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- Oct 15, 2026
AI trading agent · Daily log · Copper (HG) 15-minute · Version 1.01b
AI agent Nelly’s Copper (HG) 15-minute log, October 15, 2026
+$326.14 on a fresh $2,000 roll. 66 of 79 calls right. 58 tickets won, 17 lost.
On Thursday, October 15, 2026, Agent Nelly called 79 of 82 Copper 15-minute windows and got 66 right. Nelly bought 75 tickets, only on the called side: 58 won and 17 lost, for +$326.14 on a fresh $2,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $313.47. Nelly places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement. On the day, Copper’s price to beat went from $6.64829 to $6.69973, up 0.77%.
Saved after the day closed, Oct 18, 2026 · How this page is verified
Week of October 11
- Sun 11+$4.11peak $209.00start $2k
- Mon 12+$196.51peak $346.28start $2k
- Tue 13+$124.72peak $312.57start $2k
- Wed 14+$216.95peak $479.97start $2k
- Thu 15+$326.14peak $313.47start $2k
- Fri 16+$42.75peak $402.31start $2k
- Sat 17Closed
Week through Fri Oct 16: +$911.18 · highest peak $479.97 (Wed) · 317 of 423 calls right · 256 won, 137 lost
Each day starts at a fresh $2,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.
How Copper (HG) traded on October 15
Pacific timeCopper's price to beat started October 15 at $6.64829 (2 AM) and was $6.69973 by the 11:45 PM window, up $0.05144 (0.77%). The day's high was $6.72686 at 9:30 PM and the low $6.62231 at 7:30 AM; Copper finished higher in 41 of 82 windows.
- Start$6.648292 AM window
- Last$6.6997311:45 PM window
- Change+0.77%+$0.05144
- High$6.726869:30 PM
- Low$6.622317:30 AM
- Biggest 15-minute move+$0.019488:45 PM to 9 PM
| Part of the day | Copper moved | Windows | Nelly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before the US open12–6:30 AM | −$0.01390−0.21%, $6.64829 to $6.63439 | 9 up, 9 down18 windows | −$59.9618 tickets |
| US market open6:30 AM–1 PM | +$0.01390+0.21%, $6.63439 to $6.64829 | 13 up, 13 down26 windows | +$34.5925 tickets |
| After the US close1 PM–12 AM | +$0.05144+0.77%, $6.64829 to $6.69973 | 19 up, 19 down38 windows | +$351.5132 tickets |
Prices are Kalshi’s price to beat for each window, as Kalshi set the price when the window opened, kept in this day’s prices file (79 of 82 windows; the rest had no call). Up and down count every window’s result.
Trading sessions
No market · Pacific time (PDT)
Before the US open
12–6:30 AM
−$59.9613 of 18 right · 18 tickets
12–5:30 AM
Pre-market
−$61.82
10 of 14 right · 14 tickets
Winner3:15–3:30 AM+$10.07
5:30–6:30 AM
US data
+$1.86
3 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner5:45–6:00 AM+$3.20
US market open
6:30 AM–1 PM
+$34.5921 of 25 right · 25 tickets
6:30–7:30 AM
US open
−$10.20
2 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner6:45–7:00 AM+$0.97
7:30 AM–12 PM
Midday
+$35.99
15 of 17 right · 17 tickets
Winner9:00–9:15 AM+$17.29
12–1 PM
Final hour
+$8.80
4 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner12:00–12:15 PM+$4.13
After the US close
1 PM–12 AM
+$351.5132 of 36 right · 32 tickets
1–3 PM
After the close
+$16.03
3 of 3 right · 3 tickets
Winner1:30–1:45 PM+$13.92
3–6:30 PM
Futures and Tokyo
+$150.03
11 of 12 right · 11 tickets
Winner4:45–5:00 PM+$43.26
- Best session
6:30 PM–12 AM
China open
+$185.45
18 of 21 right · 18 tickets
Winner10:15–10:30 PM+$98.39
- Best ticket
- +$98.3910:15–10:30 PM, Down
- Worst ticket
- −$82.957:00–7:15 PM, Up
- Biggest ticket
- $313.473:30–3:45 AM
- How tickets closed
- 22 took profit · 13 sold or stopped · 40 held
Trade log
Every window, October 15
+$326.14 closed · 58 won, 17 lost · 66 of 79 calls right · 3 passed · biggest ticket $313.47
2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMUp80%Correct+$0.49+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$1.48<0.1%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.49 (+33%)after $0.03 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 80%, high confidence, 2:04 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65439, $0.00610 above the line of $6.64829
- Bought
- 2 × 74¢ = $1.48, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 37¢
2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMDown71%Missed−$17.59−103%55¢ to 0¢settled$17.050.9%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$17.59 (−103%)after $0.54 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was missed.
- The call
- Down at 71%, medium confidence, 2:19 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65620, $0.00340 below the line of $6.65960
- Bought
- 31 × 55¢ = $17.05, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 28¢
2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMUp93%Correct+$1.13+12%89¢ to 100¢settled$9.790.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.13 (+12%)after $0.08 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 93%, very high confidence, 2:35 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66899, $0.00625 above the line of $6.66274
- Bought
- 11 × 89¢ = $9.79, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 45¢
2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMDown79%Correct+$7.04+41%66¢ to 95¢took profit$17.160.9%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 95¢, banked while the market paid, 2:54 AM PT
- Net
- +$7.04 (+41%)after $0.50 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 79%, high confidence, 2:48 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.67535, $0.00465 below the line of $6.68000
- Bought
- 26 × 66¢ = $17.16, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 95¢ (bought at 66¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMDown82%Correct+$0.53+37%72¢ to 100¢settled$1.44<0.1%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.53 (+37%)after $0.03 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 82%, high confidence, 3:03 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65765, $0.00545 below the line of $6.66310
- Bought
- 2 × 72¢ = $1.44, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 36¢
3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMDown70%Correct+$10.07+69%58¢ to 100¢settled$14.500.7%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$10.07 (+69%)after $0.43 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 70%, medium confidence, 3:18 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64666, $0.00315 below the line of $6.64981
- Bought
- 25 × 58¢ = $14.50, 0.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 29¢
3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMUp87%Correct−$72.26*−23%81¢ to 65¢sold early$313.4715.7%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 65¢: the numbers turned against the call, 3:41 AM PT
- Net
- −$72.26 (−23%)after $10.34 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$69.36Sold at 65¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$69.36.
- The call
- Up at 87%, very high confidence, 3:39 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65120, $0.00400 above the line of $6.64720
- Bought
- 387 × 81¢ = $313.47, 15.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 41¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 65¢ (bought at 81¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 38%), so I closed the position early.
3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMUp67%Missed+$5.64+9%53¢ to 61¢sold early$65.193.3%Sell 93¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 61¢: the numbers turned against the call, 3:55 AM PT
- Net
- +$5.64 (+9%)after $4.20 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $72.98Sold early at 61¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$67.34, so selling saved $72.98.
- The call
- Up at 67%, medium confidence, 3:51 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65017, $0.00165 above the line of $6.64852
- Bought
- 123 × 53¢ = $65.19, 3.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 93¢, stop at 27¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 61¢ (bought at 53¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 38%), so I closed the position early.
4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMDown76%Correct−$1.44*−15%72¢ to 64¢sold early$9.360.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold at 64¢ to protect the ticket, 4:12 AM PT
- Net
- −$1.44 (−15%)after $0.40 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$3.45Sold at 64¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$3.45.
- The call
- Down at 76%, high confidence, 4:01 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64449, $0.00335 below the line of $6.64784
- Bought
- 13 × 72¢ = $9.36, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 36¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 64¢ (bought at 72¢). The position had been in profit, returned to my entry, and my numbers turned (Down 39%). I closed the position before a gain could become a loss.
4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMDown70%Missed−$0.20−26%76¢ to 60¢sold early$0.76<0.1%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 60¢: the numbers turned against the call, 4:22 AM PT
- Net
- −$0.20 (−26%)after $0.04 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $0.58Sold early at 60¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$0.78, so selling saved $0.58.
- The call
- Down at 70%, medium confidence, 4:19 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64499, $0.00230 below the line of $6.64729
- Bought
- 1 × 76¢ = $0.76, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 38¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 60¢ (bought at 76¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 37%), so I closed the position early.
4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMUp83%Correct+$1.76+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$9.130.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.76 (+19%)after $0.11 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 83%, very high confidence, 4:31 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65765, $0.00510 above the line of $6.65255
- Bought
- 11 × 83¢ = $9.13, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 42¢
4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMDown76%Correct+$4.40+47%67¢ to 100¢settled$9.380.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$4.40 (+47%)after $0.22 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 76%, high confidence, 4:49 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65933, $0.00450 below the line of $6.66383
- Bought
- 14 × 67¢ = $9.38, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 34¢
5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMUp97%Correct+$1.86+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$9.020.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.86 (+21%)after $0.12 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 97%, very high confidence, 5:10 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66559, $0.00770 above the line of $6.65789
- Bought
- 11 × 82¢ = $9.02, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 41¢
5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMDown71%Missed−$3.25−102%80¢ to 0¢settled$3.200.2%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$3.25 (−102%)after $0.05 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was missed.
- The call
- Down at 71%, medium confidence, 5:19 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65490, $0.00400 below the line of $6.65890
- Bought
- 4 × 80¢ = $3.20, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 40¢
5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMDown98%Correct+$0.90+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$5.040.3%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.90 (+18%)after $0.06 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 98%, very high confidence, 5:32 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64025, $0.01995 below the line of $6.66020
- Bought
- 6 × 84¢ = $5.04, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 42¢
5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMDown73%Correct+$3.20+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$9.620.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$3.20 (+33%)after $0.18 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 73%, high confidence, 5:47 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64331, $0.00640 below the line of $6.64971
- Bought
- 13 × 74¢ = $9.62, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 37¢
6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMDown74%Correct−$0.57*−6%69¢ to 68¢sold even$9.660.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold at 68¢ to protect the ticket, 6:07 AM PT
- Net
- −$0.57 (−6%)after $0.43 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$4.13Sold at 68¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$4.13.
- The call
- Down at 74%, high confidence, 6:03 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.62791, $0.00780 below the line of $6.63571
- Bought
- 14 × 69¢ = $9.66, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 35¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 68¢ (bought at 69¢). The position had been in profit, returned to my entry, and my numbers turned (Down 56%). I closed the position before a gain could become a loss.
6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMDown66%Missed−$1.67−51%66¢ to 36¢sold early$3.300.2%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 36¢: the numbers turned against the call, 6:27 AM PT
- Net
- −$1.67 (−51%)after $0.17 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $1.71Sold early at 36¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$3.38, so selling saved $1.71.
- The call
- Down at 66%, medium confidence, 6:25 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.62791, $0.00350 below the line of $6.63141
- Bought
- 5 × 66¢ = $3.30, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 36¢ (bought at 66¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 15%), so I closed the position early.
6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMUp72%Correct−$2.10*−51%82¢ to 43¢sold early$4.100.2%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 43¢: the numbers turned against the call, 6:36 AM PT
- Net
- −$2.10 (−51%)after $0.15 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$0.84Sold at 43¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$0.84.
- The call
- Up at 72%, medium confidence, 6:31 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64309, $0.00870 above the line of $6.63439
- Bought
- 5 × 82¢ = $4.10, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 41¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 43¢ (bought at 82¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 36%), so I closed the position early.
6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMDown82%Correct+$0.97+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$1.98<0.1%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.97 (+49%)after $0.05 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 82%, high confidence, 6:47 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63009, $0.01360 below the line of $6.64369
- Bought
- 3 × 66¢ = $1.98, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 33¢
7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMUp70%Missed+$0.32+12%54¢ to 64¢sold$2.700.1%Sell 62¢
- Closed
- Sold at 64¢, the posted sell, 7:07 AM PT
- Net
- +$0.32 (+12%)after $0.18 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was missed; the ticket still made money on the price move.
- The call
- Up at 70%, medium confidence, 7:06 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63325, $0.00585 above the line of $6.62740
- Bought
- 5 × 54¢ = $2.70, 0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 62¢, stop at 27¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 64¢, my posted sell (bought at 54¢). The order filled on my terms.
7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMUp69%Missed−$9.39−102%77¢ to 0¢settled$9.240.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$9.39 (−102%)after $0.15 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was missed.
- The call
- Up at 69%, medium confidence, 7:21 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.62896, $0.00545 above the line of $6.62351
- Bought
- 12 × 77¢ = $9.24, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 39¢
7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMUp85%Correct+$1.44+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$9.460.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.44 (+15%)after $0.10 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 85%, very high confidence, 7:39 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.62966, $0.00735 above the line of $6.62231
- Bought
- 11 × 86¢ = $9.46, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 43¢
7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMUp69%Correct+$2.27+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$4.620.2%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$2.27 (+49%)after $0.11 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 69%, medium confidence, 7:53 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64222, $0.00375 above the line of $6.63847
- Bought
- 7 × 66¢ = $4.62, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 33¢
8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMUp82%Correct+$4.13+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$9.660.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$4.13 (+43%)after $0.21 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 82%, high confidence, 8:05 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65338, $0.00740 above the line of $6.64598
- Bought
- 14 × 69¢ = $9.66, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 35¢
8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMUp86%Correct+$1.70+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$12.180.6%Sell 99¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.70 (+14%)after $0.12 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 86%, very high confidence, 8:24 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65816, $0.00560 above the line of $6.65256
- Bought
- 14 × 87¢ = $12.18, 0.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 99¢, stop at 44¢
8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMUp79%Correct+$6.28+33%71¢ to 96¢took profit$19.171.0%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 8:42 AM PT
- Net
- +$6.28 (+33%)after $0.47 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 79%, high confidence, 8:36 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65934, $0.00440 above the line of $6.65494
- Bought
- 27 × 71¢ = $19.17, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 36¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 96¢ (bought at 71¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMDown72%Correct+$12.97+64%58¢ to 97¢took profit$20.301.0%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 8:55 AM PT
- Net
- +$12.97 (+64%)after $0.68 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 72%, medium confidence, 8:47 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66423, $0.00380 below the line of $6.66803
- Bought
- 35 × 58¢ = $20.30, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 29¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 97¢ (bought at 58¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMDown65%Correct+$17.29+62%58¢ to 96¢took profit$27.841.4%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 9:11 AM PT
- Net
- +$17.29 (+62%)after $0.95 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 65%, medium confidence, 9:05 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65172, $0.00205 below the line of $6.65377
- Bought
- 48 × 58¢ = $27.84, 1.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 29¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 96¢ (bought at 58¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
- 9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMUp71%Missed−$24.00−54%79¢ to 39¢stopped$44.242.2%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Stopped at 39¢, 9:39 AM PT
- Net
- −$24.00 (−54%)after $1.60 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $20.90Sold early at 39¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$44.90, so selling saved $20.90.
- The call
- Up at 71%, medium confidence, 9:32 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64653, $0.00310 above the line of $6.64343
- Bought
- 56 × 79¢ = $44.24, 2.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 40¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 39¢ on my 40¢ stop (bought at 79¢). The market moved against my call, and the stop keeps the loss contained.
9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMUp72%Correct+$2.14+29%75¢ to 98¢took profit$7.500.4%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 98¢, banked while the market paid, 9:58 AM PT
- Net
- +$2.14 (+29%)after $0.16 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 72%, medium confidence, 9:47 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64123, $0.00285 above the line of $6.63838
- Bought
- 10 × 75¢ = $7.50, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 38¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 98¢ (bought at 75¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMDown78%Correct+$6.51+64%60¢ to 100¢settled$10.200.5%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$6.51 (+64%)after $0.29 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 78%, high confidence, 10:01 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63665, $0.00365 below the line of $6.64030
- Bought
- 17 × 60¢ = $10.20, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 30¢
10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMDown79%Correct+$1.47+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$3.450.2%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.47 (+43%)after $0.08 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 79%, high confidence, 10:24 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63691, $0.00235 below the line of $6.63926
- Bought
- 5 × 69¢ = $3.45, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢
10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMUp74%Correct+$8.39+15%84¢ to 98¢took profit$54.602.7%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 98¢, banked while the market paid, 10:43 AM PT
- Net
- +$8.39 (+15%)after $0.71 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 74%, high confidence, 10:33 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63820, $0.00285 above the line of $6.63535
- Bought
- 65 × 84¢ = $54.60, 2.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 42¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 98¢ (bought at 84¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMUp85%Correct+$4.13+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$9.660.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$4.13 (+43%)after $0.21 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 85%, very high confidence, 10:52 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64591, $0.00370 above the line of $6.64221
- Bought
- 14 × 69¢ = $9.66, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 35¢
11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMDown74%Correct+$0.57+41%70¢ to 100¢settled$1.40<0.1%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.57 (+41%)after $0.03 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 74%, high confidence, 11:07 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64365, $0.00230 below the line of $6.64595
- Bought
- 2 × 70¢ = $1.40, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢
11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMDown88%Correct+$5.82+31%73¢ to 97¢took profit$18.980.9%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 11:27 AM PT
- Net
- +$5.82 (+31%)after $0.42 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 88%, very high confidence, 11:20 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64130, $0.00460 below the line of $6.64590
- Bought
- 26 × 73¢ = $18.98, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 37¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 97¢ (bought at 73¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMUp67%Missed−$17.57−102%66¢ to 0¢settled$17.160.9%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$17.57 (−102%)after $0.41 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was missed.
- The call
- Up at 67%, medium confidence, 11:40 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64340, $0.00115 above the line of $6.64225
- Bought
- 26 × 66¢ = $17.16, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMDown68%Correct+$2.45+40%68¢ to 97¢took profit$6.120.3%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 11:57 AM PT
- Net
- +$2.45 (+40%)after $0.16 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 68%, medium confidence, 11:50 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64033, $0.00185 below the line of $6.64218
- Bought
- 9 × 68¢ = $6.12, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 34¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 97¢ (bought at 68¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMDown65%Correct+$4.13+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$9.660.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$4.13 (+43%)after $0.21 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 65%, medium confidence, 12:06 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63766, $0.00150 below the line of $6.63916
- Bought
- 14 × 69¢ = $9.66, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 35¢
12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMUp71%Correct+$2.49+27%78¢ to 100¢settled$9.360.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$2.49 (+27%)after $0.15 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 71%, medium confidence, 12:16 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63662, $0.00260 above the line of $6.63402
- Bought
- 12 × 78¢ = $9.36, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 39¢
12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMUp72%Correct+$2.60+32%75¢ to 100¢settled$8.250.4%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$2.60 (+32%)after $0.15 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 72%, medium confidence, 12:38 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.63659, $0.00195 above the line of $6.63464
- Bought
- 11 × 75¢ = $8.25, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 38¢
12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMUp73%Correct−$0.42*−13%66¢ to 61¢sold early$3.300.2%Hold
- Closed
- Sold at 61¢ to protect the ticket, 12:52 PM PT
- Net
- −$0.42 (−13%)after $0.17 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$1.62Sold at 61¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$1.62.
- The call
- Up at 73%, medium confidence, 12:46 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65021, $0.00285 above the line of $6.64736
- Bought
- 5 × 66¢ = $3.30, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 61¢ (bought at 66¢). The position had been in profit, returned to my entry, and my numbers turned (Up 56%). I closed the position before a gain could become a loss.
1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMUp78%Correct+$4.67+51%65¢ to 100¢settled$9.100.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$4.67 (+51%)after $0.23 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 78%, high confidence, 1:01 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65199, $0.00370 above the line of $6.64829
- Bought
- 14 × 65¢ = $9.10, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 33¢
- 1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMDown67%Correct+$13.92+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$49.282.5%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$13.92 (+28%)after $0.80 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 67%, medium confidence, 1:40 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64954, $0.00115 below the line of $6.65069
- Bought
- 64 × 77¢ = $49.28, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 39¢
1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMUp66%Correct−$2.56*−81%53¢ to 13¢stopped$3.180.2%Sell 93¢
- Closed
- Stopped at 13¢, 1:56 PM PT
- Net
- −$2.56 (−81%)after $0.16 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$2.71Sold at 13¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$2.71.
- The call
- Up at 66%, medium confidence, 1:49 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65144, $0.00170 above the line of $6.64974
- Bought
- 6 × 53¢ = $3.18, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 93¢, stop at 27¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 13¢ on my 27¢ stop (bought at 53¢). The market moved against my call, and the stop keeps the loss contained.
3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMDown71%Correct+$2.26+85%53¢ to 100¢settled$2.650.1%Sell 93¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$2.26 (+85%)after $0.09 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 71%, medium confidence, 3:16 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64430, $0.00265 below the line of $6.64695
- Bought
- 5 × 53¢ = $2.65, 0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 93¢, stop at 27¢
- 3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMDown69%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMDown66%Correct+$3.07+31%75¢ to 100¢settled$9.750.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$3.07 (+31%)after $0.18 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 66%, medium confidence, 3:56 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64511, $0.00090 below the line of $6.64601
- Bought
- 13 × 75¢ = $9.75, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 38¢
4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMDown72%Missed−$9.28−98%59¢ to 3¢stopped$9.440.5%Hold
- Closed
- Stopped at 3¢, 4:07 PM PT
- Net
- −$9.28 (−98%)after $0.32 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $0.44Sold early at 3¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$9.72, so selling saved $0.44.
- The call
- Down at 72%, medium confidence, 4:04 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64321, $0.00250 below the line of $6.64571
- Bought
- 16 × 59¢ = $9.44, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 30¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 3¢ on my 30¢ stop (bought at 59¢). The market moved against my call, and the stop keeps the loss contained.
4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMDown69%Correct+$0.72+18%81¢ to 97¢took profit$4.050.2%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 4:26 PM PT
- Net
- +$0.72 (+18%)after $0.08 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 69%, medium confidence, 4:18 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65324, $0.00220 below the line of $6.65544
- Bought
- 5 × 81¢ = $4.05, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 41¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 97¢ (bought at 81¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMDown73%Correct+$2.01+69%58¢ to 100¢settled$2.900.1%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$2.01 (+69%)after $0.09 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 73%, medium confidence, 4:32 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64769, $0.00280 below the line of $6.65049
- Bought
- 5 × 58¢ = $2.90, 0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 29¢
4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMUp68%Correct+$43.26+79%55¢ to 100¢settled$55.002.8%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$43.26 (+79%)after $1.74 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 68%, medium confidence, 4:49 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64447, $0.00195 above the line of $6.64252
- Bought
- 100 × 55¢ = $55.00, 2.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 28¢
5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMUp67%Correct+$13.57+27%76¢ to 98¢took profit$50.162.5%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 98¢, banked while the market paid, 5:13 PM PT
- Net
- +$13.57 (+27%)after $0.95 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 67%, medium confidence, 5:03 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64453, $0.00190 above the line of $6.64263
- Bought
- 66 × 76¢ = $50.16, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 38¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 98¢ (bought at 76¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMDown73%Correct+$38.00+68%56¢ to 96¢took profit$56.002.8%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 5:22 PM PT
- Net
- +$38.00 (+68%)after $2.00 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 73%, medium confidence, 5:20 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64272, $0.00235 below the line of $6.64507
- Bought
- 100 × 56¢ = $56.00, 2.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 28¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 96¢ (bought at 56¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMUp71%Correct+$32.42+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$66.003.3%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$32.42 (+49%)after $1.58 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 71%, medium confidence, 5:31 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.64593, $0.00260 above the line of $6.64333
- Bought
- 100 × 66¢ = $66.00, 3.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
- 5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMUp83%Correct+$0.84+42%66¢ to 96¢took profit$1.98<0.1%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 6:10 PM PT
- Net
- +$0.84 (+42%)after $0.06 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 83%, high confidence, 6:03 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.65531, $0.00445 above the line of $6.65086
- Bought
- 3 × 66¢ = $1.98, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 96¢ (bought at 66¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMUp80%Correct+$23.16+29%74¢ to 97¢took profit$79.924.0%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 6:28 PM PT
- Net
- +$23.16 (+29%)after $1.68 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 80%, high confidence, 6:22 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66487, $0.00445 above the line of $6.66042
- Bought
- 108 × 74¢ = $79.92, 4.0% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 37¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 97¢ (bought at 74¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMDown66%Correct+$1.91+64%60¢ to 100¢settled$3.000.1%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.91 (+64%)after $0.09 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 66%, medium confidence, 6:32 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.66349, $0.00305 below the line of $6.66654
- Bought
- 5 × 60¢ = $3.00, 0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 30¢
6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMUp82%Correct+$34.38+54%64¢ to 100¢settled$64.003.2%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$34.38 (+54%)after $1.62 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 82%, high confidence, 6:48 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.67108, $0.00670 above the line of $6.66438
- Bought
- 100 × 64¢ = $64.00, 3.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMUp77%Missed−$82.95−102%67¢ to 0¢settled$81.074.1%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$82.95 (−102%)after $1.88 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was missed.
- The call
- Up at 77%, high confidence, 7:02 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.67588, $0.00565 above the line of $6.67023
- Bought
- 121 × 67¢ = $81.07, 4.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 34¢
7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMUp86%Correct+$2.57+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$10.270.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$2.57 (+25%)after $0.16 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 86%, very high confidence, 7:21 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.67508, $0.00535 above the line of $6.66973
- Bought
- 13 × 79¢ = $10.27, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 40¢
7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMUp97%Correct+$0.30+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$1.68<0.1%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.30 (+18%)after $0.02 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 97%, very high confidence, 7:32 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.69388, $0.01180 above the line of $6.68208
- Bought
- 2 × 84¢ = $1.68, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 42¢
7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMDown71%Missed−$0.62−34%61¢ to 44¢sold early$1.83<0.1%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 44¢: the numbers turned against the call, 7:52 PM PT
- Net
- −$0.62 (−34%)after $0.11 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $1.26Sold early at 44¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$1.88, so selling saved $1.26.
- The call
- Down at 71%, medium confidence, 7:47 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.69532, $0.00360 below the line of $6.69892
- Bought
- 3 × 61¢ = $1.83, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 31¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 44¢ (bought at 61¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 33%), so I closed the position early.
8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMUp81%Correct+$10.18+20%80¢ to 97¢took profit$52.002.6%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 8:11 PM PT
- Net
- +$10.18 (+20%)after $0.87 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 81%, high confidence, 8:02 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.71242, $0.00545 above the line of $6.70697
- Bought
- 65 × 80¢ = $52.00, 2.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 40¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 97¢ (bought at 80¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMDown70%Correct+$38.79+75%52¢ to 93¢took profit$52.002.6%Sell 93¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 93¢, banked while the market paid, 8:22 PM PT
- Net
- +$38.79 (+75%)after $2.21 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 70%, medium confidence, 8:17 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.71631, $0.00365 below the line of $6.71996
- Bought
- 100 × 52¢ = $52.00, 2.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 93¢, stop at 26¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 93¢ (bought at 52¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMDown71%Correct+$3.88+72%54¢ to 95¢took profit$5.400.3%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 95¢, banked while the market paid, 8:43 PM PT
- Net
- +$3.88 (+72%)after $0.22 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 71%, medium confidence, 8:35 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.70649, $0.00300 below the line of $6.70949
- Bought
- 10 × 54¢ = $5.40, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 27¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 95¢ (bought at 54¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMUp88%Correct+$13.30+27%75¢ to 97¢took profit$48.752.4%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 8:51 PM PT
- Net
- +$13.30 (+27%)after $1.00 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 88%, very high confidence, 8:46 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.71523, $0.00810 above the line of $6.70713
- Bought
- 65 × 75¢ = $48.75, 2.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 38¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 97¢ (bought at 75¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMDown67%Correct+$3.53+56%63¢ to 100¢settled$6.300.3%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$3.53 (+56%)after $0.17 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 67%, medium confidence, 9:02 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.72341, $0.00320 below the line of $6.72661
- Bought
- 10 × 63¢ = $6.30, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
- 9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMUp90%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMDown71%Correct+$3.02+46%66¢ to 98¢took profit$6.600.3%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 98¢, banked while the market paid, 9:43 PM PT
- Net
- +$3.02 (+46%)after $0.18 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 71%, medium confidence, 9:40 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.72481, $0.00205 below the line of $6.72686
- Bought
- 10 × 66¢ = $6.60, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 98¢ (bought at 66¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
- 10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMDown98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMDown74%Correct+$98.39+41%67¢ to 96¢took profit$242.5412.1%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 10:26 PM PT
- Net
- +$98.39 (+41%)after $6.59 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 74%, high confidence, 10:22 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.71707, $0.00230 below the line of $6.71937
- Bought
- 362 × 67¢ = $242.54, 12.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 34¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 96¢ (bought at 67¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMDown69%Correct+$24.19+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$56.582.8%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$24.19 (+43%)after $1.23 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 69%, medium confidence, 10:35 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.71267, $0.00200 below the line of $6.71467
- Bought
- 82 × 69¢ = $56.58, 2.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢
10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMUp88%Correct+$33.96+35%70¢ to 96¢took profit$98.004.9%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 10:58 PM PT
- Net
- +$33.96 (+35%)after $2.44 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 88%, very high confidence, 10:47 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.71800, $0.00610 above the line of $6.71190
- Bought
- 140 × 70¢ = $98.00, 4.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 96¢ (bought at 70¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMUp85%Missed−$10.84−51%71¢ to 38¢sold early$21.301.1%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 38¢: the numbers turned against the call, 11:05 PM PT
- Net
- −$10.84 (−51%)after $0.94 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $10.90Sold early at 38¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$21.74, so selling saved $10.90.
- The call
- Up at 85%, very high confidence, 11:01 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.72285, $0.00635 above the line of $6.71650
- Bought
- 30 × 71¢ = $21.30, 1.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 36¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 38¢ (bought at 71¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 42%), so I closed the position early.
11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMDown86%Correct+$2.50+22%81¢ to 100¢settled$11.340.6%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$2.50 (+22%)after $0.16 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 86%, very high confidence, 11:19 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.70101, $0.00550 below the line of $6.70651
- Bought
- 14 × 81¢ = $11.34, 0.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 41¢
11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMUp80%Correct+$8.96+41%67¢ to 96¢took profit$22.111.1%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 11:43 PM PT
- Net
- +$8.96 (+41%)after $0.61 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 80%, high confidence, 11:31 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.70062, $0.00580 above the line of $6.69482
- Bought
- 33 × 67¢ = $22.11, 1.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 34¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 96¢ (bought at 67¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
- 11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMDown76%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.
How this page is verified
Every result. On the record.
Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.
Saved
Oct 18, 2026
This file holds all of Nelly’s trading for Oct 15, 2026.
- 82Windows
- 79Calls
- 75Tickets
Trading data file
SHA-256 fingerprint
25f60a9b80395cb34716180ec1529a0e87f8ac559235a9d426cf94206a70c81aWorked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.
Copper price file
SHA-256 fingerprint
77dacc2b1fbe633309305408355df3573365f9afa660dfd60203fb2e49604bd8Worked out from Copper’s price at the moment of each call and each ticket.
How a fingerprint works
A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.
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October 15 across the agents
Same day, other markets
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Agent AnJieEthereum (ETH)+$319.9372 of 85 calls right
Agent GruXRP (Ripple)−$265.4465 of 88 calls right
Agent JiHuiSilver (XAG)+$1,601.8027 of 33 calls right
Questions about this day
- How did Copper trade on October 15, 2026?
- Copper's price to beat started October 15 at $6.64829 (2 AM) and was $6.69973 by the 11:45 PM window, up $0.05144 (0.77%). The day's high was $6.72686 at 9:30 PM and the low $6.62231 at 7:30 AM; Copper finished higher in 41 of 82 windows.
- Did Agent Nelly make money on October 15, 2026?
- Yes. Nelly made $326.14 on a $2,000 bankroll: 66 of 79 calls right, 58 tickets won and 17 lost. The best session was China open (+$185.45) and the worst was Pre-market (−$61.82).
- What is a Kalshi 15-minute Copper contract?
- A yes-or-no contract on whether Copper finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
- Do AI trading bots make money?
- Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: Nelly’s record since launch is +$868.43. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots
The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets
Nelly places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.