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- Oct 13, 2026
AI trading agent · Daily log · Copper (HG) 15-minute · Version 1.01b
AI agent Nelly’s Copper (HG) 15-minute log, October 13, 2026
+$124.72 on a fresh $2,000 roll. 66 of 86 calls right. 56 tickets won, 25 lost.
On Tuesday, October 13, 2026, Agent Nelly called 86 of 88 Copper 15-minute windows and got 66 right. Nelly bought 81 tickets, only on the called side: 56 won and 25 lost, for +$124.72 on a fresh $2,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $312.57. Nelly places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement. On the day, Copper’s price to beat went from $6.82476 to $6.84875, up 0.35%.
Saved after the day closed, Oct 15, 2026 · How this page is verified
Week of October 11
- Sun 11+$4.11peak $209.00start $2k
- Mon 12+$196.51peak $346.28start $2k
- Tue 13+$124.72peak $312.57start $2k
- Wed 14+$216.95peak $479.97start $2k
- Thu 15+$326.14peak $313.47start $2k
- Fri 16+$42.75peak $402.31start $2k
- Sat 17Closed
Week through Fri Oct 16: +$911.18 · highest peak $479.97 (Wed) · 317 of 423 calls right · 256 won, 137 lost
Each day starts at a fresh $2,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.
How Copper (HG) traded on October 13
Pacific timeCopper's price to beat started October 13 at $6.82476 (12 AM) and was $6.84875 by the 11:45 PM window, up $0.02399 (0.35%). The day's high was $6.86926 at 8:15 PM and the low $6.77956 at 11 AM; Copper finished higher in 46 of 88 windows.
- Start$6.8247612 AM window
- Last$6.8487511:45 PM window
- Change+0.35%+$0.02399
- High$6.869268:15 PM
- Low$6.7795611 AM
- Biggest 15-minute move−$0.028645 AM to 5:15 AM
| Part of the day | Copper moved | Windows | Nelly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before the US open12–6:30 AM | −$0.01165−0.17%, $6.82476 to $6.81311 | 15 up, 11 down26 windows | +$136.6125 tickets |
| US market open6:30 AM–1 PM | −$0.01685−0.25%, $6.81311 to $6.79626 | 13 up, 13 down26 windows | +$117.0125 tickets |
| After the US close1 PM–12 AM | +$0.05249+0.77%, $6.79626 to $6.84875 | 18 up, 18 down36 windows | −$128.9031 tickets |
Prices are Kalshi’s price to beat for each window, as Kalshi set the price when the window opened, kept in this day’s prices file (86 of 88 windows; the rest had no call). Up and down count every window’s result.
Trading sessions
No market · Pacific time (PDT)
Before the US open
12–6:30 AM
+$136.6118 of 26 right · 25 tickets
- Best session
12–5:30 AM
Pre-market
+$132.53
14 of 22 right · 21 tickets
Winner3:45–4:00 AM+$77.00
5:30–6:30 AM
US data
+$4.08
4 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner6:15–6:30 AM+$4.13
US market open
6:30 AM–1 PM
+$117.0118 of 25 right · 25 tickets
6:30–7:30 AM
US open
+$3.02
3 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner7:15–7:30 AM+$5.18
7:30 AM–12 PM
Midday
+$108.41
13 of 18 right · 18 tickets
Winner10:30–10:45 AM+$160.77
12–1 PM
Final hour
+$5.58
2 of 3 right · 3 tickets
Winner12:45–1:00 PM+$8.65
After the US close
1 PM–12 AM
−$128.9030 of 35 right · 31 tickets
1–3 PM
After the close
+$8.03
1 of 1 right · 1 ticket
Winner1:00–1:15 PM+$8.03
3–6:30 PM
Futures and Tokyo
−$191.89
11 of 13 right · 10 tickets
Winner3:15–3:30 PM+$41.28
6:30 PM–12 AM
China open
+$54.96
18 of 21 right · 20 tickets
Winner6:45–7:00 PM+$43.85
- Best ticket
- +$160.7710:30–10:45 AM, Up
- Worst ticket
- −$319.366:00–6:15 PM, Up
- Biggest ticket
- $312.576:00–6:15 PM
- How tickets closed
- 18 took profit · 23 sold or stopped · 40 held
Trade log
Every window, October 13
+$124.72 closed · 56 won, 25 lost · 66 of 86 calls right · 2 passed · biggest ticket $312.57
12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMUp68%Correct+$16.05+61%61¢ to 100¢settled$26.231.3%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$16.05 (+61%)after $0.72 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 68%, medium confidence, 12:03 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82741, $0.00265 above the line of $6.82476
- Bought
- 43 × 61¢ = $26.23, 1.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 31¢
12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMUp79%Correct+$2.38+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$9.480.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$2.38 (+25%)after $0.14 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 79%, high confidence, 12:18 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.83274, $0.00365 above the line of $6.82909
- Bought
- 12 × 79¢ = $9.48, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 40¢
12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMUp66%Missed+$0.82+5%65¢ to 71¢sold early$18.200.9%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 71¢: the numbers turned against the call, 12:41 AM PT
- Net
- +$0.82 (+5%)after $0.86 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $19.47Sold early at 71¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$18.65, so selling saved $19.47.
- The call
- Up at 66%, medium confidence, 12:39 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.83763, $0.00160 above the line of $6.83603
- Bought
- 28 × 65¢ = $18.20, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 71¢ (bought at 65¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 41%), so I closed the position early.
12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMUp72%Correct+$2.36+31%75¢ to 100¢settled$7.500.4%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$2.36 (+31%)after $0.14 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 72%, medium confidence, 12:46 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.83526, $0.00445 above the line of $6.83081
- Bought
- 10 × 75¢ = $7.50, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 38¢
- 1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMDown82%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMDown78%Correct+$1.34+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$9.570.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.34 (+14%)after $0.09 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 78%, high confidence, 1:17 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81671, $0.00630 below the line of $6.82301
- Bought
- 11 × 87¢ = $9.57, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 44¢
1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMUp72%Missed−$4.86−10%72¢ to 68¢sold early$50.402.5%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 68¢: the numbers turned against the call, 1:35 AM PT
- Net
- −$4.86 (−10%)after $2.06 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $46.53Sold early at 68¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$51.39, so selling saved $46.53.
- The call
- Up at 72%, medium confidence, 1:34 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82280, $0.00390 above the line of $6.81890
- Bought
- 70 × 72¢ = $50.40, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 36¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 68¢ (bought at 72¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 45%), so I closed the position early.
1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMUp73%Correct+$30.47+49%63¢ to 96¢took profit$61.743.1%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 1:54 AM PT
- Net
- +$30.47 (+49%)after $1.87 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 73%, high confidence, 1:47 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82140, $0.00385 above the line of $6.81755
- Bought
- 98 × 63¢ = $61.74, 3.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 96¢ (bought at 63¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMUp65%Correct−$0.68*−3%82¢ to 82¢sold even$26.241.3%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Sold at 82¢ to protect the ticket, 2:11 AM PT
- Net
- −$0.68 (−3%)after $0.68 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$5.42Sold at 82¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$5.42.
- The call
- Up at 65%, medium confidence, 2:08 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.83051, $0.00165 above the line of $6.82886
- Bought
- 32 × 82¢ = $26.24, 1.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 41¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 82¢ (bought at 82¢). The position had been in profit, returned to my entry, and my numbers turned (Up 53%). I closed the position before a gain could become a loss.
2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMDown79%Missed−$0.21−25%84¢ to 66¢sold early$0.84<0.1%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Sold at 66¢ to protect the ticket, 2:25 AM PT
- Net
- −$0.21 (−25%)after $0.03 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $0.64Sold early at 66¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$0.85, so selling saved $0.64.
- The call
- Down at 79%, high confidence, 2:18 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82623, $0.00370 below the line of $6.82993
- Bought
- 1 × 84¢ = $0.84, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 42¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 66¢ (bought at 84¢). The position had been in profit, returned to my entry, and my numbers turned (Down 60%). I closed the position before a gain could become a loss.
2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMUp68%Correct−$15.39*−22%52¢ to 44¢sold early$69.683.5%Sell 93¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 44¢: the numbers turned against the call, 2:37 AM PT
- Net
- −$15.39 (−22%)after $4.67 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$61.97Sold at 44¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$61.97.
- The call
- Up at 68%, medium confidence, 2:34 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.83289, $0.00195 above the line of $6.83094
- Bought
- 134 × 52¢ = $69.68, 3.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 93¢, stop at 26¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 44¢ (bought at 52¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 41%), so I closed the position early.
2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMDown71%Missed−$2.72−56%54¢ to 27¢stopped$4.860.2%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Stopped at 27¢, 2:55 AM PT
- Net
- −$2.72 (−56%)after $0.29 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $2.30Sold early at 27¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$5.02, so selling saved $2.30.
- The call
- Down at 71%, medium confidence, 2:50 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82886, $0.00225 below the line of $6.83111
- Bought
- 9 × 54¢ = $4.86, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 27¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 27¢ on my 27¢ stop (bought at 54¢). The market moved against my call, and the stop keeps the loss contained.
3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMDown68%Missed−$31.58−64%62¢ to 25¢stopped$48.982.4%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Stopped at 25¢, 3:09 AM PT
- Net
- −$31.58 (−64%)after $2.35 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $18.71Sold early at 25¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$50.29, so selling saved $18.71.
- The call
- Down at 68%, medium confidence, 3:05 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.83387, $0.00190 below the line of $6.83577
- Bought
- 79 × 62¢ = $48.98, 2.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 31¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 25¢ on my 31¢ stop (bought at 62¢). The market moved against my call, and the stop keeps the loss contained.
3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMUp76%Correct+$58.46+51%65¢ to 100¢settled$113.755.7%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$58.46 (+51%)after $2.79 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 76%, high confidence, 3:22 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.83852, $0.00245 above the line of $6.83607
- Bought
- 175 × 65¢ = $113.75, 5.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMUp67%Missed−$3.91−2%60¢ to 62¢sold early$176.408.8%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 62¢: the numbers turned against the call, 3:40 AM PT
- Net
- −$3.91 (−2%)after $9.79 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $177.43Sold early at 62¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$181.34, so selling saved $177.43.
- The call
- Up at 67%, medium confidence, 3:35 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.83937, $0.00180 above the line of $6.83757
- Bought
- 294 × 60¢ = $176.40, 8.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 30¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 62¢ (bought at 60¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 41%), so I closed the position early.
3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMDown70%Correct+$77.00+69%55¢ to 95¢took profit$111.655.6%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 95¢, banked while the market paid, 3:56 AM PT
- Net
- +$77.00 (+69%)after $4.20 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 70%, medium confidence, 3:47 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.83298, $0.00255 below the line of $6.83553
- Bought
- 203 × 55¢ = $111.65, 5.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 28¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 95¢ (bought at 55¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMDown85%Correct+$4.57+45%68¢ to 100¢settled$10.200.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$4.57 (+45%)after $0.23 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 85%, very high confidence, 4:03 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82681, $0.00475 below the line of $6.83156
- Bought
- 15 × 68¢ = $10.20, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 34¢
4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMDown78%Correct−$0.73*−7%78¢ to 75¢sold even$10.140.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold at 75¢ to protect the ticket, 4:22 AM PT
- Net
- −$0.73 (−7%)after $0.34 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$2.70Sold at 75¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$2.70.
- The call
- Down at 78%, high confidence, 4:18 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82747, $0.00345 below the line of $6.83092
- Bought
- 13 × 78¢ = $10.14, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 39¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 75¢ (bought at 78¢). The position had been in profit, returned to my entry, and my numbers turned (Down 50%). I closed the position before a gain could become a loss.
4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMUp69%Missed−$3.68−35%59¢ to 42¢sold early$10.620.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 42¢: the numbers turned against the call, 4:40 AM PT
- Net
- −$3.68 (−35%)after $0.62 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $7.25Sold early at 42¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$10.93, so selling saved $7.25.
- The call
- Up at 69%, medium confidence, 4:33 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82872, $0.00270 above the line of $6.82602
- Bought
- 18 × 59¢ = $10.62, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 30¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 42¢ (bought at 59¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 34%), so I closed the position early.
4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMDown78%Missed−$3.31−32%61¢ to 45¢sold early$10.370.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 45¢: the numbers turned against the call, 4:54 AM PT
- Net
- −$3.31 (−32%)after $0.59 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $7.35Sold early at 45¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$10.66, so selling saved $7.35.
- The call
- Down at 78%, high confidence, 4:52 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82081, $0.00315 below the line of $6.82396
- Bought
- 17 × 61¢ = $10.37, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 31¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 45¢ (bought at 61¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 25%), so I closed the position early.
5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMDown74%Correct+$2.57+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$10.270.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$2.57 (+25%)after $0.16 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 74%, high confidence, 5:01 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82322, $0.00385 below the line of $6.82707
- Bought
- 13 × 79¢ = $10.27, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 40¢
5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMUp71%Correct+$3.58+35%73¢ to 100¢settled$10.220.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$3.58 (+35%)after $0.20 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 71%, medium confidence, 5:17 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80223, $0.00380 above the line of $6.79843
- Bought
- 14 × 73¢ = $10.22, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 37¢
5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMUp70%Correct−$3.58*−34%66¢ to 47¢sold early$10.560.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 47¢: the numbers turned against the call, 5:34 AM PT
- Net
- −$3.58 (−34%)after $0.54 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$5.18Sold at 47¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$5.18.
- The call
- Up at 70%, medium confidence, 5:31 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80686, $0.00335 above the line of $6.80351
- Bought
- 16 × 66¢ = $10.56, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 47¢ (bought at 66¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 39%), so I closed the position early.
5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMUp72%Correct+$1.50+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$8.400.4%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.50 (+18%)after $0.10 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 72%, medium confidence, 5:51 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80879, $0.00390 above the line of $6.80489
- Bought
- 10 × 84¢ = $8.40, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 42¢
6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMDown74%Correct+$2.03+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$9.840.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$2.03 (+21%)after $0.13 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 74%, high confidence, 6:04 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81257, $0.00475 below the line of $6.81732
- Bought
- 12 × 82¢ = $9.84, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 41¢
6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMUp75%Correct+$4.13+39%71¢ to 100¢settled$10.650.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$4.13 (+39%)after $0.22 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 75%, high confidence, 6:21 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81569, $0.00405 above the line of $6.81164
- Bought
- 15 × 71¢ = $10.65, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 36¢
6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMUp76%Correct+$0.15+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$0.84<0.1%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.15 (+18%)after $0.01 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 76%, high confidence, 6:33 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81796, $0.00485 above the line of $6.81311
- Bought
- 1 × 84¢ = $0.84, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 42¢
6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMUp70%Missed−$4.22−42%63¢ to 40¢sold early$10.080.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 40¢: the numbers turned against the call, 6:48 AM PT
- Net
- −$4.22 (−42%)after $0.54 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $6.13Sold early at 40¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$10.35, so selling saved $6.13.
- The call
- Up at 70%, medium confidence, 6:47 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82577, $0.00390 above the line of $6.82187
- Bought
- 16 × 63¢ = $10.08, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 32¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 40¢ (bought at 63¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 35%), so I closed the position early.
7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMUp76%Correct+$1.91+64%60¢ to 100¢settled$3.000.1%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.91 (+64%)after $0.09 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 76%, high confidence, 7:02 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81464, $0.00600 above the line of $6.80864
- Bought
- 5 × 60¢ = $3.00, 0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 30¢
7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMDown75%Correct+$5.18+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$10.560.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$5.18 (+49%)after $0.26 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 75%, high confidence, 7:16 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80611, $0.00595 below the line of $6.81206
- Bought
- 16 × 66¢ = $10.56, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 33¢
7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMUp82%Correct+$4.71+47%67¢ to 100¢settled$10.050.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$4.71 (+47%)after $0.24 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 82%, high confidence, 7:37 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80431, $0.00640 above the line of $6.79791
- Bought
- 15 × 67¢ = $10.05, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 34¢
7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMDown72%Missed−$3.15−30%59¢ to 45¢sold early$10.620.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 45¢: the numbers turned against the call, 7:52 AM PT
- Net
- −$3.15 (−30%)after $0.63 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $7.78Sold early at 45¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$10.93, so selling saved $7.78.
- The call
- Down at 72%, medium confidence, 7:49 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80207, $0.00440 below the line of $6.80647
- Bought
- 18 × 59¢ = $10.62, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 30¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 45¢ (bought at 59¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 40%), so I closed the position early.
8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMDown67%Correct−$10.57*−33%86¢ to 60¢sold early$31.821.6%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Sold at 60¢ to protect the ticket, 8:12 AM PT
- Net
- −$10.57 (−33%)after $0.95 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$4.86Sold at 60¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$4.86.
- The call
- Down at 67%, medium confidence, 8:03 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80717, $0.00335 below the line of $6.81052
- Bought
- 37 × 86¢ = $31.82, 1.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 43¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 60¢ (bought at 86¢). The position had been in profit, returned to my entry, and my numbers turned (Down 37%). I closed the position before a gain could become a loss.
8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMUp70%Missed−$34.42−58%69¢ to 32¢stopped$59.343.0%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Stopped at 32¢, 8:27 AM PT
- Net
- −$34.42 (−58%)after $2.60 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $26.21Sold early at 32¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$60.63, so selling saved $26.21.
- The call
- Up at 70%, medium confidence, 8:21 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80930, $0.00280 above the line of $6.80650
- Bought
- 86 × 69¢ = $59.34, 3.0% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 32¢ on my 35¢ stop (bought at 69¢). The market moved against my call, and the stop keeps the loss contained.
8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMUp71%Correct−$0.36*−5%78¢ to 77¢sold even$7.800.4%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Sold at 77¢ to protect the ticket, 8:35 AM PT
- Net
- −$0.36 (−5%)after $0.26 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$2.07Sold at 77¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$2.07.
- The call
- Up at 71%, medium confidence, 8:33 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79861, $0.00320 above the line of $6.79541
- Bought
- 10 × 78¢ = $7.80, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 39¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 77¢ (bought at 78¢). The position had been in profit, returned to my entry, and my numbers turned (Up 52%). I closed the position before a gain could become a loss.
8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMUp66%Missed−$59.47−102%72¢ to 0¢settled$58.322.9%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$59.47 (−102%)after $1.15 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was missed.
- The call
- Up at 66%, medium confidence, 8:52 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79739, $0.00160 above the line of $6.79579
- Bought
- 81 × 72¢ = $58.32, 2.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 36¢
9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMDown70%Missed−$32.30−57%74¢ to 35¢stopped$56.982.8%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Stopped at 35¢, 9:11 AM PT
- Net
- −$32.30 (−57%)after $2.27 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $25.72Sold early at 35¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$58.02, so selling saved $25.72.
- The call
- Down at 70%, medium confidence, 9:04 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79344, $0.00225 below the line of $6.79569
- Bought
- 77 × 74¢ = $56.98, 2.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 37¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 35¢ on my 37¢ stop (bought at 74¢). The market moved against my call, and the stop keeps the loss contained.
9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMDown68%Correct+$37.08+64%58¢ to 97¢took profit$58.002.9%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 9:28 AM PT
- Net
- +$37.08 (+64%)after $1.92 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 68%, medium confidence, 9:21 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79376, $0.00200 below the line of $6.79576
- Bought
- 100 × 58¢ = $58.00, 2.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 29¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 97¢ (bought at 58¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMDown68%Missed−$20.25−52%58¢ to 31¢sold early$38.861.9%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 31¢: the numbers turned against the call, 9:39 AM PT
- Net
- −$20.25 (−52%)after $2.16 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $19.76Sold early at 31¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$40.01, so selling saved $19.76.
- The call
- Down at 68%, medium confidence, 9:36 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79182, $0.00200 below the line of $6.79382
- Bought
- 67 × 58¢ = $38.86, 1.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 29¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 31¢ (bought at 58¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 32%), so I closed the position early.
9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMDown74%Correct+$5.79+50%64¢ to 98¢took profit$11.520.6%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 98¢, banked while the market paid, 9:58 AM PT
- Net
- +$5.79 (+50%)after $0.33 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 74%, high confidence, 9:53 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79494, $0.00220 below the line of $6.79714
- Bought
- 18 × 64¢ = $11.52, 0.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 98¢ (bought at 64¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMDown78%Correct+$4.86+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$9.900.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$4.86 (+49%)after $0.24 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 78%, high confidence, 10:02 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.78910, $0.00380 below the line of $6.79290
- Bought
- 15 × 66¢ = $9.90, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 33¢
10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMUp69%Correct+$0.98+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$2.960.1%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.98 (+33%)after $0.06 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 69%, medium confidence, 10:24 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79281, $0.00145 above the line of $6.79136
- Bought
- 4 × 74¢ = $2.96, 0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 37¢
10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMUp67%Correct+$160.77+69%58¢ to 100¢settled$231.4211.6%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$160.77 (+69%)after $6.81 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 67%, medium confidence, 10:31 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79410, $0.00210 above the line of $6.79200
- Bought
- 399 × 58¢ = $231.42, 11.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 29¢
10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMDown74%Correct+$3.45+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$10.360.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$3.45 (+33%)after $0.19 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 74%, high confidence, 10:47 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79019, $0.00300 below the line of $6.79319
- Bought
- 14 × 74¢ = $10.36, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 37¢
11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMUp70%Correct+$21.10+35%70¢ to 96¢took profit$60.903.0%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 11:06 AM PT
- Net
- +$21.10 (+35%)after $1.52 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 70%, medium confidence, 11:03 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.78191, $0.00235 above the line of $6.77956
- Bought
- 87 × 70¢ = $60.90, 3.0% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 96¢ (bought at 70¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMUp73%Correct+$8.22+79%55¢ to 100¢settled$10.450.5%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$8.22 (+79%)after $0.33 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 73%, high confidence, 11:19 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80072, $0.00300 above the line of $6.79772
- Bought
- 19 × 55¢ = $10.45, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 28¢
11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMDown78%Correct+$8.17+40%68¢ to 97¢took profit$20.401.0%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 11:42 AM PT
- Net
- +$8.17 (+40%)after $0.53 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 78%, high confidence, 11:37 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79576, $0.00330 below the line of $6.79906
- Bought
- 30 × 68¢ = $20.40, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 34¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 97¢ (bought at 68¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMUp66%Correct+$13.80+22%81¢ to 100¢settled$62.373.1%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$13.80 (+22%)after $0.83 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 66%, medium confidence, 11:54 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79726, $0.00140 above the line of $6.79586
- Bought
- 77 × 81¢ = $62.37, 3.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 41¢
- 12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMUp81%Correct+$1.46+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$10.440.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.46 (+14%)after $0.10 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 81%, high confidence, 12:25 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79917, $0.00230 above the line of $6.79687
- Bought
- 12 × 87¢ = $10.44, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 44¢
12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMUp67%Missed−$4.53−103%63¢ to 0¢settled$4.410.2%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$4.53 (−103%)after $0.12 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was missed.
- The call
- Up at 67%, medium confidence, 12:36 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80177, $0.00170 above the line of $6.80007
- Bought
- 7 × 63¢ = $4.41, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 32¢
12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMDown65%Correct+$8.65+79%55¢ to 100¢settled$11.000.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$8.65 (+79%)after $0.35 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 65%, medium confidence, 12:47 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79684, $0.00185 below the line of $6.79869
- Bought
- 20 × 55¢ = $11.00, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 28¢
1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMUp66%Correct+$8.03+93%51¢ to 100¢settled$8.670.4%Sell 93¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$8.03 (+93%)after $0.30 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 66%, medium confidence, 1:06 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79791, $0.00165 above the line of $6.79626
- Bought
- 17 × 51¢ = $8.67, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 93¢, stop at 26¢
- 1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMUp76%Correct+$41.28+72%57¢ to 100¢settled$57.002.9%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$41.28 (+72%)after $1.72 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 76%, high confidence, 3:21 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81928, $0.00275 above the line of $6.81653
- Bought
- 100 × 57¢ = $57.00, 2.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 29¢
3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMUp82%Correct+$11.00+47%67¢ to 100¢settled$23.451.2%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$11.00 (+47%)after $0.55 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 82%, high confidence, 3:40 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81956, $0.00240 above the line of $6.81716
- Bought
- 35 × 67¢ = $23.45, 1.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 34¢
- 3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMDown87%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMDown77%Correct+$1.66+27%78¢ to 100¢settled$6.240.3%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.66 (+27%)after $0.10 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 77%, high confidence, 4:08 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81168, $0.00235 below the line of $6.81403
- Bought
- 8 × 78¢ = $6.24, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 39¢
4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMDown80%Correct+$5.34+47%67¢ to 100¢settled$11.390.6%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$5.34 (+47%)after $0.27 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 80%, high confidence, 4:22 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80959, $0.00300 below the line of $6.81259
- Bought
- 17 × 67¢ = $11.39, 0.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 34¢
- 4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMDown71%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMDown69%Correct+$0.35+56%63¢ to 100¢settled$0.63<0.1%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.35 (+56%)after $0.02 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 69%, medium confidence, 4:53 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80751, $0.00165 below the line of $6.80916
- Bought
- 1 × 63¢ = $0.63, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 32¢
5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMUp69%Correct+$38.32+64%60¢ to 100¢settled$60.003.0%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$38.32 (+64%)after $1.68 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 69%, medium confidence, 5:03 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81094, $0.00225 above the line of $6.80869
- Bought
- 100 × 60¢ = $60.00, 3.0% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 30¢
5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMDown70%Correct+$36.12+53%62¢ to 97¢took profit$67.583.4%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 5:26 PM PT
- Net
- +$36.12 (+53%)after $2.03 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 70%, medium confidence, 5:17 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80677, $0.00245 below the line of $6.80922
- Bought
- 109 × 62¢ = $67.58, 3.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 31¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 97¢ (bought at 62¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMUp96%Correct+$32.64+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$115.505.8%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$32.64 (+28%)after $1.86 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 96%, very high confidence, 5:36 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81463, $0.00750 above the line of $6.80713
- Bought
- 150 × 77¢ = $115.50, 5.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 39¢
- 5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMUp78%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMUp77%Missed−$319.36−102%69¢ to 0¢settled$312.5715.6%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$319.36 (−102%)after $6.79 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was missed.
- The call
- Up at 77%, high confidence, 6:01 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81435, $0.00550 above the line of $6.80885
- Bought
- 453 × 69¢ = $312.57, 15.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢
6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMDown80%Missed−$39.24−41%69¢ to 44¢sold early$95.914.8%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 44¢: the numbers turned against the call, 6:24 PM PT
- Net
- −$39.24 (−41%)after $4.49 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $58.76Sold early at 44¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$98.00, so selling saved $58.76.
- The call
- Down at 80%, high confidence, 6:17 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79951, $0.00755 below the line of $6.80706
- Bought
- 139 × 69¢ = $95.91, 4.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 44¢ (bought at 69¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 36%), so I closed the position early.
6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMDown92%Correct+$0.47+14%84¢ to 97¢took profit$3.360.2%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 6:38 PM PT
- Net
- +$0.47 (+14%)after $0.05 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 92%, very high confidence, 6:32 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79516, $0.01330 below the line of $6.80846
- Bought
- 4 × 84¢ = $3.36, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 42¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 97¢ (bought at 84¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMUp67%Correct+$43.85+91%48¢ to 94¢took profit$48.002.4%Sell 93¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 94¢, banked while the market paid, 6:51 PM PT
- Net
- +$43.85 (+91%)after $2.15 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 67%, medium confidence, 6:46 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79970, $0.00445 above the line of $6.79525
- Bought
- 100 × 48¢ = $48.00, 2.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 93¢, stop at 24¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 94¢ (bought at 48¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMUp77%Correct+$1.10+24%77¢ to 97¢took profit$4.620.2%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 7:07 PM PT
- Net
- +$1.10 (+24%)after $0.10 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 77%, high confidence, 7:06 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82366, $0.00630 above the line of $6.81736
- Bought
- 6 × 77¢ = $4.62, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 39¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 97¢ (bought at 77¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMUp66%Correct+$0.37+70%53¢ to 93¢took profit$0.53<0.1%Sell 93¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 93¢, banked while the market paid, 7:25 PM PT
- Net
- +$0.37 (+70%)after $0.03 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 66%, medium confidence, 7:18 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.83895, $0.00500 above the line of $6.83395
- Bought
- 1 × 53¢ = $0.53, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 93¢, stop at 27¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 93¢ (bought at 53¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMDown72%Correct+$1.11+30%73¢ to 97¢took profit$3.650.2%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 7:43 PM PT
- Net
- +$1.11 (+30%)after $0.09 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 72%, medium confidence, 7:38 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.84111, $0.00480 below the line of $6.84591
- Bought
- 5 × 73¢ = $3.65, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 37¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 97¢ (bought at 73¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMUp69%Correct+$5.06+26%76¢ to 97¢took profit$19.761.0%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 7:58 PM PT
- Net
- +$5.06 (+26%)after $0.40 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 69%, medium confidence, 7:48 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.84790, $0.00545 above the line of $6.84245
- Bought
- 26 × 76¢ = $19.76, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 38¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 97¢ (bought at 76¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMUp94%Correct+$1.35+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$10.560.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.35 (+13%)after $0.09 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 94%, very high confidence, 8:02 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.87333, $0.01860 above the line of $6.85473
- Bought
- 12 × 88¢ = $10.56, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 44¢
8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMDown66%Correct+$17.68+56%63¢ to 100¢settled$31.501.6%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$17.68 (+56%)after $0.82 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 66%, medium confidence, 8:18 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.86491, $0.00435 below the line of $6.86926
- Bought
- 50 × 63¢ = $31.50, 1.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
- 8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMDown80%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMUp75%Correct+$4.25+8%89¢ to 97¢took profit$53.402.7%Sell 99¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 9:11 PM PT
- Net
- +$4.25 (+8%)after $0.55 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 75%, high confidence, 9:08 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.85527, $0.00225 above the line of $6.85302
- Bought
- 60 × 89¢ = $53.40, 2.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 99¢, stop at 45¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 97¢ (bought at 89¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMUp73%Correct+$40.29+69%58¢ to 100¢settled$58.002.9%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$40.29 (+69%)after $1.71 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 73%, medium confidence, 9:22 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.86153, $0.00220 above the line of $6.85933
- Bought
- 100 × 58¢ = $58.00, 2.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 29¢
9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMUp71%Correct+$1.10+39%71¢ to 100¢settled$2.840.1%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.10 (+39%)after $0.06 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 71%, medium confidence, 9:37 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.86205, $0.00205 above the line of $6.86000
- Bought
- 4 × 71¢ = $2.84, 0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 36¢
9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMDown71%Correct+$0.96*+26%73¢ to 94¢sold early$3.650.2%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 94¢: the numbers turned against the call, 9:58 PM PT
- Net
- +$0.96 (+26%)after $0.09 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$1.28Sold at 94¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$1.28.
- The call
- Down at 71%, medium confidence, 9:52 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.86339, $0.00195 below the line of $6.86534
- Bought
- 5 × 73¢ = $3.65, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 37¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 94¢ (bought at 73¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 32%), so I closed the position early.
10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMDown75%Correct+$0.46+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$4.500.2%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.46 (+10%)after $0.04 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 75%, high confidence, 10:03 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.86143, $0.00325 below the line of $6.86468
- Bought
- 5 × 90¢ = $4.50, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 45¢
10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMDown87%Missed−$23.71−101%87¢ to 0¢settled$23.491.2%Sell 99¢
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$23.71 (−101%)after $0.22 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was missed.
- The call
- Down at 87%, very high confidence, 10:16 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.84869, $0.00655 below the line of $6.85524
- Bought
- 27 × 87¢ = $23.49, 1.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 99¢, stop at 44¢
10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMDown68%Correct+$7.42+30%74¢ to 98¢took profit$24.421.2%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 98¢, banked while the market paid, 10:41 PM PT
- Net
- +$7.42 (+30%)after $0.50 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 68%, medium confidence, 10:35 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.85326, $0.00295 below the line of $6.85621
- Bought
- 33 × 74¢ = $24.42, 1.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 37¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 98¢ (bought at 74¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMDown74%Correct+$7.57+14%84¢ to 97¢took profit$53.762.7%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 10:57 PM PT
- Net
- +$7.57 (+14%)after $0.75 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 74%, high confidence, 10:54 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.83953, $0.00340 below the line of $6.84293
- Bought
- 64 × 84¢ = $53.76, 2.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 42¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 97¢ (bought at 84¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMDown72%Missed−$2.92−39%58¢ to 39¢sold early$7.540.4%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 39¢: the numbers turned against the call, 11:06 PM PT
- Net
- −$2.92 (−39%)after $0.45 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $4.85Sold early at 39¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$7.77, so selling saved $4.85.
- The call
- Down at 72%, medium confidence, 11:05 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82571, $0.00380 below the line of $6.82951
- Bought
- 13 × 58¢ = $7.54, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 29¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 39¢ (bought at 58¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 37%), so I closed the position early.
11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMDown85%Missed−$68.63−68%66¢ to 24¢stopped$100.985.0%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Stopped at 24¢, 11:27 PM PT
- Net
- −$68.63 (−68%)after $4.37 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $34.76Sold early at 24¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$103.39, so selling saved $34.76.
- The call
- Down at 85%, very high confidence, 11:17 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.83906, $0.00865 below the line of $6.84771
- Bought
- 153 × 66¢ = $100.98, 5.0% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 24¢ on my 33¢ stop (bought at 66¢). The market moved against my call, and the stop keeps the loss contained.
11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMDown68%Correct+$9.60+48%63¢ to 95¢took profit$20.161.0%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 95¢, banked while the market paid, 11:43 PM PT
- Net
- +$9.60 (+48%)after $0.64 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 68%, medium confidence, 11:31 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.84716, $0.00390 below the line of $6.85106
- Bought
- 32 × 63¢ = $20.16, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 95¢ (bought at 63¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMDown74%Correct+$7.58+36%70¢ to 97¢took profit$21.001.1%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 11:56 PM PT
- Net
- +$7.58 (+36%)after $0.52 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 74%, high confidence, 11:46 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.84400, $0.00475 below the line of $6.84875
- Bought
- 30 × 70¢ = $21.00, 1.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 97¢ (bought at 70¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.
How this page is verified
Every result. On the record.
Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.
Saved
Oct 15, 2026
This file holds all of Nelly’s trading for Oct 13, 2026.
- 88Windows
- 86Calls
- 81Tickets
Trading data file
SHA-256 fingerprint
c3d26ed2ecef420a5e86d7afbefc6e270c88d7dbabb08361ede5c16667b462b8Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.
Copper price file
SHA-256 fingerprint
81cad74b8d87626a3a6b4144af3db65496920d75c544181819a8a9670e2078e5Worked out from Copper’s price at the moment of each call and each ticket.
How a fingerprint works
A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.
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October 13 across the agents
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Questions about this day
- How did Copper trade on October 13, 2026?
- Copper's price to beat started October 13 at $6.82476 (12 AM) and was $6.84875 by the 11:45 PM window, up $0.02399 (0.35%). The day's high was $6.86926 at 8:15 PM and the low $6.77956 at 11 AM; Copper finished higher in 46 of 88 windows.
- Did Agent Nelly make money on October 13, 2026?
- Yes. Nelly made $124.72 on a $2,000 bankroll: 66 of 86 calls right, 56 tickets won and 25 lost. The best session was Pre-market (+$132.53) and the worst was Futures and Tokyo (−$191.89).
- What is a Kalshi 15-minute Copper contract?
- A yes-or-no contract on whether Copper finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
- Do AI trading bots make money?
- Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: Nelly’s record since launch is +$325.34. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots
The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets
Nelly places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.