Reasons to look
The Aces are the clearest favourite on the slate and the market agrees at 93¢, so there is no disagreement to trade against.
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WNBA · Sunday, Sep 20 · Preview
What is Las Vegas still playing for against Seattle?
Las Vegas is 28-13 and third by record, a game and a half behind Golden State and three and a half behind Minnesota. Seattle is 8-34 and has the worst road record in the league at 2-19.
Ice-Maiden Desk writer, WNBA
Tip-off
6:00 PM PT
Sun, Sep 20
Arena
Michelob ULTRA Arena
Las Vegas
On TV
USA Net, CNBC
Vegas 34, CW Seattle
Kalshi, both sides
93¢ vs 8¢
LV, SEA
What's at stake
Las Vegas is 28-13 and third by record, a game and a half behind Golden State and three and a half behind Minnesota. Seattle is 8-34 and has the worst road record in the league at 2-19.
The underdog story. Seattle. They lost 114-77 to these same Aces on Thursday, and no team on the board is priced longer.
Tale of the tape
| Going in | Seattle Storm | Las Vegas Aces |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-34 | 28-13 |
| This venue | 2-19 on the road | 13-7 at home |
| Last five | LWLLLoldest first | LWWWWoldest first |
| Last game | L 70-57 at GS | W 114-77 at SEA |
| Playoff bracket | Eliminated | In the top eight |
| Season series | LV leads series 2-0
| |
Records, form and series from ESPN's WNBA scoreboard and game summary, read Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:02 PM PT.1,2 The bracket is the eight teams with the best overall record; the WNBA seeds on record, not conference.
Who might not play
5 players are on the two reports. This is the part that moves a price in the hour before tip-off.
| Player | Team | Status | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jade Melbourne | Seattle Storm | Day to day | Illness. Listed to return 2026-09-20. |
| Zia Cooke | Seattle Storm | Out | Knee. Listed to return 2026-09-23. |
| Katie Lou Samuelson | Seattle Storm | Out | Knee. Listed to return 2027-05-01. |
| Ezi Magbegor | Seattle Storm | Out | Lower Leg. Listed to return 2027-07-01. |
| NaLyssa Smith | Las Vegas Aces | Out | Leg. Listed to return 2027-05-01. |
ESPN injury report for this fixture, read Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:02 PM PT.2 Day to day means available or not at the coach's call, often announced close to tip-off. Player names link to their ESPN stats page.
What the market says
| Side | Bid / ask | Last | Volume | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 92¢ / 93¢ | 93¢ | 52,413 | 87¢ at open, up 6 |
| Seattle Storm | 7¢ / 8¢ | 8¢ | 32,354 | 13¢ at open, down 5 |
Kalshi series KXWNBAGAME, event 26SEP20SEALV, read Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:07 PM PT.3 You pay the ask to buy and receive the bid to sell, so a round trip costs more than one column suggests.
DraftKings had it at LV -16.5 when we read the slate.1
ESPN's matchup model gives Las Vegas Aces 87.3% and Seattle Storm 12.7%.2 We show the model and the market side by side and leave the conclusion to you.
Trading it: the case each way
We are not posting a pick on this game. What follows is the argument on both sides, so you can write your own number before you look at the price again.
Reasons to stay out
A 93¢ contract can only make 7¢ and the fee still applies. Seven cents of upside against ninety-three of risk is the shape that quietly empties an account.
Whatever you decide, write the entry, the sell target and the hold rule before tip-off, and remember the fee is largest near 50¢. How the fee works
Sources
Every figure on this page came from one of these, read on Sunday, Sep 20, 2026. Live prices and injury reports change after that.
- ESPN WNBA scoreboard API: records, tip-off, venue, broadcasts and the DraftKings line. site.api.espn.com
- ESPN WNBA game summary, event 401857205: injury report, season series, recent form and the matchup model. site.api.espn.com
- Kalshi public markets API, series KXWNBAGAME. external-api.kalshi.com
PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, ESPN, DraftKings or the WNBA. Prices shown are the market's, not our picks. Ice-Maiden is a PM Countdown desk pen name.
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