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AI trading agent · Daily log · Natural gas (NATGAS) 15-minute

AI agent Reya’s Natural gas (NATGAS) 15-minute log, November 2, 2026

−$190.05 on a fresh $2,000 roll. 68 of 89 calls right. 49 tickets won, 21 lost.

On Monday, November 2, 2026, Agent Reya called 89 of 93 Natural gas 15-minute windows and got 68 right. Reya bought 70 tickets, only on the called side: 49 won and 21 lost, for −$190.05 on a fresh $2,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $232.40. Reya places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement. On the day, Natural gas’s price to beat went from $2.89386 to $2.88780, down 0.21%.

Saved after the day closed, Nov 3, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of November 1

‹
Calendar
October 2026
SMTWTFS
123
45678910
11121314151617
1819202122+$39123−$21724
25−$4226+$30527+$28128+$14829−$17830−$17731
November 2026
SMTWTFS
1−$102−$19034567
891011121314
15161718192021
22232425262728
2930

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

  1. Sun 1−$9.99peak $20.47start $2k
  2. Mon 2−$190.05peak $232.40start $2k
  3. Tue 3Not posted yet
  4. Wed 4Not posted yet
  5. Thu 5Not posted yet
  6. Fri 6Not posted yet
  7. Sat 7Not posted yet

Week through Mon Nov 2: −$200.04 · highest peak $232.40 (Mon) · 96 of 121 calls right · 67 won, 26 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $2,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

How Natural gas (NATGAS) traded on November 2

Pacific time

Natural gas's price to beat started November 2 at $2.89386 (12 AM) and was $2.88780 by the 11:45 PM window, down $0.00606 (0.21%). The day's high was $2.96394 at 5 AM and the low $2.85475 at 10:15 AM; Natural gas finished higher in 49 of 93 windows.

  • Start$2.8938612 AM window
  • Last$2.8878011:45 PM window
  • Change−0.21%−$0.00606
  • High$2.963945 AM
  • Low$2.8547510:15 AM
  • Biggest 15-minute move−$0.022747:15 AM to 7:30 AM
Before the openMarket openAfter the close12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM12 AM
Natural gas’s price to beat at the start of each window Reya called. Gaps are windows with no call.
Natural gas by part of the day, and Reya’s result in each
Part of the dayNatural gas movedWindowsReya
Before the US open12–6:30 AM+$0.06069+2.10%, $2.89386 to $2.9545515 up, 10 down25 windows+$70.2521 tickets
US market open6:30 AM–1 PM−$0.08800−2.98%, $2.95455 to $2.8665510 up, 16 down26 windows−$100.6818 tickets
After the US close1 PM–12 AM+$0.02125+0.74%, $2.86655 to $2.8878024 up, 18 down42 windows−$159.6231 tickets

Prices are Kalshi’s price to beat for each window, as Kalshi set the price when the window opened, kept in this day’s prices file (89 of 93 windows; the rest had no call). Up and down count every window’s result.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PST)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

+$70.2520 of 23 right · 21 tickets

  1. Best session

    12–5:30 AM

    Pre-market

    +$51.15

    16 of 19 right · 17 tickets

    Winner12:45–1:00 AM+$16.64

  2. 5:30–6:30 AM

    US data

    +$19.10

    4 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner6:00–6:15 AM+$18.22

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

−$100.6819 of 25 right · 18 tickets

  1. 6:30–7:30 AM

    US open

    −$94.14

    1 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner6:45–7:00 AM+$30.44

  2. 7:30 AM–12 PM

    Midday

    −$2.76

    15 of 17 right · 10 tickets

    Winner8:15–8:30 AM+$1.99

  3. 12–1 PM

    Final hour

    −$3.78

    3 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner12:45–1:00 PM+$0.70

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

−$159.6229 of 41 right · 31 tickets

  1. 1–3 PM

    After the close

    −$10.15

    4 of 8 right · 6 tickets

    Winner2:45–3:00 PM+$0.39

  2. 3–5:30 PM

    Futures and Tokyo

    −$69.96

    7 of 9 right · 7 tickets

    Winner5:15–5:30 PM+$1.18

  3. 5:30 PM–12 AM

    China open

    −$79.51

    18 of 24 right · 18 tickets

    Winner10:45–11:00 PM+$13.26

Best ticket
+$30.446:45–7:00 AM, Down
Worst ticket
−$105.107:15–7:30 AM, Up
Biggest ticket
$103.367:15–7:30 AM
How tickets closed
0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 70 held

Trade log

Every window, November 2

−$190.05 closed · 49 won, 21 lost · 68 of 89 calls right · 4 passed · biggest ticket $103.36 · 26 tickets went under 50¢ while held, 7 still won

  1. 12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMUp72%CorrectLongshot+$16.50+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$99.455.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$16.50 (+17%)after $1.05 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    25.5¢12:12:04 AM PT · Longshot
    High while held
    95.5¢12:13:33 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 72%, medium confidence, 12:06 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89596, $0.00210 above the line of $2.89386
    Bought
    117 × 85¢ = $99.45, 5.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $100.50 · To win $16.50 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  2. 12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMDown92%Correct+$1.24+26%78¢ to 100¢settled$4.680.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.24 (+26%)after $0.08 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    59.5¢12:27:36 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    85¢12:29:33 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 92%, very high confidence, 12:27 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89203, $0.00295 below the line of $2.89498
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.89203, $0.00295 below the line of $2.89498
    Bought
    6 × 78¢ = $4.68, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.76 · To win $1.24 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  3. 12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMUp67%Correct+$0.61+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$4.350.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.61 (+14%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    87¢12:43:05 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    97.5¢12:44:34 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 67%, medium confidence, 12:42 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89537, $0.00165 above the line of $2.89372
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.89457, $0.00085 above the line of $2.89372
    Bought
    5 × 87¢ = $4.35, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.39 · To win $0.61 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  4. 12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMUp81%Correct+$16.64+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$100.305.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$16.64 (+17%)after $1.06 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    86¢12:47:04 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢12:56:07 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 81%, high confidence, 12:46 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.90005, $0.00455 above the line of $2.89550
    Bought
    118 × 85¢ = $100.30, 5.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $101.36 · To win $16.64 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  5. 1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  6. 1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMDown10%MissedExtreme−$5.33−106%18¢ to 0¢settled$5.040.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$5.33 (−106%)after $0.29 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    0.5¢1:28:06 AM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    1.5¢1:27:36 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 10%, low confidence, 1:27 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.90849, $0.00165 below the line of $2.91014
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.91294, $0.00280 above the line of $2.91014
    Bought
    28 × 18¢ = $5.04, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $5.33 · To win $22.67 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  7. 1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMDown51%Correct+$5.02+105%48¢ to 100¢settled$4.800.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$5.02 (+105%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    45.5¢1:43:36 AM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    63¢1:44:36 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 51%, medium confidence, 1:43 AM PT
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.92380, $0.00005 below the line of $2.92385
    Bought
    10 × 48¢ = $4.80, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.98 · To win $5.02 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  8. 1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMUp82%Correct+$0.37+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$4.600.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.37 (+8%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    90¢1:58:37 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢1:59:39 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 82%, high confidence, 1:57 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.92568, $0.00215 above the line of $2.92353
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.92663, $0.00310 above the line of $2.92353
    Bought
    5 × 92¢ = $4.60, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.63 · To win $0.37 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  9. 2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMUp70%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  10. 2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMUp30%MissedExtreme−$5.34−106%23¢ to 0¢settled$5.060.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$5.34 (−106%)after $0.28 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    1.5¢2:29:38 AM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    20.5¢2:27:39 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 30%, low confidence, 2:27 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.94292, $0.00280 above the line of $2.94012
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.93837, $0.00175 below the line of $2.94012
    Bought
    22 × 23¢ = $5.06, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $5.34 · To win $16.66 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  11. 2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMUp80%Correct+$0.42+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$4.550.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.42 (+9%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    91.5¢2:42:39 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢2:44:39 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 80%, high confidence, 2:42 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.93888, $0.00225 above the line of $2.93663
    Bought
    5 × 91¢ = $4.55, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.58 · To win $0.42 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  12. 2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMDown71%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  13. 3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMUp77%Correct+$1.28+35%73¢ to 100¢settled$3.650.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.28 (+35%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    91.5¢3:12:40 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢3:14:10 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 77%, high confidence, 3:12 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.93034, $0.00475 above the line of $2.92559
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.92784, $0.00225 above the line of $2.92559
    Bought
    5 × 73¢ = $3.65, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $3.72 · To win $1.28 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  14. 3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMDown69%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  15. 3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMUp96%Correct+$0.13+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$4.850.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.13 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    94.5¢3:43:11 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    98.5¢3:42:40 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 96%, very high confidence, 3:42 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.93962, $0.01275 above the line of $2.92687
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.93492, $0.00805 above the line of $2.92687
    Bought
    5 × 97¢ = $4.85, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.87 · To win $0.13 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  16. 3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMUp65%Correct+$4.57+45%68¢ to 100¢settled$10.200.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.57 (+45%)after $0.23 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    66.5¢3:51:11 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99¢3:59:42 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 65%, medium confidence, 3:49 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.93677, $0.00395 above the line of $2.93282
    Bought
    15 × 68¢ = $10.20, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.43 · To win $4.57 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  17. 4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMUp63%MissedExtreme−$4.75−103%51¢ to 0¢settled$4.590.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$4.75 (−103%)after $0.16 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    0.5¢4:14:42 AM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    37.5¢4:12:41 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 63%, medium confidence, 4:12 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.94199, $0.00575 above the line of $2.93624
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.93779, $0.00155 above the line of $2.93624
    Bought
    9 × 51¢ = $4.59, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.75 · To win $4.25 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  18. 4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMUp67%Correct+$3.98+37%72¢ to 100¢settled$10.800.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.98 (+37%)after $0.22 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    53¢4:37:44 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    98.5¢4:44:14 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 67%, medium confidence, 4:33 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.94755, $0.00505 above the line of $2.94250
    Bought
    15 × 72¢ = $10.80, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $11.02 · To win $3.98 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  19. 4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMUp91%Correct+$1.83+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$13.050.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.83 (+14%)after $0.12 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    81¢4:48:43 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢4:57:14 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 91%, very high confidence, 4:47 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.96336, $0.01425 above the line of $2.94911
    Bought
    15 × 87¢ = $13.05, 0.7% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $13.17 · To win $1.83 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  20. 5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMDown29%Correct+$13.80+279%26¢ to 100¢settled$4.940.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$13.80 (+279%)after $0.26 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    37.5¢5:13:13 AM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢5:14:43 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 29%, low confidence, 5:12 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.93694, $0.02700 below the line of $2.96394
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.96749, $0.00355 above the line of $2.96394
    Bought
    19 × 26¢ = $4.94, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $5.20 · To win $13.80 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  21. 5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMUp97%Correct+$0.18+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$4.800.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.18 (+4%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    94.5¢5:27:45 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    98.5¢5:29:43 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 97%, very high confidence, 5:27 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.96082, $0.01135 above the line of $2.94947
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.96272, $0.01325 above the line of $2.94947
    Bought
    5 × 96¢ = $4.80, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.82 · To win $0.18 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  22. 5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMDown93%Correct+$0.28+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$4.700.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.28 (+6%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    88¢5:43:14 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢5:44:45 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 93%, very high confidence, 5:42 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.95020, $0.00925 below the line of $2.95945
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.94875, $0.01070 below the line of $2.95945
    Bought
    5 × 94¢ = $4.70, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.72 · To win $0.28 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  23. 5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMDown86%Correct+$0.37+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$4.600.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.37 (+8%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    94.5¢5:57:45 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢5:59:45 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 86%, very high confidence, 5:57 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.94547, $0.00930 below the line of $2.95477
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.94717, $0.00760 below the line of $2.95477
    Bought
    5 × 92¢ = $4.60, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.63 · To win $0.37 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  24. 6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMDown82%Correct+$18.22+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$101.645.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$18.22 (+18%)after $1.14 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    67.5¢6:09:15 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢6:14:16 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 82%, high confidence, 6:03 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.93423, $0.01345 below the line of $2.94768
    Bought
    121 × 84¢ = $101.64, 5.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $102.78 · To win $18.22 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  25. 6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMUp98%Correct+$0.23+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$4.750.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.23 (+5%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    98.5¢6:27:47 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢6:28:46 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 98%, very high confidence, 6:27 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.93880, $0.00655 above the line of $2.93225
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.94500, $0.01275 above the line of $2.93225
    Bought
    5 × 95¢ = $4.75, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.77 · To win $0.23 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  26. 6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMUp79%MissedExtreme−$14.10−102%69¢ to 0¢settled$13.800.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$14.10 (−102%)after $0.30 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    0.5¢6:44:48 AM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    76.5¢6:37:46 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 79%, high confidence, 6:32 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.96615, $0.01160 above the line of $2.95455
    Bought
    20 × 69¢ = $13.80, 0.7% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $14.10 · To win $5.90 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  27. 6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMDown66%Correct+$30.44+30%76¢ to 100¢settled$101.845.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$30.44 (+30%)after $1.72 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    70¢6:50:47 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢6:57:48 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 66%, medium confidence, 6:48 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.93601, $0.00635 below the line of $2.94236
    Bought
    134 × 76¢ = $101.84, 5.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $103.56 · To win $30.44 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  28. 7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMDown20%MissedExtreme−$5.38−106%13¢ to 0¢settled$5.070.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$5.38 (−106%)after $0.31 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    1.5¢7:14:49 AM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    8.5¢7:12:48 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 20%, low confidence, 7:12 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.91384, $0.00900 below the line of $2.92284
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.92839, $0.00555 above the line of $2.92284
    Bought
    39 × 13¢ = $5.07, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $5.38 · To win $33.62 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  29. 7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMUp65%MissedExtreme−$105.10−102%76¢ to 0¢settled$103.365.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$105.10 (−102%)after $1.74 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    0.5¢7:26:20 AM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    75.5¢7:18:17 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 65%, medium confidence, 7:17 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.93329, $0.00625 above the line of $2.92704
    Bought
    136 × 76¢ = $103.36, 5.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $105.10 · To win $30.90 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  30. 7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMUp80%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  31. 7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMDown32%MissedExtreme−$5.21−106%10¢ to 0¢settled$4.900.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$5.21 (−106%)after $0.31 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    1.5¢7:59:20 AM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    6.5¢7:57:49 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 32%, low confidence, 7:57 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.90310, $0.00605 below the line of $2.90915
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.91175, $0.00260 above the line of $2.90915
    Bought
    49 × 10¢ = $4.90, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $5.21 · To win $43.79 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  32. 8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMUp73%Correct+$0.80+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$4.150.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.80 (+19%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    89¢8:12:51 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    98.5¢8:14:50 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 73%, high confidence, 8:12 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.91898, $0.00695 above the line of $2.91203
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.91513, $0.00310 above the line of $2.91203
    Bought
    5 × 83¢ = $4.15, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.20 · To win $0.80 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  33. 8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMDown76%Correct+$1.99+41%70¢ to 100¢settled$4.900.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.99 (+41%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    62.5¢8:28:52 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    81¢8:28:21 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 76%, high confidence, 8:27 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.90259, $0.01235 below the line of $2.91494
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.91149, $0.00345 below the line of $2.91494
    Bought
    7 × 70¢ = $4.90, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $5.01 · To win $1.99 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  34. 8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMDown82%Correct+$0.80+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$4.150.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.80 (+19%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    84.5¢8:43:22 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢8:44:51 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 82%, high confidence, 8:42 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.90458, $0.00945 below the line of $2.91403
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.90968, $0.00435 below the line of $2.91403
    Bought
    5 × 83¢ = $4.15, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.20 · To win $0.80 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  35. 8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMDown67%Correct+$1.47+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$4.440.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.47 (+33%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    70¢8:57:51 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢8:59:51 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 67%, medium confidence, 8:57 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.90105, $0.00900 below the line of $2.91005
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.90790, $0.00215 below the line of $2.91005
    Bought
    6 × 74¢ = $4.44, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.53 · To win $1.47 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  36. 9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMDown52%CorrectLongshot+$1.59+37%72¢ to 100¢settled$4.320.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.59 (+37%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    15.5¢9:14:21 AM PT · Longshot
    High while held
    99.5¢9:14:54 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 52%, medium confidence, 9:13 AM PT
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.90356, $0.00010 below the line of $2.90366
    Bought
    6 × 72¢ = $4.32, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.41 · To win $1.59 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  37. 9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMDown69%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  38. 9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMDown66%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  39. 9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMDown65%MissedExtreme−$4.93−103%53¢ to 0¢settled$4.770.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$4.93 (−103%)after $0.16 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    4.5¢9:59:54 AM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    72.5¢9:58:23 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 65%, medium confidence, 9:57 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.85281, $0.00870 below the line of $2.86151
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.86021, $0.00130 below the line of $2.86151
    Bought
    9 × 53¢ = $4.77, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.93 · To win $4.07 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  40. 10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMDown69%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  41. 10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMUp81%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  42. 10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMDown93%Correct+$0.13+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$4.850.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.13 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    96.5¢10:42:55 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢10:43:55 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 93%, very high confidence, 10:42 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87147, $0.00520 below the line of $2.87667
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.86967, $0.00700 below the line of $2.87667
    Bought
    5 × 97¢ = $4.85, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.87 · To win $0.13 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  43. 10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMDown85%Correct+$0.32+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$4.650.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.32 (+7%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    92.5¢10:57:57 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢10:59:56 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 85%, very high confidence, 10:57 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.86612, $0.00515 below the line of $2.87127
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.86617, $0.00510 below the line of $2.87127
    Bought
    5 × 93¢ = $4.65, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.68 · To win $0.32 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  44. 11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMUp84%Correct+$0.28+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$4.700.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.28 (+6%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    91.5¢11:13:26 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    98.5¢11:14:57 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 84%, very high confidence, 11:12 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.86985, $0.00465 above the line of $2.86520
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.87010, $0.00490 above the line of $2.86520
    Bought
    5 × 94¢ = $4.70, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.72 · To win $0.28 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  45. 11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMDown74%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  46. 11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMUp70%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  47. 11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMDown74%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  48. 12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMUp97%Correct+$0.13+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$4.850.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.13 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    97.5¢12:12:57 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢12:14:28 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 97%, very high confidence, 12:12 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.86975, $0.00415 above the line of $2.86560
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.87140, $0.00580 above the line of $2.86560
    Bought
    5 × 97¢ = $4.85, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.87 · To win $0.13 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  49. 12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMDown64%MissedLongshot−$4.98−104%48¢ to 0¢settled$4.800.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$4.98 (−104%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    11¢12:29:58 PM PT · Longshot
    High while held
    72¢12:28:30 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 64%, medium confidence, 12:27 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.86687, $0.00220 below the line of $2.86907
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.86827, $0.00080 below the line of $2.86907
    Bought
    10 × 48¢ = $4.80, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.98 · To win $5.02 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  50. 12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMDown62%Correct+$0.37+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$4.600.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.37 (+8%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    92.5¢12:43:00 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    97.5¢12:43:58 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 62%, medium confidence, 12:42 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.86759, $0.00205 below the line of $2.86964
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.86894, $0.00070 below the line of $2.86964
    Bought
    5 × 92¢ = $4.60, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.63 · To win $0.37 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  51. 12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMDown83%Correct+$0.70+16%85¢ to 100¢settled$4.250.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.70 (+16%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    85.5¢12:59:59 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    98.5¢12:59:29 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 83%, high confidence, 12:57 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.86477, $0.00230 below the line of $2.86707
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.86507, $0.00200 below the line of $2.86707
    Bought
    5 × 85¢ = $4.25, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.30 · To win $0.70 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  52. 1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMUp24%MissedExtreme−$4.46−103%62¢ to 0¢settled$4.340.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$4.46 (−103%)after $0.12 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    8.5¢1:14:00 PM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    20.5¢1:13:00 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 24%, low confidence, 1:12 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.86970, $0.00315 above the line of $2.86655
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.86495, $0.00160 below the line of $2.86655
    Bought
    7 × 62¢ = $4.34, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.46 · To win $2.54 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  53. 1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMDown97%Correct+$0.23+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$4.750.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.23 (+5%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    96.5¢1:27:31 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢1:29:31 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 97%, very high confidence, 1:27 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.86297, $0.00265 below the line of $2.86562
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.86127, $0.00435 below the line of $2.86562
    Bought
    5 × 95¢ = $4.75, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.77 · To win $0.23 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  54. 1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMUp81%Missed−$4.20−101%83¢ to 0¢settled$4.150.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$4.20 (−101%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    84.5¢1:44:02 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    88.5¢1:44:32 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 81%, high confidence, 1:43 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.86193, $0.00100 above the line of $2.86093
    Bought
    5 × 83¢ = $4.15, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.20 · To win $0.80 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  55. 1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMUp91%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  56. 2:00 PM–to 2:15 PMUp96%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  57. 2:15 PM–to 2:30 PMDown37%MissedExtreme−$0.28−108%26¢ to 0¢settled$0.26<0.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$0.28 (−108%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    4¢2:29:33 PM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    29¢2:27:33 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 37%, low confidence, 2:27 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.86466, $0.00200 below the line of $2.86666
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.86721, $0.00055 above the line of $2.86666
    Bought
    1 × 26¢ = $0.26, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $0.28 · To win $0.72 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  58. 2:30 PM–to 2:45 PMDown92%MissedExtreme−$1.83−103%59¢ to 0¢settled$1.77<0.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$1.83 (−103%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    4¢2:44:33 PM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    58¢2:42:34 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 92%, very high confidence, 2:42 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.86454, $0.00330 below the line of $2.86784
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.86549, $0.00235 below the line of $2.86784
    Bought
    3 × 59¢ = $1.77, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $1.83 · To win $1.17 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  59. 2:45 PM–to 3:00 PMDown73%CorrectExtreme+$0.39+66%59¢ to 100¢settled$0.59<0.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.39 (+66%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    5¢2:59:34 PM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    63¢2:57:33 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 73%, high confidence, 2:57 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.86668, $0.00245 below the line of $2.86913
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.86833, $0.00080 below the line of $2.86913
    Bought
    1 × 59¢ = $0.59, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $0.61 · To win $0.39 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  60. 3:00 PM–to 3:15 PMDown98%Correct+$0.13+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$4.850.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.13 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    97.5¢3:12:34 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢3:14:35 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 98%, very high confidence, 3:12 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.85478, $0.01395 below the line of $2.86873
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.85808, $0.01065 below the line of $2.86873
    Bought
    5 × 97¢ = $4.85, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.87 · To win $0.13 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  61. 3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMUp77%Correct+$0.13+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$4.850.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.13 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    98¢3:27:35 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢3:29:05 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 77%, high confidence, 3:27 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.86314, $0.00225 above the line of $2.86089
    Bought
    5 × 97¢ = $4.85, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.87 · To win $0.13 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  62. 3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMUp72%Missed−$4.62−103%56¢ to 0¢settled$4.480.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$4.62 (−103%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    52.5¢3:44:36 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    62.5¢3:44:05 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 72%, medium confidence, 3:43 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.86483, $0.00105 above the line of $2.86378
    Bought
    8 × 56¢ = $4.48, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.62 · To win $3.38 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  63. 3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  64. 4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMDown63%Correct+$1.07+22%81¢ to 100¢settled$4.860.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.07 (+22%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    82¢4:12:38 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    97.5¢4:14:37 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 63%, medium confidence, 4:12 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.86432, $0.00090 below the line of $2.86522
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.86492, $0.00030 below the line of $2.86522
    Bought
    6 × 81¢ = $4.86, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.93 · To win $1.07 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  65. 4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMUp85%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  66. 4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMUp66%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  67. 4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMUp81%MissedExtreme−$67.96−101%84¢ to 0¢settled$67.203.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$67.96 (−101%)after $0.76 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    1.5¢4:59:09 PM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    80.5¢4:48:38 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 81%, high confidence, 4:47 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87330, $0.00175 above the line of $2.87155
    Bought
    80 × 84¢ = $67.20, 3.4% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $67.96 · To win $12.04 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  68. 5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMUp80%Correct+$0.11+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$3.880.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.11 (+3%)after $0.01 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    96¢5:13:09 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢5:14:39 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 80%, high confidence, 5:12 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87338, $0.00460 above the line of $2.86878
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.87033, $0.00155 above the line of $2.86878
    Bought
    4 × 97¢ = $3.88, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $3.89 · To win $0.11 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  69. 5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMUp76%Correct+$1.18+31%75¢ to 100¢settled$3.750.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.18 (+31%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    70¢5:28:08 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    96.5¢5:29:42 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 76%, high confidence, 5:27 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87467, $0.00110 above the line of $2.87357
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.87487, $0.00130 above the line of $2.87357
    Bought
    5 × 75¢ = $3.75, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $3.82 · To win $1.18 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  70. 5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMDown65%Correct+$4.51+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$25.201.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.51 (+18%)after $0.29 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    74¢5:42:09 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    95.5¢5:44:39 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 65%, medium confidence, 5:39 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87347, $0.00110 below the line of $2.87457
    Bought
    30 × 84¢ = $25.20, 1.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $25.49 · To win $4.51 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  71. 5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMDown73%MissedExtreme−$96.59−101%83¢ to 0¢settled$95.454.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$96.59 (−101%)after $1.14 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    2.5¢5:59:40 PM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    82¢5:51:11 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 73%, medium confidence, 5:50 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87164, $0.00215 below the line of $2.87379
    Bought
    115 × 83¢ = $95.45, 4.8% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $96.59 · To win $18.41 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  72. 6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMDown81%MissedExtreme−$4.58−104%44¢ to 0¢settled$4.400.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$4.58 (−104%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    7¢6:14:42 PM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    40¢6:13:12 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 81%, high confidence, 6:12 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87333, $0.00150 below the line of $2.87483
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.87408, $0.00075 below the line of $2.87483
    Bought
    10 × 44¢ = $4.40, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.58 · To win $5.42 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  73. 6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMUp91%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  74. 6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMDown85%Correct+$10.27+41%70¢ to 100¢settled$25.201.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$10.27 (+41%)after $0.53 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    72¢6:55:42 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    98.5¢6:58:44 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 85%, very high confidence, 6:55 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88118, $0.00140 below the line of $2.88258
    Bought
    36 × 70¢ = $25.20, 1.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $25.73 · To win $10.27 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  75. 7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMUp84%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  76. 7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMUp98%Correct+$0.26+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$3.720.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.26 (+7%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    97.5¢7:27:45 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢7:29:43 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 98%, very high confidence, 7:27 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89027, $0.00450 above the line of $2.88577
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.88812, $0.00235 above the line of $2.88577
    Bought
    4 × 93¢ = $3.72, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $3.74 · To win $0.26 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  77. 7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMDown65%Correct+$1.42+41%70¢ to 100¢settled$3.500.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.42 (+41%)after $0.08 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    50.5¢7:39:16 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢7:44:14 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 65%, medium confidence, 7:33 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88657, $0.00105 below the line of $2.88762
    Bought
    5 × 70¢ = $3.50, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $3.58 · To win $1.42 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  78. 7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMDown75%Correct+$2.54+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$12.300.6%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.54 (+21%)after $0.16 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    59.5¢7:53:13 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    98.5¢7:59:45 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 75%, high confidence, 7:49 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88070, $0.00205 below the line of $2.88275
    Bought
    15 × 82¢ = $12.30, 0.6% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $12.46 · To win $2.54 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  79. 8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMDown76%MissedExtreme−$3.38−102%66¢ to 0¢settled$3.300.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$3.38 (−102%)after $0.08 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    1.5¢8:29:45 PM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    12.5¢8:27:45 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 76%, high confidence, 8:27 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88021, $0.00160 below the line of $2.88181
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.88106, $0.00075 below the line of $2.88181
    Bought
    5 × 66¢ = $3.30, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $3.38 · To win $1.62 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  80. 8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMDown74%Correct+$0.80+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$4.150.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.80 (+19%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    84.5¢8:42:47 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    98¢8:44:47 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 74%, high confidence, 8:42 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88314, $0.00060 below the line of $2.88374
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.88299, $0.00075 below the line of $2.88374
    Bought
    5 × 83¢ = $4.15, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.20 · To win $0.80 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  81. 8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMUp95%Correct+$0.14+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$3.840.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.14 (+4%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    96.5¢8:57:48 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢8:59:48 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 95%, very high confidence, 8:57 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88422, $0.00155 above the line of $2.88267
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.88412, $0.00145 above the line of $2.88267
    Bought
    4 × 96¢ = $3.84, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $3.86 · To win $0.14 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  82. 9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMUp97%Correct+$0.14+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$3.840.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.14 (+4%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    96.5¢9:12:46 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢9:14:47 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 97%, very high confidence, 9:12 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88621, $0.00165 above the line of $2.88456
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.88621, $0.00165 above the line of $2.88456
    Bought
    4 × 96¢ = $3.84, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $3.86 · To win $0.14 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  83. 9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMUp57%MissedExtreme−$4.77−106%15¢ to 0¢settled$4.500.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$4.77 (−106%)after $0.27 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    0.5¢9:29:48 PM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    5.5¢9:27:48 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 57%, medium confidence, 9:27 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88873, $0.00190 above the line of $2.88683
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.88698, $0.00015 above the line of $2.88683
    Bought
    30 × 15¢ = $4.50, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.77 · To win $25.23 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  84. 9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMDown79%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  85. 9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMUp67%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  86. 10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMDown87%Correct+$0.67+20%82¢ to 100¢settled$3.280.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.67 (+20%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    96.5¢10:13:49 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢10:14:49 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 87%, very high confidence, 10:12 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87514, $0.00360 below the line of $2.87874
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.87649, $0.00225 below the line of $2.87874
    Bought
    4 × 82¢ = $3.28, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $3.33 · To win $0.67 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  87. 10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMUp95%Correct+$0.18+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$3.800.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.18 (+5%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    96.5¢10:27:50 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢10:29:50 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 95%, very high confidence, 10:27 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87660, $0.00185 above the line of $2.87475
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.87825, $0.00350 above the line of $2.87475
    Bought
    4 × 95¢ = $3.80, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $3.82 · To win $0.18 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  88. 10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMDown42%CorrectLongshot+$4.43+100%49¢ to 100¢settled$4.410.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.43 (+100%)after $0.16 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    23¢10:43:51 PM PT · Longshot
    High while held
    49¢10:44:20 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 42%, low confidence, 10:42 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87519, $0.00265 below the line of $2.87784
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.87819, $0.00035 above the line of $2.87784
    Bought
    9 × 49¢ = $4.41, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.57 · To win $4.43 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  89. 10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMUp29%CorrectExtreme+$13.26+295%25¢ to 100¢settled$4.500.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$13.26 (+295%)after $0.24 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    6.5¢10:59:50 PM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    21.5¢10:57:50 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 29%, low confidence, 10:57 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87957, $0.00225 above the line of $2.87732
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.87597, $0.00135 below the line of $2.87732
    Bought
    18 × 25¢ = $4.50, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.74 · To win $13.26 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  90. 11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMUp88%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  91. 11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMUp32%MissedExtreme−$4.52−105%36¢ to 0¢settled$4.320.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$4.52 (−105%)after $0.20 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    1.5¢11:29:51 PM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    21.5¢11:27:53 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 32%, low confidence, 11:27 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89093, $0.00340 above the line of $2.88753
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.88633, $0.00120 below the line of $2.88753
    Bought
    12 × 36¢ = $4.32, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.52 · To win $7.48 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  92. 11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMUp86%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  93. 11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMDown94%MissedExtreme−$4.29−102%70¢ to 0¢settled$4.200.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$4.29 (−102%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    1.5¢11:59:53 PM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    15.5¢11:58:24 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 94%, very high confidence, 11:57 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88250, $0.00530 below the line of $2.88780
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.88480, $0.00300 below the line of $2.88780
    Bought
    6 × 70¢ = $4.20, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.29 · To win $1.71 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Nov 3, 2026

This file holds all of Reya’s trading for Nov 2, 2026.

  • 93Windows
  • 89Calls
  • 70Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

6bb1ddca1d3e0072141ebb9a154528882f919120b4c3cf3e90429dd320198fe7

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

Natural gas price file

SHA-256 fingerprint

eb9747ebae961b7e400af350e66727e9ee0aa64bb776d52eb2ec7aee9efd90b6

Worked out from Natural gas’s price at the moment of each call and each ticket.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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November 2 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

How did Natural gas trade on November 2, 2026?
Natural gas's price to beat started November 2 at $2.89386 (12 AM) and was $2.88780 by the 11:45 PM window, down $0.00606 (0.21%). The day's high was $2.96394 at 5 AM and the low $2.85475 at 10:15 AM; Natural gas finished higher in 49 of 93 windows.
Did Agent Reya make money on November 2, 2026?
No. Reya lost $190.05 on a $2,000 bankroll: 68 of 89 calls right, 49 tickets won and 21 lost. The best session was Pre-market (+$51.15) and the worst was US open (−$94.14).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute Natural gas contract?
A yes-or-no contract on whether Natural gas finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?
Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: Reya’s record since launch is +$311.41. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

Reya places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.