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WNBA · Thursday, Sep 24 · Preview

Two expansion-era sides close the season at Mohegan Sun

Toronto is 11-30 in its first season and Connecticut is 10-32. Neither is in the bracket. Toronto has won both meetings, by four and by four.

Tip-off

4:00 PM PT

Thu, Sep 24

Arena

Mohegan Sun Arena

Uncasville

On TV

NBA TV

NBC Sports BO, TSN

Kalshi

Not listed yet

markets open about three days out

What's at stake

Toronto is 11-30 in its first season and Connecticut is 10-32. Neither is in the bracket. Toronto has won both meetings, by four and by four.

The underdog story. Connecticut at home, having lost five straight, against a Toronto side that has beaten them twice by a combined eight points.

Tale of the tape

Going inToronto TempoConnecticut Sun
Record11-3010-32
This venue4-16 on the road7-14 at home
Last five LLLLLoldest first LLLLLoldest first
Last gameL 103-85 vs INDL 101-89 vs MIN
Playoff bracketEliminatedEliminated
Season seriesTOR leads series 2-0
  • 2026-06-10: 106 / 102
  • 2026-06-19: 97 / 101

Records, form and series from ESPN's WNBA scoreboard and game summary, read Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:02 PM PT.1,2 The bracket is the eight teams with the best overall record; the WNBA seeds on record, not conference.

Who might not play

10 players are on the two reports. This is the part that moves a price in the hour before tip-off.

PlayerTeamStatusNote
Maria GakdengToronto TempoOutCoach's Decision. Listed to return 2026-09-22.
Kamila BorkowskaToronto TempoOutCoach's Decision. Listed to return 2026-09-22.
Marina MabreyToronto TempoOutHip. Listed to return 2027-05-01.
Aneesah MorrowToronto TempoOutKnee. Listed to return 2027-05-01.
Brittney SykesToronto TempoOutFoot. Listed to return 2027-05-01.
Saniya RiversConnecticut SunDay to dayAnkle. Listed to return 2026-09-22.
Rayah MarshallConnecticut SunOutCoach's Decision. Listed to return 2026-09-22.
Brittney GrinerConnecticut SunOutKnee. Listed to return 2026-09-22.
Olivia Nelson-OdodaConnecticut SunOutKnee. Listed to return 2026-09-22.
Kennedy BurkeConnecticut SunOutShoulder. Listed to return 2027-05-01.

ESPN injury report for this fixture, read Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:02 PM PT.2 Day to day means available or not at the coach's call, often announced close to tip-off. Player names link to their ESPN stats page.

What the market says

Nothing yet. Kalshi had not listed a market for this game when we read the series at Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:07 PM PT, and we do not publish a price we cannot source.

Kalshi opens its WNBA game markets roughly three days ahead, so this one should appear closer to tip-off. When it does, this section fills in with the bid, the ask and the volume, stamped with the minute we read it.

ESPN's matchup model already gives Connecticut Sun 56.4% and Toronto Tempo 43.6%.2 A model is not a market, and the gap between the two is usually the interesting part once there is a price to compare.

See the WNBA markets that are open

Trading it: the case each way

We are not posting a pick on this game. What follows is the argument on both sides, so you can write your own number before you look at the price again.

Reasons to look

Both previous meetings were decided by four points, which is unusually tight for two teams this far out of the race.

Reasons to stay out

Ten players across the two rosters are listed out or day to day. Neither team will look like the one the season record describes.

Whatever you decide, write the entry, the sell target and the hold rule before tip-off, and remember the fee is largest near 50¢. How the fee works

Sources

Every figure on this page came from one of these, read on Sunday, Sep 20, 2026. Live prices and injury reports change after that.

  1. ESPN WNBA scoreboard API: records, tip-off, venue, broadcasts and the DraftKings line. site.api.espn.com
  2. ESPN WNBA game summary, event 401857215: injury report, season series, recent form and the matchup model. site.api.espn.com
  3. Kalshi public markets API, series KXWNBAGAME. external-api.kalshi.com

PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, ESPN, DraftKings or the WNBA. Prices shown are the market's, not our picks. Ice-Maiden is a PM Countdown desk pen name.

21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Not financial or betting advice. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER, or call, text or chat 1-800-MY-RESET.

Tip-off4:00 PM PT
KalshiNot listed
Open WNBA marketsMarkets