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- Oct 21, 2026
AI trading agent · Daily log · Copper (HG) 15-minute
AI agent Nelly’s Copper (HG) 15-minute log, October 21, 2026
+$193.95 on a fresh $2,000 roll. 68 of 83 calls right. 53 tickets won, 22 lost.
On Wednesday, October 21, 2026, Agent Nelly called 83 of 86 Copper 15-minute windows and got 68 right. Nelly bought 75 tickets, only on the called side: 53 won and 22 lost, for +$193.95 on a fresh $2,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $133.82. Nelly places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement. On the day, Copper’s price to beat went from $6.66141 to $6.54235, down 1.79%.
Saved after the day closed, Oct 23, 2026 · How this page is verified
Week of October 18
- Sun 18+$140.49peak $80.64start $2k
- Mon 19+$398.36peak $422.10start $2k
- Tue 20−$25.40peak $238.99start $2k
- Wed 21+$193.95peak $133.82start $2k
- Thu 22+$386.77peak $99.00start $2k
- Fri 23Not posted yet
- Sat 24Not posted yet
Week through Thu Oct 22: +$1,094.17 · highest peak $422.10 (Mon) · 279 of 366 calls right · 219 won, 113 lost
Each day starts at a fresh $2,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.
How Copper (HG) traded on October 21
Pacific timeCopper's price to beat started October 21 at $6.66141 (12 AM) and was $6.54235 by the 11:45 PM window, down $0.11906 (1.79%). The day's high was $6.68395 at 1 AM and the low $6.54235 at 11:45 PM; Copper finished higher in 42 of 86 windows.
- Start$6.6614112 AM window
- Last$6.5423511:45 PM window
- Change−1.79%−$0.11906
- High$6.683951 AM
- Low$6.5423511:45 PM
- Biggest 15-minute move−$0.050361 AM to 1:15 AM
| Part of the day | Copper moved | Windows | Nelly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before the US open12–6:30 AM | −$0.02330−0.35%, $6.66141 to $6.63811 | 15 up, 10 down25 windows | +$15.4021 tickets |
| US market open6:30 AM–1 PM | +$0.02053+0.31%, $6.63811 to $6.65864 | 18 up, 8 down26 windows | −$71.1324 tickets |
| After the US close1 PM–12 AM | −$0.11629−1.75%, $6.65864 to $6.54235 | 9 up, 26 down35 windows | +$249.6830 tickets |
Prices are Kalshi’s price to beat for each window, as Kalshi set the price when the window opened, kept in this day’s prices file (83 of 86 windows; the rest had no call). Up and down count every window’s result.
Trading sessions
No market · Pacific time (PDT)
Before the US open
12–6:30 AM
+$15.4020 of 25 right · 21 tickets
12–5:30 AM
Pre-market
+$13.95
18 of 21 right · 18 tickets
Winner3:15–3:30 AM+$24.07
5:30–6:30 AM
US data
+$1.45
2 of 4 right · 3 tickets
Winner5:30–5:45 AM+$3.45
US market open
6:30 AM–1 PM
−$71.1320 of 25 right · 24 tickets
6:30–7:30 AM
US open
+$7.09
3 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner7:00–7:15 AM+$5.89
7:30 AM–12 PM
Midday
−$83.29
13 of 17 right · 16 tickets
Winner8:00–8:15 AM+$32.98
12–1 PM
Final hour
+$5.07
4 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner12:45–1:00 PM+$5.60
After the US close
1 PM–12 AM
+$249.6828 of 33 right · 30 tickets
1–3 PM
After the close
+$12.50
2 of 4 right · 3 tickets
Winner1:15–1:30 PM+$20.48
- Best session
3–6:30 PM
Futures and Tokyo
+$160.09
10 of 10 right · 10 tickets
Winner5:45–6:00 PM+$48.51
6:30 PM–12 AM
China open
+$77.09
16 of 19 right · 17 tickets
Winner11:15–11:30 PM+$47.78
- Best ticket
- +$48.515:45–6:00 PM, Up
- Worst ticket
- −$59.448:15–8:30 PM, Up
- Biggest ticket
- $107.443:15–3:30 AM
- How tickets closed
- 30 took profit · 23 sold or stopped · 22 held
Trade log
Every window, October 21
+$193.95 closed · 53 won, 22 lost · 68 of 83 calls right · 3 passed · biggest ticket $107.44
12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMUp91%Correct+$12.28+27%75¢ to 97¢took profit$45.002.2%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 12:06 AM PT
- Net
- +$12.28 (+27%)after $0.92 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 91%, very high confidence, 12:01 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.67161, $0.01020 above the line of $6.66141
- Bought
- 60 × 75¢ = $45.00, 2.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 38¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 97¢ (bought at 75¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMUp82%Correct+$11.63+21%79¢ to 97¢took profit$55.302.8%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 12:27 AM PT
- Net
- +$11.63 (+21%)after $0.97 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 82%, high confidence, 12:20 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.68115, $0.00725 above the line of $6.67390
- Bought
- 70 × 79¢ = $55.30, 2.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 40¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 97¢ (bought at 79¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMDown74%Correct−$49.05*−60%60¢ to 27¢stopped$81.604.1%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Stopped at 27¢, 12:37 AM PT
- Net
- −$49.05 (−60%)after $4.17 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$52.11Sold at 27¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$52.11.
- The call
- Down at 74%, high confidence, 12:32 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.67373, $0.00615 below the line of $6.67988
- Bought
- 136 × 60¢ = $81.60, 4.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 30¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 27¢ (bought at 60¢). The market moved against my call, and I kept the loss contained.
1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMDown98%Correct+$0.67+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$5.280.3%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.67 (+13%)after $0.05 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 98%, very high confidence, 1:01 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65620, $0.02775 below the line of $6.68395
- Bought
- 6 × 88¢ = $5.28, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 44¢
1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMDown71%Missed−$2.52−51%82¢ to 43¢sold early$4.920.2%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 43¢: the numbers turned against the call, 1:22 AM PT
- Net
- −$2.52 (−51%)after $0.18 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $2.47Sold early at 43¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$4.99, so selling saved $2.47.
- The call
- Down at 71%, medium confidence, 1:17 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.62644, $0.00715 below the line of $6.63359
- Bought
- 6 × 82¢ = $4.92, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 41¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 43¢ (bought at 82¢). I closed the position.
1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMDown68%Correct+$16.98+35%70¢ to 96¢took profit$49.002.5%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 1:41 AM PT
- Net
- +$16.98 (+35%)after $1.22 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 68%, medium confidence, 1:32 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63938, $0.00640 below the line of $6.64578
- Bought
- 70 × 70¢ = $49.00, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 96¢ (bought at 70¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMDown72%Correct+$6.07+18%82¢ to 98¢took profit$33.621.7%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 98¢, banked while the market paid, 1:56 AM PT
- Net
- +$6.07 (+18%)after $0.49 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 72%, medium confidence, 1:51 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.62715, $0.00645 below the line of $6.63360
- Bought
- 41 × 82¢ = $33.62, 1.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 41¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 98¢ (bought at 82¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMUp77%Correct+$9.63+31%73¢ to 97¢took profit$31.391.6%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 2:13 AM PT
- Net
- +$9.63 (+31%)after $0.69 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 77%, high confidence, 2:01 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.62817, $0.00830 above the line of $6.61987
- Bought
- 43 × 73¢ = $31.39, 1.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 37¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 97¢ (bought at 73¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMDown70%Missed−$0.33−46%72¢ to 43¢sold early$0.72<0.1%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 43¢: the numbers turned against the call, 2:21 AM PT
- Net
- −$0.33 (−46%)after $0.04 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $0.41Sold early at 43¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$0.74, so selling saved $0.41.
- The call
- Down at 70%, medium confidence, 2:19 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.62712, $0.00445 below the line of $6.63157
- Bought
- 1 × 72¢ = $0.72, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 36¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 43¢ (bought at 72¢). I closed the position.
2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMUp68%Correct+$2.03+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$9.840.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$2.03 (+21%)after $0.13 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 68%, medium confidence, 2:33 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64295, $0.00365 above the line of $6.63930
- Bought
- 12 × 82¢ = $9.84, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 41¢
- 2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMDown83%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMDown74%Correct−$0.76*−8%81¢ to 77¢sold early$9.720.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold at 77¢ to protect the ticket, 3:06 AM PT
- Net
- −$0.76 (−8%)after $0.28 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$2.15Sold at 77¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$2.15.
- The call
- Down at 74%, high confidence, 3:03 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.62362, $0.00415 below the line of $6.62777
- Bought
- 12 × 81¢ = $9.72, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 41¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 77¢ (bought at 81¢). I closed the position.
3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMUp95%Correct+$24.07+22%79¢ to 98¢sold$107.445.4%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Sold at 98¢, the posted sell, 3:29 AM PT
- Net
- +$24.07 (+22%)after $1.77 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 95%, very high confidence, 3:24 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.62827, $0.00915 above the line of $6.61912
- Bought
- 136 × 79¢ = $107.44, 5.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 40¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 98¢ (bought at 79¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMDown66%Missed−$30.42−61%66¢ to 29¢sold early$50.162.5%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Cut early at 29¢: the market turned on the call, 3:36 AM PT
- Net
- −$30.42 (−61%)after $2.30 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $20.94Sold early at 29¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$51.36, so selling saved $20.94.
- The call
- Down at 66%, medium confidence, 3:32 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.61839, $0.00370 below the line of $6.62209
- Bought
- 76 × 66¢ = $50.16, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 29¢ (bought at 66¢). I closed the position.
- 3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMUp77%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMDown85%Correct−$0.88*−9%76¢ to 72¢sold early$9.880.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold at 72¢ to protect the ticket, 4:12 AM PT
- Net
- −$0.88 (−9%)after $0.36 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$2.95Sold at 72¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$2.95.
- The call
- Down at 85%, very high confidence, 4:06 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63291, $0.00640 below the line of $6.63931
- Bought
- 13 × 76¢ = $9.88, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 38¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 72¢ (bought at 76¢). I closed the position.
4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMUp79%Correct+$3.07+31%75¢ to 100¢settled$9.750.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$3.07 (+31%)after $0.18 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 79%, high confidence, 4:19 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64093, $0.00525 above the line of $6.63568
- Bought
- 13 × 75¢ = $9.75, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 38¢
4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMDown72%Correct+$5.81+59%62¢ to 100¢settled$9.920.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$5.81 (+59%)after $0.27 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 72%, medium confidence, 4:34 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63488, $0.00330 below the line of $6.63818
- Bought
- 16 × 62¢ = $9.92, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 31¢
4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMUp68%Correct+$0.66+51%65¢ to 100¢settled$1.30<0.1%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.66 (+51%)after $0.04 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 68%, medium confidence, 4:51 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63253, $0.00240 above the line of $6.63013
- Bought
- 2 × 65¢ = $1.30, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 33¢
- 5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMDown90%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMDown69%Correct+$5.01+51%65¢ to 100¢settled$9.750.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$5.01 (+51%)after $0.24 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 69%, medium confidence, 5:17 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.61691, $0.00405 below the line of $6.62096
- Bought
- 15 × 65¢ = $9.75, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 33¢
5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMUp75%Correct+$3.45+37%72¢ to 100¢settled$9.360.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$3.45 (+37%)after $0.19 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 75%, high confidence, 5:32 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.62334, $0.00525 above the line of $6.61809
- Bought
- 13 × 72¢ = $9.36, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 36¢
5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMDown66%Missed−$5.20−53%70¢ to 36¢sold early$9.800.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 36¢: the numbers turned against the call, 5:59 AM PT
- Net
- −$5.20 (−53%)after $0.44 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $4.81Sold early at 36¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$10.01, so selling saved $4.81.
- The call
- Down at 66%, medium confidence, 5:48 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.62898, $0.00330 below the line of $6.63228
- Bought
- 14 × 70¢ = $9.80, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 35¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 36¢ (bought at 70¢). I closed the position.
6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMUp88%Correct+$3.20+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$9.620.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$3.20 (+33%)after $0.18 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 88%, very high confidence, 6:05 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64226, $0.00790 above the line of $6.63436
- Bought
- 13 × 74¢ = $9.62, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 37¢
- 6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMDown77%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMDown83%Correct+$2.38+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$9.480.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$2.38 (+25%)after $0.14 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 83%, high confidence, 6:33 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63151, $0.00660 below the line of $6.63811
- Bought
- 12 × 79¢ = $9.48, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 40¢
6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMUp75%Correct+$3.20+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$9.620.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$3.20 (+33%)after $0.18 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 75%, high confidence, 6:49 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63125, $0.00395 above the line of $6.62730
- Bought
- 13 × 74¢ = $9.62, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 37¢
7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMDown67%Correct+$5.89+67%59¢ to 100¢settled$8.850.4%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$5.89 (+67%)after $0.26 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 67%, medium confidence, 7:04 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64252, $0.00315 below the line of $6.64567
- Bought
- 15 × 59¢ = $8.85, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 30¢
7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMDown74%Missed−$4.38−44%62¢ to 38¢sold early$9.920.5%Hold
- Closed
- Cut early at 38¢: the market turned on the call, 7:23 AM PT
- Net
- −$4.38 (−44%)after $0.54 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $5.81Sold early at 38¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$10.19, so selling saved $5.81.
- The call
- Down at 74%, high confidence, 7:22 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63611, $0.00365 below the line of $6.63976
- Bought
- 16 × 62¢ = $9.92, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 31¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 38¢ (bought at 62¢). I closed the position.
7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMUp73%Correct−$4.69*−47%77¢ to 44¢sold early$10.010.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 44¢: the numbers turned against the call, 7:39 AM PT
- Net
- −$4.69 (−47%)after $0.40 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$2.82Sold at 44¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$2.82.
- The call
- Up at 73%, high confidence, 7:32 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65059, $0.00520 above the line of $6.64539
- Bought
- 13 × 77¢ = $10.01, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 39¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 44¢ (bought at 77¢). I closed the position.
- 7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMDown93%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMUp69%Correct+$32.98+55%60¢ to 95¢took profit$60.003.0%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 95¢, banked while the market paid, 8:08 AM PT
- Net
- +$32.98 (+55%)after $2.02 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 69%, medium confidence, 8:01 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64481, $0.00400 above the line of $6.64081
- Bought
- 100 × 60¢ = $60.00, 3.0% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 30¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 95¢ (bought at 60¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMUp66%Correct−$31.86*−54%62¢ to 32¢sold early$59.523.0%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Cut early at 32¢: the market turned on the call, 8:18 AM PT
- Net
- −$31.86 (−54%)after $3.06 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$34.89Sold at 32¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$34.89.
- The call
- Up at 66%, medium confidence, 8:17 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65413, $0.00315 above the line of $6.65098
- Bought
- 96 × 62¢ = $59.52, 3.0% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 31¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 32¢ (bought at 62¢). I closed the position.
8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMUp71%Missed+$1.33+31%72¢ to 96¢took profit$4.320.2%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 8:40 AM PT
- Net
- +$1.33 (+31%)after $0.11 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was missed; the ticket still made money on the price move.
- The call
- Up at 71%, medium confidence, 8:35 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66039, $0.00350 above the line of $6.65689
- Bought
- 6 × 72¢ = $4.32, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 36¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 96¢ (bought at 72¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMUp78%Correct−$8.65*−15%81¢ to 71¢sold early$55.892.8%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Sold at 71¢ to protect the ticket, 8:58 AM PT
- Net
- −$8.65 (−15%)after $1.75 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$12.36Sold at 71¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$12.36.
- The call
- Up at 78%, high confidence, 8:50 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65731, $0.00470 above the line of $6.65261
- Bought
- 69 × 81¢ = $55.89, 2.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 41¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 71¢ (bought at 81¢). I closed the position.
9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMUp68%Correct+$1.35+40%67¢ to 96¢sold$3.350.2%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Sold at 96¢, the posted sell, 9:14 AM PT
- Net
- +$1.35 (+40%)after $0.10 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 68%, medium confidence, 9:08 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65692, $0.00210 above the line of $6.65482
- Bought
- 5 × 67¢ = $3.35, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 34¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 96¢ (bought at 67¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMUp67%Missed−$35.67−64%66¢ to 27¢sold early$56.102.8%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Cut early at 27¢: the market turned on the call, 9:29 AM PT
- Net
- −$35.67 (−64%)after $2.52 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $21.77Sold early at 27¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$57.44, so selling saved $21.77.
- The call
- Up at 67%, medium confidence, 9:23 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65963, $0.00185 above the line of $6.65778
- Bought
- 85 × 66¢ = $56.10, 2.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 27¢ (bought at 66¢). I closed the position.
9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMDown77%Missed−$37.79−48%65¢ to 37¢sold early$78.653.9%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Cut early at 37¢: the market turned on the call, 9:37 AM PT
- Net
- −$37.79 (−48%)after $3.91 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $42.79Sold early at 37¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$80.58, so selling saved $42.79.
- The call
- Down at 77%, high confidence, 9:35 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65439, $0.00305 below the line of $6.65744
- Bought
- 121 × 65¢ = $78.65, 3.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 37¢ (bought at 65¢). I closed the position.
9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMUp75%Correct+$0.93+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$9.000.4%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.93 (+10%)after $0.07 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 75%, high confidence, 9:55 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66542, $0.00240 above the line of $6.66302
- Bought
- 10 × 90¢ = $9.00, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 45¢
10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMDown70%Missed−$35.10−47%64¢ to 37¢sold early$74.243.7%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Cut early at 37¢: the market turned on the call, 10:10 AM PT
- Net
- −$35.10 (−47%)after $3.78 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $41.02Sold early at 37¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$76.12, so selling saved $41.02.
- The call
- Down at 70%, medium confidence, 10:03 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66195, $0.00315 below the line of $6.66510
- Bought
- 116 × 64¢ = $74.24, 3.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 37¢ (bought at 64¢). I closed the position.
- 10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMUp67%Correct+$2.61+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$2.61 (+28%)after $0.15 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 67%, medium confidence, 10:33 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66920, $0.00260 above the line of $6.66660
- Bought
- 12 × 77¢ = $9.24, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 39¢
10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMDown67%Correct+$7.52+47%64¢ to 96¢sold$16.000.8%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Sold at 96¢, the posted sell, 10:59 AM PT
- Net
- +$7.52 (+47%)after $0.48 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 67%, medium confidence, 10:46 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66647, $0.00215 below the line of $6.66862
- Bought
- 25 × 64¢ = $16.00, 0.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 96¢ (bought at 64¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMUp66%Correct+$4.22+23%78¢ to 97¢took profit$18.720.9%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 11:09 AM PT
- Net
- +$4.22 (+23%)after $0.34 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 66%, medium confidence, 11:01 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66960, $0.00190 above the line of $6.66770
- Bought
- 24 × 78¢ = $18.72, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 39¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 97¢ (bought at 78¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMUp72%Correct+$3.83+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$8.970.4%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$3.83 (+43%)after $0.20 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 72%, medium confidence, 11:18 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.67449, $0.00260 above the line of $6.67189
- Bought
- 13 × 69¢ = $8.97, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 35¢
11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMUp68%Correct−$0.51*−59%86¢ to 38¢sold early$0.86<0.1%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Cut early at 38¢: the market turned on the call, 11:36 AM PT
- Net
- −$0.51 (−59%)after $0.03 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$0.13Sold at 38¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$0.13.
- The call
- Up at 68%, medium confidence, 11:34 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.67699, $0.00200 above the line of $6.67499
- Bought
- 1 × 86¢ = $0.86, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 43¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 38¢ (bought at 86¢). I closed the position.
11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMDown73%Correct+$16.21+30%74¢ to 98¢took profit$53.282.7%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 98¢, banked while the market paid, 11:50 AM PT
- Net
- +$16.21 (+30%)after $1.07 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 73%, medium confidence, 11:46 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.67310, $0.00290 below the line of $6.67600
- Bought
- 72 × 74¢ = $53.28, 2.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 37¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 98¢ (bought at 74¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMUp84%Correct−$6.72*−71%73¢ to 24¢sold early$9.490.5%Hold
- Closed
- Cut early at 24¢: the market turned on the call, 12:02 PM PT
- Net
- −$6.72 (−71%)after $0.35 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$3.33Sold at 24¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$3.33.
- The call
- Up at 84%, very high confidence, 12:01 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64805, $0.00800 above the line of $6.64005
- Bought
- 13 × 73¢ = $9.49, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 37¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 24¢ (bought at 73¢). I closed the position.
12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMUp83%Correct+$2.49+27%78¢ to 100¢settled$9.360.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$2.49 (+27%)after $0.15 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 83%, very high confidence, 12:25 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64914, $0.00680 above the line of $6.64234
- Bought
- 12 × 78¢ = $9.36, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 39¢
12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMUp66%Correct+$3.70+41%70¢ to 100¢settled$9.100.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$3.70 (+41%)after $0.20 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 66%, medium confidence, 12:35 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65817, $0.00490 above the line of $6.65327
- Bought
- 13 × 70¢ = $9.10, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 35¢
12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMDown67%Correct+$5.60+61%61¢ to 100¢settled$9.150.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$5.60 (+61%)after $0.25 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 67%, medium confidence, 12:56 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65605, $0.00285 below the line of $6.65890
- Bought
- 15 × 61¢ = $9.15, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 31¢
- 1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMUp78%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMDown72%Correct+$20.48+43%65¢ to 95¢took profit$47.452.4%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 95¢, banked while the market paid, 1:27 PM PT
- Net
- +$20.48 (+43%)after $1.42 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 72%, medium confidence, 1:20 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66017, $0.00285 below the line of $6.66302
- Bought
- 73 × 65¢ = $47.45, 2.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 95¢ (bought at 65¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMDown84%Missed+$1.41+14%75¢ to 88¢sold early$9.750.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 88¢: the numbers turned against the call, 1:42 PM PT
- Net
- +$1.41 (+14%)after $0.28 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $11.34Sold early at 88¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$9.93, so selling saved $11.34.
- The call
- Down at 84%, very high confidence, 1:35 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65423, $0.00385 below the line of $6.65808
- Bought
- 13 × 75¢ = $9.75, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 38¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 88¢ (bought at 75¢). I closed the position.
1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMUp79%Missed−$9.39−102%77¢ to 0¢settled$9.240.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$9.39 (−102%)after $0.15 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was missed.
- The call
- Up at 79%, high confidence, 1:47 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66208, $0.00370 above the line of $6.65838
- Bought
- 12 × 77¢ = $9.24, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 39¢
3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMDown78%Correct+$5.30+56%63¢ to 100¢settled$9.450.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$5.30 (+56%)after $0.25 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 78%, high confidence, 3:34 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65034, $0.00325 below the line of $6.65359
- Bought
- 15 × 63¢ = $9.45, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 32¢
3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMDown66%Correct−$14.69*−24%56¢ to 46¢sold early$61.043.1%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 46¢: the numbers turned against the call, 3:55 PM PT
- Net
- −$14.69 (−24%)after $3.79 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$46.07Sold at 46¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$46.07.
- The call
- Down at 66%, medium confidence, 3:48 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65013, $0.00185 below the line of $6.65198
- Bought
- 109 × 56¢ = $61.04, 3.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 28¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 46¢ (bought at 56¢). I closed the position.
4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMDown83%Correct+$1.65+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.65 (+18%)after $0.11 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 83%, very high confidence, 4:03 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64761, $0.00425 below the line of $6.65186
- Bought
- 11 × 84¢ = $9.24, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 42¢
4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMDown65%Correct+$37.13+59%59¢ to 96¢took profit$62.543.1%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 4:42 PM PT
- Net
- +$37.13 (+59%)after $2.09 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 65%, medium confidence, 4:35 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64942, $0.00155 below the line of $6.65097
- Bought
- 106 × 59¢ = $62.54, 3.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 30¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 96¢ (bought at 59¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMUp69%Correct+$8.97+18%81¢ to 97¢took profit$49.412.5%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 5:10 PM PT
- Net
- +$8.97 (+18%)after $0.79 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 69%, medium confidence, 5:02 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64065, $0.00230 above the line of $6.63835
- Bought
- 61 × 81¢ = $49.41, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 41¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 97¢ (bought at 81¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMDown68%Correct+$33.91+67%55¢ to 94¢sold$50.602.5%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Sold at 94¢, the posted sell, 5:29 PM PT
- Net
- +$33.91 (+67%)after $1.97 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 68%, medium confidence, 5:17 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64603, $0.00220 below the line of $6.64823
- Bought
- 92 × 55¢ = $50.60, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 28¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 94¢ (bought at 55¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMDown73%Correct+$1.86+50%62¢ to 95¢took profit$3.720.2%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 95¢, banked while the market paid, 5:41 PM PT
- Net
- +$1.86 (+50%)after $0.12 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 73%, medium confidence, 5:32 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64446, $0.00290 below the line of $6.64736
- Bought
- 6 × 62¢ = $3.72, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 31¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 95¢ (bought at 62¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMUp75%Correct+$48.51+49%63¢ to 96¢took profit$98.284.9%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 5:54 PM PT
- Net
- +$48.51 (+49%)after $2.97 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 75%, high confidence, 5:47 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64719, $0.00320 above the line of $6.64399
- Bought
- 156 × 63¢ = $98.28, 4.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 96¢ (bought at 63¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMDown95%Correct+$5.32+14%84¢ to 97¢took profit$37.801.9%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 6:10 PM PT
- Net
- +$5.32 (+14%)after $0.53 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 95%, very high confidence, 6:01 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64007, $0.00865 below the line of $6.64872
- Bought
- 45 × 84¢ = $37.80, 1.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 42¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 97¢ (bought at 84¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMDown76%Correct+$32.13+33%71¢ to 96¢took profit$97.984.9%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 6:20 PM PT
- Net
- +$32.13 (+33%)after $2.37 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 76%, high confidence, 6:17 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63368, $0.00445 below the line of $6.63813
- Bought
- 138 × 71¢ = $97.98, 4.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 36¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 96¢ (bought at 71¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMDown72%Correct+$14.36+29%74¢ to 97¢took profit$49.582.5%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 6:39 PM PT
- Net
- +$14.36 (+29%)after $1.05 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 72%, medium confidence, 6:35 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63046, $0.00370 below the line of $6.63416
- Bought
- 67 × 74¢ = $49.58, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 37¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 97¢ (bought at 74¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMDown79%Correct+$11.85+22%79¢ to 98¢took profit$52.932.6%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 98¢, banked while the market paid, 6:55 PM PT
- Net
- +$11.85 (+22%)after $0.88 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 79%, high confidence, 6:46 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.61430, $0.00630 below the line of $6.62060
- Bought
- 67 × 79¢ = $52.93, 2.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 40¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 98¢ (bought at 79¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMDown74%Correct+$16.51+31%72¢ to 96¢took profit$53.282.7%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 7:08 PM PT
- Net
- +$16.51 (+31%)after $1.25 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 74%, high confidence, 7:03 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.61308, $0.00460 below the line of $6.61768
- Bought
- 74 × 72¢ = $53.28, 2.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 36¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 96¢ (bought at 72¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
- 7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMUp80%Correct+$34.31+36%71¢ to 98¢sold$95.854.8%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Sold at 98¢, the posted sell, 7:44 PM PT
- Net
- +$34.31 (+36%)after $2.14 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 80%, high confidence, 7:31 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.61004, $0.00605 above the line of $6.60399
- Bought
- 135 × 71¢ = $95.85, 4.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 36¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 98¢ (bought at 71¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMDown69%Correct−$2.53*−60%60¢ to 27¢sold early$4.200.2%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Cut early at 27¢: the market turned on the call, 8:06 PM PT
- Net
- −$2.53 (−60%)after $0.22 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$2.68Sold at 27¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$2.68.
- The call
- Down at 69%, medium confidence, 8:05 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.60469, $0.00275 below the line of $6.60744
- Bought
- 7 × 60¢ = $4.20, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 30¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 27¢ (bought at 60¢). I closed the position.
8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMUp73%Missed−$59.44−62%58¢ to 25¢sold early$95.704.8%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Cut early at 25¢: the market turned on the call, 8:24 PM PT
- Net
- −$59.44 (−62%)after $4.99 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $39.08Sold early at 25¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$98.52, so selling saved $39.08.
- The call
- Up at 73%, medium confidence, 8:17 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.60363, $0.00485 above the line of $6.59878
- Bought
- 165 × 58¢ = $95.70, 4.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 29¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 25¢ (bought at 58¢). I closed the position.
8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMDown76%Correct+$12.79+24%77¢ to 97¢took profit$53.132.7%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 8:36 PM PT
- Net
- +$12.79 (+24%)after $1.01 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 76%, high confidence, 8:32 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.59035, $0.00590 below the line of $6.59625
- Bought
- 69 × 77¢ = $53.13, 2.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 39¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 97¢ (bought at 77¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMDown81%Correct+$1.80+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$10.080.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.80 (+18%)after $0.12 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 81%, high confidence, 8:53 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.57224, $0.00525 below the line of $6.57749
- Bought
- 12 × 84¢ = $10.08, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 42¢
9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMUp67%Missed−$48.56−60%62¢ to 28¢sold early$81.224.1%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Cut early at 28¢: the market turned on the call, 9:07 PM PT
- Net
- −$48.56 (−60%)after $4.02 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $34.83Sold early at 28¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$83.39, so selling saved $34.83.
- The call
- Up at 67%, medium confidence, 9:06 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.57498, $0.00315 above the line of $6.57183
- Bought
- 131 × 62¢ = $81.22, 4.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 31¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 28¢ (bought at 62¢). I closed the position.
9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMDown82%Correct+$3.45+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$10.360.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$3.45 (+33%)after $0.19 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 82%, high confidence, 9:20 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.56396, $0.00575 below the line of $6.56971
- Bought
- 14 × 74¢ = $10.36, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 37¢
- 9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMUp76%Correct+$4.47+31%73¢ to 97¢took profit$14.600.7%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 9:58 PM PT
- Net
- +$4.47 (+31%)after $0.33 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 76%, high confidence, 9:46 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.57078, $0.00390 above the line of $6.56688
- Bought
- 20 × 73¢ = $14.60, 0.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 37¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 97¢ (bought at 73¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMUp73%Correct+$32.57+50%64¢ to 98¢sold$64.643.2%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Sold at 98¢, the posted sell, 10:14 PM PT
- Net
- +$32.57 (+50%)after $1.77 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 73%, high confidence, 10:01 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.57155, $0.00290 above the line of $6.56865
- Bought
- 101 × 64¢ = $64.64, 3.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 98¢ (bought at 64¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMDown71%Correct+$0.51+38%68¢ to 96¢took profit$1.36<0.1%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 10:24 PM PT
- Net
- +$0.51 (+38%)after $0.05 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 71%, medium confidence, 10:18 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.56617, $0.00285 below the line of $6.56902
- Bought
- 2 × 68¢ = $1.36, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 34¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 96¢ (bought at 68¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMUp72%Correct−$8.83*−17%77¢ to 67¢sold early$53.132.7%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 67¢: the numbers turned against the call, 10:42 PM PT
- Net
- −$8.83 (−17%)after $1.93 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$15.01Sold at 67¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$15.01.
- The call
- Up at 72%, medium confidence, 10:41 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.56508, $0.00205 above the line of $6.56303
- Bought
- 69 × 77¢ = $53.13, 2.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 39¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 67¢ (bought at 77¢). I closed the position.
10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMDown96%Correct+$0.83*+8%88¢ to 96¢sold early$10.560.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 96¢: the numbers turned against the call, 10:58 PM PT
- Net
- +$0.83 (+8%)after $0.13 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$1.35Sold at 96¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$1.35.
- The call
- Down at 96%, very high confidence, 10:48 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.55172, $0.01255 below the line of $6.56427
- Bought
- 12 × 88¢ = $10.56, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 44¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 96¢ (bought at 88¢). I closed the position.
11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMUp71%Correct+$15.22+29%74¢ to 97¢took profit$52.542.6%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 11:12 PM PT
- Net
- +$15.22 (+29%)after $1.11 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 71%, medium confidence, 11:05 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.56552, $0.00410 above the line of $6.56142
- Bought
- 71 × 74¢ = $52.54, 2.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 37¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 97¢ (bought at 74¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMDown68%Correct+$47.78+61%57¢ to 94¢took profit$78.093.9%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 94¢, banked while the market paid, 11:23 PM PT
- Net
- +$47.78 (+61%)after $2.91 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 68%, medium confidence, 11:17 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.56801, $0.00410 below the line of $6.57211
- Bought
- 137 × 57¢ = $78.09, 3.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 29¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 94¢ (bought at 57¢). The market paid, and I accepted the terms.
- 11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMDown84%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
- 11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMUp72%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.
How this page is verified
Every result. On the record.
Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.
Saved
Oct 23, 2026
This file holds all of Nelly’s trading for Oct 21, 2026.
- 86Windows
- 83Calls
- 75Tickets
Trading data file
SHA-256 fingerprint
93b7918992a15278380d137c7cb1d82dfdf98243f9e4f74adc8c21cf092c7d7cWorked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.
Copper price file
SHA-256 fingerprint
751247692697cfa5817efeff2108ffae97cbc265c4bf77097ab852da61533e5fWorked out from Copper’s price at the moment of each call and each ticket.
How a fingerprint works
A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.
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Request the original file for Oct 21, 2026
October 21 across the agents
Same day, other markets
Agent WoJiGold (XAU)+$352.1067 of 82 calls right
Agent LoLoBitcoin (BTC)−$1,081.1274 of 92 calls right
Agent ZiCSolana (SOL)+$52.0169 of 95 calls right
Agent AnJieEthereum (ETH)+$127.9876 of 95 calls right
Agent GruXRP (Ripple)−$181.8770 of 95 calls right
Agent MarkBNB (Binance Coin)−$31.1570 of 96 calls right
Agent HaloDogecoin (DOGE)−$26.9861 of 95 calls right
Agent JiHuiSilver (XAG)−$381.709 of 16 calls right
Agent ShamiZcash (ZEC)−$129.0966 of 80 calls right
Agent AussieAUD/USD (Australian dollar)+$103.9455 of 84 calls right
Agent EUR/USDEUR/USD (euro)−$181.1936 of 96 calls right
Agent GBP/USDGBP/USD (British pound)+$33.3173 of 88 calls right
Agent USD/JPYUSD/JPY (Japanese yen)+$20.1655 of 92 calls right
Agent USD/CADUSD/CAD (Canadian dollar)−$43.3960 of 95 calls right
Agent LeeWTI crude oil−$345.8272 of 96 calls right
Agent SoniaHYPE (Hyperliquid)+$222.5082 of 96 calls right
Questions about this day
- How did Copper trade on October 21, 2026?
- Copper's price to beat started October 21 at $6.66141 (12 AM) and was $6.54235 by the 11:45 PM window, down $0.11906 (1.79%). The day's high was $6.68395 at 1 AM and the low $6.54235 at 11:45 PM; Copper finished higher in 42 of 86 windows.
- Did Agent Nelly make money on October 21, 2026?
- Yes. Nelly made $193.95 on a $2,000 bankroll: 68 of 83 calls right, 53 tickets won and 22 lost. The best session was Futures and Tokyo (+$160.09) and the worst was Midday (−$83.29).
- What is a Kalshi 15-minute Copper contract?
- A yes-or-no contract on whether Copper finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
- Do AI trading bots make money?
- Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: Nelly’s record since launch is +$1,618.58. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots
The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets
Nelly places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.