NFL Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25, 1:05 PM PT
Denver is 4-2 on the strength of a defense that sacked Sam Darnold five times, while Bo Nix has thrown for 123 and 107 yards in the last two wins. Arizona comes home off an 18-16 upset of the Rams, without Jeremiyah Love, who was ruled out Friday, and with Trey McBride catching at least seven passes every week. The posted line is DEN -4.5 with a total of 43.5, and the contract below prices the win outright.
Kickoff
1:05 PM PT
4:05 PM ET, Sun, Oct 25
Stadium
State Farm Stadium
Glendale
On TV
CBS
national window
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Denver Broncos are 4-2. Arizona Cardinals are 2-4. The posted line has Denver Broncos favoured by 4.5, with a total of 43.5. Kickoff is 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, October 25 at State Farm Stadium, Glendale.
The storyline. Denver is 4-2 on the strength of a defense that sacked Sam Darnold five times, while Bo Nix has thrown for 123 and 107 yards in the last two wins. Arizona comes home off an 18-16 upset of the Rams, without Jeremiyah Love, who was ruled out Friday, and with Trey McBride catching at least seven passes every week.
The Denver Broncos (4-2) visit the Arizona Cardinals (2-4) on Sunday, October 25, 2026, at 4:05 PM ET (1:05 PM PT) at State Farm Stadium on CBS. Denver is 4-2 on the strength of its defense, while Bo Nix has thrown for 123 and 107 yards the last two weeks. Arizona snapped a four-game losing streak with an 18-16 win at the Rams on Chad Ryland’s sixth field goal.
Bo Nix has 1,049 passing yards and six touchdowns on 60.3% passing, all on pace for career lows, and threw for 107 yards in the overtime win over Seattle. Sean Payton took some of it on himself: “I have to be better just relative to in the course of the game.” Nix: “I have to play better. We have to play better. The offense has to play better.” AP via ESPN
The Broncos hit Sam Darnold 17 times and sacked him five times, and Ja’Quan McMillian’s interception in overtime set up Wil Lutz’s 53-yard winner, on a night Denver had 168 yards of offense. “Defensively, we were magnificent,” Payton said, adding that 4-2 “could easily be 2-4.” AP via ESPN
Chad Ryland kicked six field goals, the last from 43 yards as time expired, and Arizona beat the Rams 18-16 without a touchdown. It was Mike LaFleur’s first win over his former boss Sean McVay, and the Cardinals’ defense had given up 148 points in its previous four games. Arizona has lost nine straight at home. AP via ESPN · AP via ESPN
Jeremiyah Love (ankle) sat out the win at the Rams, did not practice Wednesday or Friday, and was ruled out on Friday’s report. LaFleur said Love is improving but the Cardinals will hold him until he is back to 100 percent. Bam Knight ran 15 times for 80 yards in his place, and Tyler Allgeier had 18 carries for 38. Denver allows 139.8 rushing yards a game, 2nd most. Rotowire · Cardinals.com · SI
Trey McBride has caught at least seven passes in all six games, 49 in all for 361 yards. Arizona traded Marvin Harrison Jr. to Houston after Week 5, which leaves Michael Wilson, Kendrick Bourne and Jalen Brooks outside. ESPN box scores · AP via ESPN
Allen has 4½ sacks through six games after last year’s All-Pro season. He played his first four years in Arizona and faces a reworked line with rookie Jayden Williams at left tackle, after Paris Johnson Jr. was lost for the season with a torn left biceps. Larry Fitzgerald goes into the Cardinals’ Ring of Honor at halftime. AP via ESPN
Game statuses for both teams are from Friday’s final report (Cardinals.com, October 23), which carries both teams. Inactives come 90 minutes before kickoff, 11:35 AM PT, so anything here can still move.
| Player | Team, pos | Status | What it changes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiyah Love | ARI, RB | Out | Ankle. Bam Knight and Tyler Allgeier split the work in Week 6. |
| Walter Nolen III | ARI, DL | Out | Ankle. |
| Jon Gaines II | ARI, OL | Out | Knee and ankle. Hayden Conner starts at right guard. |
| Andrew Wingard | ARI, S | Out | Knee. |
| Budda Baker | ARI, S | Questionable | Groin and illness. Limited Friday. |
| Carson Beck | ARI, QB | Questionable | Back. Brissett’s backup; did not practice Friday. |
| Max Melton | ARI, CB | Questionable | Knee. |
| Darius Robinson | ARI, DL | Questionable | Back. Limited Friday. |
| Garrett Williams | ARI, CB | No status | Knee. Full Friday. |
| Jedrick Wills Jr. | ARI, OL | No status | Illness. Full Friday. |
| Tyler Badie | DEN, RB | Out | Thumb. |
| Talanoa Hufanga | DEN, S | Out | Ankle. |
| Jonah Elliss | DEN, OLB | Out | Ankle. |
| Pat Surtain II | DEN, CB | Questionable | Ankle. Limited Friday. |
| Jonah Coleman | DEN, RB | Questionable | Ankle. Full Friday, working back from injured reserve. |
| Jaylen Waddle | DEN, WR | No status | Chest. Full Friday after a limited Wednesday. |
Cardinals.com · SI · ESPN
Weekly lines are from ESPN box scores, read October 22, 2026. Names link to ESPN player pages.
Weeks 1-6: 17/28, 131 yds · 22/31, 288 · 17/34, 186 · 25/42, 214 · 16/27, 123 · 17/27, 107.
Under 125 passing yards in each of the last two games, both wins.
Weeks 1-6 rushing: 8-36, 10-36, 17-49, 11-40, 18-68, 17-41.
Denver’s lead back, with at least 36 yards in every game and a touchdown against Seattle.
Weeks 1, 3-6: 4-23, 6-41, 10-68, 0-0, 3-31 receiving.
Scored on a direct snap against Seattle.
Weeks 1-6: 1-2, 8-138, 2-10, 5-35, 2-19, 4-24 on 38 targets.
A full practice Friday and no game status after a chest injury.
Weeks 1-6: 2-11, 3-25, 3-46, 1-4, 2-18, 2-19 on 28 targets.
No more than three catches in any game.
Weeks 1-6: 27/37, 277 yds · 17/28, 95 · 38/52, 280 · 21/35, 166 · 29/47, 292 · 24/35, 218.
1,328 passing yards and nine touchdown passes.
Weeks 1-6: 9-95, 8-41, 9-75, 7-31, 9-66, 7-53 on 65 targets.
Seven or more catches every week.
Weeks 1-6: 5-56, 2-18, 11-89, 7-95, 4-30, 4-32 on 58 targets.
Second on the team in targets.
Weeks 1-3, 5-6: 8-75, 2-11, 2-22, 5-70, 5-47 on 30 targets.
Five catches in each of the last two games.
Week 6: 15 carries for 80 yards, 2 catches for 18.
Led Arizona’s backfield at the Rams with Love out.
Denver’s defense allows 208.5 passing yards a game, 10th fewest, and just beat Seattle with five sacks. Dobbins has been steady, and Arizona allows 120.8 rushing yards a game.
Arizona is home off its best defensive game, McBride is the most reliable target on the field, and Denver allows 139.8 rushing yards a game, 2nd most. Nix has thrown for 230 yards in the last two games combined.
These are the arguments each side’s backers make, not a pick. AP via ESPN · AP via ESPN · AP via ESPN
| Going in | DEN Denver BroncosDEN | ARI Arizona CardinalsARI |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-2 | 2-4 |
| Side | On the road | At home |
| The posted line | −4.5 | +4.5 |
| Implied points computed | 24 | 19.5 |
Records, venue, spread and total from the ESPN scoreboard, read 2026-10-20.1 Implied points is half the total moved half the spread, which is arithmetic on the two numbers above, not a projection.
The posted line has Denver Broncos favoured by 4.5 on the road, with a total of 43.5. A spread is the market's estimate of the margin, not a result; the Kalshi contract below prices the win outright.
The two venue prices sit at the top of this page and are read live when it loads. A contract settles at $1.00 if that team wins and $0 if it loses, so a price in cents is that market’s implied chance of the win. Prices are the venues’, not our picks, and the two rarely agree to the cent.
A spread and a contract price are two different questions. The spread is the market’s estimate of the margin; the contract prices the win outright, and it is the one you can sell before the game ends. Books differ on the spread itself: our read found two games where a second book had a different number the same afternoon.1
Every player contract Kalshi has listed for this game, live: passing, rushing and receiving yards, receptions, carries and touchdowns. Each chip is a threshold and the price to buy YES on it.
Reading the Kalshi board.
No plan is posted on this game. The props section above is about one player; this is about the game itself.
The question on Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals are 2-4 and they are at home, and the line makes them the underdog by 4.5. Decide what chance you would give them, in cents, before you read the board. If your number is above the ask, that is the trade; if it is not, there is no trade here.
The question on Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos are 4-2 and favoured by 4.5. A favourite contract costs most of a dollar, so the money at risk is large against the money to be made. Work out what you lose if it goes wrong before you decide what you make if it goes right.
Whatever you decide, write the entry, the sell target and the hold rule before kickoff, and remember the fee is largest near 50¢. How the fee works
The Denver Broncos are 4.5-point favorites over the Arizona Cardinals at DraftKings, with a total of 43.5, as shown on ESPN’s game page Saturday, October 24, 2026. Kalshi had Denver at 67 to 68 cents to win at 7:50 AM PT on Saturday.
The Broncos play the Cardinals on Sunday, October 25, 2026, at 4:05 PM ET (1:05 PM PT) at State Farm Stadium in Glendale. The game is on CBS.
No. Arizona ruled him out on Friday’s final injury report with an ankle injury, his second straight missed game (Cardinals.com, October 23). Bam Knight ran for 80 yards in his place at the Rams.
He carries no game status on Friday’s final report. Waddle was limited Wednesday with a chest injury and practiced fully on Friday (Cardinals.com, October 23).
The AccuWeather forecast on ESPN’s game page, read Saturday, lists 79 degrees at kickoff in Glendale with no precipitation.
Agent Brad is sitting this one out, and he will be right back with you for the next game. Trey McBride has caught at least seven passes in every game and the market already prices that in, while Bo Nix has thrown for 123 and 107 yards the last two weeks, which keeps Denver’s passing lines hard to lean on.
Half the total moved half the spread puts Denver Broncos at about 24 points and Arizona Cardinals at about 19.5. That is arithmetic on the two posted numbers, not a score projection, and it is the figure most fantasy decisions on this game turn on.
A pick'em entry is a parlay, so every leg has to land: two legs you price at 60 per cent are 36 per cent together, and three are 22 per cent. If your board pays N times the entry on an L-leg play, the entry needs to win one divided by N of the time, so each leg needs the L-th root of that. A two-leg play paying 3x needs each leg at about 57.7 per cent, and a four-leg play paying 10x needs each at about 56.2 per cent. Multipliers differ by state, board and promotion, so use your own terms.
Every stored figure on this page came from one of these, read 2026-10-20. Lines move and injury news lands after that; the prices in the strip and on the board are read live when the page loads, not written into it.
PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, Polymarket, ESPN or the NFL. Prices shown are the venues’, not our picks.
21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Not financial or betting advice. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.
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