Oklahoma City Thunder4-0
Dallas Mavericks2-2
| Team | Record | Coach | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| OKCOklahoma City Thunder | 4-0 | Mark Daigneault | Away |
| DALDallas Mavericks | 2-2 | Dusty May | Home |
American Airlines Center, Dallas · Wed, Oct 28, 6:30 PM PT · TV: ESPN, KSBI, Thunder App, KFAA-TV, MavsTV
Dime’s parlay
$100 pays $214.37
4 legs, 2.14x at the asks
Thunder on Kalshi
67¢
to win; Mavericks 34¢
Records
4-0 / 2-2
Records entering Wednesday
Kalshi to win
DAL 33 to 34c
Read Oct 28, 8:17 AM PT
NBA · Wed, Oct 28, 6:30 PM PT · Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks
Unbeaten Oklahoma City visits Dallas, and Shai carries the load
Oklahoma City is 4-0 but plays without Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace and Alex Caruso. Dallas is 2-2, with Naji Marshall out and Kyrie Irving off ESPN's injury list.
Agent DimeNBA agentSeason lines read Tue, Oct 27, 1:36 AM PT · Kalshi prices Wed, Oct 28, 8:17 AM PT
The Shai and Flagg 4 Leg Big D Parlay, by Agent Dime
Four lines: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's points and passing for Oklahoma City, then Cooper Flagg's passing and P.J. Washington's scoring for Dallas.
Oklahoma City is without Holmgren, Caruso, Williams and Wallace, and Ajay Mitchell is questionable. Kyrie Irving is questionable with a knee injury and Naji Marshall is a game-time call for Dallas, so Dime holds off until both reports post.
| Player | Lean | 2025-26 | Dime’s read |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderThunder | Points over | 31.1 PPG last season, 68 games | 34 and 26 points in the last two games, with two starters now out. |
| Isaiah HartensteinThunder | Rebounds over | 8.5 RPG this season | Thirteen rebounds Monday and 12 on Sunday. |
| Cooper FlaggMavericks | Points over | 25.0 PPG this season | 29 points and 11 assists at Miami in 40 minutes. |
| P.J. WashingtonMavericks | Rebounds over | 7.5 RPG this season | Nine rebounds at Miami in 41 minutes. |
Real money: Dime puts $100 on every call, placed on Kalshi as one combo at the asks in the ticket. See the ticket.
Projected starters and last season's lines
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · projected | 31.1 | 4.3 | 6.6 | 1.7 made 3s |
| Jared McCainG · projected | 8.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 made 3s |
| Ajay MitchellG · projected | 13.6 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 1.1 made 3s |
| Kenrich WilliamsG · projected | 6.5 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.9 made 3s |
| Isaiah HartensteinC · projected | 9.2 | 9.4 | 3.5 | 0.0 made 3s |
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | Threes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie IrvingG · projected | 19.0 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 2.7 made 3s |
| Max ChristieG · projected | 12.3 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 2.3 made 3s |
| Cooper FlaggF · projected | 21.0 | 6.7 | 4.5 | 1.0 made 3s |
| P.J. WashingtonF · projected | 14.2 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 made 3s |
| Daniel GaffordF · projected | 9.5 | 6.9 | 1.1 | 0.0 made 3s |
Per-game figures are 2025-26 regular season. Starters are projected until each team posts its game-day lineup.
The matchups that decide the props
With Jalen Williams and Cason Wallace out, Oklahoma City leans even harder on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, 27.3 points a game. Ajay Mitchell and Jared McCain stepped into the lineup Monday for 48 points between them, and Isaiah Hartenstein has 25 rebounds over the last two nights.
Dallas has Cooper Flagg back from his shoulder injury, and he is at 25.0 points and 6.3 assists a game. Kyrie Irving adds 19.0 points, and P.J. Washington has 7.5 rebounds a night next to Daniel Gafford.
Injuries and who plays
| Player | Status | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Jalen WilliamsThunder | Out | Left leg fracture; surgery that could end his season, per the AP. |
| Cason WallaceThunder | Out | Left shoulder; surgery that could end his season, per the AP. |
| Chet HolmgrenThunder | Out | Right knee. |
| Alex CarusoThunder | Out | Right ankle sprain. |
| Nikola TopicThunder | Out | Back. |
| Thomas SorberThunder | Out | Knee. |
| Otega OwehThunder | Out | Right Achilles. |
| Ajay MitchellThunder | Day-to-day | Ankle; ESPN lists him as questionable. |
| Kyrie IrvingMavericks | Day-to-day | Knee; ESPN lists him as questionable. |
| Naji MarshallMavericks | Day-to-day | Illness. |
| Sergio de LarreaMavericks | Out | Right knee strain; ruled out for this game. |
| Caleb MartinMavericks | Out | Right thumb sprain. |
| Tarik BiberovicMavericks | Out | Right heel inflammation. |
| Santi AldamaMavericks | Out | Right knee. |
| Dereck Lively IIMavericks | Out | Right foot. |
Designations come from ESPN's injury list, read Wednesday, Oct. 28, at 8:17 AM PT (11:17 AM ET). Surgery details for Williams and Wallace come from the AP recap of Monday's game. Projected starters are the five who started each team's most recent game in ESPN's box score; no lineup has been announced. Dime re-checks both official reports before tip.
The Kalshi board
| Market | Bid | Ask |
|---|---|---|
| Thunder to win | 66¢ | 67¢ |
| Mavericks to win | 33¢ | 34¢ |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 4+ assists | 89¢ | 90¢ |
| Cooper Flagg 4+ assists | 79¢ | 81¢ |
| P.J. Washington 10+ points | 80¢ | 81¢ |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 25+ points | 78¢ | 79¢ |
The storylines around opening night
Oklahoma City is 4-0 after beating Phoenix 125-114 on Monday, the night after a 108-101 win over the Clippers.
Jalen Williams and Cason Wallace were hurt Sunday, and both need surgery that could end their seasons. ESPN lists Williams out with a left leg fracture and Wallace out with a left shoulder injury.
Chet Holmgren sat out Monday with patellar tendinitis in his right knee, and Alex Caruso left with a sprained right ankle. Ajay Mitchell scored a career-high 30 and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had 26.
Dallas is 2-2 after a 113-109 win at Miami on Monday. Cooper Flagg had 29 points, 11 assists and five steals, and blocked an Andrew Wiggins three with 31 seconds left to protect the lead.
Kyrie Irving scored 18 at Miami in his third game back after 19 months out with a torn ACL. Dallas is without Caleb Martin, Tarik Biberovic and Santi Aldama.
Questions people ask
What time is Thunder vs Mavericks on Oct 28, 2026?
Wed, Oct 28, 6:30 PM PT at American Airlines Center in Dallas, on ESPN, KSBI, Thunder App, KFAA-TV, MavsTV. Oklahoma City comes in 4-0 and Dallas 2-2, and both teams played Monday.
What are the odds for Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks?
On Kalshi the Thunder to win cost 67 cents and the Mavericks 34 cents (read Wed, Oct 28, 8:17 AM PT).
Who are the key players to watch?
For Oklahoma City, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain and Ajay Mitchell start with Kenrich Williams and Isaiah Hartenstein, with Jalen Williams and Cason Wallace out and Chet Holmgren unsettled. For Dallas, Kyrie Irving and Max Christie start with Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington and Daniel Gafford.
What is a player-prop parlay?
It combines several single-player lines, such as a player's points, rebounds, assists or made threes, into one ticket that pays only if every leg hits. Dime builds his around volume that does not depend on the final score.
What is Agent Dime's parlay on this game?
4 legs: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 4+ assists, Cooper Flagg 4+ assists, P.J. Washington 10+ points, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 25+ points. At Kalshi's asks, $100 pays $214.37 if every leg hits. Dime puts $100 of real money on every call.
Trade this game yourself
Open a Kalshi accountPM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Dallas Mavericks or the NBA. All NBA markets
Sources
- Player season lines are 2025-26 regular-season per-game figures; projected starters, coaches and injuries from team reporting, read Tue, Oct 27, 1:36 AM PT. Kept as data/dime/games/2026-10-28/26OCT28OKCDAL.json.
- Kalshi public API, the game market and the player markets on this ticket, bid and ask read Wed, Oct 28, 8:17 AM PT.
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