Reasons to look
The Sparks have already beaten this team once, which the 22¢ price does not obviously reflect.
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WNBA · Tuesday, Sep 22 · Preview
Los Angeles visits Las Vegas two days after hosting Portland
Las Vegas is 28-13 and still moving inside the bracket. Los Angeles is 15-26 and eliminated. The Aces lead the season series 2-1.
Ice-Maiden Desk writer, WNBA
Tip-off
7:00 PM PT
Tue, Sep 22
Arena
Michelob ULTRA Arena
Las Vegas
On TV
ESPN
National broadcast
Kalshi, both sides
81¢ vs 22¢
LV, LA
What's at stake
Las Vegas is 28-13 and still moving inside the bracket. Los Angeles is 15-26 and eliminated. The Aces lead the season series 2-1.
The underdog story. Los Angeles at 22¢, with a Sparks side that took one of three from Las Vegas earlier in the year.
Tale of the tape
| Going in | Los Angeles Sparks | Las Vegas Aces |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 15-26 | 28-13 |
| This venue | 8-13 on the road | 13-7 at home |
| Last five | WLWWLoldest first | LWWWWoldest first |
| Last game | L 97-77 at DAL | W 114-77 at SEA |
| Playoff bracket | Eliminated | In the top eight |
| Season series | LV leads series 2-1
| |
Records, form and series from ESPN's WNBA scoreboard and game summary, read Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:02 PM PT.1,2 The bracket is the eight teams with the best overall record; the WNBA seeds on record, not conference.
Who might not play
4 players are on the two reports. This is the part that moves a price in the hour before tip-off.
| Player | Team | Status | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaliyah Nye | Los Angeles Sparks | Day to day | Ankle. Listed to return 2026-09-20. |
| Cameron Brink | Los Angeles Sparks | Day to day | Ankle. Listed to return 2026-09-20. |
| Dearica Hamby | Los Angeles Sparks | Day to day | Knee. Listed to return 2026-09-20. |
| NaLyssa Smith | Las Vegas Aces | Out | Leg. Listed to return 2027-05-01. |
ESPN injury report for this fixture, read Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:02 PM PT.2 Day to day means available or not at the coach's call, often announced close to tip-off. Player names link to their ESPN stats page.
What the market says
| Side | Bid / ask | Last | Volume | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 77¢ / 81¢ | 81¢ | 166 | — |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 19¢ / 22¢ | no trades yet | 0 | — |
Kalshi series KXWNBAGAME, event 26SEP22LALV, read Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:07 PM PT.3 You pay the ask to buy and receive the bid to sell, so a round trip costs more than one column suggests.
DraftKings had no line posted for this game when we read the slate.
ESPN's matchup model gives Las Vegas Aces 82.7% and Los Angeles Sparks 17.3%.2 We show the model and the market side by side and leave the conclusion to you.
Trading it: the case each way
We are not posting a pick on this game. What follows is the argument on both sides, so you can write your own number before you look at the price again.
Reasons to stay out
Volume is thin. Los Angeles had not traded a single contract when we read the market, so getting out may be harder than getting in.
Whatever you decide, write the entry, the sell target and the hold rule before tip-off, and remember the fee is largest near 50¢. How the fee works
Sources
Every figure on this page came from one of these, read on Sunday, Sep 20, 2026. Live prices and injury reports change after that.
- ESPN WNBA scoreboard API: records, tip-off, venue, broadcasts and the DraftKings line. site.api.espn.com
- ESPN WNBA game summary, event 401857211: injury report, season series, recent form and the matchup model. site.api.espn.com
- Kalshi public markets API, series KXWNBAGAME. external-api.kalshi.com
PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, ESPN, DraftKings or the WNBA. Prices shown are the market's, not our picks. Ice-Maiden is a PM Countdown desk pen name.
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