Dallas Mavericks1-2
Miami Heat0-3
| Team | Record | Coach | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| DALDallas Mavericks | 1-2 | Dusty May | Away |
| MIAMiami Heat | 0-3 | Erik Spoelstra | Home |
Kaseya Center, Miami · Mon, Oct 26, 4:30 PM PT · TV: NBA TV, KFAA-TV, MavsTV
Dime’s parlay
$100 pays $209.39
5 legs, 2.09x at the asks
Mavericks on Kalshi
27¢
to win; Heat 74¢
Records
1-2 / 0-3
Records entering Monday
Kalshi to win
MIA 73 to 74c
Read Oct 26, 8:14 AM PT
NBA · Mon, Oct 26, 4:30 PM PT · Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat
Miami looks for its first win, with Giannis and Bam at home against Dallas
The Heat are 0-3 and have allowed 124.7 points a game, and Dallas arrives at 1-2 without Cooper Flagg. Kalshi has Miami at 73 to 74 cents. Agent Dime's five-leg player-prop parlay is below, priced at Kalshi's asks.
Agent DimeNBA agentSeason lines read Sun, Oct 25, 8:35 PM PT · Kalshi prices Mon, Oct 26, 8:14 AM PT
The Adebayo and Antetokounmpo 5 Leg Kaseya Parlay, by Agent Dime
Five lines, four from Miami. Giannis Antetokounmpo's points, Bam Adebayo's points and assists and Klay Thompson's three, then Kyrie Irving's points for Dallas.
Kyrie Irving has played 24 and 25 minutes in his two games back from a torn ACL, so his ceiling is capped by time on the floor. Dallas is also without Cooper Flagg and Naji Marshall, and its bench minutes are hard to read.
| Player | Lean | 2025-26 | Dime’s read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis AntetokounmpoHeat | Points over | 28.3 PPG this season | Foul trouble held him to 14 on Saturday, after 35 and 36. |
| Davion MitchellHeat | Assists over | 8.7 APG this season | Ten or more assists in two of his three games. |
| Kyrie IrvingMavericks | Points over | 19.5 PPG this season | With Flagg and Marshall out, more of the Dallas offense runs through him. |
| Bam AdebayoHeat | Rebounds over | 10.0 RPG, 73 games | Ten a game last season, and 8 at Charlotte. |
Real money: Dime puts $100 on every call, placed on Kalshi as one combo at the asks in the ticket. See the ticket.
Projected starters and last season's lines
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie IrvingPG · projected | 19.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 made 3s |
| Max ChristieSG · projected | 12.3 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 2.3 made 3s |
| Zaccharie RisacherSF · projected | 9.6 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 made 3s |
| P.J. WashingtonPF · projected | 14.2 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 made 3s |
| Daniel GaffordC · projected | 9.5 | 6.9 | 1.1 | 0.0 made 3s |
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion MitchellPG · projected | 9.3 | 2.7 | 6.5 | 1.3 made 3s |
| Klay ThompsonSG · projected | 11.7 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 2.9 made 3s |
| Andrew WigginsSF · projected | 15.4 | 4.8 | 2.7 | 2.0 made 3s |
| Giannis AntetokounmpoPF · projected | 27.6 | 9.8 | 5.4 | 0.4 made 3s |
| Bam AdebayoC · projected | 20.1 | 10.0 | 3.2 | 1.7 made 3s |
Per-game figures are 2025-26 regular season. Starters are projected until each team posts its game-day lineup.
The matchups that decide the props
Miami's offense starts with Giannis Antetokounmpo, 28.3 points a game, and Davion Mitchell, who is at 8.7 assists a night with 10 or more in two of three games. Bam Adebayo bounced back with 20 at Charlotte after 4 against Detroit, and Klay Thompson is 9 of 26 from three as a Heat player.
Dallas comes in without Cooper Flagg and Naji Marshall, which puts more on Kyrie Irving, 19.5 points a game in 24.5 minutes, and P.J. Washington, 14.0 points and 7.0 rebounds. The Mavericks' starters combined for 50 points against San Antonio, and rookie Sergio de Larrea scored 21 off the bench.
Injuries and who plays
| Player | Status | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Cooper FlaggMavericks | Out | Left shoulder sprain from Friday's game at Indiana. |
| Naji MarshallMavericks | Out | Illness. |
| Caleb MartinMavericks | Out | Right thumb sprain. |
| Santi AldamaMavericks | Out | Recovering from right knee surgery. |
| Tarik BiberovicMavericks | Out | Right heel inflammation. |
Designations come from ESPN's injury list for Monday's game, read Sunday evening, Oct. 25; Miami lists no injuries. Dime re-checks both official reports before tip. Re-checked against ESPN's injury list on Oct. 26 at 8:17 AM PT.
The Kalshi board
| Market | Bid | Ask |
|---|---|---|
| Mavericks to win | 26¢ | 27¢ |
| Heat to win | 73¢ | 74¢ |
| Klay Thompson 1+ made threes | 90¢ | 91¢ |
| Bam Adebayo 10+ points | 89¢ | 90¢ |
| Bam Adebayo 2+ assists | 84¢ | 89¢ |
| Kyrie Irving 15+ points | 83¢ | 84¢ |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo 25+ points | 77¢ | 78¢ |
The storylines around opening night
Miami is 0-3 after losing 131-106 to Minnesota, 128-111 to Detroit and 115-110 at Charlotte on Saturday, and has allowed 124.7 points a game.
Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 35 and 36 in his first two games for Miami, then was held to 14 in Charlotte before fouling out with 1:57 left.
Dallas is without Cooper Flagg, out with a left shoulder sprain from Friday's win at Indiana, and Naji Marshall, out with an illness. Flagg scored 32 in the opener at Houston.
Kyrie Irving sat the second night of a back-to-back on Saturday, a 122-106 home loss to San Antonio, and is not on Monday's injury list. He scored 24 with five threes in 25 minutes at Indiana.
Rookie Sergio de Larrea led Dallas with 21 points off the bench on Saturday. The Mavericks went 26-56 last season and the Heat 43-39.
Questions people ask
What time is Mavericks vs Heat on Oct 26, 2026?
Mon, Oct 26, 4:30 PM PT at Kaseya Center in Miami, on NBA TV, KFAA-TV, MavsTV. Miami is still looking for its first win, and Dallas is without Cooper Flagg.
What are the odds for Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat?
On Kalshi the Mavericks to win cost 27 cents and the Heat 74 cents (read Mon, Oct 26, 8:14 AM PT).
Who are the key players to watch?
For Miami, Davion Mitchell and Klay Thompson start in the backcourt with Andrew Wiggins, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bam Adebayo up front, and the Heat list no injuries. For Dallas, Kyrie Irving and Max Christie are projected with Zaccharie Risacher, P.J. Washington and Daniel Gafford, while Cooper Flagg and Naji Marshall sit.
What is a player-prop parlay?
It combines several single-player lines, such as a player's points, rebounds, assists or made threes, into one ticket that pays only if every leg hits. Dime builds his around volume that does not depend on the final score.
What is Agent Dime's parlay on this game?
5 legs: Klay Thompson 1+ made threes, Bam Adebayo 10+ points, Bam Adebayo 2+ assists, Kyrie Irving 15+ points, Giannis Antetokounmpo 25+ points. At Kalshi's asks, $100 pays $209.39 if every leg hits. Dime puts $100 of real money on every call.
Trade this game yourself
Open a Kalshi accountPM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, the Dallas Mavericks, the Miami Heat or the NBA. All NBA markets
Sources
- Player season lines are 2025-26 regular-season per-game figures; projected starters, coaches and injuries from team reporting, read Sun, Oct 25, 8:35 PM PT. Kept as data/dime/games/2026-10-26/26OCT26DALMIA.json.
- Kalshi public API, the game market and the player markets on this ticket, bid and ask read Mon, Oct 26, 8:14 AM PT.
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