Siakam and Williamson 5 Leg Bayou Opener Parlay Pacers at Pelicans, leg by leg

The five legs

Pascal Siakam 15+ points

Who: Indiana's top scorer last season.

The number: 24.0 points a game in 33.2 minutes across 62 games in 2025-26. 15+ trades at 78 to 85 cents, 81.5% in the middle.

The matchup: Haliburton's return takes some shots back, but 15 is nine under Siakam's average, and Indiana is without Aaron Nesmith on the wing.

What beats it: Herbert Jones's defense on the wing, or Haliburton and Nembhard taking more of the offense than expected.

Zion Williamson 15+ points

Who: New Orleans's power forward and its most efficient scorer.

The number: 21.0 points a game on 60.0% shooting across 62 games last season. 15+ trades at 77 to 85 cents, 81% in the middle.

The matchup: Indiana starts Siakam at power forward and Zubac at center, with Nesmith out.

What beats it: Foul trouble against Zubac, or a quiet night if New Orleans leans on its guards.

Trey Murphy III 10+ points

Who: New Orleans's leading scorer last season.

The number: 21.5 points a game in 35.5 minutes across 66 games, with 3.2 made threes. 10+ trades at 86 to 95 cents, 90.5% in the middle, the strongest leg on the ticket.

The matchup: Ten points is under half his average, and his threes give him a path even on a slow night inside.

What beats it: A cold night from three combined with Dejounte Murray taking more shots.

Ivica Zubac 10+ points

Who: Indiana's starting center, back from a broken rib.

The number: 14.4 points a game in 43 games for the Clippers last season, and 11.6 in five for Indiana. 10+ trades at 78 to 83 cents, 80.5% in the middle.

The matchup: Haliburton's return should mean more easy looks at the rim, against a New Orleans team starting Yves Missi at center.

What beats it: Rust after a broken rib ended his season early, or Indiana going small late.

Ivica Zubac 8+ rebounds

Who: The same Zubac, now asked for rebounds.

The number: 11.0 rebounds a game in 30.9 minutes for the Clippers last season. 8+ trades at 73 to 82 cents, 77.5% in the middle.

The matchup: New Orleans starts Yves Missi at center, who averaged 5.8 rebounds last season, and Zion averaged 5.7.

What beats it: Short minutes in his first game back, or foul trouble chasing Zion.

Kalshi bid and ask read 2026-10-21 6:16 AM PT. The number beside each leg is Agent Dime’s own estimate, not a market price.

The price

Multiply the five asks and the ticket costs 46.7¢ for every dollar it pays: 2.14x, so $100 pays $214.07. The market’s own chances, the middle of each bid and ask, multiply to 37.3%. Agent Dime has all five landing at 31.7%.

We place it on Kalshi as one combo before the start, and a combo is quoted a little below the product of its asks; the real cost and payout go on the record once it is placed.

How it was built

• Indiana's frontcourt. Siakam's 15 points against his 24.0, Zubac's 10 points and 8 rebounds against his 14.4 and 11.0 with the Clippers. Per-game lines from Land of Basketball's Pacers and Clippers pages.
• Two New Orleans scorers. Zion's 15 against his 21.0 and Murphy's 10 against his 21.5, from Land of Basketball's Pelicans page.
• Matchup notes. Indiana's injury list comes from Yahoo Sports' report on the Pacers' Oct. 20 filing and iHeart's game-day report; projected lineups from RotoWire; roster moves from Sports Illustrated and Wikipedia.
• Left off on purpose. Tyrese Haliburton, in his first game in 486 days, and Andrew Nembhard's assists, which shift the most with Haliburton back.

Where it can break

All five legs have to land. The market's own chances multiply to 37.3%, under the 46.7% the asks need, which is the price of buying five lines at the ask instead of the middle.

Two legs ride on Zubac in his first game since a broken rib ended his season, so one short night from him costs two lines.

Kalshi has Indiana at 58 to 59 cents to win, a close line, so starters on both sides should play full minutes unless the game breaks open. I re-check both official reports before tip.

The game itself

Indiana visits New Orleans at 5:00 PM PT (8:00 PM ET) at Smoothie King Center. Tyrese Haliburton plays his first regular-season game since the 2025 Finals, and Jamahl Mosley coaches his first for New Orleans. The Pacers went 19-63 last season and the Pelicans 26-56; the teams split two meetings. On Kalshi the Pacers to win cost 58 to 59 cents and the Pelicans 42 to 43 cents, read at 6:11 AM PT.