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- Oct 12, 2026
AI trading agent · Daily log · Copper (HG) 15-minute · Version 1.01b
AI agent Nelly’s Copper (HG) 15-minute log, October 12, 2026
+$196.51 on a fresh $2,000 roll. 59 of 84 calls right. 45 tickets won, 31 lost.
On Monday, October 12, 2026, Agent Nelly called 84 of 88 Copper 15-minute windows and got 59 right. Nelly bought 76 tickets, only on the called side: 45 won and 31 lost, for +$196.51 on a fresh $2,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $346.28. Nelly places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement. On the day, Copper’s price to beat went from $6.77824 to $6.81108, up 0.48%.
Saved after the day closed, Oct 15, 2026 · How this page is verified
Week of October 11
- Sun 11+$4.11peak $209.00start $2k
- Mon 12+$196.51peak $346.28start $2k
- Tue 13+$124.72peak $312.57start $2k
- Wed 14+$216.95peak $479.97start $2k
- Thu 15+$326.14peak $313.47start $2k
- Fri 16+$42.75peak $402.31start $2k
- Sat 17Closed
Week through Fri Oct 16: +$911.18 · highest peak $479.97 (Wed) · 317 of 423 calls right · 256 won, 137 lost
Each day starts at a fresh $2,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.
How Copper (HG) traded on October 12
Pacific timeCopper's price to beat started October 12 at $6.77824 (12 AM) and was $6.81108 by the 11:45 PM window, up $0.03284 (0.48%). The day's high was $6.83704 at 11 PM and the low $6.77726 at 7:15 PM; Copper finished higher in 43 of 88 windows.
- Start$6.7782412 AM window
- Last$6.8110811:45 PM window
- Change+0.48%+$0.03284
- High$6.8370411 PM
- Low$6.777267:15 PM
- Biggest 15-minute move+$0.022242:15 AM to 2:30 AM
| Part of the day | Copper moved | Windows | Nelly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before the US open12–6:30 AM | +$0.03806+0.56%, $6.77824 to $6.81630 | 15 up, 11 down26 windows | −$99.2825 tickets |
| US market open6:30 AM–1 PM | −$0.00457−0.07%, $6.81630 to $6.81173 | 11 up, 13 down24 windows | −$48.9320 tickets |
| After the US close1 PM–12 AM | −$0.00065−0.01%, $6.81173 to $6.81108 | 17 up, 21 down38 windows | +$344.7231 tickets |
Prices are Kalshi’s price to beat for each window, as Kalshi set the price when the window opened, kept in this day’s prices file (84 of 88 windows; the rest had no call). Up and down count every window’s result.
Trading sessions
No market · Pacific time (PDT)
Before the US open
12–6:30 AM
−$99.2814 of 26 right · 25 tickets
12–5:30 AM
Pre-market
−$88.35
12 of 22 right · 21 tickets
Winner12:45–1:00 AM+$65.26
5:30–6:30 AM
US data
−$10.93
2 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner6:15–6:30 AM+$2.72
US market open
6:30 AM–1 PM
−$48.9317 of 23 right · 20 tickets
6:30–7:30 AM
US open
+$7.54
3 of 4 right · 4 tickets
Winner6:45–7:00 AM+$4.81
7:30 AM–12 PM
Midday
−$57.53
12 of 17 right · 14 tickets
Winner8:15–8:30 AM+$49.53
12–1 PM
Final hour
+$1.06
2 of 2 right · 2 tickets
Winner12:00–12:15 PM+$0.61
After the US close
1 PM–12 AM
+$344.7228 of 35 right · 31 tickets
1–3 PM
After the close
−$1.52
2 of 2 right · 1 ticket
No winning ticket
3–6:30 PM
Futures and Tokyo
+$12.88
9 of 11 right · 9 tickets
Winner5:45–6:00 PM+$32.02
- Best session
6:30 PM–12 AM
China open
+$333.36
17 of 22 right · 21 tickets
Winner11:15–11:30 PM+$118.27
- Best ticket
- +$118.2711:15–11:30 PM, Down
- Worst ticket
- −$72.1312:15–12:30 AM, Down
- Biggest ticket
- $277.2011:15–11:30 PM
- How tickets closed
- 20 took profit · 27 sold or stopped · 29 held
Trade log
Every window, October 12
+$196.51 closed · 45 won, 31 lost · 59 of 84 calls right · 4 passed · biggest ticket $277.20
12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMUp78%Correct+$4.19+33%71¢ to 96¢took profit$12.780.6%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 12:10 AM PT
- Net
- +$4.19 (+33%)after $0.31 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 78%, high confidence, 12:08 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.78239, $0.00415 above the line of $6.77824
- Bought
- 18 × 71¢ = $12.78, 0.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 36¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 96¢ (bought at 71¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMDown69%Missed−$72.13−48%65¢ to 37¢sold early$150.157.5%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 37¢: the numbers turned against the call, 12:24 AM PT
- Net
- −$72.13 (−48%)after $7.45 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $81.70Sold early at 37¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$153.83, so selling saved $81.70.
- The call
- Down at 69%, medium confidence, 12:17 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.78287, $0.00335 below the line of $6.78622
- Bought
- 231 × 65¢ = $150.15, 7.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 37¢ (bought at 65¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 45%), so I closed the position early.
12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMUp74%Correct+$10.14+21%79¢ to 97¢took profit$48.192.4%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 12:40 AM PT
- Net
- +$10.14 (+21%)after $0.84 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 74%, high confidence, 12:31 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80039, $0.00515 above the line of $6.79524
- Bought
- 61 × 79¢ = $48.19, 2.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 40¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 97¢ (bought at 79¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMDown70%Correct+$65.26+45%65¢ to 96¢took profit$145.607.3%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 12:53 AM PT
- Net
- +$65.26 (+45%)after $4.18 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 70%, medium confidence, 12:46 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81177, $0.00435 below the line of $6.81612
- Bought
- 224 × 65¢ = $145.60, 7.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 96¢ (bought at 65¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMDown83%Correct+$1.44+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$9.460.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.44 (+15%)after $0.10 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 83%, very high confidence, 1:03 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79307, $0.00805 below the line of $6.80112
- Bought
- 11 × 86¢ = $9.46, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 43¢
1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMUp72%Correct+$15.07+30%74¢ to 98¢took profit$49.582.5%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 98¢, banked while the market paid, 1:28 AM PT
- Net
- +$15.07 (+30%)after $1.01 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 72%, medium confidence, 1:22 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.78589, $0.00430 above the line of $6.78159
- Bought
- 67 × 74¢ = $49.58, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 37¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 98¢ (bought at 74¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMUp72%Correct+$61.43+41%67¢ to 96¢took profit$151.427.6%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 1:39 AM PT
- Net
- +$61.43 (+41%)after $4.11 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 72%, medium confidence, 1:36 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79247, $0.00385 above the line of $6.78862
- Bought
- 226 × 67¢ = $151.42, 7.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 34¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 96¢ (bought at 67¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMDown67%Missed−$52.86−102%72¢ to 0¢settled$51.842.6%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$52.86 (−102%)after $1.02 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was missed.
- The call
- Down at 67%, medium confidence, 1:50 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.78999, $0.00285 below the line of $6.79284
- Bought
- 72 × 72¢ = $51.84, 2.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 36¢
2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMDown81%Missed−$3.22−33%90¢ to 63¢sold early$9.900.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 63¢: the numbers turned against the call, 2:05 AM PT
- Net
- −$3.22 (−33%)after $0.25 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $6.75Sold early at 63¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$9.97, so selling saved $6.75.
- The call
- Down at 81%, high confidence, 2:04 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79043, $0.00520 below the line of $6.79563
- Bought
- 11 × 90¢ = $9.90, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 45¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 63¢ (bought at 90¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 45%), so I closed the position early.
2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMDown66%Missed−$35.22−43%63¢ to 39¢sold early$81.274.1%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 39¢: the numbers turned against the call, 2:22 AM PT
- Net
- −$35.22 (−43%)after $4.26 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $48.16Sold early at 39¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$83.38, so selling saved $48.16.
- The call
- Down at 66%, medium confidence, 2:19 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80332, $0.00235 below the line of $6.80567
- Bought
- 129 × 63¢ = $81.27, 4.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 39¢ (bought at 63¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 35%), so I closed the position early.
- 2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMDown75%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMDown70%Missed−$0.26−47%55¢ to 33¢sold early$0.55<0.1%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 33¢: the numbers turned against the call, 2:56 AM PT
- Net
- −$0.26 (−47%)after $0.04 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $0.31Sold early at 33¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$0.57, so selling saved $0.31.
- The call
- Down at 70%, medium confidence, 2:54 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81481, $0.00230 below the line of $6.81711
- Bought
- 1 × 55¢ = $0.55, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 28¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 33¢ (bought at 55¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 42%), so I closed the position early.
3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMUp73%Missed−$38.50−77%83¢ to 21¢stopped$49.802.5%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Stopped at 21¢, 3:08 AM PT
- Net
- −$38.50 (−77%)after $1.30 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $11.90Sold early at 21¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$50.40, so selling saved $11.90.
- The call
- Up at 73%, high confidence, 3:03 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82615, $0.00425 above the line of $6.82190
- Bought
- 60 × 83¢ = $49.80, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 42¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 21¢ on my 42¢ stop (bought at 83¢). The market moved against my call, and the stop keeps the loss contained.
3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMUp70%Correct+$0.25+36%69¢ to 97¢took profit$0.69<0.1%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 3:28 AM PT
- Net
- +$0.25 (+36%)after $0.03 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 70%, medium confidence, 3:23 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82095, $0.00245 above the line of $6.81850
- Bought
- 1 × 69¢ = $0.69, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 97¢ (bought at 69¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMDown67%Missed−$28.41−36%63¢ to 44¢sold early$80.014.0%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 44¢: the numbers turned against the call, 3:35 AM PT
- Net
- −$28.41 (−36%)after $4.28 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $53.68Sold early at 44¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$82.09, so selling saved $53.68.
- The call
- Down at 67%, medium confidence, 3:34 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82108, $0.00180 below the line of $6.82288
- Bought
- 127 × 63¢ = $80.01, 4.0% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 44¢ (bought at 63¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 40%), so I closed the position early.
3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMDown67%Correct−$2.92*−6%76¢ to 74¢sold even$47.882.4%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Sold at 74¢ to protect the ticket, 3:56 AM PT
- Net
- −$2.92 (−6%)after $1.66 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$14.31Sold at 74¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$14.31.
- The call
- Down at 67%, medium confidence, 3:53 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82252, $0.00145 below the line of $6.82397
- Bought
- 63 × 76¢ = $47.88, 2.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 38¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 74¢ (bought at 76¢). The position had been in profit, returned to my entry, and my numbers turned (Down 48%). I closed the position before a gain could become a loss.
4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMDown72%Missed−$2.77−30%62¢ to 47¢sold early$9.300.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 47¢: the numbers turned against the call, 4:12 AM PT
- Net
- −$2.77 (−30%)after $0.52 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $6.78Sold early at 47¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$9.55, so selling saved $6.78.
- The call
- Down at 72%, medium confidence, 4:03 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81908, $0.00265 below the line of $6.82173
- Bought
- 15 × 62¢ = $9.30, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 31¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 47¢ (bought at 62¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 42%), so I closed the position early.
4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMDown82%Correct+$1.62+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$3.300.2%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.62 (+49%)after $0.08 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 82%, high confidence, 4:22 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82120, $0.00330 below the line of $6.82450
- Bought
- 5 × 66¢ = $3.30, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 33¢
4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMUp66%Correct−$5.74*−62%66¢ to 28¢stopped$9.240.5%Hold
- Closed
- Stopped at 28¢, 4:34 AM PT
- Net
- −$5.74 (−62%)after $0.42 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$4.54Sold at 28¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$4.54.
- The call
- Up at 66%, medium confidence, 4:33 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82211, $0.00190 above the line of $6.82021
- Bought
- 14 × 66¢ = $9.24, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 28¢ on my 33¢ stop (bought at 66¢). The market moved against my call, and the stop keeps the loss contained.
4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMUp66%Missed−$3.27−35%67¢ to 47¢sold early$9.380.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 47¢: the numbers turned against the call, 4:56 AM PT
- Net
- −$3.27 (−35%)after $0.47 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $6.33Sold early at 47¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$9.60, so selling saved $6.33.
- The call
- Up at 66%, medium confidence, 4:51 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.83076, $0.00230 above the line of $6.82846
- Bought
- 14 × 67¢ = $9.38, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 34¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 47¢ (bought at 67¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 44%), so I closed the position early.
5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMDown76%Missed−$2.64−28%58¢ to 45¢sold early$9.280.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 45¢: the numbers turned against the call, 5:07 AM PT
- Net
- −$2.64 (−28%)after $0.56 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $6.92Sold early at 45¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$9.56, so selling saved $6.92.
- The call
- Down at 76%, high confidence, 5:05 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82353, $0.00455 below the line of $6.82808
- Bought
- 16 × 58¢ = $9.28, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 29¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 45¢ (bought at 58¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 43%), so I closed the position early.
5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMDown76%Correct+$0.19+24%79¢ to 100¢settled$0.79<0.1%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.19 (+24%)after $0.02 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 76%, high confidence, 5:20 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82689, $0.00470 below the line of $6.83159
- Bought
- 1 × 79¢ = $0.79, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 40¢
5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMDown81%Missed−$8.15−91%75¢ to 9¢stopped$9.000.4%Hold
- Closed
- Stopped at 9¢, 5:42 AM PT
- Net
- −$8.15 (−91%)after $0.23 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $1.01Sold early at 9¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$9.16, so selling saved $1.01.
- The call
- Down at 81%, high confidence, 5:34 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81130, $0.00640 below the line of $6.81770
- Bought
- 12 × 75¢ = $9.00, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 38¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 9¢ on my 38¢ stop (bought at 75¢). The market moved against my call, and the stop keeps the loss contained.
5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMUp68%Missed−$3.76−77%70¢ to 19¢stopped$4.900.2%Hold
- Closed
- Stopped at 19¢, 5:58 AM PT
- Net
- −$3.76 (−77%)after $0.19 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $1.25Sold early at 19¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$5.01, so selling saved $1.25.
- The call
- Up at 68%, medium confidence, 5:46 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82539, $0.00365 above the line of $6.82174
- Bought
- 7 × 70¢ = $4.90, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 35¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 19¢ on my 35¢ stop (bought at 70¢). The market moved against my call, and the stop keeps the loss contained.
6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMDown85%Correct−$1.74*−20%80¢ to 67¢sold early$8.800.4%Hold
- Closed
- Sold at 67¢ to protect the ticket, 6:05 AM PT
- Net
- −$1.74 (−20%)after $0.31 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$2.07Sold at 67¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$2.07.
- The call
- Down at 85%, very high confidence, 6:01 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81195, $0.00940 below the line of $6.82135
- Bought
- 11 × 80¢ = $8.80, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 40¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 67¢ (bought at 80¢). The position had been in profit, returned to my entry, and my numbers turned (Down 53%). I closed the position before a gain could become a loss.
6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMDown73%Correct+$2.72+30%76¢ to 100¢settled$9.120.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$2.72 (+30%)after $0.16 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 73%, high confidence, 6:16 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81112, $0.00610 below the line of $6.81722
- Bought
- 12 × 76¢ = $9.12, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 38¢
6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMUp67%Correct+$2.07+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$8.800.4%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$2.07 (+24%)after $0.13 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 67%, medium confidence, 6:35 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81965, $0.00335 above the line of $6.81630
- Bought
- 11 × 80¢ = $8.80, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 40¢
6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMDown82%Correct+$4.81+54%64¢ to 100¢settled$8.960.4%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$4.81 (+54%)after $0.23 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 82%, high confidence, 6:49 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81360, $0.00775 below the line of $6.82135
- Bought
- 14 × 64¢ = $8.96, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 32¢
7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMUp78%Missed−$1.83−19%73¢ to 62¢sold early$9.490.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 62¢: the numbers turned against the call, 7:09 AM PT
- Net
- −$1.83 (−19%)after $0.40 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $7.84Sold early at 62¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$9.67, so selling saved $7.84.
- The call
- Up at 78%, high confidence, 7:02 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82224, $0.00650 above the line of $6.81574
- Bought
- 13 × 73¢ = $9.49, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 37¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 62¢ (bought at 73¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 40%), so I closed the position early.
7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMDown82%Correct+$2.49+27%78¢ to 100¢settled$9.360.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$2.49 (+27%)after $0.15 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 82%, high confidence, 7:17 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80469, $0.00685 below the line of $6.81154
- Bought
- 12 × 78¢ = $9.36, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 39¢
7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMDown72%Missed−$6.79−102%74¢ to 0¢settled$6.660.3%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$6.79 (−102%)after $0.13 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was missed.
- The call
- Down at 72%, medium confidence, 7:35 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80067, $0.00370 below the line of $6.80437
- Bought
- 9 × 74¢ = $6.66, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 37¢
7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMUp71%Correct+$1.52+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$5.390.3%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.52 (+28%)after $0.09 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 71%, medium confidence, 7:48 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80870, $0.00390 above the line of $6.80480
- Bought
- 7 × 77¢ = $5.39, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 39¢
8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMDown69%Correct+$3.53+56%63¢ to 100¢settled$6.300.3%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$3.53 (+56%)after $0.17 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 69%, medium confidence, 8:01 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80631, $0.00315 below the line of $6.80946
- Bought
- 10 × 63¢ = $6.30, 0.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMDown91%Correct+$49.53+20%80¢ to 97¢took profit$252.8012.6%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 8:24 AM PT
- Net
- +$49.53 (+20%)after $4.19 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 91%, very high confidence, 8:22 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80359, $0.00485 below the line of $6.80844
- Bought
- 316 × 80¢ = $252.80, 12.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 40¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 97¢ (bought at 80¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMDown72%Correct+$0.51+11%89¢ to 100¢settled$4.450.2%Sell 99¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.51 (+11%)after $0.04 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 72%, medium confidence, 8:39 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79949, $0.00185 below the line of $6.80134
- Bought
- 5 × 89¢ = $4.45, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 99¢, stop at 45¢
8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMDown68%Correct−$0.98*−40%61¢ to 40¢sold early$2.440.1%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 40¢: the numbers turned against the call, 8:50 AM PT
- Net
- −$0.98 (−40%)after $0.14 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$1.49Sold at 40¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$1.49.
- The call
- Down at 68%, medium confidence, 8:48 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79840, $0.00220 below the line of $6.80060
- Bought
- 4 × 61¢ = $2.44, 0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 31¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 40¢ (bought at 61¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 41%), so I closed the position early.
9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMUp78%Correct+$11.19+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$54.122.7%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$11.19 (+21%)after $0.69 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 78%, high confidence, 9:07 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80284, $0.00280 above the line of $6.80004
- Bought
- 66 × 82¢ = $54.12, 2.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 41¢
9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMUp70%Correct+$0.93+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$9.000.4%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.93 (+10%)after $0.07 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 70%, medium confidence, 9:26 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80238, $0.00130 above the line of $6.80108
- Bought
- 10 × 90¢ = $9.00, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 45¢
9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMUp68%Missed−$2.21−61%72¢ to 31¢stopped$3.600.2%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Stopped at 31¢, 9:35 AM PT
- Net
- −$2.21 (−61%)after $0.16 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $1.47Sold early at 31¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$3.68, so selling saved $1.47.
- The call
- Up at 68%, medium confidence, 9:32 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80512, $0.00215 above the line of $6.80297
- Bought
- 5 × 72¢ = $3.60, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 36¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 31¢ on my 36¢ stop (bought at 72¢). The market moved against my call, and the stop keeps the loss contained.
9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMDown78%Missed−$46.90−101%86¢ to 0¢settled$46.442.3%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$46.90 (−101%)after $0.46 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was missed.
- The call
- Down at 78%, high confidence, 9:51 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79429, $0.00290 below the line of $6.79719
- Bought
- 54 × 86¢ = $46.44, 2.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 43¢
10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMDown75%Missed−$45.08−73%60¢ to 19¢stopped$61.803.1%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Stopped at 19¢, 10:06 AM PT
- Net
- −$45.08 (−73%)after $2.85 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $18.46Sold early at 19¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$63.54, so selling saved $18.46.
- The call
- Down at 75%, high confidence, 10:02 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79466, $0.00315 below the line of $6.79781
- Bought
- 103 × 60¢ = $61.80, 3.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 30¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 19¢ on my 30¢ stop (bought at 60¢). The market moved against my call, and the stop keeps the loss contained.
10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMUp67%Missed−$41.55−80%74¢ to 17¢stopped$51.802.6%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Stopped at 17¢, 10:26 AM PT
- Net
- −$41.55 (−80%)after $1.65 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $11.20Sold early at 17¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$52.75, so selling saved $11.20.
- The call
- Up at 67%, medium confidence, 10:18 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80505, $0.00195 above the line of $6.80310
- Bought
- 70 × 74¢ = $51.80, 2.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 37¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 17¢ on my 37¢ stop (bought at 74¢). The market moved against my call, and the stop keeps the loss contained.
10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMUp81%Correct+$6.53+13%85¢ to 97¢took profit$51.002.5%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 10:40 AM PT
- Net
- +$6.53 (+13%)after $0.67 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 81%, high confidence, 10:34 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80214, $0.00380 above the line of $6.79834
- Bought
- 60 × 85¢ = $51.00, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 43¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 97¢ (bought at 85¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
- 10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
- 11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMUp97%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
- 11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMUp78%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMDown68%Correct+$12.24+24%77¢ to 97¢took profit$50.822.5%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 11:43 AM PT
- Net
- +$12.24 (+24%)after $0.96 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 68%, medium confidence, 11:38 AM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80905, $0.00150 below the line of $6.81055
- Bought
- 66 × 77¢ = $50.82, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 39¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 97¢ (bought at 77¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
- 11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMDown81%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMDown67%Correct+$0.61+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$4.350.2%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.61 (+14%)after $0.04 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 67%, medium confidence, 12:05 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80601, $0.00180 below the line of $6.80781
- Bought
- 5 × 87¢ = $4.35, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 44¢
12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMUp68%Correct+$0.45+30%76¢ to 100¢settled$1.52<0.1%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.45 (+30%)after $0.03 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 68%, medium confidence, 12:46 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80653, $0.00220 above the line of $6.80433
- Bought
- 2 × 76¢ = $1.52, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 38¢
- 1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMUp74%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
- 1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMDown66%Correct−$1.52*−78%65¢ to 17¢stopped$1.95<0.1%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Stopped at 17¢, 1:57 PM PT
- Net
- −$1.52 (−78%)after $0.08 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$1.00Sold at 17¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$1.00.
- The call
- Down at 66%, medium confidence, 1:51 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81182, $0.00155 below the line of $6.81337
- Bought
- 3 × 65¢ = $1.95, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 17¢ on my 33¢ stop (bought at 65¢). The market moved against my call, and the stop keeps the loss contained.
3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMUp68%Correct+$8.17+47%67¢ to 100¢settled$17.420.9%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$8.17 (+47%)after $0.41 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 68%, medium confidence, 3:26 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82417, $0.00115 above the line of $6.82302
- Bought
- 26 × 67¢ = $17.42, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 34¢
- 3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
- 3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMDown67%Correct+$3.70+41%70¢ to 100¢settled$9.100.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$3.70 (+41%)after $0.20 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 67%, medium confidence, 4:06 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82123, $0.00165 below the line of $6.82288
- Bought
- 13 × 70¢ = $9.10, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 35¢
- 4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMUp80%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMDown70%Correct+$4.95+56%63¢ to 100¢settled$8.820.4%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$4.95 (+56%)after $0.23 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 70%, medium confidence, 4:36 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82168, $0.00200 below the line of $6.82368
- Bought
- 14 × 63¢ = $8.82, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 32¢
- 4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMDown74%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMDown92%Correct+$2.84+32%75¢ to 100¢settled$9.000.4%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$2.84 (+32%)after $0.16 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 92%, very high confidence, 5:04 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81639, $0.00595 below the line of $6.82234
- Bought
- 12 × 75¢ = $9.00, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 38¢
5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMUp75%Missed−$20.40−33%61¢ to 44¢sold early$61.003.0%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 44¢: the numbers turned against the call, 5:25 PM PT
- Net
- −$20.40 (−33%)after $3.40 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $42.27Sold early at 44¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$62.67, so selling saved $42.27.
- The call
- Up at 75%, high confidence, 5:16 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82004, $0.00330 above the line of $6.81674
- Bought
- 100 × 61¢ = $61.00, 3.0% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 31¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 44¢ (bought at 61¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 36%), so I closed the position early.
5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMDown78%Correct−$2.62*−29%61¢ to 47¢sold early$9.150.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 47¢: the numbers turned against the call, 5:38 PM PT
- Net
- −$2.62 (−29%)after $0.52 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$5.60Sold at 47¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$5.60.
- The call
- Down at 78%, high confidence, 5:34 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80642, $0.00350 below the line of $6.80992
- Bought
- 15 × 61¢ = $9.15, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 31¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 47¢ (bought at 61¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 19%), so I closed the position early.
5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMDown79%Correct+$32.02+49%63¢ to 96¢took profit$64.893.2%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 5:58 PM PT
- Net
- +$32.02 (+49%)after $1.97 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 79%, high confidence, 5:52 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80597, $0.00360 below the line of $6.80957
- Bought
- 103 × 63¢ = $64.89, 3.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 96¢ (bought at 63¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMUp76%Correct+$7.79+26%76¢ to 97¢took profit$30.401.5%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 6:11 PM PT
- Net
- +$7.79 (+26%)after $0.61 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 76%, high confidence, 6:06 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79958, $0.00395 above the line of $6.79563
- Bought
- 40 × 76¢ = $30.40, 1.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 38¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 97¢ (bought at 76¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMUp69%Missed−$23.57−30%61¢ to 46¢sold early$78.083.9%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 46¢: the numbers turned against the call, 6:20 PM PT
- Net
- −$23.57 (−30%)after $4.37 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $56.65Sold early at 46¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$80.22, so selling saved $56.65.
- The call
- Up at 69%, medium confidence, 6:17 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81434, $0.00345 above the line of $6.81089
- Bought
- 128 × 61¢ = $78.08, 3.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 31¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 46¢ (bought at 61¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 42%), so I closed the position early.
6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMDown75%Correct+$31.58+48%65¢ to 98¢took profit$65.653.3%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 98¢, banked while the market paid, 6:41 PM PT
- Net
- +$31.58 (+48%)after $1.75 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 75%, high confidence, 6:32 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79436, $0.00495 below the line of $6.79931
- Bought
- 101 × 65¢ = $65.65, 3.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 98¢ (bought at 65¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMDown67%Missed−$5.14−11%66¢ to 62¢sold early$46.862.3%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Sold at 62¢ to protect the ticket, 6:55 PM PT
- Net
- −$5.14 (−11%)after $2.30 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $42.84Sold early at 62¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$47.98, so selling saved $42.84.
- The call
- Down at 67%, medium confidence, 6:48 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.77878, $0.00340 below the line of $6.78218
- Bought
- 71 × 66¢ = $46.86, 2.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 62¢ (bought at 66¢). The position had been in profit, returned to my entry, and my numbers turned (Down 57%). I closed the position before a gain could become a loss.
7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMUp69%Missed−$47.89−102%70¢ to 0¢settled$46.902.3%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$47.89 (−102%)after $0.99 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was missed.
- The call
- Up at 69%, medium confidence, 7:06 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.78669, $0.00370 above the line of $6.78299
- Bought
- 67 × 70¢ = $46.90, 2.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢
7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMUp66%Correct+$8.80+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$45.652.3%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$8.80 (+19%)after $0.55 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 66%, medium confidence, 7:20 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.78031, $0.00305 above the line of $6.77726
- Bought
- 55 × 83¢ = $45.65, 2.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 42¢
7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMUp84%Correct+$33.07+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$67.323.4%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$33.07 (+49%)after $1.61 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 84%, very high confidence, 7:37 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.78600, $0.00650 above the line of $6.77950
- Bought
- 102 × 66¢ = $67.32, 3.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMUp69%Correct+$73.58+48%63¢ to 95¢took profit$154.357.7%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 95¢, banked while the market paid, 7:54 PM PT
- Net
- +$73.58 (+48%)after $4.82 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 69%, medium confidence, 7:51 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.78500, $0.00340 above the line of $6.78160
- Bought
- 245 × 63¢ = $154.35, 7.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 95¢ (bought at 63¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMDown74%Correct+$29.89+46%65¢ to 97¢took profit$64.353.2%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 8:11 PM PT
- Net
- +$29.89 (+46%)after $1.79 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 74%, high confidence, 8:02 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.78859, $0.00425 below the line of $6.79284
- Bought
- 99 × 65¢ = $64.35, 3.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 97¢ (bought at 65¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMDown73%Missed−$25.33−42%60¢ to 38¢sold early$60.003.0%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 38¢: the numbers turned against the call, 8:22 PM PT
- Net
- −$25.33 (−42%)after $3.33 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $36.35Sold early at 38¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$61.68, so selling saved $36.35.
- The call
- Down at 73%, high confidence, 8:19 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.78322, $0.00405 below the line of $6.78727
- Bought
- 100 × 60¢ = $60.00, 3.0% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 30¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 38¢ (bought at 60¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 30%), so I closed the position early.
8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMUp73%Correct+$15.39+32%75¢ to 100¢settled$48.752.4%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$15.39 (+32%)after $0.86 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 73%, medium confidence, 8:32 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80664, $0.00460 above the line of $6.80204
- Bought
- 65 × 75¢ = $48.75, 2.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 38¢
8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMUp71%Correct+$3.20+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$9.620.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$3.20 (+33%)after $0.18 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 71%, medium confidence, 8:49 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81169, $0.00350 above the line of $6.80819
- Bought
- 13 × 74¢ = $9.62, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 37¢
9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMDown73%Correct+$11.08+23%78¢ to 97¢took profit$49.142.5%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 9:13 PM PT
- Net
- +$11.08 (+23%)after $0.89 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 73%, medium confidence, 9:01 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80714, $0.00445 below the line of $6.81159
- Bought
- 63 × 78¢ = $49.14, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 39¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 97¢ (bought at 78¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMUp75%Correct+$9.06+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$38.401.9%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$9.06 (+24%)after $0.54 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 75%, high confidence, 9:26 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80900, $0.00155 above the line of $6.80745
- Bought
- 48 × 80¢ = $38.40, 1.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 40¢
9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMDown68%Correct+$0.90+30%76¢ to 100¢settled$3.040.2%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.90 (+30%)after $0.06 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 68%, medium confidence, 9:41 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80813, $0.00120 below the line of $6.80933
- Bought
- 4 × 76¢ = $3.04, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 38¢
9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMDown68%Missed−$22.68−46%66¢ to 39¢sold early$49.502.5%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 39¢: the numbers turned against the call, 9:56 PM PT
- Net
- −$22.68 (−46%)after $2.43 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $28.00Sold early at 39¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$50.68, so selling saved $28.00.
- The call
- Down at 68%, medium confidence, 9:50 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.80588, $0.00185 below the line of $6.80773
- Bought
- 75 × 66¢ = $49.50, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 39¢ (bought at 66¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 36%), so I closed the position early.
10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMUp72%Correct+$60.06+48%63¢ to 95¢took profit$126.006.3%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 95¢, banked while the market paid, 10:08 PM PT
- Net
- +$60.06 (+48%)after $3.94 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 72%, medium confidence, 10:02 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81377, $0.00280 above the line of $6.81097
- Bought
- 200 × 63¢ = $126.00, 6.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 95¢ (bought at 63¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMUp79%Correct+$0.19+25%76¢ to 98¢took profit$0.76<0.1%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 98¢, banked while the market paid, 10:27 PM PT
- Net
- +$0.19 (+25%)after $0.03 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 79%, high confidence, 10:17 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.82407, $0.00385 above the line of $6.82022
- Bought
- 1 × 76¢ = $0.76, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 38¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 98¢ (bought at 76¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMUp73%Missed−$4.76−10%65¢ to 62¢sold early$49.402.5%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 62¢: the numbers turned against the call, 10:37 PM PT
- Net
- −$4.76 (−10%)after $2.48 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $45.86Sold early at 62¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$50.62, so selling saved $45.86.
- The call
- Up at 73%, high confidence, 10:33 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.83620, $0.00360 above the line of $6.83260
- Bought
- 76 × 65¢ = $49.40, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 62¢ (bought at 65¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 39%), so I closed the position early.
- 10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMUp98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMDown72%Correct+$35.49+38%69¢ to 97¢took profit$93.154.7%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 11:08 PM PT
- Net
- +$35.49 (+38%)after $2.31 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 72%, medium confidence, 11:05 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.83299, $0.00405 below the line of $6.83704
- Bought
- 135 × 69¢ = $93.15, 4.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 97¢ (bought at 69¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMDown75%Correct+$118.27+43%66¢ to 96¢took profit$277.2013.9%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 11:24 PM PT
- Net
- +$118.27 (+43%)after $7.73 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 75%, high confidence, 11:17 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81903, $0.00555 below the line of $6.82458
- Bought
- 420 × 66¢ = $277.20, 13.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 96¢ (bought at 66¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMDown76%Correct+$5.18+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$10.560.5%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$5.18 (+49%)after $0.26 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 76%, high confidence, 11:35 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81041, $0.00390 below the line of $6.81431
- Bought
- 16 × 66¢ = $10.56, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 33¢
11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMUp79%Correct+$3.42+29%74¢ to 97¢took profit$11.840.6%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 11:53 PM PT
- Net
- +$3.42 (+29%)after $0.26 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 79%, high confidence, 11:47 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.81563, $0.00455 above the line of $6.81108
- Bought
- 16 × 74¢ = $11.84, 0.6% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 37¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 97¢ (bought at 74¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.
How this page is verified
Every result. On the record.
Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.
Saved
Oct 15, 2026
This file holds all of Nelly’s trading for Oct 12, 2026.
- 88Windows
- 84Calls
- 76Tickets
Trading data file
SHA-256 fingerprint
2e2a15743ee83cafc554670db323d6168f7b974e90bbcc7763f7190af885cc72Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.
Copper price file
SHA-256 fingerprint
6c78ed53c7667fa1dd11f53c1bc6152fe940b5e3fac76ab0d6981b29292747edWorked out from Copper’s price at the moment of each call and each ticket.
How a fingerprint works
A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.
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Request the original file for Oct 12, 2026
October 12 across the agents
Same day, other markets
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Agent ZiCSolana (SOL)−$141.4772 of 95 calls right
Agent AnJieEthereum (ETH)+$312.6478 of 96 calls right
Agent GruXRP (Ripple)+$85.8870 of 90 calls right
Agent JiHuiSilver (XAG)−$32.8121 of 28 calls right
Questions about this day
- How did Copper trade on October 12, 2026?
- Copper's price to beat started October 12 at $6.77824 (12 AM) and was $6.81108 by the 11:45 PM window, up $0.03284 (0.48%). The day's high was $6.83704 at 11 PM and the low $6.77726 at 7:15 PM; Copper finished higher in 43 of 88 windows.
- Did Agent Nelly make money on October 12, 2026?
- Yes. Nelly made $196.51 on a $2,000 bankroll: 59 of 84 calls right, 45 tickets won and 31 lost. The best session was China open (+$333.36) and the worst was Pre-market (−$88.35).
- What is a Kalshi 15-minute Copper contract?
- A yes-or-no contract on whether Copper finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
- Do AI trading bots make money?
- Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: Nelly’s record since launch is +$200.62. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots
The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets
Nelly places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.