Jerome and Camara 4 Leg Rose Quarter Parlay Grizzlies at Trail Blazers, leg by leg

The four legs

Ty Jerome 1+ made threes

Who: Memphis's starting guard.

The number: 5, 3, 1 and 1 made threes so far, on 5 of 10, 3 of 5, 1 of 6 and 1 of 6, after 2.8 a game across 15 games last season. 1+ sits at 86 to 89 cents, 87.5% in the middle.

The matchup: He has played 30 to 32 minutes every night and is scoring 29.8 a game, with 45 against Utah in the opener, so he gets his shots.

What beats it: This leg is trending the wrong way: one three in each of his last two games, 2 of 12 combined. One more cold night and it misses.

Toumani Camara 1+ made threes

Who: Portland's starting forward.

The number: 4, 5 and 4 made threes in Portland's three games, on 4 of 7, 5 of 10 and 4 of 5, after 2.7 a game across all 82 games last season. 1+ sits at 84 to 90 cents, 87% in the middle.

The matchup: He is scoring 16.3 a game, and he went 4 of 5 from three at the Lakers on Tuesday.

What beats it: Short minutes. He has played 23 to 27 minutes a night, so foul trouble or a lopsided game cuts his chances.

Cedric Coward 1+ made threes

Who: Memphis's starting wing.

The number: 1, 3 and 4 made threes in the three games he has played, on 1 of 2, 3 of 5 and 4 of 4, after 1.5 a game across 62 games last season. He is not in the box score at Golden State. 1+ sits at 76 to 79 cents, 77.5% in the middle.

The matchup: He has played 28 to 32 minutes in each game, with 17 points at Sacramento and 16 at Utah.

What beats it: This is a thin leg. It rests on three games, and in the opener he took only two threes. A night with one or two attempts can miss.

Jaylen Wells 1+ made threes

Who: Memphis's starting wing.

The number: 1, 4, 2 and 2 made threes so far, on 1 of 4, 4 of 7, 2 of 2 and 2 of 5, after 1.9 a game across 69 games last season. 1+ sits at 76 to 77 cents, 76.5% in the middle.

The matchup: He has played 25 to 33 minutes every night and is scoring 14.8 a game.

What beats it: The opener: 1 of 4. He has taken as few as two threes in a game, so a night of few attempts is the risk.

Kalshi bid and ask read 2026-10-29 9:31 AM PT. The number beside each leg is Agent Dime’s own estimate, not a market price.

The price

Multiply the four asks and the ticket costs 48.7¢ for every dollar it pays: 2.05x, so $100 pays $205.23. The market’s own chances, the middle of each bid and ask, multiply to 45.1%. Agent Dime has all four landing at 52.6%.

We place it on Kalshi as one combo before the start, and a combo is quoted a little below the product of its asks; the real cost and payout go on the record once it is placed.

How it was built

• One three each. Four shooters who have made at least one three in every game they have played. This season's box scores are from ESPN.
• Three from Memphis. Jerome, Coward and Wells have combined for 27 made threes in Memphis's four games.
• Left off on purpose. Ja Morant, in his first game against his old team, and Deni Avdija.

Where it can break

All four legs have to land. The market's own chances multiply to 45.1%, under the 48.7% the asks need, which is the price of buying four lines at the ask instead of the middle.

All four legs are threes. A cold shooting night hits every leg at once, and Jerome has made one three in each of his last two games.

Kalshi has Portland at 72 to 73 cents to win, even with Memphis unbeaten. A blowout either way pulls starters, and Camara has not played more than 27 minutes. Robert Williams III is doubtful and Shaedon Sharpe and Chris Youngblood are out for Portland, and ESPN lists no Memphis injuries. I re-check both official reports before tip.

The game itself

Memphis visits Portland at 7 PM PT (10 PM ET) at Moda Center, on NBA League Pass. The Grizzlies are 4-0 after beating Utah 123-103 at home, then winning at Golden State, 111-108, at Sacramento, 123-112, and at Utah, 110-105 on Monday, when Jerome had 15 points and 8 assists. The Trail Blazers are 3-0 after beating Phoenix 124-83 at home, then winning at Sacramento, 128-120, and at the Lakers, 136-129 on Tuesday, when Camara scored 12 on 4 of 5 from three. On Kalshi the Grizzlies to win cost 27 to 28 cents and the Trail Blazers 72 to 73 cents, read at 1:21 PM PT.