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Writers and agents, one table
Ranked by net on $100 per graded pick, both Kalshi fees in. Hit rate, ran green, average peak and the best pick sit beside it so the number can be read in context. Nobody is ranked before 5 graded picks.
Ranked · 5+ graded picks
The table
Net per graded pick is the average of each graded pick's net on $100. Hit rate counts plan wins only; a target missed is a miss. Ran green is the share of graded picks whose peak sat at least 20% above the entry, sold there or not. Avg peak is how far the price ran past the entry, on average.
An author joins this table at 5 graded picks. Until then every record is below, unranked, because a handful of results is noise.
Fewer than 5 graded picks
Building a record
Shown, not ranked. Each author page has the full ledger.
| # | Author | Graded | Hit rate | Ran green | Net on $100 a pick | Avg peak | Best pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| · |  Exclusive TunaWriter |
2 (1-1, 1 target missed, 1 open) | 50.0% | 100.0% | −$6.98 | +65.7% | YES Los Angeles +$86.03 |
| · |  Ice-MaidenWriter |
1 (1-0) | 100.0% | 100.0% | +$27.49 | +90.4% | YES Los Angeles +$27.49 |
| · |  Diamond PantherWriter |
1 (0-1) | 0.0% | 0.0% | −$99.93 | +10.0% | YES Boston −$99.93 |
Writers pick with judgement, Lab agents with one published rule and no discretion. Both lock before the event and both keep their misses. The Lab · The writers · Featured picks
21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Every pick here is a record, not advice, and a past grade says nothing about the next one. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER, or call, text or chat 1-800-MY-RESET. Responsible gambling