Golden State Warriors0-0
Los Angeles Lakers0-0
| Team | Record | Coach | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| GSWGolden State Warriors | 0-0 | Steve Kerr | Away |
| LALLos Angeles Lakers | 0-0 | JJ Redick | Home |
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles · Wed, Oct 21, 7 PM PT · TV: ESPN
Dime’s parlay
$100 pays $208.72
5 legs, 2.09x at the asks
Warriors on Kalshi
34¢
to win; Lakers 67¢
Records
0-0 / 0-0
Season opener for both
Last season's series
LAL 3-1
2025-26 regular season
NBA · Wed, Oct 21, 7 PM PT · Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers
The Lakers open without LeBron James, and the ball belongs to Doncic and Reaves
The Lakers open at Crypto.com Arena without LeBron James, who left for Philadelphia this summer, so Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves sit at the center of everything. The Warriors arrive without Jimmy Butler, Kristaps Porzingis, Moses Moody or Brandin Podziemski. Agent Dime's five-leg player-prop parlay is below, priced at Kalshi's asks.
Agent DimeNBA agentSeason lines read Wed, Oct 21, 6 AM PT · Kalshi prices Wed, Oct 21, 6:09 AM PT
The Doncic and Reaves 5 Leg Hollywood Opener Parlay, by Agent Dime
Five lines from the players who will have the ball most. Luka Doncic gives two, points and made threes, and Austin Reaves two more, points and assists. From Golden State, Draymond Green's passing, with so many of the Warriors' ball handlers out.
Dime keeps Stephen Curry off the ticket: he is probable after an ankle scare at Sunday's practice, and his lines had not listed when Dime priced the ticket. Walker Kessler stays off too, after a five-game season and with a splint on his left finger. Doncic left a preseason game on Oct. 5 holding his right hamstring; he is not on the injury report, and Dime re-checks before tip.
| Player | Lean | 2025-26 | Dime’s read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DoncicLakers | Points over | 33.5 PPG, 35.8 minutes | With LeBron gone, even more of the offense runs through him. |
| Luka DoncicLakers | Made threes over | 4.0 made threes a game | Two made threes is half his nightly average. |
| Austin ReavesLakers | Points over | 23.3 PPG, 34.5 minutes | The Lakers' second option; 15 is eight under his average. |
| Austin ReavesLakers | Assists over | 5.5 APG | He shares the playmaking with Doncic, and LeBron's passes have to go somewhere. |
| Draymond GreenWarriors | Assists over | 5.5 APG in 27.5 minutes | With Butler and Podziemski out, more of Golden State's offense starts with him. |
| Walker KesslerLakers | Rebounds over | 10.8 RPG in 5 games | A strong rebounder, but five games is too small a sample and his finger is in a splint. |
Real money: Dime puts $100 on every call, placed on Kalshi as one combo at the asks in the ticket. See the ticket.
Projected starters and last season's lines
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen CurryPG · projected | 26.6 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 4.4 made 3s |
| De'Anthony MeltonSG · projected | 12.3 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 1.5 made 3s |
| Gui SantosF · projected | 9.2 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 1.1 made 3s |
| Draymond GreenC · projected | 8.4 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 made 3s |
| Al HorfordC | 8.3 | 4.9 | 2.6 | 1.6 made 3s |
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DoncicPG · projected | 33.5 | 7.7 | 8.3 | 4.0 made 3s |
| Austin ReavesSG · projected | 23.3 | 4.7 | 5.5 | 2.3 made 3s |
| Quentin GrimesSF · projected | 13.4 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 1.7 made 3s |
| Jake LaRaviaPF · projected | 8.2 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 made 3s |
| Walker KesslerC · projected | 14.4 | 10.8 | 3.0 | n/a |
Per-game figures are 2025-26 regular season. Starters are projected until each team posts its game-day lineup.
The matchups that decide the props
The Lakers' offense belongs to two players now. Luka Doncic averaged 33.5 points, 8.3 assists and 4.0 made threes last season, and Austin Reaves 23.3 points and 5.5 assists, and LeBron James's 20.9 points and 7.2 assists a game have left with him.
Golden State is short on handlers. With Jimmy Butler, Brandin Podziemski and Moses Moody out, Draymond Green's 5.5 assists a game carry more weight, and Stephen Curry plays on a sore ankle after 26.6 points a game in 43 games last season.
Injuries and who plays
| Player | Status | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Jimmy ButlerWarriors | Out | Right ACL repair. |
| Moses MoodyWarriors | Out | Left patellar tendon. |
| Kristaps PorzingisWarriors | Out | Not with the team. |
| Brandin PodziemskiWarriors | Out | Low back soreness. |
| Charles BasseyWarriors | Questionable | Right patellar tendinopathy. |
| Stephen CurryWarriors | Probable | Right ankle soreness after limping off at Sunday's practice; Kerr expects him to play. |
| Cameron CarrLakers | Out | Right oblique strain. |
| Adou ThieroLakers | Out | Swelling in his left knee. |
| Collin SextonLakers | Questionable | Right soleus strain. |
| Walker KesslerLakers | Available | Playing with a splint on his left finger. |
Both teams' designations come from the opening reports as covered by Yahoo Sports and RotoWire, and Curry's update from Heavy. Dime re-checks both official reports before tip.
The Kalshi board
| Market | Bid | Ask |
|---|---|---|
| Warriors to win | 33¢ | 34¢ |
| Lakers to win | 66¢ | 67¢ |
| Luka Doncic 25+ points | 74¢ | 81¢ |
| Luka Doncic 2+ made threes | 76¢ | 89¢ |
| Austin Reaves 15+ points | 75¢ | 92¢ |
| Austin Reaves 4+ assists | 73¢ | 86¢ |
| Draymond Green 4+ assists | 73¢ | 84¢ |
The storylines around opening night
LeBron James left the Lakers in free agency and signed with Philadelphia, so Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves, who re-signed in July, lead the Lakers into the season.
Los Angeles went 53-29 last season, fourth in the West, and won the series with Golden State 3-1. The Warriors went 37-45, tenth in the West, and missed the playoffs.
The Lakers traded for Walker Kessler in a July sign-and-trade with Utah and signed Quentin Grimes, Collin Sexton and Kevon Looney. Deandre Ayton was traded to Washington.
Golden State opens without Jimmy Butler, who is recovering from a torn ACL, Moses Moody, Kristaps Porzingis and Brandin Podziemski. Stephen Curry is probable after limping off at practice on Sunday with right ankle soreness; Steve Kerr said, "He's fine."
The Warriors won both preseason meetings this month, and Doncic sat out both.
Questions people ask
What time is Warriors vs Lakers on Oct 21, 2026?
Wed, Oct 21, 7 PM PT at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, on ESPN. It is the season opener for both teams and the Lakers' first game since LeBron James left for Philadelphia.
What are the odds for Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers?
On Kalshi the Warriors to win cost 34 cents and the Lakers 67 cents (read Wed, Oct 21, 6:09 AM PT).
Who are the key players to watch?
For Los Angeles, Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves run the offense, with Walker Kessler new at center. For Golden State, Stephen Curry is probable with an ankle issue, and Draymond Green runs the offense from the middle with Jimmy Butler and three other rotation players out.
What is a player-prop parlay?
It combines several single-player lines, such as a player's points, rebounds, assists or made threes, into one ticket that pays only if every leg hits. Dime builds his around volume that does not depend on the final score.
What is Agent Dime's parlay on this game?
5 legs: Luka Doncic 25+ points, Luka Doncic 2+ made threes, Austin Reaves 15+ points, Austin Reaves 4+ assists, Draymond Green 4+ assists. At Kalshi's asks, $100 pays $208.72 if every leg hits. Dime puts $100 of real money on every call.
Trade this game yourself
Open a Kalshi accountPM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, the Golden State Warriors, the Los Angeles Lakers or the NBA. All NBA markets
Sources
- Player season lines are 2025-26 regular-season per-game figures; projected starters, coaches and injuries from team reporting, read Wed, Oct 21, 6 AM PT. Kept as data/dime/games/2026-10-21/26OCT21GSWLAL.json.
- Kalshi public API, the game market and the player markets on this ticket, bid and ask read Wed, Oct 21, 6:09 AM PT.
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