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AI trading agent · Daily log · USD/JPY (Japanese yen) 15-minute · Version 2.0

AI agent USD/JPY’s USD/JPY (Japanese yen) 15-minute log, October 25, 2026

+$58.08 on a fresh $1,000 roll. 24 of 37 calls right. 18 tickets won, 13 lost.

On Sunday, October 25, 2026, Agent USD/JPY called 37 of 37 USD/JPY 15-minute windows and got 24 right. USD/JPY bought 31 tickets, only on the called side: 18 won and 13 lost, for +$58.08 on a fresh $1,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $52.93. USD/JPY places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 29, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 25

‹
Calendar
October 2026
SMTWTFS
123
45678910
11121314151617
18+$2219+$1120−$12321+$2022−$15823−$2424
25+$5826−$3827+$4128−$13229+$4630−$8331
November 2026
SMTWTFS
1−$1262−$14834567
891011121314
15161718192021
22232425262728
2930

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

›
  1. Sun 25+$58.08peak $52.93start $1k
  2. Mon 26−$37.67peak $80.60start $1k
  3. Tue 27+$41.01peak $70.91start $1k
  4. Wed 28−$132.08peak $145.84start $1k
  5. Thu 29+$45.96peak $75.55start $1k
  6. Fri 30−$82.82peak $85.70start $1k
  7. Sat 31Closed

Week through Fri Oct 30: −$107.52 · highest peak $145.84 (Wed) · 263 of 420 calls right · 191 won, 156 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $1,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Sunday

12 AM–3 PM

+$3.153 of 3 right · 3 tickets

  1. 12–6 AM

    Sunday night

    Closed

    No windows

    No market this session

  2. 6 AM–3 PM

    Sunday day

    +$3.15

    3 of 3 right · 3 tickets

    Winner2:45–3:00 PM+$1.65

The week reopens

3 PM–12 AM

+$54.9321 of 34 right · 28 tickets

  1. 3–6:30 PM

    Futures and Tokyo

    −$14.78

    7 of 13 right · 9 tickets

    Winner4:15–4:30 PM+$41.55

  2. Best session

    6:30 PM–12 AM

    China open

    +$69.71

    14 of 21 right · 19 tickets

    Winner11:00–11:15 PM+$108.86

Best ticket
+$108.8611:00–11:15 PM, Up
Worst ticket
−$10.995:00–5:15 PM, Down
Biggest ticket
$10.6411:30–11:45 PM
How tickets closed
0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 31 held

Trade log

Every window, October 25

+$58.08 closed · 18 won, 13 lost · 24 of 37 calls right · biggest ticket $10.64

  1. 2:15 PM–to 2:30 PMUp69¢Correct+$0.88+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$2.070.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.88 (+43%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 69¢, the market’s price, 2:27 PM PT
    Bought
    3 × 69¢ = $2.07, 0.2% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $2.12 · To win $0.88 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  2. 2:30 PM–to 2:45 PMUp89%Correct+$0.62+26%78¢ to 100¢settled$2.340.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.62 (+26%)after $0.04 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 89%, very high confidence, 2:42 PM PT
    Bought
    3 × 78¢ = $2.34, 0.2% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $2.38 · To win $0.62 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  3. 2:45 PM–to 3:00 PMUp85%Correct+$1.65+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.65 (+18%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 85%, very high confidence, 2:57 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 84¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.35 · To win $1.65 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  4. 3:00 PM–to 3:15 PMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  5. 3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMDown54%Correct+$7.18+75%56¢ to 100¢settled$9.521.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$7.18 (+75%)after $0.30 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 54%, medium confidence, 3:27 PM PT
    Bought
    17 × 56¢ = $9.52, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.82 · To win $7.18 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  6. 3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMDown88%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  7. 3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMUp96%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  8. 4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMDown19%Missed−$10.62−106%13¢ to 0¢settled$10.011.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.62 (−106%)after $0.61 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 19%, low confidence, 4:04 PM PT
    Bought
    77 × 13¢ = $10.01, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.62 · To win $66.38 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  9. 4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMDown26%Correct+$41.55+421%19¢ to 100¢settled$9.881.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$41.55 (+421%)after $0.57 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 26%, low confidence, 4:24 PM PT
    Bought
    52 × 19¢ = $9.88, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.45 · To win $41.55 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  10. 4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMDown98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  11. 4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMUp69%Missed−$9.97−101%82¢ to 0¢settled$9.841.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.97 (−101%)after $0.13 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 69%, medium confidence, 4:57 PM PT
    Bought
    12 × 82¢ = $9.84, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.97 · To win $2.03 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  12. 5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMDown1%Missed−$10.99−107%6¢ to 0¢settled$10.311.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.99 (−107%)after $0.68 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 1%, low confidence, 5:07 PM PT
    Bought
    172 × 6¢ = $10.31, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.99 · To win $161.01 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  13. 5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMUp3%Missed−$10.90−107%3¢ to 0¢settled$10.201.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.90 (−107%)after $0.70 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 3%, low confidence, 5:41 PM PT
    Bought
    340 × 3¢ = $10.20, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.90 · To win $329.10 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  14. 5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMUp99%Correct+$0.27+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$9.701.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.27 (+3%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 99%, very high confidence, 5:57 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 97¢ = $9.70, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.73 · To win $0.27 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  15. 6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMUp4%Missed−$10.74−107%7¢ to 0¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.74 (−107%)after $0.66 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 4%, low confidence, 6:04 PM PT
    Bought
    144 × 7¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.74 · To win $133.26 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  16. 6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMUp4%Missed−$10.56−106%8¢ to 0¢settled$9.921.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.56 (−106%)after $0.64 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 4%, low confidence, 6:19 PM PT
    Bought
    124 × 8¢ = $9.92, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.56 · To win $113.44 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  17. 6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMUp66%Missed−$1.59−102%78¢ to 0¢settled$1.560.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$1.59 (−102%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 66%, medium confidence, 6:42 PM PT
    Bought
    2 × 78¢ = $1.56, 0.2% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $1.59 · To win $0.41 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  18. 6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMUp20%Missed−$10.44−106%17¢ to 0¢settled$9.861.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.44 (−106%)after $0.58 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 20%, low confidence, 6:51 PM PT
    Bought
    58 × 17¢ = $9.86, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.44 · To win $47.56 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  19. 7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMDown95%Correct+$0.27+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$9.701.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.27 (+3%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 95%, very high confidence, 7:12 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 97¢ = $9.70, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.73 · To win $0.27 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  20. 7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMUp79%Correct+$1.03+12%89¢ to 100¢settled$8.900.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.03 (+12%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 79%, high confidence, 7:27 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 89¢ = $8.90, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.97 · To win $1.03 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  21. 7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMDown93%Correct+$0.65+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$9.300.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.65 (+7%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 93%, very high confidence, 7:42 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 93¢ = $9.30, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.35 · To win $0.65 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  22. 7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMUp98%Correct+$0.27+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$9.701.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.27 (+3%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 98%, very high confidence, 7:57 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 97¢ = $9.70, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.73 · To win $0.27 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  23. 8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMUp87%Correct+$1.03+12%89¢ to 100¢settled$8.900.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.03 (+12%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 87%, very high confidence, 8:12 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 89¢ = $8.90, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $8.97 · To win $1.03 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  24. 8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMUp24%Missed−$6.05−104%36¢ to 0¢settled$5.790.6%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$6.05 (−104%)after $0.26 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 24%, low confidence, 8:19 PM PT
    Bought
    16 × 36¢ = $5.79, 0.6% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $6.05 · To win $9.95 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  25. 8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMUp77%Correct+$1.52+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$7.380.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.52 (+21%)after $0.10 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 77%, high confidence, 8:42 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 82¢ = $7.38, 0.7% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $7.48 · To win $1.52 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  26. 8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  27. 9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMDown68%Correct+$9.35+100%49¢ to 100¢settled$9.310.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$9.35 (+100%)after $0.34 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 68%, medium confidence, 9:12 PM PT
    Bought
    19 × 49¢ = $9.31, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.65 · To win $9.35 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  28. 9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMUp92%Correct+$0.84+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$9.100.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.84 (+9%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 92%, very high confidence, 9:27 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 91¢ = $9.10, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.16 · To win $0.84 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  29. 9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMUp59%Missed−$10.16−105%36¢ to 0¢settled$9.721.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.16 (−105%)after $0.44 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 59%, medium confidence, 9:42 PM PT
    Bought
    27 × 36¢ = $9.72, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.16 · To win $16.84 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  30. 9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMUp94%Correct+$0.37+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.37 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 94%, very high confidence, 9:57 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 96¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.63 · To win $0.37 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  31. 10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMUp50%Correct+$1.55+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$9.350.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.55 (+17%)after $0.10 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 50%, medium confidence, 10:12 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 85¢ = $9.35, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $9.45 · To win $1.55 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  32. 10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMDown7%Missed−$10.37−107%7¢ to 0¢settled$9.731.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.37 (−107%)after $0.64 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 7%, low confidence, 10:23 PM PT
    Bought
    139 × 7¢ = $9.73, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.37 · To win $128.63 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  33. 10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  34. 10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMDown52%Missed−$10.05−104%37¢ to 0¢settled$9.621.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.05 (−104%)after $0.43 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 52%, medium confidence, 10:57 PM PT
    Bought
    26 × 37¢ = $9.62, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.05 · To win $15.95 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  35. 11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMUp8%Correct+$108.86+1143%8¢ to 100¢settled$9.521.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$108.86 (+1143%)after $0.62 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 8%, low confidence, 11:04 PM PT
    Bought
    119 × 8¢ = $9.52, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.14 · To win $108.86 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  36. 11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMUp80%Correct+$3.18+30%76¢ to 100¢settled$10.641.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.18 (+30%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 80%, high confidence, 11:42 PM PT
    Bought
    14 × 76¢ = $10.64, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.82 · To win $3.18 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  37. 11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMDown82%Missed−$10.55−101%80¢ to 0¢settled$10.401.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.55 (−101%)after $0.15 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 82%, high confidence, 11:57 PM PT
    Bought
    13 × 80¢ = $10.40, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $10.55 · To win $2.45 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 29, 2026

This file holds all of USD/JPY’s trading for Oct 25, 2026.

  • 37Windows
  • 37Calls
  • 31Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

c3a7bdc9a9c86278545a837f658c096867d8b7654bd4cc1f6c8c56f03e6d3c98

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

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October 25 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent USD/JPY make money on October 25, 2026?
Yes. USD/JPY made $58.08 on a $1,000 bankroll: 24 of 37 calls right, 18 tickets won and 13 lost. The best session was China open (+$69.71) and the worst was Futures and Tokyo (−$14.78).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute USD/JPY contract?
A yes-or-no contract on whether USD/JPY finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?
Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: USD/JPY’s record since launch is −$193.98. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

USD/JPY places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.