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AI trading agent · Daily log · WTI crude oil 15-minute · Version 1.3

AI agent Lee’s WTI crude oil 15-minute log, October 30, 2026

−$217.38 on a fresh $5,000 roll. 62 of 82 calls right. 47 tickets won, 18 lost.

On Friday, October 30, 2026, Agent Lee called 82 of 82 WTI oil 15-minute windows and got 62 right. Lee bought 65 tickets, only on the called side: 47 won and 18 lost, for −$217.38 on a fresh $5,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $396.78. Lee places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 31, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 25

‹
Calendar
October 2026
SMTWTFS
123
45678910
11121314151617
1819+$320−$54621−$34622−$8923+$6324
25−$20426−$4527−$48628−$19829+$26830−$21731
November 2026
SMTWTFS
1−$452−$57334567
891011121314
15161718192021
22232425262728
2930

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

›
  1. Sun 25−$204.00peak $458.95start $5k
  2. Mon 26−$44.96peak $413.56start $5k
  3. Tue 27−$485.68peak $598.71start $5k
  4. Wed 28−$198.44peak $499.40start $5k
  5. Thu 29+$267.73peak $289.70start $5k
  6. Fri 30−$217.38peak $396.78start $5k
  7. Sat 31Closed

Week through Fri Oct 30: −$882.73 · highest peak $598.71 (Tue) · 375 of 491 calls right · 360 won, 114 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $5,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

+$67.7219 of 24 right · 24 tickets

  1. 12–5:30 AM

    Pre-market

    −$48.84

    15 of 20 right · 20 tickets

    Winner4:00–4:15 AM+$29.86

  2. Best session

    5:30–6:30 AM

    US data

    +$116.56

    4 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner6:00–6:15 AM+$35.43

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

−$296.8817 of 26 right · 26 tickets

  1. 6:30–7:30 AM

    US open

    −$140.86

    1 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner6:45–7:00 AM+$11.55

  2. 7:30 AM–12 PM

    Midday

    −$202.12

    12 of 18 right · 18 tickets

    Winner7:30–7:45 AM+$38.50

  3. 12–1 PM

    Final hour

    +$46.10

    4 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner12:45–1:00 PM+$17.54

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

+$11.7826 of 32 right · 15 tickets

  1. 1 PM–12 AM

    Into the weekend

    +$11.78

    26 of 32 right · 15 tickets

    Winner4:00–4:15 PM+$34.67

Best ticket
+$38.507:30–7:45 AM, Down
Worst ticket
−$100.608:30–8:45 AM, Down
Biggest ticket
$99.908:30–8:45 AM
How tickets closed
0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 65 held

Trade log

Every window, October 30

−$217.38 closed · 47 won, 18 lost · 62 of 82 calls right · biggest ticket $99.90

  1. 12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMUp97%Correct+$9.18+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$99.192.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$9.18 (+9%)after $0.63 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 97%, very high confidence, 12:06 AM PT
    Bought
    109 × 91¢ = $99.19, 2.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $99.82 · To win $9.18 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  2. 12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMUp89%Correct+$8.08+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$99.362.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$8.08 (+8%)after $0.56 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 89%, very high confidence, 12:21 AM PT
    Bought
    108 × 92¢ = $99.36, 2.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $99.92 · To win $8.08 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  3. 12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMUp96%Correct+$2.92+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$22.880.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.92 (+13%)after $0.20 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 96%, very high confidence, 12:40 AM PT
    Bought
    26 × 88¢ = $22.88, 0.5% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $23.08 · To win $2.92 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  4. 12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMUp97%Correct+$1.42+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$49.471.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.42 (+3%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 97%, very high confidence, 12:55 AM PT
    Bought
    51 × 97¢ = $49.47, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $49.58 · To win $1.42 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  5. 1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMUp75%Missed−$28.20−102%69¢ to 0¢settled$27.600.6%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$28.20 (−102%)after $0.60 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 75%, high confidence, 1:08 AM PT
    Bought
    40 × 69¢ = $27.60, 0.6% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $28.20 · To win $11.80 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  6. 1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMDown95%Correct+$2.97+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$49.821.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.97 (+6%)after $0.21 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 95%, very high confidence, 1:25 AM PT
    Bought
    53 × 94¢ = $49.82, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $50.03 · To win $2.97 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  7. 1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMDown86%Correct+$8.18+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$49.301.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$8.18 (+17%)after $0.52 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 86%, very high confidence, 1:53 AM PT
    Bought
    58 × 85¢ = $49.30, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $49.82 · To win $8.18 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  8. 2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMDown98%Correct+$10.34+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$50.021.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$10.34 (+21%)after $0.64 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 98%, very high confidence, 2:10 AM PT
    Bought
    61 × 82¢ = $50.02, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $50.66 · To win $10.34 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  9. 2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMUp87%Correct+$2.07+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$14.790.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.07 (+14%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 87%, very high confidence, 2:24 AM PT
    Bought
    17 × 87¢ = $14.79, 0.3% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $14.93 · To win $2.07 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  10. 2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMDown68%Missed−$49.85−101%90¢ to 0¢settled$49.501.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$49.85 (−101%)after $0.35 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 68%, medium confidence, 2:38 AM PT
    Bought
    55 × 90¢ = $49.50, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $49.85 · To win $5.15 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  11. 2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMUp86%Correct+$7.49+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$49.021.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$7.49 (+15%)after $0.49 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 86%, very high confidence, 2:55 AM PT
    Bought
    57 × 86¢ = $49.02, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $49.51 · To win $7.49 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  12. 3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMDown48%Missed−$51.28−104%48¢ to 0¢settled$49.481.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$51.28 (−104%)after $1.80 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 48%, low confidence, 3:10 AM PT
    Bought
    103 × 48¢ = $49.48, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $51.28 · To win $51.72 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  13. 3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMUp54%Missed−$50.73−103%54¢ to 0¢settled$49.141.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$50.73 (−103%)after $1.59 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 54%, medium confidence, 3:24 AM PT
    Bought
    91 × 54¢ = $49.14, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $50.73 · To win $40.27 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  14. 3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMDown85%Correct+$8.04+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$48.451.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$8.04 (+17%)after $0.51 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 85%, very high confidence, 3:40 AM PT
    Bought
    57 × 85¢ = $48.45, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $48.96 · To win $8.04 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  15. 4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMDown61%Correct+$29.86+61%61¢ to 100¢settled$48.801.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$29.86 (+61%)after $1.34 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 61%, medium confidence, 4:08 AM PT
    Bought
    80 × 61¢ = $48.80, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $50.14 · To win $29.86 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  16. 4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMUp53%Missed−$21.50−103%58¢ to 0¢settled$20.880.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$21.50 (−103%)after $0.62 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 53%, medium confidence, 4:23 AM PT
    Bought
    36 × 58¢ = $20.88, 0.4% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $21.50 · To win $14.50 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  17. 4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMUp80%Correct+$12.10+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$48.191.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$12.10 (+25%)after $0.71 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 80%, high confidence, 4:38 AM PT
    Bought
    61 × 79¢ = $48.19, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $48.90 · To win $12.10 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  18. 4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMDown75%Correct+$14.54+30%76¢ to 100¢settled$48.641.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$14.54 (+30%)after $0.82 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 75%, high confidence, 4:53 AM PT
    Bought
    64 × 76¢ = $48.64, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $49.46 · To win $14.54 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  19. 5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMDown85%Correct+$5.67+12%89¢ to 100¢settled$48.951.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$5.67 (+12%)after $0.38 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 85%, very high confidence, 5:08 AM PT
    Bought
    55 × 89¢ = $48.95, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $49.33 · To win $5.67 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  20. 5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMDown51%Correct+$29.86+61%61¢ to 100¢settled$48.801.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$29.86 (+61%)after $1.34 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 51%, medium confidence, 5:23 AM PT
    Bought
    80 × 61¢ = $48.80, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $50.14 · To win $29.86 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  21. 5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMUp60%Correct+$27.58+56%63¢ to 100¢settled$49.141.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$27.58 (+56%)after $1.28 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 60%, medium confidence, 5:38 AM PT
    Bought
    78 × 63¢ = $49.14, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $50.42 · To win $27.58 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  22. 5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMDown69%Correct+$33.01+67%59¢ to 100¢settled$49.561.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$33.01 (+67%)after $1.43 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 69%, medium confidence, 5:53 AM PT
    Bought
    84 × 59¢ = $49.56, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $50.99 · To win $33.01 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  23. 6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMDown60%Correct+$35.43+71%58¢ to 100¢settled$50.081.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$35.43 (+71%)after $1.49 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 60%, medium confidence, 6:08 AM PT
    Bought
    87 × 58¢ = $50.08, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $51.57 · To win $35.43 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  24. 6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMUp69%Correct+$20.54+41%70¢ to 100¢settled$50.401.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$20.54 (+41%)after $1.06 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 69%, medium confidence, 6:23 AM PT
    Bought
    72 × 70¢ = $50.40, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $51.46 · To win $20.54 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  25. 6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMUp85%Missed−$50.37−101%91¢ to 0¢settled$50.051.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$50.37 (−101%)after $0.32 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 85%, very high confidence, 6:38 AM PT
    Bought
    55 × 91¢ = $50.05, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $50.37 · To win $4.63 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  26. 6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMUp85%Correct+$11.55+12%89¢ to 100¢settled$99.682.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$11.55 (+12%)after $0.77 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 85%, very high confidence, 6:51 AM PT
    Bought
    112 × 89¢ = $99.68, 2.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $100.45 · To win $11.55 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  27. 7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMDown26%Missed−$51.46−103%53¢ to 0¢settled$49.821.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$51.46 (−103%)after $1.64 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 26%, low confidence, 7:08 AM PT
    Bought
    94 × 53¢ = $49.82, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $51.46 · To win $42.54 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  28. 7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMUp63%Missed−$50.58−103%60¢ to 0¢settled$49.201.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$50.58 (−103%)after $1.38 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 63%, medium confidence, 7:23 AM PT
    Bought
    82 × 60¢ = $49.20, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $50.58 · To win $31.42 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  29. 7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMDown52%Correct+$38.50+79%55¢ to 100¢settled$48.951.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$38.50 (+79%)after $1.55 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 52%, medium confidence, 7:38 AM PT
    Bought
    89 × 55¢ = $48.95, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $50.50 · To win $38.50 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  30. 7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMUp80%Correct+$29.08+59%62¢ to 100¢settled$49.601.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$29.08 (+59%)after $1.32 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 80%, high confidence, 7:53 AM PT
    Bought
    80 × 62¢ = $49.60, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $50.92 · To win $29.08 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  31. 8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMDown94%Correct+$1.01+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$10.920.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.01 (+9%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 94%, very high confidence, 8:07 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 91¢ = $10.92, 0.2% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.99 · To win $1.01 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  32. 8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMDown64%Correct+$18.34+37%72¢ to 100¢settled$49.681.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$18.34 (+37%)after $0.98 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 64%, medium confidence, 8:23 AM PT
    Bought
    69 × 72¢ = $49.68, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $50.66 · To win $18.34 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  33. 8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMDown82%Missed−$100.60−101%90¢ to 0¢settled$99.902.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$100.60 (−101%)after $0.70 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 82%, high confidence, 8:36 AM PT
    Bought
    111 × 90¢ = $99.90, 2.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $100.60 · To win $10.40 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  34. 8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMDown60%Missed−$50.53−103%52¢ to 0¢settled$48.881.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$50.53 (−103%)after $1.65 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 60%, medium confidence, 8:53 AM PT
    Bought
    94 × 52¢ = $48.88, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $50.53 · To win $43.47 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  35. 9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMUp65%Correct+$24.72+51%65¢ to 100¢settled$48.101.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$24.72 (+51%)after $1.18 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 65%, medium confidence, 9:08 AM PT
    Bought
    74 × 65¢ = $48.10, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $49.28 · To win $24.72 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  36. 9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMUp63%Missed−$49.27−101%84¢ to 0¢settled$48.721.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$49.27 (−101%)after $0.55 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 63%, medium confidence, 9:23 AM PT
    Bought
    58 × 84¢ = $48.72, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $49.27 · To win $8.73 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  37. 9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMUp59%Correct+$32.23+67%59¢ to 100¢settled$48.381.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$32.23 (+67%)after $1.39 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 59%, medium confidence, 9:38 AM PT
    Bought
    82 × 59¢ = $48.38, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $49.77 · To win $32.23 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  38. 9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMUp77%Correct+$7.36+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$48.161.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$7.36 (+15%)after $0.48 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 77%, high confidence, 9:53 AM PT
    Bought
    56 × 86¢ = $48.16, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $48.64 · To win $7.36 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  39. 10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMDown79%Missed−$97.99−101%91¢ to 0¢settled$97.371.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$97.99 (−101%)after $0.62 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 79%, high confidence, 10:05 AM PT
    Bought
    107 × 91¢ = $97.37, 1.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $97.99 · To win $9.01 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  40. 10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMDown67%Correct+$20.35+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$47.611.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$20.35 (+43%)after $1.04 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 67%, medium confidence, 10:23 AM PT
    Bought
    69 × 69¢ = $47.61, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $48.65 · To win $20.35 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  41. 10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMDown77%Correct+$8.58+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$47.881.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$8.58 (+18%)after $0.54 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 77%, high confidence, 10:38 AM PT
    Bought
    57 × 84¢ = $47.88, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $48.42 · To win $8.58 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  42. 10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMUp52%Missed−$96.07−101%90¢ to 0¢settled$95.401.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$96.07 (−101%)after $0.67 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 52%, medium confidence, 10:50 AM PT
    Bought
    106 × 90¢ = $95.40, 1.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $96.07 · To win $9.93 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  43. 11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMDown48%Missed−$47.98−102%66¢ to 0¢settled$46.860.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$47.98 (−102%)after $1.12 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 48%, low confidence, 11:08 AM PT
    Bought
    71 × 66¢ = $46.86, 0.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $47.98 · To win $23.02 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  44. 11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMDown55%Correct+$32.23+69%58¢ to 100¢settled$46.400.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$32.23 (+69%)after $1.37 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 55%, medium confidence, 11:23 AM PT
    Bought
    80 × 58¢ = $46.40, 0.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $47.77 · To win $32.23 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  45. 11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMDown92%Correct+$9.74+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$93.601.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$9.74 (+10%)after $0.66 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 92%, very high confidence, 11:37 AM PT
    Bought
    104 × 90¢ = $93.60, 1.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $94.26 · To win $9.74 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  46. 11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMUp66%Correct+$18.18+39%71¢ to 100¢settled$46.860.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$18.18 (+39%)after $0.96 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 66%, medium confidence, 11:53 AM PT
    Bought
    66 × 71¢ = $46.86, 0.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $47.82 · To win $18.18 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  47. 12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMDown79%Correct+$8.67+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$93.731.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$8.67 (+9%)after $0.60 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 79%, high confidence, 12:05 PM PT
    Bought
    103 × 91¢ = $93.73, 1.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $94.33 · To win $8.67 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  48. 12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMDown78%Correct+$9.83+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$94.501.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$9.83 (+10%)after $0.67 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 78%, high confidence, 12:20 PM PT
    Bought
    105 × 90¢ = $94.50, 1.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $95.17 · To win $9.83 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  49. 12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMDown50%Correct+$10.06+47%67¢ to 100¢settled$21.440.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$10.06 (+47%)after $0.50 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 50%, medium confidence, 12:38 PM PT
    Bought
    32 × 67¢ = $21.44, 0.4% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $21.94 · To win $10.06 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  50. 12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMUp69%Correct+$17.54+37%72¢ to 100¢settled$47.521.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$17.54 (+37%)after $0.94 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 69%, medium confidence, 12:53 PM PT
    Bought
    66 × 72¢ = $47.52, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $48.46 · To win $17.54 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  51. 1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMDown93%Correct+$8.11+9%92¢ to 100¢settled$95.351.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$8.11 (+9%)after $0.54 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 93%, very high confidence, 1:06 PM PT
    Bought
    104 × 92¢ = $95.35, 1.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $95.89 · To win $8.11 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  52. 1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMUp69%Correct+$19.40+41%70¢ to 100¢settled$47.601.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$19.40 (+41%)after $1.00 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 69%, medium confidence, 1:23 PM PT
    Bought
    68 × 70¢ = $47.60, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $48.60 · To win $19.40 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  53. 1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMDown85%Correct+$0.53+22%81¢ to 100¢settled$2.43<0.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.53 (+22%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 85%, very high confidence, 1:38 PM PT
    Bought
    3 × 81¢ = $2.43, <0.1% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $2.47 · To win $0.53 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  54. 1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMDown81%Missed−$49.01−103%62¢ to 0¢settled$47.741.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$49.01 (−103%)after $1.27 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 81%, high confidence, 1:53 PM PT
    Bought
    77 × 62¢ = $47.74, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $49.01 · To win $27.99 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  55. 2:00 PM–to 2:15 PMDown89%Correct+$14.92+32%75¢ to 100¢settled$47.250.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$14.92 (+32%)after $0.83 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 89%, very high confidence, 2:08 PM PT
    Bought
    63 × 75¢ = $47.25, 0.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $48.08 · To win $14.92 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  56. 2:15 PM–to 2:30 PMDown64%Missed−$48.48−103%63¢ to 0¢settled$47.250.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$48.48 (−103%)after $1.23 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 64%, medium confidence, 2:23 PM PT
    Bought
    75 × 63¢ = $47.25, 0.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $48.48 · To win $26.52 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  57. 2:30 PM–to 2:45 PMDown65%Correct+$24.05+51%65¢ to 100¢settled$46.800.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$24.05 (+51%)after $1.15 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 65%, medium confidence, 2:38 PM PT
    Bought
    72 × 65¢ = $46.80, 0.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $47.95 · To win $24.05 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  58. 2:45 PM–to 3:00 PMUp56%Correct+$23.02+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$46.860.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$23.02 (+49%)after $1.12 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 56%, medium confidence, 2:53 PM PT
    Bought
    71 × 66¢ = $46.86, 0.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $47.98 · To win $23.02 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  59. 3:00 PM–to 3:15 PMUp86%Correct+$17.54+37%72¢ to 100¢settled$47.521.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$17.54 (+37%)after $0.94 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 86%, very high confidence, 3:08 PM PT
    Bought
    66 × 72¢ = $47.52, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $48.46 · To win $17.54 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  60. 3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMDown98%Correct+$9.57+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$94.761.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$9.57 (+10%)after $0.67 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 98%, very high confidence, 3:22 PM PT
    Bought
    105 × 90¢ = $94.76, 1.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $95.43 · To win $9.57 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  61. 3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMUp60%Correct+$13.49+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$47.741.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$13.49 (+28%)after $0.77 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 60%, medium confidence, 3:38 PM PT
    Bought
    62 × 77¢ = $47.74, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $48.51 · To win $13.49 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  62. 3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMUp92%Correct+$7.90+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$47.601.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$7.90 (+17%)after $0.50 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 92%, very high confidence, 3:53 PM PT
    Bought
    56 × 85¢ = $47.60, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $48.10 · To win $7.90 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  63. 4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMDown56%Correct+$34.67+72%57¢ to 100¢settled$47.881.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$34.67 (+72%)after $1.45 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 56%, medium confidence, 4:08 PM PT
    Bought
    84 × 57¢ = $47.88, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $49.33 · To win $34.67 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  64. 4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMUp77%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  65. 4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  66. 4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMDown71%Missed−$50.36−104%38¢ to 0¢settled$48.261.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$50.36 (−104%)after $2.10 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 71%, medium confidence, 4:57 PM PT
    Bought
    127 × 38¢ = $48.26, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $50.36 · To win $76.64 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  67. 5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMDown88%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  68. 5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMDown92%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  69. 5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMDown71%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  70. 5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMUp87%Missed−$13.57−103%60¢ to 0¢settled$13.200.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$13.57 (−103%)after $0.37 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 87%, very high confidence, 5:57 PM PT
    Bought
    22 × 60¢ = $13.20, 0.3% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $13.57 · To win $8.43 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  71. 6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMDown92%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  72. 6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMDown34%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  73. 6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMDown39%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  74. 6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMUp92%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  75. 7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMUp96%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  76. 7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMDown87%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  77. 7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMUp71%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  78. 7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMUp72%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  79. 8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMDown98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  80. 8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMDown93%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  81. 8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMUp50%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  82. 8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMUp71%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 31, 2026

This file holds all of Lee’s trading for Oct 30, 2026.

  • 82Windows
  • 82Calls
  • 65Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

db42939933570ab201b5991704ae2942a3e8132e2f70557c42198696d10a4fe3

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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October 30 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent Lee make money on October 30, 2026?
No. Lee lost $217.38 on a $5,000 bankroll: 62 of 82 calls right, 47 tickets won and 18 lost. The best session was US data (+$116.56) and the worst was Midday (−$202.12).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute WTI oil contract?
A yes-or-no contract on whether WTI oil finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?
Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: Lee’s record since launch is −$1,797.48. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

Lee places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.