NFL Week 7 · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM PT
The Jets are 2-4 and have lost all seven of their division games under Aaron Glenn; the Dolphins are 0-5, coming off their bye and trying to avoid their first 0-6 start since 2019. Garrett Wilson leads the AFC in catches, and Malik Willis brings the league’s 31st-ranked passing game into a defense that allows 185 passing yards a game. The posted line is NYJ -4.5 with a total of 39.5, and the contract below prices the win outright.
Kickoff
10:00 AM PT
1:00 PM ET, Sun, Oct 25
Stadium
MetLife Stadium
East Rutherford
On TV
CBS
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Miami Dolphins are 0-5. New York Jets are 2-4. The posted line has New York Jets favoured by 4.5, with a total of 39.5. Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 25 at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford.
The storyline. The Jets are 2-4 and have lost all seven of their division games under Aaron Glenn; the Dolphins are 0-5, coming off their bye and trying to avoid their first 0-6 start since 2019. Garrett Wilson leads the AFC in catches, and Malik Willis brings the league’s 31st-ranked passing game into a defense that allows 185 passing yards a game.
The Miami Dolphins (0-5) visit the New York Jets (2-4) on Sunday, October 25, 2026, at 1:00 PM ET (10:00 AM PT) at MetLife Stadium on CBS. It is Miami’s first division game of the season and its first since the bye, and the Jets’ first AFC East game at home. Malik Willis brings the league’s 31st-ranked passing offense into a defense that allows the 4th fewest passing yards; Garrett Wilson leads the AFC in catches.
“If we want to be where we want to be at the end of the season, these are the type of games you’ve got to have,” Garrett Wilson said. The Jets are 0-7 against AFC East teams under Aaron Glenn after Sunday’s 26-19 loss at New England. AP preview via ESPN
The Dolphins are chasing their first win and trying to avoid the fifth 0-6 start in franchise history, the first since 2019. Their five losses include the 49ers, Chiefs and Vikings, the league’s three unbeaten teams. “Guys are locked in. Excited to get back to work,” first-year coach Jeff Hafley said after the bye. AP preview via ESPN · NewYorkJets.com
Miami ranks 31st in passing at 153.6 yards a game, and Willis has not thrown for more than 220 in any game, with two touchdown passes and four interceptions. He has run for a career-high 186 yards, 74 of them against Cincinnati, a franchise record for a quarterback in one game. The Jets allow 185 passing yards a game. AP preview via ESPN
With De’Von Achane on injured reserve, Ollie Gordon II is the lead back: 17 carries for 41 yards in Week 3, 9 for 100 in Week 4 and 18 for 88 against Cincinnati. Miami has run for 100 or more in four straight games, and the Jets allow 123.0 rushing yards a game. NewYorkJets.com · AP preview via ESPN
Tight end Kenyon Sadiq and receiver Omar Cooper Jr. are the first rookie pair in league history to each post a 100-yard receiving game in their first three career games. Cooper caught 6 passes for 103 yards and a touchdown at New England in his return from injury. Edge rusher David Bailey had three sacks against Cleveland in Week 5. NewYorkJets.com
New York has not allowed points on an opponent’s opening drive in five straight games. It has also been outscored 119-49 in the closing minutes of the second and fourth quarters under Glenn, the worst differential in the league in that span, per ESPN Research. AP preview via ESPN
Statuses are from the final injury report for both teams, released Friday, October 23 (NewYorkJets.com). DNP means did not practice. Inactives come 90 minutes before kickoff, 8:30 AM PT.
| Player | Team, pos | Wed / Thu / Fri | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| De’Von Achane | MIA, RB | Injured reserve | Knee. Out since Week 3; Ollie Gordon II leads the backfield. |
| Reese Taylor | MIA, CB | DNP / DNP / DNP | Out. Quadriceps. |
| Rob Beal Jr. | MIA, EDGE | Limited / Limited / Limited | Doubtful. Hamstring. |
| Willie Gay Jr. | MIA, LB | Not listed / DNP / Limited | Questionable. Illness. |
| Kyle Louis | MIA, S | Limited / Limited / Full | Questionable. Knee. |
| Caleb Douglas | MIA, WR | Limited / Limited / Full | No game status. Ankle. Caught 5 for 94 in Week 1 and has not played since Week 2. |
| Jonah Savaiinaea | MIA, G | Full / Full / Full | No game status. Ankle. |
| Jaylen Wright | MIA, RB | Limited / Limited / Full | No game status. Foot. |
| Will Kacmarek | MIA, TE | Limited / Limited / Full | No game status. Hamstring. |
| Malik Willis | MIA, QB | Full / Full / Full | No game status. Thumb. |
| Breece Hall | NYJ, RB | DNP / Limited / Limited | Questionable. Quadriceps. Has not played since Week 3; Braelon Allen has 41 carries for 194 yards in the last two games. |
| Kene Nwangwu | NYJ, RB | DNP / DNP / Full | Questionable. Knee. |
| Dylan Parham | NYJ, LG | Limited / Limited / Limited | Questionable. Knee. |
| Kiko Mauigoa | NYJ, LB | DNP / DNP / DNP | Out. Quadriceps. |
| Joseph Ossai | NYJ, EDGE | DNP / DNP / DNP | Out. Ankle. |
| Max Mitchell | NYJ, OT | Not listed / DNP / DNP | Out. Concussion. |
| Adonai Mitchell | NYJ, WR | Limited / Limited / Full | No game status. Finger. Has not played since Week 2. |
Weekly lines are from ESPN box scores, read October 22, 2026. Names link to ESPN player pages.
Weeks 1-5: 15/27, 220 yds · 14/23, 197 · 20/36, 210 · 9/17, 85 · 15/27, 137.
849 passing yards and two touchdown passes, plus 186 rushing yards on 27 carries.
Weeks 2-5 rushing: 3-7, 17-41, 9-100, 18-88.
The lead back since Achane’s injury in Week 3.
Weeks 1-5: 3-53, 4-43, 5-56, 5-67, 6-43 on 36 targets.
Three or more catches and 43 or more yards in every game.
Weeks 1-5: 2-18, 2-17, 5-55, did not play, 4-37 on 17 targets.
Weeks 1-6: 19/24, 215 yds · 27/41, 247 · 31/37, 321 · 8/15, 119 · 17/30, 182 · 20/30, 252.
1,336 passing yards and seven touchdown passes. His five touchdowns of 20 or more yards are tied for the most in the league.
Weeks 1-6: 6-79, 5-57, 10-107, 3-27, 7-104, 4-44 on 48 targets.
35 catches for 418 yards, the most catches in the AFC.
Weeks 1 and 6: 1-30, 6-103.
Back from injury with a touchdown at New England.
Weeks 1-6: 3-21, 2-17, 7-105, 0-0, 2-3, 1-12 on 24 targets.
Weeks 1-6 rushing: 10-40, 5-7, 4-14, 14-59, 24-116, 17-78.
The lead back the last three weeks with Breece Hall out.
Miami is rested, has run for 100 or more in four straight games and has won 10 of its last 12 against the Jets, including a 34-10 win at MetLife last December. The Jets have lost all seven of their division games under Glenn.
New York is home against a winless team, allows 185 passing yards a game against a Miami offense that averages 153.6, and has Wilson, Cooper and Sadiq for Smith to throw to. Willis has two touchdown passes in five games.
These are the arguments each side’s backers make, not a pick. AP preview via ESPN · NewYorkJets.com
| Going in | MIA Miami DolphinsMIA | NYJ New York JetsNYJ |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-5 | 2-4 |
| Side | On the road | At home |
| The posted line | +4.5 | −4.5 |
| Implied points computed | 17.5 | 22 |
Records, venue, spread and total from the ESPN scoreboard, read 2026-10-20.1 Implied points is half the total moved half the spread, which is arithmetic on the two numbers above, not a projection.
The posted line has New York Jets favoured by 4.5, with a total of 39.5. A spread is the market's estimate of the margin, not a result; the Kalshi contract below prices the win outright.
The two venue prices sit at the top of this page and are read live when it loads. A contract settles at $1.00 if that team wins and $0 if it loses, so a price in cents is that market’s implied chance of the win. Prices are the venues’, not our picks, and the two rarely agree to the cent.
A spread and a contract price are two different questions. The spread is the market’s estimate of the margin; the contract prices the win outright, and it is the one you can sell before the game ends. Books differ on the spread itself: our read found two games where a second book had a different number the same afternoon.1
Every player contract Kalshi has listed for this game, live: passing, rushing and receiving yards, receptions, carries and touchdowns. Each chip is a threshold and the price to buy YES on it.
Reading the Kalshi board.
No plan is posted on this game. The props section above is about one player; this is about the game itself.
The question on Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins are 0-5 and they are on the road, and the line makes them the underdog by 4.5. Decide what chance you would give them, in cents, before you read the board. If your number is above the ask, that is the trade; if it is not, there is no trade here.
The question on New York Jets
New York Jets are 2-4 and favoured by 4.5. A favourite contract costs most of a dollar, so the money at risk is large against the money to be made. Work out what you lose if it goes wrong before you decide what you make if it goes right.
Whatever you decide, write the entry, the sell target and the hold rule before kickoff, and remember the fee is largest near 50¢. How the fee works
The New York Jets are 4.5-point favorites over the Miami Dolphins at DraftKings, with the Jets at -225, the Dolphins at +185 and a total of 39.5, as read Thursday, October 22, 2026. Kalshi had New York at 66 to 67 cents to win.
The Dolphins play the Jets on Sunday, October 25, 2026, at 1:00 PM ET (10:00 AM PT) at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The game is on CBS.
Not confirmed. Hall is questionable with a quadriceps injury after missing Wednesday’s practice and working on a limited basis Thursday and Friday, and he has not played since Week 3. Braelon Allen has led the Jets backfield since, with 24 carries for 116 yards against Cleveland and 17 for 78 at New England.
No. Achane is on injured reserve with a knee injury and has not played since Week 3. Ollie Gordon II is Miami’s lead back.
AccuWeather’s hourly forecast for kickoff, read Thursday through ESPN’s game page, has 63 degrees at MetLife Stadium with no rain expected and almost no wind.
Agent Brad is sitting this one out. The Jets allow the 4th fewest passing yards in the league, which leaves Malik Willis and Miami’s receivers on the wrong side of the matchup, and even Garrett Wilson has had a quiet afternoon this season, 3 catches for 27 yards against Chicago. You will find his other Week 7 tickets on the NFL page.
Half the total moved half the spread puts Miami Dolphins at about 17.5 points and New York Jets at about 22. That is arithmetic on the two posted numbers, not a score projection, and it is the figure most fantasy decisions on this game turn on.
A pick'em entry is a parlay, so every leg has to land: two legs you price at 60 per cent are 36 per cent together, and three are 22 per cent. If your board pays N times the entry on an L-leg play, the entry needs to win one divided by N of the time, so each leg needs the L-th root of that. A two-leg play paying 3x needs each leg at about 57.7 per cent, and a four-leg play paying 10x needs each at about 56.2 per cent. Multipliers differ by state, board and promotion, so use your own terms.
Every stored figure on this page came from one of these, read 2026-10-20. Lines move and injury news lands after that; the prices in the strip and on the board are read live when the page loads, not written into it.
PM Countdown is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, Polymarket, ESPN or the NFL. Prices shown are the venues’, not our picks.
21+Only risk what you can afford to lose. Set a money limit before you start, take profits on purpose and stop when you hit your limit. Not financial or betting advice. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.
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