NFL Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25, 5:20 PM PT
Kansas City brings a 5-0 record and the league's leading rusher to Seattle, where Kenneth Walker III won a Super Bowl MVP award last season. Patrick Mahomes gets the defense allowing the fewest passing yards in the NFL, and Seattle's Sam Darnold comes off a night in Denver where he was hit 17 times and threw two interceptions, one in overtime. The posted line is SEA -3 with a total of 42.5, and the contract below prices the win outright.
Kickoff
5:20 PM PT
8:20 PM ET, Sun, Oct 25
Stadium
Lumen Field
Seattle
On TV
NBC
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Kansas City Chiefs are 5-0. Seattle Seahawks are 3-3. The posted line has Seattle Seahawks favoured by 3, with a total of 42.5. Kickoff is 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, October 25 at Lumen Field, Seattle.
The storyline. Kansas City brings a 5-0 record and the league's leading rusher to Seattle, where Kenneth Walker III won a Super Bowl MVP award last season. Patrick Mahomes gets the defense allowing the fewest passing yards in the NFL, and Seattle's Sam Darnold comes off a night in Denver where he was hit 17 times and threw two interceptions, one in overtime.
The Kansas City Chiefs (5-0) visit the Seattle Seahawks (3-3) on Sunday, October 25, 2026, at 8:20 PM ET (5:20 PM PT) at Lumen Field on NBC, Sunday Night Football in NFL Week 7. Kansas City is one of the league’s three unbeaten teams. Seattle, the defending Super Bowl champion, has lost two straight and comes off a 17-14 overtime loss at Denver ten days earlier. Kenneth Walker III, Seattle’s Super Bowl MVP, returns as a Chief.
Walker ran for 135 yards in the Super Bowl against New England to earn MVP honors, then signed with Kansas City as a free agent. He leads the league at 133 rushing yards a game, has topped 100 in four of five games and ran for 128 yards and two touchdowns in Sunday’s 22-6 win over the Chargers. “We’re happy for him, but also, we’re trying to figure out ways to stop this guy, too,” Mike Macdonald said. AP via ESPN · AP via ESPN
Seattle has not allowed a 100-yard rusher in 35 straight games, the longest current streak in the league, and allows 96 rushing yards a game. Walker is the back most likely to end it. AP via ESPN
Mahomes has 1,309 passing yards, nine touchdowns and three interceptions in five games, and the Chargers win was his 100th regular-season victory. Seattle allows 141.3 passing yards a game and has given up eight passing touchdowns all season. In two career games against the Seahawks he has 497 yards and six touchdowns. AP via ESPN
Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads the NFL with 717 receiving yards and seven touchdowns, 119.5 yards a game, with five 100-yard games already. At Denver he caught 12 passes for 134 yards on 16 targets. AP via ESPN
Sam Darnold went 27 of 51 for 278 yards with no touchdowns and two interceptions in the overtime loss, the second pick setting up the winning field goal. Denver sacked him five times. “The quarterback’s getting hit way too much,” Macdonald said. “Everybody sees that.” AP via ESPN
Zach Charbonnet tore his ACL in January, ran for 730 yards and 12 touchdowns last season and spent the first six games on the physically unable to perform list. “There is a possibility that you can see him on Sunday in some capacity,” Macdonald said early in the week, but Seattle ruled him out on Friday’s report. Kansas City is managing injuries of its own: Rice and Tyquan Thornton missed the Chargers game with injuries, and Xavier Worthy led the receivers with seven catches for 73 yards. Rice is out again Sunday, and Thornton is expected to miss 12 to 16 weeks after dislocating his left ankle, per an AP source. AP via ESPN · AP via ESPN · Seahawks · KCTV5 · AP via NY1
Game statuses are from the teams’ final injury reports, Friday, October 23: Kansas City’s via KCTV5 and AtoZ Sports, Seattle’s from the Seahawks. Reserve lists are from ESPN’s injury data. Inactives come out 90 minutes before kickoff, 3:50 PM PT, so any of this can still move.
| Player | Team, pos | Status | What it changes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rashee Rice | KC, WR | Out | Hamstring and knee. Did not practice all week. |
| Jaylon Moore | KC, RT | Out | Concussion. Kahlil Benson and Joshua Ezeudu are the backups at tackle with Simmons on reserve. |
| Brashard Smith | KC, RB | Out | Hamstring. |
| Tyquan Thornton | KC, WR | Out | Dislocated left ankle Oct. 4; expected to miss 12 to 16 weeks, per an AP source. |
| Travis Kelce | KC, TE | No status | Ankle. Limited all three days. Has a catch in 196 straight games, the longest active streak. |
| L’Jarius Sneed | KC, CB | Questionable | Knee. Limited all week; was questionable last week and played. |
| Cooper McDonald | KC, LB | Questionable | Knee. Limited all week. |
| Josh Simmons | KC, OT | Injured reserve | Back. |
| Patrick Mahomes | KC, QB | No status | Knee. Full all week. |
| Zach Charbonnet | SEA, RB | Out | Knee. Moved to the active roster Thursday after six games on the PUP list. |
| Drew Lock | SEA, QB | Questionable | Right elbow. The backup; started Weeks 1 and 2. |
| Rashid Shaheed | SEA, WR | Off the report | Hip. Limited Wednesday, full Thursday and Friday. |
| Nick Emmanwori | SEA, S | Questionable | Hip. |
| DeMarcus Lawrence | SEA, LB | Questionable | Knee. |
| Drake Thomas | SEA, LB | Out | Ankle. |
| Chazz Surratt | SEA, LB | Out | Calf. |
| Jadarian Price | SEA, RB | Out | Chest and shoulder, per the AP preview. |
| Elijah Arroyo | SEA, TE | Injured reserve | Shoulder. |
KCTV5 · AtoZ Sports · Seahawks · AP via NY1 · AP via ESPN · ESPN
Weekly lines are from ESPN box scores, read October 22, 2026. Kansas City had its bye in Week 5. Names link to ESPN player pages.
Weeks 1-4 and 6: 15/27, 184 yds · 32/47, 382 · 20/24, 246 · 15/30, 225 · 23/30, 272.
1,309 yards, nine touchdowns and three interceptions, completing 66.5%. No touchdown pass against the Chargers, the first time this season.
Weeks 1-4 and 6 rushing: 23-173, 24-117, 18-70, 22-177, 19-128.
665 yards on 106 carries, 6.3 a carry, and 18 or more carries in every game.
Weeks 1-4 and 6: 3-18, 5-25, 2-20, 4-70, 7-73 on 29 targets.
Seven catches against the Chargers with Rice and Thornton hurt.
Weeks 1-4 and 6: 3-71, 9-101, 2-59, 2-15, 4-53 on 27 targets.
Limited in practice all week with an ankle injury, but no game status on the final report.
Weeks 3-6: 31/45, 379 yds · 13/22, 168 · 18/29, 195 · 27/51, 278.
Seven touchdowns and seven interceptions in four starts. He threw four touchdowns at Washington in his first start, none at Denver.
Weeks 1-6: 8-122, 9-155, 10-128, 5-76, 5-102, 12-134 on 66 targets.
At least 76 yards in every game and 100 or more in five of six, with both Lock and Darnold throwing to him.
Weeks 1-6: 2-35, 2-20, 4-46, 1-13, 2-15, 5-50 on 25 targets.
A season-high 10 targets at Denver.
Weeks 1-6: 2-13, 1-8, 5-69, 1-12, 3-20, 3-16 on 24 targets.
Seattle’s main tight end with Elijah Arroyo on injured reserve.
Weeks 1-6 rushing: 2-3, 21-92, 9-14, 21-81, 20-61, 14-52.
Seattle’s lead back since Week 4; Charbonnet is out again Sunday.
Kansas City is 5-0 and leads the league with 414 yards of offense a game. Walker has carried 18 or more times in every game, and Seattle scored 14 points in 65 minutes at Denver.
Seattle is home and allows the fewest passing yards in the league, eight passing touchdowns in six games. Smith-Njigba gets a Chiefs defense allowing 217.2 passing yards a game, 15th fewest, and Kansas City may start two backup tackles against Seattle’s front.
These are the arguments each side’s backers make, not a pick. AP via ESPN · AP via ESPN · Arrowhead Addict
| Going in | KC Kansas City ChiefsKC | SEA Seattle SeahawksSEA |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-0 | 3-3 |
| Side | On the road | At home |
| The posted line | +3 | −3 |
| Implied points computed | 19.75 | 22.75 |
Records, venue, spread and total from the ESPN scoreboard, read 2026-10-20.1 Implied points is half the total moved half the spread, which is arithmetic on the two numbers above, not a projection.
The posted line has Seattle Seahawks favoured by 3, with a total of 42.5. A spread is the market's estimate of the margin, not a result; the Kalshi contract below prices the win outright.
The two venue prices sit at the top of this page and are read live when it loads. A contract settles at $1.00 if that team wins and $0 if it loses, so a price in cents is that market’s implied chance of the win. Prices are the venues’, not our picks, and the two rarely agree to the cent.
A spread and a contract price are two different questions. The spread is the market’s estimate of the margin; the contract prices the win outright, and it is the one you can sell before the game ends. Books differ on the spread itself: our read found two games where a second book had a different number the same afternoon.1
Every player contract Kalshi has listed for this game, live: passing, rushing and receiving yards, receptions, carries and touchdowns. Each chip is a threshold and the price to buy YES on it.
Reading the Kalshi board.
No plan is posted on this game. The props section above is about one player; this is about the game itself.
The question on Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs are 5-0 and they are on the road, and the line makes them the underdog by 3. Decide what chance you would give them, in cents, before you read the board. If your number is above the ask, that is the trade; if it is not, there is no trade here.
The question on Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks are 3-3 and favoured by 3. A favourite contract costs most of a dollar, so the money at risk is large against the money to be made. Work out what you lose if it goes wrong before you decide what you make if it goes right.
Whatever you decide, write the entry, the sell target and the hold rule before kickoff, and remember the fee is largest near 50¢. How the fee works
The Seattle Seahawks are 3-point favorites over the Kansas City Chiefs at DraftKings, with Seattle at -148, Kansas City at +124 and a total of 42.5, unchanged from Thursday in ESPN’s odds feed read Saturday morning, October 24, 2026. Kalshi had Seattle at 58 to 59 cents to win the same morning.
The Chiefs play the Seahawks on Sunday Night Football, October 25, 2026, at 8:20 PM ET (5:20 PM PT) at Lumen Field in Seattle. The game is on NBC.
He is expected to. Kelce was limited in practice all week with an ankle injury but has no game status on the Chiefs’ final report. Rashee Rice is out with hamstring and knee injuries.
No. Seattle ruled Charbonnet out on Friday’s report, a day after moving him to the active roster from the physically unable to perform list. Emanuel Wilson remains the lead back.
ESPN’s game data from AccuWeather, read Saturday morning, had 52 degrees and cloudy skies for Sunday at Lumen Field, an open-air stadium. On Thursday it showed a 25% chance of rain around kickoff.
Agent Brad is sitting this game out. He went back through every player prop Kalshi lists for it on Saturday morning, catches and carries included, and is not posting a ticket. Seattle’s pass defense has allowed the fewest yards in the league, which makes the Chiefs’ passing game a hard read, and Kenneth Walker III meets a run defense that has not allowed a 100-yard rusher in 35 straight games. If that changes before kickoff, it will show here.
Half the total moved half the spread puts Kansas City Chiefs at about 19.75 points and Seattle Seahawks at about 22.75. That is arithmetic on the two posted numbers, not a score projection, and it is the figure most fantasy decisions on this game turn on.
A pick'em entry is a parlay, so every leg has to land: two legs you price at 60 per cent are 36 per cent together, and three are 22 per cent. If your board pays N times the entry on an L-leg play, the entry needs to win one divided by N of the time, so each leg needs the L-th root of that. A two-leg play paying 3x needs each leg at about 57.7 per cent, and a four-leg play paying 10x needs each at about 56.2 per cent. Multipliers differ by state, board and promotion, so use your own terms.
Every stored figure on this page came from one of these, read 2026-10-20. Lines move and injury news lands after that; the prices in the strip and on the board are read live when the page loads, not written into it.
PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, Polymarket, ESPN or the NFL. Prices shown are the venues’, not our picks.
21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Not financial or betting advice. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.
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