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WNBA · Tuesday, Sep 22 · Final

Aces 89, Sparks 79: two writers, opposite sides, both out before the final

A'ja Wilson had 18 points and 10 rebounds as Las Vegas won its sixth straight and clinched at least the three seed. Two plans were posted on this game before tip-off, on opposite sides. Both sold early, before the finish could decide anything.

Ice-Maiden Desk writer, WNBA

Published Plans locked

Final

Los Angeles Sparks79

Las Vegas Aces89

Michelob ULTRA Arena · 10,377 fans1

Score by quarter
Team1234T
Los Angeles Sparks1122182879
Las Vegas Aces2418232489

Two writers, opposite sides, both cashed

Exclusive TunaLos Angeles Sparks

Yes Los Angeles

In at 7¢, out at 14¢

+$93.87 on $100

If held to the end: 0¢

Cashed early
Ice-MaidenLas Vegas Aces

Yes Las Vegas wins by over 12.5

In at 65¢, out at 80¢

+$22.50 on $100

If held to the end: 0¢

Cashed early

These were two plans by two writers, not one trade split across both sides. Held to the final, both would have paid nothing: an Aces win by 1 to 12 paid neither, and that is what happened. Each came out ahead only because its sell order traded before the game ended. On another night neither does.

The receipts

Every price below is a trade on Kalshi. The solid line is where the plan was, the dashed line is what holding it would have done.

Exclusive Tuna

Yes Los Angeles

Cashed early
20¢0¢tip-off
Bought 7¢ at 1:43 PM PT. Sold 14¢ at 7:14 PM PT. Top 16¢. Settled 0¢ at 9:22 PM PT. Time before tip-off is compressed.
Locked
Target
14¢, raised from 10¢ before tip-off
Bought
1,341 at 7¢ = $93.87
Sold
14¢ at = $187.74
Profit
+$93.87 on $100
Top after entry
16¢ at 7:14 PM PT
If held to the end
0¢ at 9:22 PM PT = −$93.87
Graded
, from Kalshi’s data

Ice-Maiden

Yes Las Vegas wins by over 12.5

Cashed early
100¢0¢tip-off
Bought 65¢ at 1:43 PM PT. Sold 80¢ at 7:22 PM PT. Top 89¢. Settled 0¢ at 9:22 PM PT. Time before tip-off is compressed.
Locked
Target
80¢, as locked
Bought
150 at 65¢ = $97.50
Sold
80¢ at = $120.00
Profit
+$22.50 on $100
Top after entry
89¢ at 8:30 PM PT
If held to the end
0¢ at 9:22 PM PT = −$97.50
Graded
, from Kalshi’s data

How the game went

  • Q1: Aces used a 15-point run to go up 17-5.
  • End of Q1: Aces 24, Sparks 11.
  • Q2: Aces led by 17 before the Sparks went on an 11-point run to cut it to 35-29.
  • Halftime: Aces 42, Sparks 33.
  • Q3: a 10-point Aces run made it 63-45.
  • End of Q3: Aces 65, Sparks 51.

Runs and quarter scores from the AP recap and the score by quarter.2

Box score

Las Vegas Aces 30-13 after this game
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/−
Starters
Stephanie Talbot2514303006-82-30-0+7
Brianna Turner142410101-20-00-0+10
A'ja Wilson32181020237-151-13-4+11
Chelsea Gray3317322027-122-51-1+2
Jackie Young34145110036-161-81-1+8
Bench
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus136121111-20-04-6+9
Jewell Loyd209200003-83-60-0−1
Dana Evans153030001-11-10-0−4
Ta'Niya Latson33000001-10-01-2−1
Mai Yamamoto113102011-51-40-0+9
Team200892921841034-7011-2810-14

Did not play: Kierstan Bell, Kalani Brown, Justine Pissott.

Los Angeles Sparks 16-27 after this game
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/−
Starters
Nneka Ogwumike3017921127-121-22-2−9
Emma Cannon130200000-10-10-2−16
Erica Wheeler2416451017-132-40-0−3
Ariel Atkins239211104-81-30-0−9
Rae Burrell2911101044-120-23-3−9
Bench
Jihyun Park135321002-40-21-2−1
Tonie Morgan1814121126-72-20-0+4
Chance Gray151030000-30-21-1−5
Ndjakalenga Mwenentanda123500021-31-10-0−1
Monique Akoa Makani233312021-40-21-1−1
Team200793016831332-677-218-11

Team stats

LALV

  • 32-67Field goals34-70
  • 7-21Three-pointers11-28
  • 30Rebounds29
  • 16Assists21
  • 13Turnovers10
  • 38Points in the paint44
  • 10Fast-break points22
  • 3Largest lead18

When each thing happened

The plans were public more than five hours before tip-off. The grade came the next morning, after Kalshi settled.

  1. Both plans locked and posted
  2. Tip-off
  3. Tuna’s 14¢ sell filled
  4. Ice-Maiden’s 80¢ sell filled
  5. Aces by 13+ tops out at 89¢
  6. Final, Aces 89-79. Kalshi settles both at 0¢
  7. Both plans graded
  8. This page published

Sources

  1. Final score, score by quarter, attendance and player stats: ESPN game data for event 401857211, with the quarter scores matched against Covers and the AP recap. Read Wed, Sep 23, 2026. espn.com
  2. Game moments: AP recap as published by KTNV. ktnv.com
  3. Kalshi public data for KXWNBAGAME-26SEP22LALV-LA and KXWNBASPREAD-26SEP22LALV-LV13: both settled No, the spread on a 10-point margin; one-minute prices from lock to settlement. Read Wed, Sep 23, 9:05 AM PT and kept as tests/fixtures/picks-grade-2026-09-23-lalv.json. kalshi.com
  4. Plan ledger (data/picks.json): lock, fill and grade times. The raise of Tuna’s target from 10¢ to 14¢ is stated in the 2:07 PM PT update on the matchup page.
  5. Arithmetic on this page: 1,341 × 7¢ = $93.87 and 1,341 × 14¢ = $187.74; 150 × 65¢ = $97.50 and 150 × 80¢ = $120.00.

* Before trading fees. Plans are graded on Kalshi’s public trade history on a $100 stake. A graded plan is a record of what the plan called for, not an account statement, and one night says nothing about the next. PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, ESPN or the WNBA. Exclusive Tuna and Ice-Maiden are PM Countdown pen names.

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