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AI trading agent · Daily log · Natural gas (NATGAS) 15-minute · Version 1.01a

AI agent Reya’s Natural gas (NATGAS) 15-minute log, October 30, 2026

−$176.93 on a fresh $2,000 roll. 50 of 72 calls right. 42 tickets won, 34 lost.

On Friday, October 30, 2026, Agent Reya called 72 of 77 Natural gas 15-minute windows and got 50 right. Reya bought 76 tickets, only on the called side: 42 won and 34 lost, for −$176.93 on a fresh $2,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $219.26. Reya places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement. On the day, Natural gas’s price to beat went from $2.89940 to $2.87867, down 0.71%.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 31, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 25

‹
Calendar
October 2026
SMTWTFS
123
45678910
11121314151617
1819202122+$39123−$21724
25−$4226+$30527+$28128+$14829−$17830−$17731
November 2026
SMTWTFS
1−$102−$19034567
891011121314
15161718192021
22232425262728
2930

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

›
  1. Sun 25−$41.64peak $96.19start $2k
  2. Mon 26+$304.65peak $273.60start $2k
  3. Tue 27+$280.62peak $170.65start $2k
  4. Wed 28+$148.49peak $385.35start $2k
  5. Thu 29−$177.82peak $414.52start $2k
  6. Fri 30−$176.93peak $219.26start $2k
  7. Sat 31Closed

Week through Fri Oct 30: +$337.37 · highest peak $414.52 (Thu) · 363 of 463 calls right · 298 won, 153 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $2,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

How Natural gas (NATGAS) traded on October 30

Pacific time

Natural gas's price to beat started October 30 at $2.89940 (12 AM) and was $2.87867 by the 8:30 PM window, down $0.02073 (0.71%). The day's high was $2.92441 at 1 AM and the low $2.83968 at 6:15 AM; Natural gas finished higher in 36 of 77 windows.

  • Start$2.8994012 AM window
  • Last$2.878678:30 PM window
  • Change−0.71%−$0.02073
  • High$2.924411 AM
  • Low$2.839686:15 AM
  • Biggest 15-minute move−$0.033166 AM to 6:15 AM
Before the openMarket openAfter the close12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM12 AM
Natural gas’s price to beat at the start of each window Reya called. Gaps are windows with no call.
Natural gas by part of the day, and Reya’s result in each
Part of the dayNatural gas movedWindowsReya
Before the US open12–6:30 AM−$0.04166−1.44%, $2.89940 to $2.8577411 up, 12 down23 windows+$36.8922 tickets
US market open6:30 AM–1 PM+$0.02570+0.90%, $2.85774 to $2.8834414 up, 12 down26 windows−$58.7926 tickets
After the US close1 PM–12 AM−$0.00477−0.17%, $2.88344 to $2.8786711 up, 17 down28 windows−$155.0328 tickets

Prices are Kalshi’s price to beat for each window, as Kalshi set the price when the window opened, kept in this day’s prices file (72 of 77 windows; the rest had no call). Up and down count every window’s result.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

+$36.8917 of 23 right · 22 tickets

  1. Best session

    12–5:30 AM

    Pre-market

    +$35.36

    14 of 19 right · 18 tickets

    Winner1:00–1:15 AM+$48.66

  2. 5:30–6:30 AM

    US data

    +$1.53

    3 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner6:00–6:15 AM+$3.20

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

−$58.7920 of 26 right · 26 tickets

  1. 6:30–7:30 AM

    US open

    −$14.28

    3 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner6:45–7:00 AM+$0.41

  2. 7:30 AM–12 PM

    Midday

    −$36.63

    14 of 18 right · 18 tickets

    Winner11:15–11:30 AM+$5.75

  3. 12–1 PM

    Final hour

    −$7.88

    3 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner12:45–1:00 PM+$2.18

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

−$155.0313 of 23 right · 28 tickets

  1. 1 PM–12 AM

    Into the weekend

    −$155.03

    13 of 23 right · 28 tickets

    Winner5:00–5:15 PM+$27.75

Best ticket
+$48.661:00–1:15 AM, Down
Worst ticket
−$51.452:30–2:45 AM, Up
Biggest ticket
$164.432:45–3:00 AM
How tickets closed
15 took profit · 29 sold or stopped · 32 held

Trade log

Every window, October 30

−$176.93 closed · 42 won, 34 lost · 50 of 72 calls right · 5 passed · biggest ticket $164.43 · 33 tickets went under 50¢ while held, 2 still won

  1. 12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMDown75%Missed−$6.08−62%82¢ to 34¢sold early$9.840.5%Sell 98¢
    Closed
    Cut early at 34¢: the market turned on the call, 12:13 AM PT
    Net
    −$6.08 (−62%)after $0.32 in fees
    If held
    Selling saved $3.89Sold early at 34¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$9.97, so selling saved $3.89.
    Low while held
    34.5¢12:13:38 AM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    95.5¢12:09:07 AM PT
    High after sale
    21.5¢12:14:08 AM PT, then settled at $0
    The call
    Down at 75%, high confidence, 12:02 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89360, $0.00580 below the line of $2.89940
    Bought
    12 × 82¢ = $9.84, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.97 · To win $2.03 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 98¢, stop at 41¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 34¢ (bought at 82¢). I closed the position.

  2. 12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMDown69%MissedLongshot−$6.78−70%81¢ to 27¢sold early$9.720.5%Sell 98¢
    Closed
    Cut early at 27¢: the market turned on the call, 12:27 AM PT
    Net
    −$6.78 (−70%)after $0.30 in fees
    If held
    Selling saved $3.07Sold early at 27¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$9.85, so selling saved $3.07.
    Low while held
    27.5¢12:27:09 AM PT · Longshot
    High while held
    90.5¢12:23:40 AM PT
    High after sale
    8.5¢12:29:24 AM PT, then settled at $0
    The call
    Down at 69%, medium confidence, 12:18 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89770, $0.00335 below the line of $2.90105
    Bought
    12 × 81¢ = $9.72, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.85 · To win $2.15 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 98¢, stop at 41¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 27¢ (bought at 81¢). I closed the position.

  3. 12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMUp98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  4. 12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMUp98%Correct+$0.55+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$19.401.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.55 (+3%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    96.5¢12:59:15 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢12:59:44 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 98%, very high confidence, 12:57 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.92696, $0.00490 above the line of $2.92206
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.92791, $0.00585 above the line of $2.92206
    Bought
    20 × 97¢ = $19.40, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $19.45 · To win $0.55 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  5. 1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMDown73%Correct+$48.66+33%71¢ to 96¢took profit$148.397.4%Sell 96¢
    Closed
    Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 1:12 AM PT
    Net
    +$48.66 (+33%)after $3.59 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    77.5¢1:07:22 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    96.5¢1:12:24 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 73%, high confidence, 1:06 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.92166, $0.00275 below the line of $2.92441
    Bought
    209 × 71¢ = $148.39, 7.4% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $151.41 · To win $57.59 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 96¢, stop at 36¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 96¢ (bought at 71¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.

  6. 1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMDown68%Correct+$2.82+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$10.010.5%Sell 97¢
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.82 (+28%)after $0.17 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    72.5¢1:21:48 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    92.5¢1:25:15 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 68%, medium confidence, 1:21 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.91615, $0.00210 below the line of $2.91825
    Bought
    13 × 77¢ = $10.01, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.18 · To win $2.82 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 97¢, stop at 39¢
  7. 1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMUp67%Correct+$5.40+27%78¢ to 100¢settled$20.281.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$5.40 (+27%)after $0.32 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    76.5¢1:43:20 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    86.5¢1:43:46 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 67%, medium confidence, 1:43 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.91414, $0.00085 above the line of $2.91329
    Bought
    26 × 78¢ = $20.28, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $20.60 · To win $5.40 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  8. 1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMUp68%Correct+$3.25+33%71¢ to 96¢sold$9.940.5%Sell 96¢
    Closed
    Sold at 96¢, the posted sell, 1:53 AM PT
    Net
    +$3.25 (+33%)after $0.25 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    84¢1:50:37 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    96.5¢1:53:08 AM PT
    High after sale
    99.5¢1:58:44 AM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Up at 68%, medium confidence, 1:50 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.91788, $0.00220 above the line of $2.91568
    Bought
    14 × 71¢ = $9.94, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.15 · To win $3.85 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 96¢, stop at 36¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Up at 96¢ (bought at 71¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.

  9. 2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMDown78%Correct+$1.32+14%86¢ to 99¢sold$9.460.5%Sell 98¢
    Closed
    Sold at 99¢, the posted sell, 2:14 AM PT
    Net
    +$1.32 (+14%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    99.5¢2:14:25 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢2:14:25 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 78%, high confidence, 2:10 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.91901, $0.00225 below the line of $2.92126
    Bought
    11 × 86¢ = $9.46, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.56 · To win $1.44 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 98¢, stop at 43¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 99¢ (bought at 86¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.

  10. 2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMDown72%Correct−$5.07−50%78¢ to 42¢sold early$10.140.5%Sell 97¢
    Closed
    Sold early at 42¢: the numbers turned against the call, 2:24 AM PT
    Net
    −$5.07 (−50%)after $0.39 in fees
    If held
    Would have paid +$2.70Sold at 42¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$2.70.
    Low while held
    43¢2:24:17 AM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    54.5¢2:23:37 AM PT
    High after sale
    99.5¢2:29:49 AM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Down at 72%, medium confidence, 2:20 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.91522, $0.00245 below the line of $2.91767
    Bought
    13 × 78¢ = $10.14, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.30 · To win $2.70 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 97¢, stop at 39¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 42¢ (bought at 78¢). I closed the position.

  11. 2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMUp69%Missed−$51.45−102%68¢ to 0¢settled$50.322.5%Sell 96¢
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$51.45 (−102%)after $1.13 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    83.5¢2:44:20 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    92.5¢2:44:46 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 69%, medium confidence, 2:38 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.91430, $0.00180 above the line of $2.91250
    Bought
    74 × 68¢ = $50.32, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $51.45 · To win $22.55 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 96¢, stop at 34¢
  12. 2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMDown84%Correct+$36.38+22%81¢ to 100¢settled$164.438.2%Sell 98¢
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$36.38 (+22%)after $2.19 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    70¢2:55:00 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    70¢2:55:00 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 84%, very high confidence, 2:54 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.90772, $0.00360 below the line of $2.91132
    Bought
    203 × 81¢ = $164.43, 8.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $166.62 · To win $36.38 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 98¢, stop at 41¢
  13. 3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMUp68%Correct+$2.54+25%77¢ to 98¢sold$10.010.5%Sell 97¢
    Closed
    Sold at 98¢, the posted sell, 3:44 AM PT
    Net
    +$2.54 (+25%)after $0.19 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    79.5¢3:34:23 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    98.5¢3:44:28 AM PT
    High after sale
    98.5¢3:44:47 AM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Up at 68%, medium confidence, 3:33 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.90395, $0.00325 above the line of $2.90070
    Bought
    13 × 77¢ = $10.01, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.18 · To win $2.82 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 97¢, stop at 39¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Up at 98¢ (bought at 77¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.

  14. 4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMDown73%Correct+$4.95+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$19.751.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.95 (+25%)after $0.30 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    95.5¢4:12:41 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    98.5¢4:13:12 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 73%, high confidence, 4:12 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89898, $0.00205 below the line of $2.90103
    Bought
    25 × 79¢ = $19.75, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $20.05 · To win $4.95 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  15. 4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMDown73%Missed−$5.73−60%79¢ to 34¢sold early$9.480.5%Hold
    Closed
    Cut early at 34¢: the market turned on the call, 4:27 AM PT
    Net
    −$5.73 (−60%)after $0.33 in fees
    If held
    Selling saved $3.89Sold early at 34¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$9.62, so selling saved $3.89.
    Low while held
    35¢4:27:40 AM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    94.5¢4:22:12 AM PT
    High after sale
    43¢4:28:10 AM PT, then settled at $0
    The call
    Down at 73%, high confidence, 4:19 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89158, $0.00475 below the line of $2.89633
    Bought
    12 × 79¢ = $9.48, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.62 · To win $2.38 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 40¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 34¢ (bought at 79¢). I closed the position.

  16. 4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMDown83%Correct+$1.23+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$9.680.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.23 (+13%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    84.5¢4:35:11 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢4:44:11 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 83%, high confidence, 4:34 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89367, $0.00660 below the line of $2.90027
    Bought
    11 × 88¢ = $9.68, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.77 · To win $1.23 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 44¢
  17. 4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMUp84%Missed−$2.34−56%84¢ to 40¢stopped$4.200.2%Hold
    Closed
    Stopped at 40¢, 4:52 AM PT
    Net
    −$2.34 (−56%)after $0.14 in fees
    If held
    Selling saved $1.91Sold early at 40¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$4.25, so selling saved $1.91.
    Low while held
    43¢4:52:11 AM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    90.5¢4:50:43 AM PT
    High after sale
    39.5¢4:52:42 AM PT, then settled at $0
    The call
    Up at 84%, very high confidence, 4:49 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89285, $0.00840 above the line of $2.88445
    Bought
    5 × 84¢ = $4.20, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.25 · To win $0.75 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 42¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Up at 40¢ (bought at 84¢). The market moved against my call, and I kept the loss contained.

  18. 5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMUp76%Correct+$3.33+35%73¢ to 100¢settled$9.490.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.33 (+35%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    78.5¢5:04:12 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢5:13:12 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 76%, high confidence, 5:03 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89132, $0.00835 above the line of $2.88297
    Bought
    13 × 73¢ = $9.49, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.67 · To win $3.33 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 37¢
  19. 5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMDown84%Correct+$2.38+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$9.480.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.38 (+25%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    85.5¢5:21:42 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢5:28:42 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 84%, very high confidence, 5:21 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88641, $0.01090 below the line of $2.89731
    Bought
    12 × 79¢ = $9.48, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.62 · To win $2.38 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 40¢
  20. 5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMDown68%Correct+$2.82+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$10.010.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.82 (+28%)after $0.17 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    57¢5:36:43 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢5:43:44 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 68%, medium confidence, 5:35 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87574, $0.00550 below the line of $2.88124
    Bought
    13 × 77¢ = $10.01, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.18 · To win $2.82 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 39¢
  21. 5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMUp77%Correct+$1.44+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$9.460.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.44 (+15%)after $0.10 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    81¢5:49:44 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢5:59:44 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 77%, high confidence, 5:47 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87706, $0.01095 above the line of $2.86611
    Bought
    11 × 86¢ = $9.46, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.56 · To win $1.44 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 43¢
  22. 6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMDown78%Correct+$3.20+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$9.620.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.20 (+33%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    62¢6:02:44 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢6:12:14 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 78%, high confidence, 6:01 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.86194, $0.01090 below the line of $2.87284
    Bought
    13 × 74¢ = $9.62, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.80 · To win $3.20 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 37¢
  23. 6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMDown68%MissedLongshot−$5.93−62%60¢ to 26¢stopped$9.600.5%Hold
    Closed
    Stopped at 26¢, 6:20 AM PT
    Net
    −$5.93 (−62%)after $0.49 in fees
    If held
    Selling saved $3.94Sold early at 26¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$9.87, so selling saved $3.94.
    Low while held
    27.5¢6:20:14 AM PT · Longshot
    High while held
    56.5¢6:17:15 AM PT
    High after sale
    17¢6:20:44 AM PT, then settled at $0
    The call
    Down at 68%, medium confidence, 6:16 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.83258, $0.00710 below the line of $2.83968
    Bought
    16 × 60¢ = $9.60, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.87 · To win $6.13 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 30¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 26¢ (bought at 60¢). The market moved against my call, and I kept the loss contained.

  24. 6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMDown74%Missed−$4.32−46%78¢ to 45¢sold early$9.360.5%Hold
    Closed
    Sold early at 45¢: the numbers turned against the call, 6:43 AM PT
    Net
    −$4.32 (−46%)after $0.36 in fees
    If held
    Selling saved $5.19Sold early at 45¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$9.51, so selling saved $5.19.
    Low while held
    47¢6:43:46 AM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    96.5¢6:40:15 AM PT
    High after sale
    16.5¢6:44:16 AM PT, then settled at $0
    The call
    Down at 74%, high confidence, 6:32 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.84854, $0.00920 below the line of $2.85774
    Bought
    12 × 78¢ = $9.36, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.51 · To win $2.49 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 39¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 45¢ (bought at 78¢). I closed the position.

  25. 6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMUp78%Correct+$0.41+26%78¢ to 100¢settled$1.56<0.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.41 (+26%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    73.5¢6:51:45 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢6:59:17 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 78%, high confidence, 6:51 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87111, $0.00895 above the line of $2.86216
    Bought
    2 × 78¢ = $1.56, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $1.59 · To win $0.41 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 39¢
  26. 7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMUp79%Correct−$5.73−60%79¢ to 34¢sold early$9.480.5%Hold
    Closed
    Cut early at 34¢: the market turned on the call, 7:12 AM PT
    Net
    −$5.73 (−60%)after $0.33 in fees
    If held
    Would have paid +$2.38Sold at 34¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$2.38.
    Low while held
    35.5¢7:12:17 AM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    83.5¢7:11:47 AM PT
    High after sale
    85¢7:14:47 AM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Up at 79%, high confidence, 7:07 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88181, $0.00875 above the line of $2.87306
    Bought
    12 × 79¢ = $9.48, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.62 · To win $2.38 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 40¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Up at 34¢ (bought at 79¢). I closed the position.

  27. 7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMUp66%Correct−$4.64−46%72¢ to 42¢sold early$10.080.5%Hold
    Closed
    Sold early at 42¢: the numbers turned against the call, 7:22 AM PT
    Net
    −$4.64 (−46%)after $0.44 in fees
    If held
    Would have paid +$3.72Sold at 42¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$3.72.
    Low while held
    44¢7:22:16 AM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    70.5¢7:21:16 AM PT
    High after sale
    98.5¢7:29:46 AM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Up at 66%, medium confidence, 7:20 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87819, $0.00445 above the line of $2.87374
    Bought
    14 × 72¢ = $10.08, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.28 · To win $3.72 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 36¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Up at 42¢ (bought at 72¢). I closed the position.

  28. 7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMDown74%Correct+$1.65+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.65 (+18%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    87.5¢7:32:16 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢7:41:18 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 74%, high confidence, 7:31 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87644, $0.00780 below the line of $2.88424
    Bought
    11 × 84¢ = $9.24, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.35 · To win $1.65 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 42¢
  29. 7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMDown79%Correct+$1.65+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.65 (+18%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    83¢7:50:17 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢7:59:47 AM PT
    The call
    Down at 79%, high confidence, 7:48 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.85246, $0.00935 below the line of $2.86181
    Bought
    11 × 84¢ = $9.24, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.35 · To win $1.65 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 42¢
  30. 8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMDown68%Missed−$4.10−42%70¢ to 44¢sold early$9.800.5%Sell 96¢
    Closed
    Sold early at 44¢: the numbers turned against the call, 8:04 AM PT
    Net
    −$4.10 (−42%)after $0.46 in fees
    If held
    Selling saved $5.91Sold early at 44¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$10.01, so selling saved $5.91.
    Low while held
    42¢8:03:48 AM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    72.5¢8:02:47 AM PT
    High after sale
    35.5¢8:04:49 AM PT, then settled at $0
    The call
    Down at 68%, medium confidence, 8:02 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.84816, $0.00580 below the line of $2.85396
    Bought
    14 × 70¢ = $9.80, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.01 · To win $3.99 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 44¢ (bought at 70¢). I closed the position.

  31. 8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMUp72%Correct+$3.69+38%70¢ to 98¢sold$9.800.5%Sell 96¢
    Closed
    Sold at 98¢, the posted sell, 8:28 AM PT
    Net
    +$3.69 (+38%)after $0.23 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    57¢8:24:18 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    98.5¢8:28:49 AM PT
    High after sale
    99.5¢8:29:20 AM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Up at 72%, medium confidence, 8:16 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87792, $0.00760 above the line of $2.87032
    Bought
    14 × 70¢ = $9.80, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.01 · To win $3.99 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Up at 98¢ (bought at 70¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.

  32. 8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMUp73%Correct+$2.78+29%74¢ to 97¢sold$9.620.5%Sell 97¢
    Closed
    Sold at 97¢, the posted sell, 8:41 AM PT
    Net
    +$2.78 (+29%)after $0.21 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    75¢8:34:19 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    97.5¢8:41:50 AM PT
    High after sale
    99.5¢8:44:19 AM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Up at 73%, medium confidence, 8:33 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88680, $0.00630 above the line of $2.88050
    Bought
    13 × 74¢ = $9.62, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.80 · To win $3.20 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 97¢, stop at 37¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Up at 97¢ (bought at 74¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.

  33. 8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMUp70%Correct−$2.73−51%77¢ to 41¢sold early$5.390.3%Sell 97¢
    Closed
    Sold early at 41¢: the numbers turned against the call, 8:55 AM PT
    Net
    −$2.73 (−51%)after $0.21 in fees
    If held
    Would have paid +$1.52Sold at 41¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$1.52.
    Low while held
    42.5¢8:55:19 AM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    78¢8:47:20 AM PT
    High after sale
    97.5¢8:59:51 AM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Up at 70%, medium confidence, 8:46 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89423, $0.00580 above the line of $2.88843
    Bought
    7 × 77¢ = $5.39, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $5.48 · To win $1.52 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 97¢, stop at 39¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Up at 41¢ (bought at 77¢). I closed the position.

  34. 9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMUp76%Correct−$2.94−32%84¢ to 60¢sold early$9.240.5%Sell 98¢
    Closed
    Sold at 60¢ to protect the ticket, 9:09 AM PT
    Net
    −$2.94 (−32%)after $0.30 in fees
    If held
    Would have paid +$1.65Sold at 60¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$1.65.
    Low while held
    48¢9:07:51 AM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    95.5¢9:07:20 AM PT
    High after sale
    99.5¢9:14:50 AM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Up at 76%, high confidence, 9:05 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89721, $0.00590 above the line of $2.89131
    Bought
    11 × 84¢ = $9.24, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.35 · To win $1.65 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 98¢, stop at 42¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Up at 60¢ (bought at 84¢). I closed the position.

  35. 9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMDown71%Correct+$0.92+24%78¢ to 98¢sold$3.900.2%Sell 97¢
    Closed
    Sold at 98¢, the posted sell, 9:26 AM PT
    Net
    +$0.92 (+24%)after $0.08 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    75.5¢9:23:22 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    98.5¢9:26:51 AM PT
    High after sale
    99.5¢9:27:51 AM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Down at 71%, medium confidence, 9:19 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89255, $0.00530 below the line of $2.89785
    Bought
    5 × 78¢ = $3.90, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $3.97 · To win $1.03 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 97¢, stop at 39¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 98¢ (bought at 78¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.

  36. 9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMDown78%Missed−$32.76−55%75¢ to 37¢sold early$60.003.0%Sell 97¢
    Closed
    Cut early at 37¢: the market turned on the call, 9:40 AM PT
    Net
    −$32.76 (−55%)after $2.36 in fees
    If held
    Selling saved $28.29Sold early at 37¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$61.05, so selling saved $28.29.
    Low while held
    39¢9:40:55 AM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    87.5¢9:38:22 AM PT
    High after sale
    51.5¢9:41:22 AM PT, then settled at $0
    The call
    Down at 78%, high confidence, 9:35 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.86967, $0.00740 below the line of $2.87707
    Bought
    80 × 75¢ = $60.00, 3.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $61.05 · To win $18.95 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 97¢, stop at 38¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 37¢ (bought at 75¢). I closed the position.

  37. 9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMUp68%Correct+$1.58+23%78¢ to 97¢sold$7.020.4%Sell 97¢
    Closed
    Sold at 97¢, the posted sell, 9:56 AM PT
    Net
    +$1.58 (+23%)after $0.13 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    76.5¢9:52:53 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    97.5¢9:56:53 AM PT
    High after sale
    99.5¢9:58:23 AM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Up at 68%, medium confidence, 9:47 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88921, $0.00540 above the line of $2.88381
    Bought
    9 × 78¢ = $7.02, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $7.13 · To win $1.87 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 97¢, stop at 39¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Up at 97¢ (bought at 78¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.

  38. 10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMUp74%MissedLongshot−$7.36−79%78¢ to 19¢sold early$9.360.5%Hold
    Closed
    Cut early at 19¢: the market turned on the call, 10:14 AM PT
    Net
    −$7.36 (−79%)after $0.28 in fees
    If held
    Selling saved $2.15Sold early at 19¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$9.51, so selling saved $2.15.
    Low while held
    19.5¢10:14:53 AM PT · Longshot
    High while held
    79.5¢10:04:52 AM PT
    The call
    Up at 74%, high confidence, 10:04 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.90341, $0.00695 above the line of $2.89646
    Bought
    12 × 78¢ = $9.36, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.51 · To win $2.49 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 39¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Up at 19¢ (bought at 78¢). I closed the position.

  39. 10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMUp81%Correct+$1.11+11%88¢ to 99¢sold$9.680.5%Sell 99¢
    Closed
    Sold at 99¢, the posted sell, 10:28 AM PT
    Net
    +$1.11 (+11%)after $0.10 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    68.5¢10:21:53 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢10:28:54 AM PT
    High after sale
    99.5¢10:29:24 AM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Up at 81%, high confidence, 10:17 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.90424, $0.00875 above the line of $2.89549
    Bought
    11 × 88¢ = $9.68, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.77 · To win $1.23 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 99¢, stop at 44¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Up at 99¢ (bought at 88¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.

  40. 10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMDown68%Correct+$2.77+29%73¢ to 96¢sold$9.490.5%Sell 96¢
    Closed
    Sold at 96¢, the posted sell, 10:42 AM PT
    Net
    +$2.77 (+29%)after $0.22 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    52.5¢10:33:25 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    96.5¢10:42:24 AM PT
    High after sale
    98.5¢10:44:54 AM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Down at 68%, medium confidence, 10:32 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89937, $0.00355 below the line of $2.90292
    Bought
    13 × 73¢ = $9.49, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.67 · To win $3.33 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 96¢, stop at 37¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 96¢ (bought at 73¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.

  41. 10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMDown67%Correct+$3.68+38%69¢ to 97¢sold$9.660.5%Sell 96¢
    Closed
    Sold at 97¢, the posted sell, 10:58 AM PT
    Net
    +$3.68 (+38%)after $0.24 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    42¢10:52:25 AM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    97.5¢10:58:25 AM PT
    High after sale
    99.5¢10:59:26 AM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Down at 67%, medium confidence, 10:50 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89659, $0.00295 below the line of $2.89954
    Bought
    14 × 69¢ = $9.66, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.87 · To win $4.13 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 97¢ (bought at 69¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.

  42. 11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMDown80%Correct−$2.38−25%79¢ to 62¢sold early$9.480.5%Sell 97¢
    Closed
    Sold at 62¢ to protect the ticket, 11:08 AM PT
    Net
    −$2.38 (−25%)after $0.34 in fees
    If held
    Would have paid +$2.38Sold at 62¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$2.38.
    Low while held
    64¢11:08:56 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    93.5¢11:04:26 AM PT
    High after sale
    99.5¢11:14:54 AM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Down at 80%, high confidence, 11:02 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88560, $0.00730 below the line of $2.89290
    Bought
    12 × 79¢ = $9.48, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.62 · To win $2.38 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 97¢, stop at 40¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 62¢ (bought at 79¢). I closed the position.

  43. 11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMUp82%Correct+$5.75+29%73¢ to 96¢took profit$19.711.0%Sell 96¢
    Closed
    Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 11:27 AM PT
    Net
    +$5.75 (+29%)after $0.46 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    50.5¢11:22:24 AM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    96.5¢11:27:24 AM PT
    High after sale
    99.5¢11:29:24 AM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Up at 82%, high confidence, 11:18 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89751, $0.00870 above the line of $2.88881
    Bought
    27 × 73¢ = $19.71, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $20.09 · To win $6.91 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 96¢, stop at 37¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Up at 96¢ (bought at 73¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.

  44. 11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMDown67%Correct−$5.20−54%69¢ to 35¢sold early$9.660.5%Sell 96¢
    Closed
    Cut early at 35¢: the market turned on the call, 11:44 AM PT
    Net
    −$5.20 (−54%)after $0.44 in fees
    If held
    Would have paid +$4.13Sold at 35¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$4.13.
    Low while held
    36.5¢11:44:27 AM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    83.5¢11:39:58 AM PT
    High after sale
    53.5¢11:44:56 AM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Down at 67%, medium confidence, 11:37 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89665, $0.00335 below the line of $2.90000
    Bought
    14 × 69¢ = $9.66, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.87 · To win $4.13 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 35¢ (bought at 69¢). I closed the position.

  45. 11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMDown72%MissedLongshot−$4.74−70%75¢ to 25¢sold early$6.750.3%Sell 97¢
    Closed
    Cut early at 25¢: the market turned on the call, 11:51 AM PT
    Net
    −$4.74 (−70%)after $0.24 in fees
    If held
    Selling saved $2.13Sold early at 25¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$6.87, so selling saved $2.13.
    Low while held
    25.5¢11:51:57 AM PT · Longshot
    High while held
    84¢11:49:58 AM PT
    High after sale
    68.5¢11:57:59 AM PT, then settled at $0
    The call
    Down at 72%, medium confidence, 11:47 AM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89322, $0.00575 below the line of $2.89897
    Bought
    9 × 75¢ = $6.75, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $6.87 · To win $2.13 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 97¢, stop at 38¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 25¢ (bought at 75¢). I closed the position.

  46. 12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMUp69%Missed−$5.88−60%70¢ to 31¢sold early$9.800.5%Hold
    Closed
    Cut early at 31¢: the market turned on the call, 12:04 PM PT
    Net
    −$5.88 (−60%)after $0.42 in fees
    If held
    Selling saved $4.13Sold early at 31¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$10.01, so selling saved $4.13.
    Low while held
    32¢12:04:56 PM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    59¢12:04:27 PM PT
    High after sale
    30¢12:05:58 PM PT, then settled at $0
    The call
    Up at 69%, medium confidence, 12:02 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.90726, $0.00475 above the line of $2.90251
    Bought
    14 × 70¢ = $9.80, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.01 · To win $3.99 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 35¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Up at 31¢ (bought at 70¢). I closed the position.

  47. 12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMDown65%Correct−$4.83−52%71¢ to 37¢sold early$9.230.5%Hold
    Closed
    Cut early at 37¢: the market turned on the call, 12:25 PM PT
    Net
    −$4.83 (−52%)after $0.41 in fees
    If held
    Would have paid +$3.58Sold at 37¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$3.58.
    Low while held
    38.5¢12:25:56 PM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    38.5¢12:25:56 PM PT
    High after sale
    78.5¢12:28:56 PM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Down at 65%, medium confidence, 12:25 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89282, $0.00180 below the line of $2.89462
    Bought
    13 × 71¢ = $9.23, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.42 · To win $3.58 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 36¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 37¢ (bought at 71¢). I closed the position.

  48. 12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMDown71%Correct+$0.65+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$2.310.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.65 (+28%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    64¢12:37:28 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢12:43:57 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 71%, medium confidence, 12:35 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.89047, $0.00380 below the line of $2.89427
    Bought
    3 × 77¢ = $2.31, 0.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $2.35 · To win $0.65 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 39¢
  49. 12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMDown68%Correct+$2.18+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$8.690.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.18 (+25%)after $0.13 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    55.5¢12:52:58 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    99.5¢12:59:59 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 68%, medium confidence, 12:48 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88482, $0.00360 below the line of $2.88842
    Bought
    11 × 79¢ = $8.69, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.82 · To win $2.18 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 40¢
  50. 1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMDown73%Correct+$0.56+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$4.400.2%Sell 99¢
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.56 (+13%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    65.5¢1:24:29 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    98.5¢1:29:00 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 73%, medium confidence, 1:22 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88139, $0.00205 below the line of $2.88344
    Bought
    5 × 88¢ = $4.40, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.44 · To win $0.56 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 99¢, stop at 44¢
  51. 1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMUp69%Correct+$2.46+27%76¢ to 98¢sold$9.120.5%Sell 97¢
    Closed
    Sold at 98¢, the posted sell, 1:43 PM PT
    Net
    +$2.46 (+27%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    55.5¢1:37:59 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    98.5¢1:42:59 PM PT
    High after sale
    99.5¢1:44:29 PM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Up at 69%, medium confidence, 1:34 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88241, $0.00180 above the line of $2.88061
    Bought
    12 × 76¢ = $9.12, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.28 · To win $2.72 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 97¢, stop at 38¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Up at 98¢ (bought at 76¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.

  52. 1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMDown85%Missed−$5.73−59%81¢ to 36¢sold early$9.720.5%Sell 98¢
    Closed
    Cut early at 36¢: the market turned on the call, 1:56 PM PT
    Net
    −$5.73 (−59%)after $0.33 in fees
    If held
    Selling saved $4.12Sold early at 36¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$9.85, so selling saved $4.12.
    Low while held
    36.5¢1:56:30 PM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    81¢1:49:59 PM PT
    High after sale
    42.5¢1:59:00 PM PT, then settled at $0
    The call
    Down at 85%, very high confidence, 1:48 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87960, $0.00330 below the line of $2.88290
    Bought
    12 × 81¢ = $9.72, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.85 · To win $2.15 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 98¢, stop at 41¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 36¢ (bought at 81¢). I closed the position.

  53. 2:00 PM–to 2:15 PMUp66%Correct+$1.09+19%80¢ to 97¢sold$5.600.3%Sell 97¢
    Closed
    Sold at 97¢, the posted sell, 2:13 PM PT
    Net
    +$1.09 (+19%)after $0.10 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    80¢2:07:02 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    97.5¢2:13:32 PM PT
    High after sale
    99.5¢2:14:31 PM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Up at 66%, medium confidence, 2:06 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88414, $0.00115 above the line of $2.88299
    Bought
    7 × 80¢ = $5.60, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $5.68 · To win $1.32 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 97¢, stop at 40¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Up at 97¢ (bought at 80¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.

  54. 2:15 PM–to 2:30 PMDown66%Correct−$8.75−45%54¢ to 33¢sold early$19.441.0%Sell 94¢
    Closed
    Cut early at 33¢: the market turned on the call, 2:21 PM PT
    Net
    −$8.75 (−45%)after $1.19 in fees
    If held
    Would have paid +$15.93Sold at 33¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$15.93.
    Low while held
    34¢2:21:02 PM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    54¢2:20:32 PM PT
    High after sale
    97.5¢2:29:32 PM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Down at 66%, medium confidence, 2:20 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88508, $0.00115 below the line of $2.88623
    Bought
    36 × 54¢ = $19.44, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $20.07 · To win $15.93 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 94¢, stop at 27¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 33¢ (bought at 54¢). I closed the position.

  55. 2:30 PM–to 2:45 PMDown89%MissedExtreme−$19.34−102%73¢ to 0¢settled$18.980.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$19.34 (−102%)after $0.36 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    8¢2:44:31 PM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    20¢2:44:03 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 89%, very high confidence, 2:42 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88322, $0.00160 below the line of $2.88482
    Bought
    26 × 73¢ = $18.98, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $19.34 · To win $6.66 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  56. 2:45 PM–to 3:00 PMUp59%MissedExtreme−$12.18−104%49¢ to 0¢settled$11.760.6%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$12.18 (−104%)after $0.42 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    1.5¢2:59:32 PM PT · Extreme
    High while held
    3.5¢2:59:03 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 59%, medium confidence, 2:58 PM PT
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.88684, $0.00015 above the line of $2.88669
    Bought
    24 × 49¢ = $11.76, 0.6% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $12.18 · To win $11.82 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  57. 3:00 PM–to 3:15 PMDown72%MissedLongshot−$50.12−85%66¢ to 12¢sold early$58.742.9%Sell 95¢
    Closed
    Cut early at 12¢: the market turned on the call, 3:14 PM PT
    Net
    −$50.12 (−85%)after $2.06 in fees
    If held
    Selling saved $10.02Sold early at 12¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$60.14, so selling saved $10.02.
    Low while held
    15.5¢3:14:05 PM PT · Longshot
    High while held
    68.5¢3:06:32 PM PT
    High after sale
    5.5¢3:14:32 PM PT, then settled at $0
    The call
    Down at 72%, medium confidence, 3:05 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88308, $0.00150 below the line of $2.88458
    Bought
    89 × 66¢ = $58.74, 2.9% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $60.14 · To win $28.86 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 12¢ (bought at 66¢). I closed the position.

  58. 3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMDown67%Missed−$7.80−41%59¢ to 38¢sold early$18.880.9%Sell 94¢
    Closed
    Sold early at 38¢: the numbers turned against the call, 3:28 PM PT
    Net
    −$7.80 (−41%)after $1.08 in fees
    If held
    Selling saved $11.63Sold early at 38¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$19.43, so selling saved $11.63.
    Low while held
    36.5¢3:25:04 PM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    61.5¢3:27:05 PM PT
    High after sale
    2.5¢3:29:03 PM PT, then settled at $0
    The call
    Down at 67%, medium confidence, 3:19 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88376, $0.00125 below the line of $2.88501
    Bought
    32 × 59¢ = $18.88, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $19.43 · To win $12.57 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 94¢, stop at 30¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 38¢ (bought at 59¢). I closed the position.

  59. 3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMUp70%MissedLongshot−$22.03−51%53¢ to 29¢sold early$42.932.1%Sell 93¢
    Closed
    Cut early at 29¢: the market turned on the call, 3:41 PM PT
    Net
    −$22.03 (−51%)after $2.59 in fees
    If held
    Selling saved $22.32Sold early at 29¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$44.35, so selling saved $22.32.
    Low while held
    29.5¢3:41:35 PM PT · Longshot
    High while held
    66.5¢3:35:04 PM PT
    High after sale
    18¢3:42:04 PM PT, then settled at $0
    The call
    Up at 70%, medium confidence, 3:31 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88750, $0.00150 above the line of $2.88600
    Bought
    81 × 53¢ = $42.93, 2.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $44.35 · To win $36.65 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 93¢, stop at 27¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Up at 29¢ (bought at 53¢). I closed the position.

  60. 3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMUp84%Missed−$21.46−65%75¢ to 29¢sold early$33.001.7%Sell 97¢
    Closed
    Cut early at 29¢: the market turned on the call, 3:57 PM PT
    Net
    −$21.46 (−65%)after $1.22 in fees
    If held
    Selling saved $12.12Sold early at 29¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$33.58, so selling saved $12.12.
    Low while held
    39¢3:57:35 PM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    75¢3:57:04 PM PT
    High after sale
    7¢3:58:05 PM PT, then settled at $0
    The call
    Up at 84%, very high confidence, 3:54 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88669, $0.00230 above the line of $2.88439
    Bought
    44 × 75¢ = $33.00, 1.7% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $33.58 · To win $10.42 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 97¢, stop at 38¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Up at 29¢ (bought at 75¢). I closed the position.

  61. 4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMDown75%Correct−$4.69−54%58¢ to 30¢sold early$8.700.4%Hold
    Closed
    Cut early at 30¢: the market turned on the call, 4:09 PM PT
    Net
    −$4.69 (−54%)after $0.49 in fees
    If held
    Would have paid +$6.04Sold at 30¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$6.04.
    Low while held
    30.5¢4:09:04 PM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    56.5¢4:07:35 PM PT
    High after sale
    95.5¢4:14:36 PM PT, then settled at $1
    The call
    Down at 75%, high confidence, 4:06 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88039, $0.00185 below the line of $2.88224
    Bought
    15 × 58¢ = $8.70, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.96 · To win $6.04 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 29¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 30¢ (bought at 58¢). I closed the position.

  62. 4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMDown67%MissedLongshot−$2.33−49%48¢ to 28¢sold early$4.800.2%Sell 93¢
    Closed
    Cut early at 28¢: the market turned on the call, 4:21 PM PT
    Net
    −$2.33 (−49%)after $0.33 in fees
    If held
    Selling saved $2.65Sold early at 28¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$4.98, so selling saved $2.65.
    Low while held
    29.5¢4:21:35 PM PT · Longshot
    High while held
    43.5¢4:21:05 PM PT
    High after sale
    80¢4:28:05 PM PT, then settled at $0
    The call
    Down at 67%, medium confidence, 4:20 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87992, $0.00125 below the line of $2.88117
    Bought
    10 × 48¢ = $4.80, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.98 · To win $5.02 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 93¢, stop at 24¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 28¢ (bought at 48¢). I closed the position.

  63. 4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMUp76%Missed−$18.66−101%80¢ to 0¢settled$18.400.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$18.66 (−101%)after $0.26 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    36¢4:43:36 PM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    85.5¢4:44:37 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 76%, high confidence, 4:42 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88877, $0.00140 above the line of $2.88737
    Bought
    23 × 80¢ = $18.40, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $18.66 · To win $4.34 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  64. 4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMDown98%Correct+$2.82+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$17.000.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.82 (+17%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    93.5¢4:59:07 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    94.5¢4:59:36 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 98%, very high confidence, 4:58 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88002, $0.00395 below the line of $2.88397
    Bought
    20 × 85¢ = $17.00, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $17.18 · To win $2.82 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  65. 5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMDown66%Correct+$27.75+89%52¢ to 100¢settled$31.201.6%Sell 93¢
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$27.75 (+89%)after $1.05 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    51.5¢5:05:37 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    81.5¢5:14:38 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 66%, medium confidence, 5:05 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87949, $0.00195 below the line of $2.88144
    Bought
    60 × 52¢ = $31.20, 1.6% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $32.25 · To win $27.75 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 93¢, stop at 26¢
  66. 5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMUp76%Correct+$6.09+45%68¢ to 100¢settled$13.600.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$6.09 (+45%)after $0.31 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    73.5¢5:29:10 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    91¢5:29:37 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 76%, high confidence, 5:28 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88202, $0.00125 above the line of $2.88077
    Bought
    20 × 68¢ = $13.60, 0.7% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $13.91 · To win $6.09 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  67. 5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMUp71%Correct+$4.95+56%63¢ to 100¢settled$8.820.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.95 (+56%)after $0.23 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    63.5¢5:38:41 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    98¢5:43:38 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 71%, medium confidence, 5:38 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88297, $0.00135 above the line of $2.88162
    Bought
    14 × 63¢ = $8.82, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.05 · To win $4.95 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 32¢
  68. 5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMDown58%Correct+$0.53+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$18.430.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.53 (+3%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    96.5¢5:59:08 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    97.5¢5:59:39 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 58%, medium confidence, 5:58 PM PT
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.88543, $0.00015 below the line of $2.88558
    Bought
    19 × 97¢ = $18.43, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $18.47 · To win $0.53 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  69. 6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMUp71%Missed−$0.90−34%67¢ to 48¢sold early$2.680.1%Hold
    Closed
    Sold early at 48¢: the numbers turned against the call, 6:03 PM PT
    Net
    −$0.90 (−34%)after $0.14 in fees
    If held
    Selling saved $1.85Sold early at 48¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$2.75, so selling saved $1.85.
    Low while held
    49¢6:03:40 PM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    52.5¢6:03:10 PM PT
    High after sale
    38.5¢6:04:42 PM PT, then settled at $0
    The call
    Up at 71%, medium confidence, 6:02 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88517, $0.00120 above the line of $2.88397
    Bought
    4 × 67¢ = $2.68, 0.1% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $2.75 · To win $1.25 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close, stop at 34¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Up at 48¢ (bought at 67¢). I closed the position.

  70. 6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMUp50%Correct+$0.51+11%89¢ to 100¢settled$4.450.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.51 (+11%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    93.5¢6:29:10 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    98.5¢6:29:40 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 50%, medium confidence, 6:28 PM PT
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.88061, on the line of $2.88061
    Bought
    5 × 89¢ = $4.45, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.49 · To win $0.51 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  71. 6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMDown58%Correct+$10.88+140%41¢ to 100¢settled$7.790.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$10.88 (+140%)after $0.33 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    37¢6:44:10 PM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    66.5¢6:44:40 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 58%, medium confidence, 6:43 PM PT
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.88084, $0.00015 below the line of $2.88099
    Bought
    19 × 41¢ = $7.79, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.12 · To win $10.88 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  72. 7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMDown98%Correct+$4.12+22%81¢ to 100¢settled$18.630.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.12 (+22%)after $0.25 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    56.5¢7:14:11 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    80.5¢7:13:41 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 98%, very high confidence, 7:12 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87883, $0.00165 below the line of $2.88048
    Bought
    23 × 81¢ = $18.63, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $18.88 · To win $4.12 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  73. 7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMUp81%Missed−$31.58−59%69¢ to 31¢sold early$53.132.7%Sell 96¢
    Closed
    Cut early at 31¢: the market turned on the call, 7:24 PM PT
    Net
    −$31.58 (−59%)after $2.32 in fees
    If held
    Selling saved $22.71Sold early at 31¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$54.29, so selling saved $22.71.
    Low while held
    32.5¢7:24:12 PM PT · under 50¢
    High while held
    71¢7:23:43 PM PT
    High after sale
    36¢7:24:42 PM PT, then settled at $0
    The call
    Up at 81%, high confidence, 7:21 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.88156, $0.00140 above the line of $2.88016
    Bought
    77 × 69¢ = $53.13, 2.7% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $54.29 · To win $22.71 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Up at 31¢ (bought at 69¢). I closed the position.

  74. 7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMUp94%Correct+$0.53+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$18.430.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.53 (+3%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    96¢7:44:13 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    97.5¢7:44:43 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 94%, very high confidence, 7:43 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87830, $0.00080 above the line of $2.87750
    Bought
    19 × 97¢ = $18.43, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $18.47 · To win $0.53 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  75. 8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMDown65%Correct+$4.27+72%54¢ to 95¢sold$5.940.3%Sell 94¢
    Closed
    Sold at 95¢, the posted sell, 8:14 PM PT
    Net
    +$4.27 (+72%)after $0.24 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    53.5¢8:05:43 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    95.5¢8:14:43 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 65%, medium confidence, 8:05 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87901, $0.00070 below the line of $2.87971
    Bought
    11 × 54¢ = $5.94, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $6.14 · To win $4.86 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Sell at 94¢, stop at 27¢

    In Reya’s words

    Sold Down at 95¢ (bought at 54¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.

  76. 8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMUp62%Missed−$18.78−102%77¢ to 0¢settled$18.480.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$18.78 (−102%)after $0.30 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    Low while held
    73¢8:29:14 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    78.5¢8:29:44 PM PT
    The call
    Up at 62%, medium confidence, 8:28 PM PT
    Natural gas at the buy
    $2.87909, $0.00015 above the line of $2.87894
    Bought
    24 × 77¢ = $18.48, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $18.78 · To win $5.22 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  77. 8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMDown98%Correct+$2.76+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$18.060.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.76 (+15%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    Low while held
    94.5¢8:44:14 PM PT · never under 50¢
    High while held
    98.5¢8:44:44 PM PT
    The call
    Down at 98%, very high confidence, 8:43 PM PT
    Natural gas at the call
    $2.87717, $0.00150 below the line of $2.87867
    Bought
    21 × 86¢ = $18.06, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $18.24 · To win $2.76 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 31, 2026

This file holds all of Reya’s trading for Oct 30, 2026.

  • 77Windows
  • 72Calls
  • 76Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

ee34b5fb2069fe9ab88a7ea7ef8135dc8d033262f0aa6695aec2c43e690d9148

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

Natural gas price file

SHA-256 fingerprint

e81489f3075ce24102699264de5d353c6a0a99a4ffe778de4eb7c65172632634

Worked out from Natural gas’s price at the moment of each call and each ticket.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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October 30 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

How did Natural gas trade on October 30, 2026?
Natural gas's price to beat started October 30 at $2.89940 (12 AM) and was $2.87867 by the 8:30 PM window, down $0.02073 (0.71%). The day's high was $2.92441 at 1 AM and the low $2.83968 at 6:15 AM; Natural gas finished higher in 36 of 77 windows.
Did Agent Reya make money on October 30, 2026?
No. Reya lost $176.93 on a $2,000 bankroll: 50 of 72 calls right, 42 tickets won and 34 lost. The best session was Pre-market (+$35.36) and the worst was Into the weekend (−$155.03).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute Natural gas contract?
A yes-or-no contract on whether Natural gas finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?
Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: Reya’s record since launch is +$511.45. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

Reya places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.