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AI trading agent · Daily log · AUD/USD (Australian dollar) 15-minute · Versions 1.1 and 2.0

AI agent Aussie’s AUD/USD (Australian dollar) 15-minute log, October 30, 2026

+$98.04 on a fresh $1,000 roll. 26 of 36 calls right. 19 tickets won, 10 lost.

On Friday, October 30, 2026, Agent Aussie called 36 of 36 AUD/USD 15-minute windows and got 26 right. Aussie bought 29 tickets, only on the called side: 19 won and 10 lost, for +$98.04 on a fresh $1,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $38.26. Aussie places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 31, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 25

‹
Calendar
October 2026
SMTWTFS
123
45678910
11121314151617
18+$4419+$22420−$11721+$10422+$17723−$9924
25−$5726−$16127+$4328−$14329+$30130+$9831
November 2026
SMTWTFS
1+$52−$21034567
891011121314
15161718192021
22232425262728
2930

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

›
  1. Sun 25−$57.13peak $57.13start $1k
  2. Mon 26−$161.34peak $170.51start $1k
  3. Tue 27+$42.63peak $19.87start $1k
  4. Wed 28−$142.75peak $142.75start $1k
  5. Thu 29+$301.38peak $91.33start $1k
  6. Fri 30+$98.04peak $38.26start $1k
  7. Sat 31Closed

Week through Fri Oct 30: +$80.83 · highest peak $170.51 (Mon) · 185 of 320 calls right · 124 won, 134 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $1,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

+$163.599 of 12 right · 9 tickets

  1. Best session

    12–5:30 AM

    Pre-market

    +$141.56

    7 of 9 right · 6 tickets

    Winner2:45–3:00 AM+$157.20

  2. 5:30–6:30 AM

    US data

    +$22.03

    2 of 3 right · 3 tickets

    Winner5:45–6:00 AM+$33.15

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

−$58.2115 of 21 right · 17 tickets

  1. 6:30–7:30 AM

    US open

    −$9.30

    1 of 2 right · 2 tickets

    Winner7:15–7:30 AM+$2.91

  2. 7:30 AM–12 PM

    Midday

    −$38.43

    11 of 15 right · 11 tickets

    Winner9:45–10:00 AM+$6.54

  3. 12–1 PM

    Final hour

    −$10.48

    3 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner12:15–12:30 PM+$0.61

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

−$7.342 of 3 right · 3 tickets

  1. 1 PM–12 AM

    Into the weekend

    −$7.34

    2 of 3 right · 3 tickets

    Winner1:00–1:15 PM+$2.20

Best ticket
+$157.202:45–3:00 AM, Up
Worst ticket
−$12.457:45–8:00 AM, Down
Biggest ticket
$19.582:45–3:00 AM
How tickets closed
0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 29 held

Trade log

Every window, October 30

+$98.04 closed · 19 won, 10 lost · 26 of 36 calls right · biggest ticket $19.58

  1. 12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMUp88%Correct+$0.74+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$9.200.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.74 (+8%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 88%, very high confidence, 12:13 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 92¢ = $9.20, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.26 · To win $0.74 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  2. 12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMUp33%Missed−$10.36−105%29¢ to 0¢settled$9.861.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.36 (−105%)after $0.50 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 33%, low confidence, 12:27 AM PT
    Bought
    34 × 29¢ = $9.86, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.36 · To win $23.64 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  3. 12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMDownCorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  4. 12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMUp22%Missed−$10.40−106%22¢ to 0¢settled$9.851.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.40 (−106%)after $0.55 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 22%, low confidence, 12:56 AM PT
    Bought
    45 × 22¢ = $9.85, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.40 · To win $34.60 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  5. 2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMDownCorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  6. 2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMUp87¢Correct+$1.34+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$9.571.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.34 (+14%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 87¢, the market’s price, 2:44 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 87¢ = $9.57, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.66 · To win $1.34 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  7. 2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMUp25%Correct+$157.20+803%11¢ to 100¢settled$19.582.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$157.20 (+803%)after $1.22 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 25%, low confidence, 2:57 AM PT
    Bought
    178 × 11¢ = $19.58, 2.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $20.80 · To win $157.20 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  8. 4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMUpCorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  9. 5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMDown83%Correct+$3.04+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$10.781.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.04 (+28%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 83%, high confidence, 5:13 AM PT
    Bought
    14 × 77¢ = $10.78, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.96 · To win $3.04 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  10. 5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMUp35%Correct+$33.15+295%25¢ to 100¢settled$11.251.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$33.15 (+295%)after $0.60 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 35%, low confidence, 5:58 AM PT
    Bought
    45 × 25¢ = $11.25, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $11.85 · To win $33.15 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  11. 6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMDown97%Correct+$0.78+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$11.161.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.78 (+7%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 97%, very high confidence, 6:13 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 93¢ = $11.16, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $11.22 · To win $0.78 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  12. 6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMDown64%Missed−$11.90−104%38¢ to 0¢settled$11.401.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$11.90 (−104%)after $0.50 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 64%, medium confidence, 6:28 AM PT
    Bought
    30 × 38¢ = $11.40, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $11.90 · To win $18.10 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  13. 6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMDown38%Missed−$12.21−105%27¢ to 0¢settled$11.611.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$12.21 (−105%)after $0.60 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 38%, low confidence, 6:43 AM PT
    Bought
    43 × 27¢ = $11.61, 1.2% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $12.21 · To win $30.79 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  14. 7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMUp60%Correct+$2.91+27%78¢ to 100¢settled$10.921.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.91 (+27%)after $0.17 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 60%, medium confidence, 7:28 AM PT
    Bought
    14 × 78¢ = $10.92, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $11.09 · To win $2.91 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  15. 7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMDown2%Missed−$12.45−108%2¢ to 0¢settled$11.541.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$12.45 (−108%)after $0.91 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 2%, low confidence, 7:58 AM PT
    Bought
    663 × 2¢ = $11.54, 1.2% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $12.45 · To win $650.55 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  16. 8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  17. 8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  18. 8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMUp68%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  19. 9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMUp59%Correct+$0.56+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$11.401.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.56 (+5%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 59%, medium confidence, 9:13 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 95¢ = $11.40, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $11.44 · To win $0.56 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  20. 9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMDown91%Correct+$0.67+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$11.281.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.67 (+6%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 91%, very high confidence, 9:28 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 94¢ = $11.28, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $11.33 · To win $0.67 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  21. 9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMDown64%Correct+$1.01+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$10.921.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.01 (+9%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 64%, medium confidence, 9:43 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 91¢ = $10.92, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.99 · To win $1.01 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  22. 9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMUp62%Correct+$6.54+59%62¢ to 100¢settled$11.161.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$6.54 (+59%)after $0.30 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 62%, medium confidence, 9:58 AM PT
    Bought
    18 × 62¢ = $11.16, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $11.46 · To win $6.54 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  23. 10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMDown16%Missed−$12.26−107%4¢ to 0¢settled$11.481.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$12.26 (−107%)after $0.78 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 16%, low confidence, 10:13 AM PT
    Bought
    287 × 4¢ = $11.48, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $12.26 · To win $274.74 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  24. 10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMDown96%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  25. 10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMUp60%Missed−$12.09−107%6¢ to 0¢settled$11.341.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$12.09 (−107%)after $0.75 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 60%, medium confidence, 10:58 AM PT
    Bought
    189 × 6¢ = $11.34, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $12.09 · To win $176.91 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  26. 11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMUp92%Correct+$0.18+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$4.800.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.18 (+4%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 92%, very high confidence, 11:13 AM PT
    Bought
    5 × 96¢ = $4.80, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.82 · To win $0.18 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  27. 11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMDown97%Correct+$0.58+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$8.370.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.58 (+7%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 97%, very high confidence, 11:28 AM PT
    Bought
    9 × 93¢ = $8.37, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.42 · To win $0.58 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  28. 11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMUp19%Missed−$11.88−106%14¢ to 0¢settled$11.201.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$11.88 (−106%)after $0.68 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 19%, low confidence, 11:43 AM PT
    Bought
    80 × 14¢ = $11.20, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $11.88 · To win $68.12 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  29. 11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMUp92%Correct+$0.71+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$10.231.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.71 (+7%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 92%, very high confidence, 11:58 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 93¢ = $10.23, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.29 · To win $0.71 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  30. 12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMUp72%Correct+$0.35+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$10.621.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.35 (+3%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 72%, medium confidence, 12:13 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 97¢ = $10.62, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.65 · To win $0.35 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  31. 12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMDown68%Correct+$0.61+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$10.341.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.61 (+6%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 68%, medium confidence, 12:28 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 94¢ = $10.34, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.39 · To win $0.61 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  32. 12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMDown85%Correct+$0.51+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$10.451.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.51 (+5%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 85%, very high confidence, 12:43 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 95¢ = $10.45, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.49 · To win $0.51 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  33. 12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMDown0%Missed−$11.95−107%3¢ to 0¢settled$11.161.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$11.95 (−107%)after $0.79 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 0%, low confidence, 12:58 PM PT
    Bought
    387 × 3¢ = $11.16, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $11.95 · To win $375.05 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  34. 1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMUp74%Correct+$2.20+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$10.661.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.20 (+21%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 74%, high confidence, 1:13 PM PT
    Bought
    13 × 82¢ = $10.66, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.80 · To win $2.20 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  35. 1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMDown77%Correct+$2.08+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$10.791.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.08 (+19%)after $0.13 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 77%, high confidence, 1:28 PM PT
    Bought
    13 × 83¢ = $10.79, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.92 · To win $2.08 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  36. 1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMDown18%Missed−$11.62−106%18¢ to 0¢settled$10.981.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$11.62 (−106%)after $0.64 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 18%, low confidence, 1:58 PM PT
    Bought
    61 × 18¢ = $10.98, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $11.62 · To win $49.38 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 31, 2026

This file holds all of Aussie’s trading for Oct 30, 2026.

  • 36Windows
  • 36Calls
  • 29Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

cacf3a6bdaa1d6aa6f0191fd91c2700f94050ab0c7b1821465d49335925cf1e9

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

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October 30 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent Aussie make money on October 30, 2026?
Yes. Aussie made $98.04 on a $1,000 bankroll: 26 of 36 calls right, 19 tickets won and 10 lost. The best session was Pre-market (+$141.56) and the worst was Midday (−$38.43).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute AUD/USD contract?
A yes-or-no contract on whether AUD/USD finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?
Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: Aussie’s record since launch is +$413.69. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

Aussie places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.