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AI trading agent · Daily log · USD/JPY (Japanese yen) 15-minute · Version 2.0

AI agent USD/JPY’s USD/JPY (Japanese yen) 15-minute log, October 30, 2026

−$82.82 on a fresh $1,000 roll. 29 of 45 calls right. 20 tickets won, 16 lost.

On Friday, October 30, 2026, Agent USD/JPY called 45 of 45 USD/JPY 15-minute windows and got 29 right. USD/JPY bought 36 tickets, only on the called side: 20 won and 16 lost, for −$82.82 on a fresh $1,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $85.70. USD/JPY places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 31, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 25

‹
Calendar
October 2026
SMTWTFS
123
45678910
11121314151617
18+$2219+$1120−$12321+$2022−$15823−$2424
25+$5826−$3827+$4128−$13229+$4630−$8331
November 2026
SMTWTFS
1−$1262−$14834567
891011121314
15161718192021
22232425262728
2930

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

›
  1. Sun 25+$58.08peak $52.93start $1k
  2. Mon 26−$37.67peak $80.60start $1k
  3. Tue 27+$41.01peak $70.91start $1k
  4. Wed 28−$132.08peak $145.84start $1k
  5. Thu 29+$45.96peak $75.55start $1k
  6. Fri 30−$82.82peak $85.70start $1k
  7. Sat 31Closed

Week through Fri Oct 30: −$107.52 · highest peak $145.84 (Wed) · 263 of 420 calls right · 191 won, 156 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $1,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

+$9.0613 of 16 right · 12 tickets

  1. Best session

    12–5:30 AM

    Pre-market

    +$7.83

    10 of 13 right · 11 tickets

    Winner4:45–5:00 AM+$26.88

  2. 5:30–6:30 AM

    US data

    +$1.23

    3 of 3 right · 1 ticket

    Winner6:00–6:15 AM+$1.23

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

−$85.5615 of 26 right · 21 tickets

  1. 6:30–7:30 AM

    US open

    −$9.52

    3 of 4 right · 3 tickets

    Winner6:45–7:00 AM+$0.65

  2. 7:30 AM–12 PM

    Midday

    −$60.60

    10 of 18 right · 15 tickets

    Winner10:30–10:45 AM+$2.95

  3. 12–1 PM

    Final hour

    −$15.44

    2 of 4 right · 3 tickets

    Winner12:30–12:45 PM+$3.83

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

−$6.321 of 3 right · 3 tickets

  1. 1 PM–12 AM

    Into the weekend

    −$6.32

    1 of 3 right · 3 tickets

    Winner1:00–1:15 PM+$13.41

Best ticket
+$26.884:45–5:00 AM, Down
Worst ticket
−$10.7112:15–12:30 AM, Up
Biggest ticket
$10.0212:15–12:30 AM
How tickets closed
0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 36 held

Trade log

Every window, October 30

−$82.82 closed · 20 won, 16 lost · 29 of 45 calls right · biggest ticket $10.02

  1. 12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMDown67%Correct+$3.85+39%71¢ to 100¢settled$9.941.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.85 (+39%)after $0.21 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 67%, medium confidence, 12:12 AM PT
    Bought
    14 × 71¢ = $9.94, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.15 · To win $3.85 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  2. 12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMUp4%Missed−$10.71−107%3¢ to 0¢settled$10.021.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.71 (−107%)after $0.69 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 4%, low confidence, 12:23 AM PT
    Bought
    334 × 3¢ = $10.02, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.71 · To win $323.29 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  3. 12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMUp97%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  4. 12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMDown75¢Correct+$3.07+31%75¢ to 100¢settled$9.751.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.07 (+31%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 75¢, the market’s price, 12:55 AM PT
    Bought
    13 × 75¢ = $9.75, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.93 · To win $3.07 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  5. 1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMUp6%Missed−$10.59−107%7¢ to 0¢settled$9.941.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.59 (−107%)after $0.65 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 6%, low confidence, 1:11 AM PT
    Bought
    142 × 7¢ = $9.94, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.59 · To win $131.41 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  6. 1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMUp97¢Correct+$0.27+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$9.701.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.27 (+3%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 97¢, the market’s price, 1:42 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 97¢ = $9.70, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.73 · To win $0.27 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  7. 1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMDown80%Correct+$0.27+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$9.701.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.27 (+3%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 80%, high confidence, 1:57 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 97¢ = $9.70, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.73 · To win $0.27 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  8. 2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMDown89¢Correct+$1.13+12%89¢ to 100¢settled$9.791.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.13 (+12%)after $0.08 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 89¢, the market’s price, 2:44 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 89¢ = $9.79, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.87 · To win $1.13 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  9. 4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMUp7%Missed−$10.51−107%4¢ to 0¢settled$9.841.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.51 (−107%)after $0.67 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 7%, low confidence, 4:08 AM PT
    Bought
    246 × 4¢ = $9.84, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.51 · To win $235.49 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  10. 4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMUp89%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  11. 4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMDown95%Correct+$0.32+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$6.650.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.32 (+5%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 95%, very high confidence, 4:42 AM PT
    Bought
    7 × 95¢ = $6.65, 0.7% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $6.68 · To win $0.32 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  12. 4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMDown22%Correct+$26.88+279%26¢ to 100¢settled$9.621.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$26.88 (+279%)after $0.50 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 22%, low confidence, 4:54 AM PT
    Bought
    37 × 26¢ = $9.62, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.12 · To win $26.88 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  13. 5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMUp71%Correct+$3.85+39%71¢ to 100¢settled$9.941.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.85 (+39%)after $0.21 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 71%, medium confidence, 5:27 AM PT
    Bought
    14 × 71¢ = $9.94, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.15 · To win $3.85 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  14. 5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMDown95%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  15. 6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMUp94%Correct+$1.23+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$9.681.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.23 (+13%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 94%, very high confidence, 6:12 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 88¢ = $9.68, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.77 · To win $1.23 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  16. 6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMUp98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  17. 6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMUp12%Missed−$10.63−106%10¢ to 0¢settled$10.001.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.63 (−106%)after $0.63 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 12%, low confidence, 6:34 AM PT
    Bought
    100 × 10¢ = $10.00, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.63 · To win $89.37 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  18. 6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMUp90%Correct+$0.65+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$9.300.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.65 (+7%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 90%, very high confidence, 6:57 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 93¢ = $9.30, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.35 · To win $0.65 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  19. 7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMDown93%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  20. 7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMUp91%Correct+$0.46+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$9.500.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.46 (+5%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 91%, very high confidence, 7:27 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 95¢ = $9.50, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.54 · To win $0.46 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  21. 7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMUp88%Missed−$9.97−101%90¢ to 0¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.97 (−101%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 88%, very high confidence, 7:42 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 90¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.97 · To win $1.03 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  22. 7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMUp73%Correct+$2.49+27%78¢ to 100¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.49 (+27%)after $0.15 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 73%, high confidence, 7:57 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 78¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.51 · To win $2.49 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  23. 8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMUp85%Correct+$0.37+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.37 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 85%, very high confidence, 8:12 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 96¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.63 · To win $0.37 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  24. 8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  25. 8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMUp73%Missed−$9.45−101%85¢ to 0¢settled$9.350.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.45 (−101%)after $0.10 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 73%, high confidence, 8:42 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 85¢ = $9.35, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.45 · To win $1.55 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  26. 8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMDown2%Missed−$10.46−107%2¢ to 0¢settled$9.811.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.46 (−107%)after $0.65 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 2%, low confidence, 8:52 AM PT
    Bought
    471 × 2¢ = $9.81, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.46 · To win $460.54 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  27. 9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMDown99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  28. 9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMDown12%Missed−$10.36−107%6¢ to 0¢settled$9.701.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.36 (−107%)after $0.66 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 12%, low confidence, 9:23 AM PT
    Bought
    165 × 6¢ = $9.70, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.36 · To win $154.64 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  29. 9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMDown14%Missed−$6.28−106%3¢ to 0¢settled$5.920.6%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$6.28 (−106%)after $0.36 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 14%, low confidence, 9:40 AM PT
    Bought
    172 × 3¢ = $5.92, 0.6% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $6.28 · To win $165.72 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  30. 9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  31. 10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMUp79%Correct+$2.61+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.61 (+28%)after $0.15 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 79%, high confidence, 10:12 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 77¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.39 · To win $2.61 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  32. 10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMDown52%Missed−$9.55−103%62¢ to 0¢settled$9.300.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.55 (−103%)after $0.25 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 52%, medium confidence, 10:27 AM PT
    Bought
    15 × 62¢ = $9.30, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.55 · To win $5.45 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  33. 10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMDown65%Correct+$2.95+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$8.880.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.95 (+33%)after $0.17 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 65%, medium confidence, 10:42 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 74¢ = $8.88, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.05 · To win $2.95 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  34. 10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMDown95%Correct+$0.33+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.33 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 95%, very high confidence, 10:57 AM PT
    Bought
    9 × 96¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.67 · To win $0.33 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  35. 11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMDown84%Correct+$0.37+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$4.600.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.37 (+8%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 84%, very high confidence, 11:12 AM PT
    Bought
    5 × 92¢ = $4.60, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.63 · To win $0.37 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  36. 11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMDown96%Correct+$0.25+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$8.730.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.25 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 96%, very high confidence, 11:27 AM PT
    Bought
    9 × 97¢ = $8.73, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.75 · To win $0.25 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  37. 11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMDown79%Missed−$4.25−101%84¢ to 0¢settled$4.200.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$4.25 (−101%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 79%, high confidence, 11:42 AM PT
    Bought
    5 × 84¢ = $4.20, 0.4% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $4.25 · To win $0.75 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  38. 11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMUp80%Missed−$9.65−104%49¢ to 0¢settled$9.310.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.65 (−104%)after $0.34 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 80%, high confidence, 11:57 AM PT
    Bought
    19 × 49¢ = $9.31, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.65 · To win $9.35 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  39. 12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMDown8%Missed−$10.01−107%6¢ to 0¢settled$9.370.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.01 (−107%)after $0.64 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 8%, low confidence, 12:07 PM PT
    Bought
    162 × 6¢ = $9.37, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.01 · To win $151.99 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  40. 12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMUp94%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  41. 12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMUp66%Correct+$3.83+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$8.970.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.83 (+43%)after $0.20 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 66%, medium confidence, 12:42 PM PT
    Bought
    13 × 69¢ = $8.97, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.17 · To win $3.83 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  42. 12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMUp91%Missed−$9.26−101%92¢ to 0¢settled$9.200.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.26 (−101%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 91%, very high confidence, 12:57 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 92¢ = $9.20, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.26 · To win $0.74 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  43. 1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMUp52%Correct+$13.41+146%40¢ to 100¢settled$9.200.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$13.41 (+146%)after $0.39 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 52%, medium confidence, 1:12 PM PT
    Bought
    23 × 40¢ = $9.20, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.59 · To win $13.41 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  44. 1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMDown21%Missed−$9.86−106%17¢ to 0¢settled$9.310.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.86 (−106%)after $0.55 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 21%, low confidence, 1:22 PM PT
    Bought
    55 × 17¢ = $9.31, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.86 · To win $45.14 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  45. 1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMUp0%Missed−$9.87−107%5¢ to 0¢settled$9.250.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.87 (−107%)after $0.62 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 0%, low confidence, 1:55 PM PT
    Bought
    185 × 5¢ = $9.25, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.87 · To win $175.13 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 31, 2026

This file holds all of USD/JPY’s trading for Oct 30, 2026.

  • 45Windows
  • 45Calls
  • 36Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

0bbf4fa09b97246307b97c54bdfac0abf201593c89afbfad43dc4930e96b8906

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

How a fingerprint works

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October 30 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent USD/JPY make money on October 30, 2026?
No. USD/JPY lost $82.82 on a $1,000 bankroll: 29 of 45 calls right, 20 tickets won and 16 lost. The best session was Pre-market (+$7.83) and the worst was Midday (−$60.60).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute USD/JPY contract?
A yes-or-no contract on whether USD/JPY finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?
Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: USD/JPY’s record since launch is −$359.58. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

USD/JPY places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.