Daniel Jones Takes the Colts to Minneapolis to Face Brian Flores and the Unbeaten Vikings
Minnesota is 5-0 with ten straight wins and comes off its bye with Jordan Addison, T.J. Hockenson and Christian Darrisaw practicing fully again. Indianapolis is 2-4 after blowing a 13-0 halftime lead to Tennessee, fired its general manager this week and sends Daniel Jones into the defense he once practiced against as a Vikings backup. The posted line is MIN -6.5 with a total of
41.5, and the contract below prices the win outright.
Kickoff
10:00 AM PT
1:00 PM ET, Sun, Oct 25
Stadium
U.S. Bank Stadium
Minneapolis
On TV
CBS
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Indianapolis Colts are 2-4. Minnesota Vikings are 5-0. The posted line has Minnesota Vikings favoured by 6.5, with a total of 41.5. Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 25 at U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis.
The storyline. Minnesota is 5-0 with ten straight wins and comes off its bye with Jordan Addison, T.J. Hockenson and Christian Darrisaw practicing fully again. Indianapolis is 2-4 after blowing a 13-0 halftime lead to Tennessee, fired its general manager this week and sends Daniel Jones into the defense he once practiced against as a Vikings backup.
Colts vs Vikings at a glance
The Indianapolis Colts (2-4) visit the Minnesota Vikings (5-0) on Sunday, October 25, 2026, at 1:00 PM ET (10:00 AM PT) at U.S. Bank Stadium on CBS. Minnesota comes off its bye with ten straight wins, the longest active streak in the league; Indianapolis has lost 11 of its last 13 games and seven straight on the road. Daniel Jones gets a defense he saw from the inside as a Vikings backup two years ago, and Kyler Murray has started Minnesota’s last three games.
Kickoff and TV
Sunday, Oct. 25, 1:00 PM ET, 12:00 PM CT, 10:00 AM PT. CBS (ESPN).
Stadium and weather
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, under a fixed roof, so the weather outside stays outside (Football Nation USA).
Quarterbacks
Expected Daniel Jones for Indianapolis, who has started all six games, and Kyler Murray for Minnesota, who started Weeks 3 to 5. Neither is on his team’s injury report (WISH-TV, The Viking Age).
The line
DraftKings had Minnesota a 6.5-point favorite, the Vikings at -285 and the Colts at +230, with a total of 41.5, on ESPN’s game page read Thursday afternoon. On Kalshi the Vikings were 71¢ to sell and 72¢ to buy.
On reserve
Indianapolis: receiver Alec Pierce, out since Week 2 (WISH-TV). Minnesota: tight end Josh Oliver (biceps) and guard Donovan Jackson (knee) (FantasyPros).
Final injury report
Indianapolis: tight end Tyler Warren (groin), cornerback Sauce Gardner (calf) and receiver Anthony Gould (concussion) are out; punter Rigoberto Sanchez, cornerback Justin Walley and linebackers Bryce Boettcher and C.J. Allen are questionable. Minnesota: running back Jordan Mason (thumb) is questionable, and Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison and T.J. Hockenson carry no game status (Vikings.com, Oct. 23).
The matchup
Minnesota allows 173.2 passing yards a game, 3rd fewest, and 86.6 rushing yards, 5th fewest. Indianapolis allows 228.7 passing yards, 12th most, and 122.5 rushing yards, 11th most (ESPN team box scores, Weeks 1 to 6).
Six storylines for Colts at Vikings
Jones walks back into a defense he practiced against
Daniel Jones spent part of 2024 on Minnesota’s roster as a backup and saw Brian Flores’ defense in practice. “It’s a little different than preparing for a game and playing in a game,” Jones said. Flores, whose blitz-heavy group leads the league in sacks per pass attempt, said the Vikings may add a few wrinkles and change a few calls Jones could know. AP preview via ESPN
Ten straight for Minnesota
The Vikings are 5-0, have won ten games in a row and lead the league at plus six in turnover margin. Byron Murphy had two interceptions in their last game, a 23-13 win at New Orleans on October 11. “We definitely haven’t got that full potential yet,” Justin Jefferson said. AP preview via ESPN
Indianapolis lets another halftime lead go
The Colts led Tennessee 13-0 at halftime Sunday and lost 26-20, outscored 20-7 in the fourth quarter. They have lost 11 of their last 13 since an 8-2 start last season, and the club fired general manager Chris Ballard this week. “You understand kind of what’s at stake, so we know we’ve got to play better,” Jones said. AP preview via ESPN · ESPN scoreboard
Jonathan Taylor is still looking for his first 100
Taylor led the league in carries and rushing touchdowns last season, but he has not had a 100-yard game in 2026 and is averaging a career-low 4.0 yards a carry. His closest was 98 in Week 1. He meets linebackers Blake Cashman and Eric Wilson behind a front that allows 86.6 rushing yards a game. AP preview via ESPN
Minnesota gets bodies back from the bye
Justin Jefferson (ankle), Jordan Addison (hamstring) and T.J. Hockenson (concussion) finished the week as full participants and carry no game status, and left tackle Christian Darrisaw (concussion) sat Friday for rest without a designation. Running back Jordan Mason (thumb) practiced fully all week and is questionable. Vikings.com
Aaron Jones is having his best start
Aaron Jones has 97 carries for 410 yards through five games, the most of his ten-year career at this point of a season, with 105 at Chicago and 113 at New Orleans. AP preview via ESPN
Colts vs Vikings injury report
Statuses are from the final injury report for both teams, released Friday, October 23 (Vikings.com). DNP means did not practice. Inactives come 90 minutes before kickoff, 8:30 AM PT.
Player
Team, pos
Wed / Thu / Fri
Status
Tyler Warren
IND, TE
DNP / DNP / DNP
Out. Groin. Did not play in Week 6; he had 30 catches in Weeks 1 to 5.
Sauce Gardner
IND, CB
DNP / DNP / DNP
Out. Calf. A starting corner against Jefferson and Addison.
Anthony Gould
IND, WR
DNP / DNP / DNP
Out. Concussion.
Rigoberto Sanchez
IND, P
DNP / DNP / DNP
Questionable. Right foot.
Justin Walley
IND, CB
DNP / Limited / Limited
Questionable. Knee.
Bryce Boettcher
IND, LB
DNP / Full / DNP
Questionable. Groin.
C.J. Allen
IND, LB
Not listed / Limited / DNP
Questionable. Ankle.
Ashton Dulin
IND, WR
Limited / Limited / Full
No game status. Hamstring.
Keenan Allen
IND, WR
Rest / Full / Full
No game status. Led the Colts with 8 catches for 82 yards in Week 6.
Jonathan Taylor
IND, RB
Limited (rest) / Full / Full
No game status.
Alec Pierce
IND, WR
Injured reserve
Foot. Out since Week 2.
Jordan Mason
MIN, RB
Full / Full / Full
Questionable. Thumb.
Justin Jefferson
MIN, WR
Limited / Full / Full
No game status. Ankle. He missed Week 4 and caught 6 for 79 in Week 5.
Christian Darrisaw
MIN, LT
Full / Full / DNP (rest)
No game status. Concussion.
Brian O’Neill
MIN, RT
Limited / Full / Full
No game status. Knee.
Jordan Addison
MIN, WR
Full / Full / Full
No game status. Hamstring. Missed Week 5.
T.J. Hockenson
MIN, TE
Full / Full / Full
No game status. Concussion. Caught 13 for 119 in Week 4.
Weeks 1-5: 4-36, 3-29, 2-11, 13-119, 1-7 on 27 targets.
Full practice all week after a concussion, with no game status.
Why each side can win
The Colts
Indianapolis led Tennessee 13-0 at halftime last week and has Jonathan Taylor, over 90 yards in four of six games. Jones threw for a season-high 269 against the Titans, and Minnesota’s run defense will see a back with 122 carries already.
The Vikings
Minnesota is home, rested and 5-0, with ten straight wins, a plus six turnover margin and a defense that allows 173.2 passing yards a game, 3rd fewest. Jones has four touchdown passes and six interceptions, and the Colts have lost seven straight on the road.
Records, venue, spread and total from the ESPN scoreboard, read 2026-10-20.1
Implied points is half the total moved half the spread, which is arithmetic on the two numbers above, not a projection.
What the market says
The posted line has Minnesota Vikings favoured by 6.5, with a total of 41.5. A spread is the market's estimate of the margin, not a result; the Kalshi contract below prices the win outright.
The two venue prices sit at the top of this page and are read live when it loads. A
contract settles at $1.00 if that team wins and $0 if it loses, so a price in cents is
that market’s implied chance of the win. Prices are the venues’, not our picks,
and the two rarely agree to the cent.
A spread and a contract price are two different questions. The spread is the market’s
estimate of the margin; the contract prices the win outright, and it is the one you can sell
before the game ends. Books differ on the spread itself: our read found two games where a
second book had a different number the same afternoon.1
Colts vs Vikings player props on Kalshi
Every player contract Kalshi has listed for this game, live: passing, rushing and
receiving yards, receptions, carries and touchdowns. Each chip is a threshold and the
price to buy YES on it.
Reading the Kalshi board.
Trading it: the case each way
No plan is posted on this game. The props section above is about one player; this is
about the game itself.
The question on Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts are 2-4 and they are on the road, and the line makes them the underdog by 6.5. Decide what chance you
would give them, in cents, before you read the board. If your number is above the ask,
that is the trade; if it is not, there is no trade here.
The question on Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings are 5-0 and favoured by 6.5. A favourite contract costs most of a dollar, so the
money at risk is large against the money to be made. Work out what you lose if it goes
wrong before you decide what you make if it goes right.
Whatever you decide, write the entry, the sell target and the hold rule
before kickoff, and remember the fee is largest near 50¢.
How the fee works
Questions people ask about this game
Who is favored in Colts vs Vikings on October 25, 2026?
The Minnesota Vikings are 6.5-point favorites over the Indianapolis Colts at DraftKings, with the Vikings at -285, the Colts at +230 and a total of 41.5, as read Thursday, October 22, 2026. Kalshi had Minnesota at 71 to 72 cents to win.
What time is Colts vs Vikings and what channel is it on?
The Colts play the Vikings on Sunday, October 25, 2026, at 1:00 PM ET (10:00 AM PT) at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. The game is on CBS.
Is Justin Jefferson playing against the Colts?
Yes, he is expected to. Jefferson was limited Wednesday with an ankle injury, then practiced fully Thursday and Friday and carries no game status on Minnesota’s final report. He missed Week 4 and caught six passes for 79 yards in his return at New Orleans.
Who is hurt for the Colts?
Tight end Tyler Warren (groin), cornerback Sauce Gardner (calf) and receiver Anthony Gould (concussion) are out. Punter Rigoberto Sanchez (foot), cornerback Justin Walley (knee) and linebackers Bryce Boettcher (groin) and C.J. Allen (ankle) are questionable. Alec Pierce is on injured reserve, and Keenan Allen and Jonathan Taylor finished the week as full participants.
Does weather matter for Colts vs Vikings?
No. U.S. Bank Stadium has a fixed roof, so the game is played indoors.
What is Agent Brad’s parlay for Colts vs Vikings?
Agent Brad is sitting this one out. Minnesota allows the 3rd fewest passing yards and the 5th fewest rushing yards in the league, which makes the Colts’ side of the board hard to trust, and the Vikings’ top receivers each have a quiet afternoon on their record this season. You will find his other Week 7 tickets on the NFL page.
How many points is each team priced for in Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings?
Half the total moved half the spread puts Indianapolis Colts at about 17.5 points and Minnesota Vikings at about 24. That is arithmetic on the two posted numbers, not a score projection, and it is the figure most fantasy decisions on this game turn on.
How often does each leg of a pick'em entry need to hit to break even?
A pick'em entry is a parlay, so every leg has to land: two legs you price at 60 per cent are 36 per cent together, and three are 22 per cent. If your board pays N times the entry on an L-leg play, the entry needs to win one divided by N of the time, so each leg needs the L-th root of that. A two-leg play paying 3x needs each leg at about 57.7 per cent, and a four-leg play paying 10x needs each at about 56.2 per cent. Multipliers differ by state, board and promotion, so use your own terms.
Sources
Every stored figure on this page came from one of these, read 2026-10-20. Lines move
and injury news lands after that; the prices in the strip and on the board are read live when
the page loads, not written into it.
ESPN NFL scoreboard: schedule, records, venue, broadcast, the posted spread and the total. site.api.espn.com
ESPN NFL game summaries for the completed Week 1 to Week 6 games: the six-game player totals, summed from the box scores. espn.com
Kalshi public markets API, the Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings game market: the contract this page links to. Prices are read live in your browser, never stored here. external-api.kalshi.com
The headline on this page: Daniel Jones spent part of 2024 on Minnesota’s roster as a backup and saw Brian Flores’ defense in practice. Read 2026-10-20. www.espn.com
PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, Polymarket, ESPN or
the NFL. Prices shown are the venues’, not our picks.
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