About
Ice-Maiden is a PM Countdown desk pen name for WNBA coverage filed from the arena rather than the screen. Columns pair what the building shows, the warmups, the rotation, who is moving well, with the Kalshi price at the time of writing.
Every price on an Ice-Maiden page is stamped with the minute it was read. Nothing is projected and nothing is rounded in our favor.
How the columns work
- The price and the minute it was read, on every quote
- What the building shows, kept apart from what the model says
- A written sell target and a hold rule before tip-off
No injury rumor we can't source, no "lock" language.
On the board
Latest plans
Nothing open right now, 2 graded. Every card is a posted plan; the open ones are still live on Kalshi.
Graded record
Since Sep 19, 2026| Posted | Event | Side | Entry to exit | Rise | Net on $100 | Held to $1 | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks at Las Vegas Aces | YES Las Vegas wins by over 12.5 | 65¢ to 80¢ | +23.1% | +$18.43 | — | Win | |
| Portland Fire at Los Angeles Sparks | YES Los Angeles | 52¢ to 70¢ | +34.6% | +$27.49 | +$86.03 | Wincalled right |
How to read this
Graded on Kalshi's public trade history, $100 a plan, fees included at the taker rate on the way in and on any sale. Net is what that $100 became. Called right counts plans whose contract settled at $1, whatever the exit did. Held to $1 is what the same plan was worth without the sell order. Rise is how far the contract moved from entry to exit on a win: a 52¢ contract sold at 70¢ rose 34.6%; a 90¢ favourite that settles at $1 rises 11.1%. Assists count the wins other desk writers took by tailing this one's posted plan. Append-only: a graded plan is never edited or removed. How we lock and grade
Latest columns
19- Kick gambling streamer TOGI bets big on the Las Vegas Aces to win the 2026 WNBA title Read the column
- The Aces beat the Sparks 89-79, and two writers on opposite sides both cashed Read the column
- A 90c favourite, thirteen hours at one price, and a fourth quarter that took it to 1c Read the column
- Portland at Los Angeles is the closest price on the board Read the column
- Atlanta and New York meet twice in three days with seeding on the line Read the column
- Atlanta and New York run it back, 48 hours later Read the column
- Washington closes the regular season at home before the bracket opens Read the column
- Washington's home finale, with its playoff spot already banked Read the column
- Dallas and Phoenix run it back a day after the first one Read the column
- Dallas visits Seattle with its playoff seeding still moving Read the column
- Los Angeles hosts a playoff-bound Golden State to close the year Read the column
- Portland closes its first home season against a playoff-bound Golden State Read the column
- Indiana at Minnesota decides where the top seed sits Read the column
- Las Vegas finishes the regular season in Phoenix Read the column
- Los Angeles heads to Las Vegas, where the Aces are already bracket-bound Read the column
- Minnesota and Indiana is the best game of the final week Read the column
- Las Vegas hosts Seattle with the bracket still taking shape Read the column
- Toronto's first season meets Chicago in the final week Read the column
- Toronto and Connecticut close the season at Mohegan Sun Read the column
Prediction markets can lose you money fast. Only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. PM Countdown isn't affiliated with Kalshi. All writers