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AI trading agent · Daily log · USD/JPY (Japanese yen) 15-minute · Version 2.0

AI agent USD/JPY’s USD/JPY (Japanese yen) 15-minute log, October 21, 2026

+$20.16 on a fresh $1,000 roll. 55 of 92 calls right. 43 tickets won, 37 lost.

On Wednesday, October 21, 2026, Agent USD/JPY called 92 of 92 USD/JPY 15-minute windows and got 55 right. USD/JPY bought 80 tickets, only on the called side: 43 won and 37 lost, for +$20.16 on a fresh $1,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $123.77. USD/JPY places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 23, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 18

Calendar
October 2026
SMTWTFS
123
45678910
11121314151617
18+$2219+$1120−$12321+$2022−$1582324
25262728293031

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

  1. Sun 18+$21.93peak $20.88start $1k
  2. Mon 19+$10.93peak $40.76start $1k
  3. Tue 20−$123.03peak $145.44start $1k
  4. Wed 21+$20.16peak $123.77start $1k
  5. Thu 22−$157.78peak $202.79start $1k
  6. Fri 23Not posted yet
  7. Sat 24Not posted yet

Week through Thu Oct 22: −$227.79 · highest peak $202.79 (Thu) · 178 of 316 calls right · 144 won, 137 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $1,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

−$4.8813 of 23 right · 22 tickets

  1. 12–5:30 AM

    Pre-market

    −$2.24

    10 of 19 right · 19 tickets

    Winner3:45–4:00 AM+$68.06

  2. 5:30–6:30 AM

    US data

    −$2.64

    3 of 4 right · 3 tickets

    Winner6:15–6:30 AM+$1.03

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

−$54.0917 of 26 right · 21 tickets

  1. 6:30–7:30 AM

    US open

    −$18.42

    2 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner7:00–7:15 AM+$0.32

  2. 7:30 AM–12 PM

    Midday

    −$33.48

    12 of 18 right · 14 tickets

    Winner7:45–8:00 AM+$7.35

  3. 12–1 PM

    Final hour

    −$2.19

    3 of 4 right · 3 tickets

    Winner12:45–1:00 PM+$6.65

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

+$79.1325 of 43 right · 37 tickets

  1. 1–3 PM

    After the close

    −$33.06

    2 of 8 right · 8 tickets

    Winner2:30–2:45 PM+$9.73

  2. 3–6:30 PM

    Futures and Tokyo

    +$52.78

    10 of 14 right · 11 tickets

    Winner4:45–5:00 PM+$49.62

  3. Best session

    6:30 PM–12 AM

    China open

    +$59.41

    13 of 21 right · 18 tickets

    Winner8:30–8:45 PM+$123.08

Best ticket
+$123.088:30–8:45 PM, Up
Worst ticket
−$11.1910:15–10:30 PM, Up
Biggest ticket
$10.508:45–9:00 PM
How tickets closed
0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 80 held

Trade log

Every window, October 21

+$20.16 closed · 43 won, 37 lost · 55 of 92 calls right · biggest ticket $10.50

  1. 12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMUp88%Correct+$2.38+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$9.480.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.38 (+25%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 88%, very high confidence, 12:12 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 79¢ = $9.48, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  2. 12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMUp10%Missed−$10.65−106%8¢ to 0¢settled$10.001.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.65 (−106%)after $0.65 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 10%, low confidence, 12:19 AM PT
    Bought
    125 × 8¢ = $10.00, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  3. 12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMUp97%Correct+$0.27+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$9.701.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.27 (+3%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 97%, very high confidence, 12:42 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 97¢ = $9.70, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  4. 12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMUp86%Correct+$1.65+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.65 (+18%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 86%, very high confidence, 12:57 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 84¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  5. 1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMUp92%Missed−$9.97−101%82¢ to 0¢settled$9.841.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.97 (−101%)after $0.13 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 92%, very high confidence, 1:12 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 82¢ = $9.84, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  6. 1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMUp99%Correct+$1.23+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$9.681.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.23 (+13%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 99%, very high confidence, 1:27 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 88¢ = $9.68, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  7. 1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMDown80%Missed−$9.42−102%71¢ to 0¢settled$9.230.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.42 (−102%)after $0.19 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 80%, high confidence, 1:42 AM PT
    Bought
    13 × 71¢ = $9.23, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  8. 1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMUp63%Missed−$9.28−102%76¢ to 0¢settled$9.120.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.28 (−102%)after $0.16 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 63%, medium confidence, 1:57 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 76¢ = $9.12, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  9. 2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMUp4%Missed−$10.30−107%5¢ to 0¢settled$9.651.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.30 (−107%)after $0.65 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 4%, low confidence, 2:04 AM PT
    Bought
    193 × 5¢ = $9.65, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  10. 2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMDown58%Correct+$6.44+69%58¢ to 100¢settled$9.280.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$6.44 (+69%)after $0.28 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 58%, medium confidence, 2:42 AM PT
    Bought
    16 × 58¢ = $9.28, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  11. 2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMDown52%Missed−$10.00−105%28¢ to 0¢settled$9.521.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.00 (−105%)after $0.48 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 52%, medium confidence, 2:57 AM PT
    Bought
    34 × 28¢ = $9.52, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  12. 3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMDown73%Correct+$1.97+22%81¢ to 100¢settled$8.910.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.97 (+22%)after $0.12 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 73%, high confidence, 3:27 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 81¢ = $8.91, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  13. 3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMUp62%Missed−$9.73−105%31¢ to 0¢settled$9.280.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.73 (−105%)after $0.45 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 62%, medium confidence, 3:42 AM PT
    Bought
    30 × 31¢ = $9.28, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  14. 3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMDown14%Correct+$68.06+727%12¢ to 100¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$68.06 (+727%)after $0.58 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 14%, low confidence, 3:49 AM PT
    Bought
    78 × 12¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  15. 4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMUp12%Missed−$10.64−106%21¢ to 0¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.64 (−106%)after $0.56 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 12%, low confidence, 4:07 AM PT
    Bought
    48 × 21¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  16. 4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMUp13%Missed−$10.47−106%18¢ to 0¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.47 (−106%)after $0.57 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 13%, low confidence, 4:23 AM PT
    Bought
    55 × 18¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  17. 4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMUp86%Correct+$2.38+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$9.480.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.38 (+25%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 86%, very high confidence, 4:42 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 79¢ = $9.48, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  18. 4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMDown74%Correct+$2.61+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.61 (+28%)after $0.15 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 74%, high confidence, 4:57 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 77¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  19. 5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMDown66%Correct+$1.23+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$9.681.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.23 (+13%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 66%, medium confidence, 5:12 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 88¢ = $9.68, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  20. 5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMUp86%Missed−$4.41−102%72¢ to 0¢settled$4.320.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$4.41 (−102%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 86%, very high confidence, 5:42 AM PT
    Bought
    6 × 72¢ = $4.32, 0.4% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  21. 5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMDown86%Correct+$0.74+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$9.200.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.74 (+8%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 86%, very high confidence, 5:57 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 92¢ = $9.20, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  22. 6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMUp99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  23. 6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMDown84%Correct+$1.03+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.03 (+10%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 84%, very high confidence, 6:27 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 90¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  24. 6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMUp60%Missed−$9.85−103%64¢ to 0¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.85 (−103%)after $0.25 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 60%, medium confidence, 6:42 AM PT
    Bought
    15 × 64¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  25. 6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMUp78%Correct+$0.27+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$9.701.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.27 (+3%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 78%, high confidence, 6:57 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 97¢ = $9.70, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  26. 7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMUp98%Correct+$0.32+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$4.650.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.32 (+7%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 98%, very high confidence, 7:12 AM PT
    Bought
    5 × 93¢ = $4.65, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  27. 7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMUp94%Missed−$9.16−101%91¢ to 0¢settled$9.100.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.16 (−101%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 94%, very high confidence, 7:27 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 91¢ = $9.10, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  28. 7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMUp94%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  29. 7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMDown63%Correct+$7.35+79%55¢ to 100¢settled$9.350.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$7.35 (+79%)after $0.30 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 63%, medium confidence, 7:57 AM PT
    Bought
    17 × 55¢ = $9.35, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  30. 8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMUp94%Correct+$0.74+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$9.200.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.74 (+8%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 94%, very high confidence, 8:12 AM PT
    Bought
    10 × 92¢ = $9.20, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  31. 8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMDown96%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  32. 8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMUp98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  33. 8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMUp70%Correct+$5.30+56%63¢ to 100¢settled$9.450.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$5.30 (+56%)after $0.25 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 70%, medium confidence, 8:57 AM PT
    Bought
    15 × 63¢ = $9.45, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  34. 9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMUp94%Correct+$1.03+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.03 (+10%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 94%, very high confidence, 9:12 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 90¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  35. 9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMUp7%Missed−$10.56−107%6¢ to 0¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.56 (−107%)after $0.66 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 7%, low confidence, 9:23 AM PT
    Bought
    165 × 6¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  36. 9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMUp6%Missed−$10.46−107%5¢ to 0¢settled$9.801.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.46 (−107%)after $0.66 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 6%, low confidence, 9:40 AM PT
    Bought
    196 × 5¢ = $9.80, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  37. 9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMUp96%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  38. 10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMDown23%Missed−$10.24−106%19¢ to 0¢settled$9.691.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.24 (−106%)after $0.55 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 23%, low confidence, 10:04 AM PT
    Bought
    51 × 19¢ = $9.69, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  39. 10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMUp69%Correct+$4.81+54%64¢ to 100¢settled$8.960.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.81 (+54%)after $0.23 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 69%, medium confidence, 10:27 AM PT
    Bought
    14 × 64¢ = $8.96, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  40. 10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMUp97%Correct+$0.25+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$8.730.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.25 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 97%, very high confidence, 10:42 AM PT
    Bought
    9 × 97¢ = $8.73, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  41. 10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMUp95%Missed−$9.39−102%77¢ to 0¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.39 (−102%)after $0.15 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 95%, very high confidence, 10:57 AM PT
    Bought
    12 × 77¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  42. 11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMDown71%Missed−$4.70−102%77¢ to 0¢settled$4.620.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$4.70 (−102%)after $0.08 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 71%, medium confidence, 11:12 AM PT
    Bought
    6 × 77¢ = $4.62, 0.5% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  43. 11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMDown64%Correct+$2.07+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$8.800.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.07 (+24%)after $0.13 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 64%, medium confidence, 11:27 AM PT
    Bought
    11 × 80¢ = $8.80, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  44. 11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMUp95%Correct+$0.25+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$8.730.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.25 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 95%, very high confidence, 11:42 AM PT
    Bought
    9 × 97¢ = $8.73, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  45. 11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMDown8%Missed−$9.93−106%20¢ to 0¢settled$9.400.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.93 (−106%)after $0.53 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 8%, low confidence, 11:49 AM PT
    Bought
    47 × 20¢ = $9.40, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  46. 12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMUp99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  47. 12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMDown99%Correct+$0.42+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$8.550.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.42 (+5%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 99%, very high confidence, 12:27 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 95¢ = $8.55, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  48. 12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMDown59%Missed−$9.26−103%60¢ to 0¢settled$9.000.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.26 (−103%)after $0.26 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 59%, medium confidence, 12:42 PM PT
    Bought
    15 × 60¢ = $9.00, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  49. 12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMDown67%Correct+$6.65+73%57¢ to 100¢settled$9.070.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$6.65 (+73%)after $0.28 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 67%, medium confidence, 12:57 PM PT
    Bought
    16 × 57¢ = $9.07, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  50. 1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMUp50%Missed−$9.97−106%15¢ to 0¢settled$9.400.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.97 (−106%)after $0.57 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 50%, medium confidence, 1:12 PM PT
    Bought
    63 × 15¢ = $9.40, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  51. 1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMUp64%Missed−$9.24−103%56¢ to 0¢settled$8.960.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.24 (−103%)after $0.28 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 64%, medium confidence, 1:27 PM PT
    Bought
    16 × 56¢ = $8.96, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  52. 1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMDown92%Correct+$7.69+85%53¢ to 100¢settled$9.010.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$7.69 (+85%)after $0.30 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 92%, very high confidence, 1:42 PM PT
    Bought
    17 × 53¢ = $9.01, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  53. 1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMUp10%Missed−$9.58−105%26¢ to 0¢settled$9.100.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.58 (−105%)after $0.48 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 10%, low confidence, 1:52 PM PT
    Bought
    35 × 26¢ = $9.10, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  54. 2:00 PM–to 2:15 PMUp34¢Missed−$2.85−105%34¢ to 0¢settled$2.720.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$2.85 (−105%)after $0.13 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 34¢, the market’s price, 2:05 PM PT
    Bought
    8 × 34¢ = $2.72, 0.3% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  55. 2:15 PM–to 2:30 PMDown53%Missed−$9.57−106%21¢ to 0¢settled$9.070.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.57 (−106%)after $0.50 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 53%, medium confidence, 2:27 PM PT
    Bought
    43 × 21¢ = $9.07, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  56. 2:30 PM–to 2:45 PMUp43%Correct+$9.73+109%47¢ to 100¢settled$8.930.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$9.73 (+109%)after $0.34 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 43%, low confidence, 2:40 PM PT
    Bought
    19 × 47¢ = $8.93, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  57. 2:45 PM–to 3:00 PMDown33%Missed−$9.27−104%47¢ to 0¢settled$8.930.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.27 (−104%)after $0.34 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 33%, low confidence, 2:53 PM PT
    Bought
    19 × 47¢ = $8.93, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  58. 3:00 PM–to 3:15 PMDown76%Missed−$3.33−102%65¢ to 0¢settled$3.250.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$3.33 (−102%)after $0.08 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 76%, high confidence, 3:12 PM PT
    Bought
    5 × 65¢ = $3.25, 0.3% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  59. 3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMDown3%Missed−$1.06−107%11¢ to 0¢settled$0.99<0.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$1.06 (−107%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 3%, low confidence, 3:25 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 11¢ = $0.99, <0.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  60. 3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  61. 3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMDown52%Missed−$9.54−106%17¢ to 0¢settled$9.010.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.54 (−106%)after $0.53 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 52%, medium confidence, 3:57 PM PT
    Bought
    53 × 17¢ = $9.01, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  62. 4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMUp1%Missed−$9.52−107%5¢ to 0¢settled$8.910.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.52 (−107%)after $0.61 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 1%, low confidence, 4:08 PM PT
    Bought
    181 × 5¢ = $8.91, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  63. 4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMUp99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  64. 4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMDown96%Correct+$0.66+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$8.290.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.66 (+8%)after $0.05 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 96%, very high confidence, 4:42 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 92¢ = $8.29, 0.8% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  65. 4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMUp16%Correct+$49.62+561%15¢ to 100¢settled$8.850.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$49.62 (+561%)after $0.53 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 16%, low confidence, 4:49 PM PT
    Bought
    59 × 15¢ = $8.85, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  66. 5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  67. 5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMUp96%Correct+$0.25+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$8.730.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.25 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 96%, very high confidence, 5:27 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 97¢ = $8.73, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  68. 5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMDown85%Correct+$1.65+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.65 (+18%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 85%, very high confidence, 5:42 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 84¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  69. 5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMDown54%Correct+$8.50+93%51¢ to 100¢settled$9.180.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$8.50 (+93%)after $0.32 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 54%, medium confidence, 5:57 PM PT
    Bought
    18 × 51¢ = $9.18, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  70. 6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMDown87%Correct+$1.31+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$8.600.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.31 (+15%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 87%, very high confidence, 6:12 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 86¢ = $8.60, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  71. 6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMDown53%Correct+$14.24+152%39¢ to 100¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$14.24 (+152%)after $0.40 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 53%, medium confidence, 6:27 PM PT
    Bought
    24 × 39¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  72. 6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMUp55%Missed−$9.52−104%46¢ to 0¢settled$9.170.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.52 (−104%)after $0.35 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 55%, medium confidence, 6:42 PM PT
    Bought
    20 × 46¢ = $9.17, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  73. 6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMDown96%Missed−$8.67−100%96¢ to 0¢settled$8.640.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$8.67 (−100%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 96%, very high confidence, 6:57 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 96¢ = $8.64, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  74. 7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMDown99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  75. 7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMDown100%Correct+$0.25+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$8.730.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.25 (+3%)after $0.02 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 100%, very high confidence, 7:27 PM PT
    Bought
    9 × 97¢ = $8.73, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  76. 7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMDown71%Correct+$1.49+16%86¢ to 100¢settled$9.410.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.49 (+16%)after $0.10 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 71%, medium confidence, 7:42 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 86¢ = $9.41, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  77. 7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMDown98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  78. 8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMUp4%Missed−$10.08−107%4¢ to 0¢settled$9.440.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.08 (−107%)after $0.64 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 4%, low confidence, 8:04 PM PT
    Bought
    236 × 4¢ = $9.44, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  79. 8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMDown55%Correct+$3.07+35%73¢ to 100¢settled$8.760.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.07 (+35%)after $0.17 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 55%, medium confidence, 8:27 PM PT
    Bought
    12 × 73¢ = $8.76, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  80. 8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMUp6%Correct+$123.08+1322%7¢ to 100¢settled$9.310.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$123.08 (+1322%)after $0.61 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 6%, low confidence, 8:38 PM PT
    Bought
    133 × 7¢ = $9.31, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  81. 8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMUp85%Correct+$3.31+32%75¢ to 100¢settled$10.501.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.31 (+32%)after $0.19 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 85%, very high confidence, 8:57 PM PT
    Bought
    14 × 75¢ = $10.50, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  82. 9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMDown53%Correct+$5.34+51%65¢ to 100¢settled$10.401.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$5.34 (+51%)after $0.26 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 53%, medium confidence, 9:12 PM PT
    Bought
    16 × 65¢ = $10.40, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  83. 9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMUp94%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  84. 9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMDown24%Missed−$11.09−106%21¢ to 0¢settled$10.501.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$11.09 (−106%)after $0.59 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 24%, low confidence, 9:34 PM PT
    Bought
    50 × 21¢ = $10.50, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  85. 9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMDown73%Correct+$0.82+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$10.121.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.82 (+8%)after $0.06 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 73%, high confidence, 9:57 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 92¢ = $10.12, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  86. 10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMDown63%Missed−$10.18−102%77¢ to 0¢settled$10.011.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.18 (−102%)after $0.17 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 63%, medium confidence, 10:12 PM PT
    Bought
    13 × 77¢ = $10.01, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  87. 10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMUp4%Missed−$11.19−107%4¢ to 0¢settled$10.481.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$11.19 (−107%)after $0.71 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 4%, low confidence, 10:23 PM PT
    Bought
    262 × 4¢ = $10.48, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  88. 10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMDown81%Correct+$1.23+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$9.681.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.23 (+13%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 81%, high confidence, 10:57 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 88¢ = $9.68, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  89. 11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMUp84%Correct+$1.80+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.80 (+18%)after $0.12 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 84%, very high confidence, 11:12 PM PT
    Bought
    12 × 84¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  90. 11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMUp4%Missed−$11.09−107%3¢ to 0¢settled$10.381.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$11.09 (−107%)after $0.71 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 4%, low confidence, 11:20 PM PT
    Bought
    346 × 3¢ = $10.38, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  91. 11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMUp64%Missed−$10.08−101%83¢ to 0¢settled$9.961.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.08 (−101%)after $0.12 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 64%, medium confidence, 11:42 PM PT
    Bought
    12 × 83¢ = $9.96, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  92. 11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMDown98%Correct+$0.92+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$10.011.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.92 (+9%)after $0.07 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 98%, very high confidence, 11:57 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 91¢ = $10.01, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 23, 2026

This file holds all of USD/JPY’s trading for Oct 21, 2026.

  • 92Windows
  • 92Calls
  • 80Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

5cb3c9b99a022c3a14fa3864d88ee0a49672e2e731e2a95be8ace6155ec80ed3

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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October 21 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent USD/JPY make money on October 21, 2026?
Yes. USD/JPY made $20.16 on a $1,000 bankroll: 55 of 92 calls right, 43 tickets won and 37 lost. The best session was China open (+$59.41) and the worst was Midday (−$33.48).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute USD/JPY contract?
A yes-or-no contract on whether USD/JPY finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?
Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: USD/JPY’s record since launch is −$70.01. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

USD/JPY places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.