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WNBA · Monday, Sep 21 · Preview

Dallas can clinch ground on Phoenix a day after beating them

Dallas is 26-16 and sixth by record. Phoenix is 15-27 and eliminated. The two met on Saturday with Dallas winning 87-82, and they meet again here.

Tip-off

7:00 PM PT

Mon, Sep 21

Arena

Mortgage Matchup Center

Phoenix

On TV

USA Net

AZ Family Sports Net, Merc+

Kalshi, both sides

33¢ vs 69¢

PHX, DAL

What's at stake

Dallas is 26-16 and sixth by record. Phoenix is 15-27 and eliminated. The two met on Saturday with Dallas winning 87-82, and they meet again here.

The underdog story. Phoenix at home, at 32¢, a day after losing by five to the same opponent.

Tale of the tape

Going inDallas WingsPhoenix Mercury
Record26-1615-27
This venue10-10 on the road6-14 at home
Last five WWWWWoldest first LLWWLoldest first
Last gameW 87-82 vs PHXL 87-82 at DAL
Playoff bracketIn the top eightEliminated
Season seriesDAL leads series 2-0
  • 2026-06-11: 85 / 70
  • 2026-09-19: 87 / 82

Records, form and series from ESPN's WNBA scoreboard and game summary, read Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:02 PM PT.1,2 The bracket is the eight teams with the best overall record; the WNBA seeds on record, not conference.

Who might not play

6 players are on the two reports. This is the part that moves a price in the hour before tip-off.

PlayerTeamStatusNote
Alanna SmithDallas WingsOutLower Leg. Listed to return 2026-09-27.
Azzi FuddDallas WingsOutKnee. Listed to return 2027-04-15.
Costanza VeronaDallas WingsOutPersonal. Listed to return 2026-09-21.
Kahleah CopperPhoenix MercuryOutGroin. Listed to return 2026-09-21.
Kelsey PlumPhoenix MercuryOutLower Leg. Listed to return 2027-05-01.
Jovana NogicPhoenix MercuryOutNot Injury Related. Listed to return 2027-05-01.

ESPN injury report for this fixture, read Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:02 PM PT.2 Day to day means available or not at the coach's call, often announced close to tip-off. Player names link to their ESPN stats page.

What the market says

SideBid / askLastVolumeSince open
Phoenix Mercury31¢ / 32¢33¢28535¢ at open, down 2
Dallas Wings68¢ / 69¢69¢83572¢ at open, down 3

Kalshi series KXWNBAGAME, event 26SEP21DALPHX, read Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:07 PM PT.3 You pay the ask to buy and receive the bid to sell, so a round trip costs more than one column suggests.

DraftKings had it at DAL -6.5 when we read the slate.1

ESPN's matchup model gives Phoenix Mercury 39.9% and Dallas Wings 60.1%.2 We show the model and the market side by side and leave the conclusion to you.

Trading it: the case each way

We are not posting a pick on this game. What follows is the argument on both sides, so you can write your own number before you look at the price again.

Reasons to look

Dallas has won five straight and is the form team on the board.

Reasons to stay out

Phoenix is without Kelsey Plum and Kahleah Copper, so the roster you are pricing is not the roster the season average describes.

Whatever you decide, write the entry, the sell target and the hold rule before tip-off, and remember the fee is largest near 50¢. How the fee works

Sources

Every figure on this page came from one of these, read on Sunday, Sep 20, 2026. Live prices and injury reports change after that.

  1. ESPN WNBA scoreboard API: records, tip-off, venue, broadcasts and the DraftKings line. site.api.espn.com
  2. ESPN WNBA game summary, event 401857207: injury report, season series, recent form and the matchup model. site.api.espn.com
  3. Kalshi public markets API, series KXWNBAGAME. external-api.kalshi.com

PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, ESPN, DraftKings or the WNBA. Prices shown are the market's, not our picks. Ice-Maiden is a PM Countdown desk pen name.

21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Not financial or betting advice. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER, or call, text or chat 1-800-MY-RESET.

Tip-off7:00 PM PT
PHX33¢
DAL69¢
Trade on KalshiTrade