-26SEP27WSHATL, the one-minute candle that closed at tip-off, Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM PT. Volume is the whole market’s, read Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 9:27 PM PT.1 You pay the ask to buy and take the bid to sell, so a round trip costs more than one column suggests.

Kalshi series prices
To win the seriesBid / askLastContracts traded
Washington Mystics8¢ / 10¢9¢19,682
Atlanta Dream91¢ / 92¢91¢10,079

Kalshi event KXWNBASERIES-26WSHATLR1, read Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 9:27 PM PT.1

Kalshi’s total-points ladder for this game prices over 162.5 at 53¢, the line closest to even money at our read. Every rung is a separate contract.

Kalshi total points ladder
Total pointsBid / askContracts traded
Over 150.580¢ / 81¢228
Over 153.572¢ / 74¢0
Over 156.566¢ / 67¢46
Over 159.559¢ / 61¢4,638
Over 162.552¢ / 53¢1,952
Over 165.543¢ / 44¢4,104
Over 168.537¢ / 38¢764
Over 171.532¢ / 33¢571
Over 174.525¢ / 26¢715

Kalshi event KXWNBATOTAL-26SEP27WSHATL, read Sun, Sep 27, 1:36 PM PT.1

DraftKings had ATL -7.5 with a total of 163.5.2 We show the market, the book and the model side by side and leave the conclusion to you.

PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, ESPN, DraftKings or the WNBA.

Reading the price

A contract pays $1.00 if its side wins and nothing if it does not, so 28¢ on the Mystics is the crowd saying about 28%. The two asks add to 101%, and the 1 points over 100 are what it costs to take either side.

If the desk posts a call on this game it goes up with the buy price, the sell target and what happens if the target never fills, and it is graded on Kalshi’s own trade history with both fee legs counted, win or lose. A miss stays on the record next to the wins.

Every WNBA game page, and every call the desk has graded.

What this page does not know

  • ESPN did not show its matchup model for this game at our read.
  • No PM Countdown writer has posted a call on this game. If one does, it appears on this page with its entry, its target and its grade.

Sources

Prices and reports move after these reads; this page is not updated in place.

  1. Kalshi public API, events KXWNBAGAME-26SEP27WSHATL and KXWNBASERIES-26WSHATLR1 and KXWNBATOTAL-26SEP27WSHATL, and one-minute candles where a game had already tipped, read Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 9:27 PM PT. kalshi.com
  2. ESPN WNBA scoreboard and game summary for event 401918013 (records, arena, TV, team averages and ranks, injuries, season series, last five, DraftKings line, matchup model, Game 1 box score), and ESPN’s player pages for each listed player, read Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 9:29 PM PT. espn.com

PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, ESPN, DraftKings or the WNBA. Prices shown are the market’s own, not our picks.

Only risk what you can afford to lose.Set a money limit before you start and stop when you reach it. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.

WSH28¢
ATL73¢
Tip-offSun 4:00 PM PT
Trade on KalshiTrade