Quickley and Wagner 5 Leg Scotiabank Parlay Magic at Raptors, leg by leg

The five legs

Immanuel Quickley 1+ made threes

Who: Toronto's starting point guard.

The number: 4, 0, 3 and 4 made threes so far, on 4 of 9, 0 of 6, 3 of 8 and 4 of 8, after 2.5 a game across 70 games last season. 1+ sits at 87 to 90 cents, 88.5% in the middle.

The matchup: He has taken at least six threes in every game and went 4 of 8 against Orlando on Wednesday.

What beats it: It has already missed once: 0 of 6 at Washington on Oct. 23.

Immanuel Quickley 10+ points

Who: Toronto's starting point guard.

The number: 23, 12, 19 and 16 points so far, after 16.4 a game across 70 games last season. 10+ sits at 89 to 90 cents, 89.5% in the middle.

The matchup: He has played 28 or 29 minutes every night and scored 16 with 7 assists against Orlando on Wednesday.

What beats it: His low is 12, on that 0 of 6 night at Washington. A cold night from deep with few free throws gets close.

RJ Barrett 2+ assists

Who: Toronto's starting forward.

The number: 3, 4, 2 and 6 assists so far, after 3.3 a game across 57 games last season. 2+ sits at 85 to 88 cents, 86.5% in the middle.

The matchup: He had 6 assists against Orlando on Wednesday, his most of the season, in 32 minutes.

What beats it: He finished with exactly 2 at Minnesota. A night spent scoring instead of passing leaves him right on the line.

Franz Wagner 15+ points

Who: Orlando's starting forward.

The number: 22, 18, 23 and 15 points so far, after 20.6 a game across 34 games last season. 15+ sits at 83 to 84 cents, 83.5% in the middle.

The matchup: Paolo Banchero has not played since Oct. 23, and Wagner had 23 points, 13 rebounds and 9 assists at New York in the first game without him.

What beats it: He scored exactly 15 here on Wednesday, 0 of 3 from three, in a 30-point loss. Another blowout that sits him early is the risk.

RJ Barrett 1+ made threes

Who: Toronto's starting forward.

The number: 0, 1, 0 and 3 made threes so far, on 0 of 3, 1 of 5, 0 of 3 and 3 of 7, after 1.7 a game across 57 games last season. 1+ sits at 75 to 81 cents, 78% in the middle.

The matchup: He went 3 of 7 against Orlando on Wednesday and scored 25.

What beats it: This is the thinnest leg. He has no three in two of his four games, and he took three in each of those.

Kalshi bid and ask read 2026-10-30 9:31 AM PT. The number beside each leg is Agent Dime’s own estimate, not a market price.

The price

Multiply the five asks and the ticket costs 48.5¢ for every dollar it pays: 2.06x, so $100 pays $206.19. The market’s own chances, the middle of each bid and ask, multiply to 44.6%. Agent Dime has all five landing at 49.0%.

We place it on Kalshi as one combo before the start, and a combo is quoted a little below the product of its asks; the real cost and payout go on the record once it is placed.

How it was built

• Toronto's two guards, twice each. Quickley's three and points, Barrett's passing and three. This season's box scores are from ESPN.
• Orlando's top scorer. Wagner at 15 points, with Banchero and Jalen Suggs out.
• Left off on purpose. Wagner's threes. He is 0 of 6 from deep in his last two games.

Where it can break

All five legs have to land. The market's own chances multiply to 44.6%, under the 48.5% the asks need, which is the price of buying five lines at the ask instead of the middle.

Quickley and Barrett carry two legs each, so four of the five ride on Toronto's guards. Quickley's 0 of 6 night at Washington shows how one cold game sinks a leg.

Kalshi has Toronto at 60 to 64 cents to win, and Wednesday was a 30-point game. Another blowout pulls starters, and Wagner sits on 15. Paolo Banchero, Jalen Suggs, Jonathan Isaac, Noah Penda and Izaiyah Nelson are out for Orlando. Kawhi Leonard and Nate Bittle are out for Toronto. I re-check both official reports before tip.

The game itself

Orlando visits Toronto at 4:30 PM PT (7:30 PM ET) at Scotiabank Arena, on NBA League Pass, two nights after the same matchup in the same building. The Raptors are 3-1: they beat Chicago 135-92 at home, won 112-102 at Washington, lost 117-94 at Minnesota and beat Orlando 129-99 on Wednesday, when Barrett scored 25. The Magic are 1-3 after losing 132-125 to Atlanta and 115-93 to Minnesota at home, winning 111-102 at New York and losing here on Wednesday. On Kalshi the Magic to win cost 34 to 41 cents and the Raptors 60 to 64 cents, read at 9:31 AM PT.