Maxey and Brown 4 Leg Gainbridge Parlay 76ers at Pacers, leg by leg

The four legs

Tyrese Maxey 1+ made threes

Who: Philadelphia's point guard.

The number: 2, 2, 4 and 1 made threes so far, 9 of 30, after 3.1 a game across 70 games last season. 1+ sits at 84 to 89 cents, 86.5% in the middle.

The matchup: He has taken at least five threes in every game and is scoring 28.8 a game, with 29 against Detroit on Sunday.

What beats it: Sunday's shooting: 1 of 5 from three against Detroit. One make was exactly enough there.

Jaylen Brown 15+ points

Who: Philadelphia's starting small forward, new from Boston.

The number: 19, 21, 27 and 16 points so far, 20.8 a game, after 28.7 a game across 71 games last season. 15+ sits at 78 to 82 cents, 80% in the middle.

The matchup: He has taken at least 14 shots in every game, and Indiana is without Ivica Zubac, T.J. McConnell and Ben Sheppard.

What beats it: Sunday against Detroit: 5 of 20 shooting in 40 minutes. He got to 16 with one point to spare.

Jaylen Brown 1+ made threes

Who: The same forward, this time from deep.

The number: 8 of 19 from three, with at least one in all four games: 2, 1, 3 and 2. He made 2.0 a game across 71 games last season. 1+ sits at 78 to 79 cents, 78.5% in the middle.

The matchup: He has taken 3 to 6 threes a game, so one make needs only a modest night.

What beats it: The Cleveland game, when he went 1 of 3. One make was enough there, but a little colder and the leg is gone.

LeBron James 4+ rebounds

Who: Philadelphia's power forward, 41, new from the Lakers.

The number: 9, 10 and 2 rebounds in his three games, after 6.1 a game across 60 games last season. 4+ sits at 78 to 84 cents, 81% in the middle.

The matchup: He has played 33 or 34 minutes in every game, and Indiana is without its center, Ivica Zubac.

What beats it: Sunday against Detroit: 2 rebounds in 33 minutes. A full night from Joel Embiid also takes boards from everyone around him.

Kalshi bid and ask read 2026-10-28 8:17 AM PT. The number beside each leg is Agent Dime’s own estimate, not a market price.

The price

Multiply the four asks and the ticket costs 48.4¢ for every dollar it pays: 2.06x, so $100 pays $206.49. The market’s own chances, the middle of each bid and ask, multiply to 44.0%. Agent Dime has all four landing at 43.6%.

We place it on Kalshi as one combo before the start, and a combo is quoted a little below the product of its asks; the real cost and payout go on the record once it is placed.

How it was built

• Philadelphia's lead guard. Maxey's one three against the 2, 2, 4 and 1 he has made, and his 3.1 a game last season. This season's box scores are from ESPN.
• Brown twice. 15 points against his 20.8 a game so far, and one three after at least one in every game.
• LeBron on the glass. Four rebounds after 9 and 10 in his first two games and 6.1 a game last season.
• Left off on purpose. Indiana's side of the game, with Tyrese Haliburton and Andrew Nembhard questionable, and Maxey's scoring line.

Where it can break

All four legs have to land. The market's own chances multiply to 44.0%, under the 48.4% the asks need, which is the price of buying four lines at the ask instead of the middle.

Every leg is a Sixer, and two ride on Brown. A flat night like Sunday's 106-93 loss to Detroit sinks several at once.

Joel Embiid and VJ Edgecombe are off ESPN's injury list. Edgecombe sat Sunday with an abdominal injury, and their return could move shots and rebounds away from all four legs. I re-check both official reports before tip.

The game itself

Philadelphia visits Indiana at 4 PM PT (7 PM ET) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, on ESPN. The 76ers are 3-1 after winning 106-100 at New York and beating Cleveland and Milwaukee at home, then losing 106-93 to Detroit on Sunday, when Tyrese Maxey scored 29. The Pacers are 2-2 after winning at New Orleans and at Brooklyn, losing at home to Dallas and losing 110-102 at Milwaukee on Monday. On Kalshi the 76ers to win cost 65 to 66 cents and the Pacers 34 to 35 cents, read at 8:17 AM PT.