Siakam and Jaquez 5 Leg Fiserv Parlay Pacers at Bucks, leg by leg

The five legs

Jaime Jaquez Jr. 2+ assists

Who: Milwaukee's starting small forward.

The number: 4.7 assists a game across 75 games last season. 2+ sits at 87 to 91 cents, 89% in the middle.

The matchup: At 20.7 points and 8.7 rebounds a game so far, the ball finds him on most trips.

What beats it: Tyler Herro and Ryan Rollins handling the ball, which leaves Jaquez finishing.

Pascal Siakam 15+ points

Who: Indiana's power forward and leading scorer.

The number: At least 21 points in all three games and 30 in the opener, 24.7 a game so far, after 24.0 a game across 62 games last season. 15+ sits at 86 to 90 cents, 88% in the middle.

The matchup: Kyle Kuzma starts at power forward for a Milwaukee team that is 0-3.

What beats it: Tired legs on the second night of a back-to-back, or a blowout that sits him early.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. 10+ points

Who: Milwaukee's starting small forward.

The number: 20.7 points a game through Milwaukee's first three games, after 15.4 a game across 75 games last season. 10+ sits at 84 to 85 cents, 85% in the middle.

The matchup: Indiana is without T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard and Johnny Furphy, and Ivica Zubac is doubtful.

What beats it: Herro, at 23.7 points a game, taking more of the shots.

Pascal Siakam 2+ assists

Who: Indiana's power forward.

The number: 3.8 assists a game across 62 games last season. 2+ sits at 81 to 84 cents, 83% in the middle.

The matchup: Tyrese Haliburton runs Indiana's offense at 9.7 assists a game, and Siakam is the second passer.

What beats it: Haliburton taking nearly every trip, which leaves Siakam as a scorer only.

Ryan Rollins 1+ made threes

Who: Milwaukee's point guard.

The number: 2.5 made threes a game across 74 games last season, and 11.7 points a game so far. 1+ sits at 82 to 83 cents, 83% in the middle.

The matchup: Indiana's guard depth is thin with McConnell and Sheppard out.

What beats it: A cold night from three.

Kalshi bid and ask read 2026-10-26 8:14 AM PT. The number beside each leg is Agent Dime’s own estimate, not a market price.

The price

Multiply the five asks and the ticket costs 48.5¢ for every dollar it pays: 2.06x, so $100 pays $206.03. The market’s own chances, the middle of each bid and ask, multiply to 45.0%. Agent Dime has all five landing at 49.9%.

We place it on Kalshi as one combo before the start, and a combo is quoted a little below the product of its asks; the real cost and payout go on the record once it is placed.

How it was built

• Indiana's scorer. Siakam's 15 points against the 21 or more he has scored in every game, and two assists against his 3.8 last season. This season's box scores and last season's per-game lines are from ESPN.
• Milwaukee's busiest wing. Jaquez's 10 points against his 20.7 so far, and two assists against his 4.7 last season.
• Milwaukee's point guard. One three from Rollins, who made 2.5 a game across 74 games last season.
• Left off on purpose. Tyrese Haliburton, whose minutes could be managed on the back end of a back-to-back, and Indiana's frontcourt with Ivica Zubac doubtful.

Where it can break

All five legs have to land. The market's own chances multiply to 45.0%, under the 48.5% the asks need, which is the price of buying five lines at the ask instead of the middle.

Indiana plays for the second straight night after a 136-109 win at Brooklyn on Sunday. Kalshi has the Pacers at about 62% to win.

Zubac is doubtful with a sprained left ankle, which changes Indiana's frontcourt minutes. Milwaukee lists no injuries. I re-check both official reports before tip.

The game itself

Indiana visits Milwaukee at 5 PM PT (8 PM ET) at Fiserv Forum, on NBA League Pass. The Pacers are 2-1 after a 136-109 win at Brooklyn on Sunday; the Bucks are 0-3 after a 127-116 loss at Philadelphia on Saturday. On Kalshi the Pacers to win cost 61 to 62 cents and the Bucks 38 to 39 cents, read at 8:14 AM PT.