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WNBA · Tuesday, Sep 22 · Preview

Minnesota and Indiana is the best game of the final week

Minnesota is 32-10 with the league's best record and an 18-3 road mark. Indiana is 27-14 and 14-6 at home. Both are in the bracket, and this is the closest-priced game between two qualified teams all week.

Tip-off

5:00 PM PT

Tue, Sep 22

Arena

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Indianapolis

On TV

ESPN

National broadcast

Kalshi, both sides

51¢ vs 52¢

IND, MIN

What's at stake

Minnesota is 32-10 with the league's best record and an 18-3 road mark. Indiana is 27-14 and 14-6 at home. Both are in the bracket, and this is the closest-priced game between two qualified teams all week.

The underdog story. Indiana, at home, against a Lynx side that has lost three of five.

Tale of the tape

Going inMinnesota LynxIndiana Fever
Record32-1027-14
This venue18-3 on the road14-6 at home
Last five WLLLWoldest first LLWWWoldest first
Last gameW 101-89 at CONW 103-85 at TOR
Playoff bracketIn the top eightIn the top eight
Season seriesMIN leads series 1-0
  • 2026-08-02: 108 / 100

Records, form and series from ESPN's WNBA scoreboard and game summary, read Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:02 PM PT.1,2 The bracket is the eight teams with the best overall record; the WNBA seeds on record, not conference.

Who might not play

2 players are on the two reports. This is the part that moves a price in the hour before tip-off.

PlayerTeamStatusNote
Elena BuenavidaMinnesota LynxOutCoach's Decision. Listed to return 2026-09-22.
Anastasiia Olairi KosuMinnesota LynxOutFoot. Listed to return 2026-09-22.

ESPN injury report for this fixture, read Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:02 PM PT.2 Day to day means available or not at the coach's call, often announced close to tip-off. Player names link to their ESPN stats page.

What the market says

SideBid / askLastVolumeSince open
Indiana Fever46¢ / 51¢51¢543
Minnesota Lynx52¢ / 58¢52¢526

Kalshi series KXWNBAGAME, event 26SEP22MININD, read Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:07 PM PT.3 You pay the ask to buy and receive the bid to sell, so a round trip costs more than one column suggests.

DraftKings had no line posted for this game when we read the slate.

ESPN's matchup model gives Indiana Fever 53.5% and Minnesota Lynx 46.5%.2 We show the model and the market side by side and leave the conclusion to you.

Trading it: the case each way

We are not posting a pick on this game. What follows is the argument on both sides, so you can write your own number before you look at the price again.

Reasons to look

Two genuinely good teams, a coin-flip price at 52¢ to 51¢, and a national ESPN broadcast.

Reasons to stay out

The bid-ask is wide on both sides, 52 to 58 on Minnesota and 46 to 51 on Indiana. You pay that spread going in and coming out.

Whatever you decide, write the entry, the sell target and the hold rule before tip-off, and remember the fee is largest near 50¢. How the fee works

Sources

Every figure on this page came from one of these, read on Sunday, Sep 20, 2026. Live prices and injury reports change after that.

  1. ESPN WNBA scoreboard API: records, tip-off, venue, broadcasts and the DraftKings line. site.api.espn.com
  2. ESPN WNBA game summary, event 401857209: injury report, season series, recent form and the matchup model. site.api.espn.com
  3. Kalshi public markets API, series KXWNBAGAME. external-api.kalshi.com

PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, ESPN, DraftKings or the WNBA. Prices shown are the market's, not our picks. Ice-Maiden is a PM Countdown desk pen name.

21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Not financial or betting advice. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER, or call, text or chat 1-800-MY-RESET.

Tip-off5:00 PM PT
IND51¢
MIN52¢
Trade on KalshiTrade