Reasons to look
An expansion side that owns the head-to-head against a team priced at 74¢ is the kind of mismatch between record and result that is worth a look.
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WNBA · Tuesday, Sep 22 · Preview
Two eliminated teams close out a season neither will remember fondly
Chicago is 15-27 and Toronto 11-30 in its first season. Neither can reach the bracket. Toronto has won the season series 2-0.
Ice-Maiden Desk writer, WNBA
Tip-off
5:00 PM PT
Tue, Sep 22
Arena
Wintrust Arena
Chicago
On TV
WNBA League Pass, TSN
WNBA League Pass, TSN
Kalshi, both sides
74¢ vs 32¢
CHI, TOR
What's at stake
Chicago is 15-27 and Toronto 11-30 in its first season. Neither can reach the bracket. Toronto has won the season series 2-0.
The underdog story. Toronto, at 29¢, despite having beaten Chicago twice already this year.
Tale of the tape
| Going in | Toronto Tempo | Chicago Sky |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 11-30 | 15-27 |
| This venue | 4-16 on the road | 10-11 at home |
| Last five | LLLLLoldest first | LLLLLoldest first |
| Last game | L 103-85 vs IND | L 106-81 at ATL |
| Playoff bracket | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| Season series | TOR leads series 2-0
| |
Records, form and series from ESPN's WNBA scoreboard and game summary, read Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:02 PM PT.1,2 The bracket is the eight teams with the best overall record; the WNBA seeds on record, not conference.
Who might not play
10 players are on the two reports. This is the part that moves a price in the hour before tip-off.
| Player | Team | Status | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Gakdeng | Toronto Tempo | Out | Coach's Decision. Listed to return 2026-09-22. |
| Kamila Borkowska | Toronto Tempo | Out | Coach's Decision. Listed to return 2026-09-22. |
| Marina Mabrey | Toronto Tempo | Out | Hip. Listed to return 2027-05-01. |
| Aneesah Morrow | Toronto Tempo | Out | Knee. Listed to return 2027-05-01. |
| Brittney Sykes | Toronto Tempo | Out | Foot. Listed to return 2027-05-01. |
| Natasha Cloud | Chicago Sky | Out | Knee. Listed to return 2026-09-22. |
| Azura Stevens | Chicago Sky | Out | Knee. Listed to return 2026-09-22. |
| DiJonai Carrington | Chicago Sky | Out | Foot. Listed to return 2026-09-22. |
| Skylar Diggins | Chicago Sky | Out | Knee. Listed to return 2027-05-01. |
| Rickea Jackson | Chicago Sky | Out | Knee. Listed to return 2027-05-01. |
ESPN injury report for this fixture, read Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:02 PM PT.2 Day to day means available or not at the coach's call, often announced close to tip-off. Player names link to their ESPN stats page.
What the market says
| Side | Bid / ask | Last | Volume | Since open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | 70¢ / 74¢ | 74¢ | 68 | — |
| Toronto Tempo | 27¢ / 29¢ | 32¢ | 176 | — |
Kalshi series KXWNBAGAME, event 26SEP22TORCHI, read Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:07 PM PT.3 You pay the ask to buy and receive the bid to sell, so a round trip costs more than one column suggests.
DraftKings had no line posted for this game when we read the slate.
ESPN's matchup model gives Chicago Sky 69.6% and Toronto Tempo 30.4%.2 We show the model and the market side by side and leave the conclusion to you.
Trading it: the case each way
We are not posting a pick on this game. What follows is the argument on both sides, so you can write your own number before you look at the price again.
Reasons to stay out
Ten players are on the injury report across the two rosters, including five Chicago names. Lineups this depleted are close to unpriceable.
Whatever you decide, write the entry, the sell target and the hold rule before tip-off, and remember the fee is largest near 50¢. How the fee works
Sources
Every figure on this page came from one of these, read on Sunday, Sep 20, 2026. Live prices and injury reports change after that.
- ESPN WNBA scoreboard API: records, tip-off, venue, broadcasts and the DraftKings line. site.api.espn.com
- ESPN WNBA game summary, event 401857210: injury report, season series, recent form and the matchup model. site.api.espn.com
- Kalshi public markets API, series KXWNBAGAME. external-api.kalshi.com
PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, ESPN, DraftKings or the WNBA. Prices shown are the market's, not our picks. Ice-Maiden is a PM Countdown desk pen name.
21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Not financial or betting advice. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER, or call, text or chat 1-800-MY-RESET.