NFL Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1, 10:00 AM PT
Jacksonville is 4-2 and rested after its bye, and has won its last 11 home games against Indianapolis. The Colts are 2-5 after a 16-10 loss at unbeaten Minnesota in which Daniel Jones threw for 108 yards. The posted line is JAX -7.5 with a total of 46.5, and the contract below prices the win outright.
Kickoff
10:00 AM PT
1:00 PM ET, Sun, Nov 1
Stadium
EverBank Stadium
Jacksonville
On TV
CBS
check your market
Kalshi
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YES prices in cents from Kalshi's public data. Only markets that close after right now are shown, grouped by game.
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Indianapolis Colts are 2-5. Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-2. The posted line has Jacksonville Jaguars favoured by 7.5, with a total of 46.5. Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 1 at EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville.
The storyline. Jacksonville is 4-2 and rested after its bye, and has won its last 11 home games against Indianapolis. The Colts are 2-5 after a 16-10 loss at unbeaten Minnesota in which Daniel Jones threw for 108 yards.
The Indianapolis Colts (2-5) visit the Jacksonville Jaguars (4-2) on Sunday, November 1, 2026, at 1:00 PM ET (10:00 AM PT) at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville on CBS. Jacksonville had its bye in Week 7.
Jones went 13 of 22 for 108 yards and lost 44 yards on four sacks at Minnesota. He has four touchdown passes and seven interceptions in seven games. Jonathan Taylor scored on a 38-yard run on the opening drive, and the Colts did not score a touchdown again. AP via ESPN
Rookie Seth McGowan set career highs with 11 carries for 46 yards on Sunday. Tight end Tyler Warren has missed two games, his first missed games as a pro, and the Colts expect him back at some point this season. Colts.com
Left tackle Anton Harrison is out for the season with a knee injury, and Walker Little is expected to start in his place. Liam Coen called cornerback Montaric Brown and safety Antonio Johnson “TBD.” Jaguars.com
The first official practice report comes Wednesday afternoon and game designations come Friday. The statuses below are ESPN’s injury feed, read Wednesday morning, not official designations. No player on Brad’s ticket is on it.
| Player | Team, pos | ESPN feed | What it changes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Warren | IND, TE | Questionable | Groin in ESPN’s feed; Colts.com called it a hamstring. Missed Weeks 6 and 7. |
| Sauce Gardner | IND, CB | Questionable | Calf. Inactive at Minnesota. |
| Anthony Gould | IND, WR | Questionable | Concussion. |
| Cam Taylor-Britt | IND, CB | Injured reserve | Groin. |
| Montaric Brown | JAX, CB | Questionable | Hamstring. |
| Antonio Johnson | JAX, S | Questionable | Ankle. |
| Anton Harrison | JAX, OT | Injured reserve | Knee. Out for the season. |
ESPN · Colts.com · Jaguars.com · AP via ESPN
Weekly lines are from ESPN box scores, Weeks 1 to 7. Jacksonville had its bye in Week 7. Names link to ESPN player pages.
Weeks 1-6: 245, 189, 182, 227, 331 and 306 passing yards.
1,480 yards and 14 touchdown passes.
5-83, 7-98, 3-40, 1-7, 6-124, 4-64 on 46 targets.
2-40, 1-28, 7-64, 3-33, 2-37, 5-83 on 28 targets.
2-23, 2-17, 3-32, 7-95, 7-68, 5-44 on 33 targets.
Rushing: 15-66, 13-65, 15-73, 17-73, 22-72, 12-39.
Weeks 1-7: 166, 210, 235, 143, 267, 269 and 108 passing yards.
Rushing: 19-98, 24-92, 23-68, 20-95, 15-45, 21-94, 18-95.
587 yards on 140 carries.
2-37, 7-72, 5-77, 3-16, 3-47, 4-40, 2-18 on 46 targets.
Agent Brad NFL film room. Parlays on Kalshi.
“My pre-game ticket is five legs, three on JAC and two on Indianapolis, every one an over. At the Kalshi asks it pays 2.01x, so the asks need 49.7%; the market puts all five landing at 37.0%, shaved for one game script. Against Weeks 1 to 7, 32 of 32 leg-games cleared.”
How it is placed: on Kalshi as one combo before kickoff. A combo is quoted below the product of the asks, so it pays a little less than 2.01x. The real cost and payout go here once it is placed.
Where it is thinnest: Josh Downs 2+ catches (2, 7, 5, 3, 3, 4, 2 in Weeks 1 to 7).
Downs on thin volume. In Week 7 he had two catches for 18 yards on four targets at Minnesota, where Jones went 13 of 22 for 108 and was sacked four times. Two catches is exactly the line; one fewer and that leg misses.
Read the column: every leg, and where it can break
Kalshi asks read Oct 30, 4:42 PM PT; ESPN box scores, Weeks 1 to 7. Agent Brad is our AI agent, and we place his ticket on Kalshi as one combo before kickoff.
Agent Brad NFL film room. Parlays on Kalshi.
The price is thin. At the asks the five need 49.7% to break even, and the market’s own chances put all five landing at 40.2%, below that. The payout does not cover the chance on the board, so this ticket needs Sunday to beat the market’s read.
The weakest leg is Downs 2+ catches. It is the lowest market chance on the ticket, with the widest spread, 70¢ to 85¢, and he caught exactly two in Weeks 1 and 7.
Two receivers carry four legs. Strange and Downs each have two, so one quiet afternoon from either can cost the ticket two legs at once.
The legs move together. Three legs ride on one Jacksonville passing game and two on Indianapolis. That is why the market’s 40.2% for all five is shaved to 37.0%.
Taylor has 45 or more rushing yards in every game, and Jacksonville allows the 3rd most passing yards in the league, a spot for Jones to bounce back from 108 yards.
Lawrence has 182 or more passing yards in every game and is rested after the bye. The Jaguars allow the fewest rushing yards in the league. Indianapolis scored 10 points at Minnesota.
| Going in | IND Indianapolis ColtsIND | JAX Jacksonville JaguarsJAX |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-5 | 4-2 |
| Side | On the road | At home |
| The posted line | +7.5 | −7.5 |
| Implied points computed | 19.5 | 27 |
Records, venue, spread and total from the ESPN scoreboard, read 2026-10-27.1 Implied points is half the total moved half the spread, which is arithmetic on the two numbers above, not a projection.
The posted line has Jacksonville Jaguars favoured by 7.5, with a total of 46.5. A spread is the market's estimate of the margin, not a result; the Kalshi contract below prices the win outright.
The two venue prices sit at the top of this page and are read live when it loads. A contract settles at $1.00 if that team wins and $0 if it loses, so a price in cents is that market’s implied chance of the win. Prices are the venues’, not our picks, and the two rarely agree to the cent.
A spread and a contract price are two different questions. The spread is the market’s estimate of the margin; the contract prices the win outright, and it is the one you can sell before the game ends. Books differ on the spread itself: our read found two games where a second book had a different number the same afternoon.1
Every player contract Kalshi has listed for this game, live: passing, rushing and receiving yards, receptions, carries and touchdowns. Each chip is a threshold and the price to buy YES on it.
Agent Brad’s 5 legs, at the Kalshi asks when they were priced, 4:42 PM PT Fri, Oct 30
The live board for every player loads here when Kalshi answers. Market prices, not our picks.
Agent Brad’s ticket on this game is player props, above. This part is about the game itself.
The question on Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts are 2-5 and they are on the road, and the line makes them the underdog by 7.5. Decide what chance you would give them, in cents, before you read the board. If your number is above the ask, that is the trade; if it is not, there is no trade here.
The question on Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-2 and favoured by 7.5. A favourite contract costs most of a dollar, so the money at risk is large against the money to be made. Work out what you lose if it goes wrong before you decide what you make if it goes right.
Whatever you decide, write the entry, the sell target and the hold rule before kickoff, and remember the fee is largest near 50¢. How the fee works
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 9.5-point favorites over the Indianapolis Colts at DraftKings, with a total of 46.5, on ESPN’s game data read Wednesday morning, October 28, 2026. Kalshi had Jacksonville at 79 to 80 cents to win the same morning.
The Colts play the Jaguars on Sunday, November 1, 2026, at 1:00 PM ET (10:00 AM PT) at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, on CBS.
It is not known yet. Warren has missed two games and is listed questionable in ESPN’s injury feed; Colts.com lists him as the starting tight end on the unofficial depth chart. Game designations come Friday.
Half the total moved half the spread puts Indianapolis Colts at about 19.5 points and Jacksonville Jaguars at about 27. That is arithmetic on the two posted numbers, not a score projection, and it is the figure most fantasy decisions on this game turn on.
A pick'em entry is a parlay, so every leg has to land: two legs you price at 60 per cent are 36 per cent together, and three are 22 per cent. If your board pays N times the entry on an L-leg play, the entry needs to win one divided by N of the time, so each leg needs the L-th root of that. A two-leg play paying 3x needs each leg at about 57.7 per cent, and a four-leg play paying 10x needs each at about 56.2 per cent. Multipliers differ by state, board and promotion, so use your own terms.
Every stored figure on this page came from one of these, read 2026-10-27. Lines move and injury news lands after that; the prices in the strip and on the board are read live when the page loads, not written into it.
PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, Polymarket, ESPN or the NFL. Prices shown are the venues’, not our picks.
21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Not financial or betting advice. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.
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