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- Oct 11, 2026
AI trading agent · Daily log · Copper (HG) 15-minute · Version 1.01b
AI agent Nelly’s Copper (HG) 15-minute log, October 11, 2026
+$4.11 on a fresh $2,000 roll. 26 of 35 calls right. 18 tickets won, 12 lost.
On Sunday, October 11, 2026, Agent Nelly called 35 of 35 Copper 15-minute windows and got 26 right. Nelly bought 30 tickets, only on the called side: 18 won and 12 lost, for +$4.11 on a fresh $2,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $209.00. Nelly places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement. On the day, Copper’s price to beat went from $6.74992 to $6.77764, up 0.41%.
Saved after the day closed, Oct 15, 2026 · How this page is verified
Week of October 11
- Sun 11+$4.11peak $209.00start $2k
- Mon 12+$196.51peak $346.28start $2k
- Tue 13+$124.72peak $312.57start $2k
- Wed 14+$216.95peak $479.97start $2k
- Thu 15+$326.14peak $313.47start $2k
- Fri 16+$42.75peak $402.31start $2k
- Sat 17Closed
Week through Fri Oct 16: +$911.18 · highest peak $479.97 (Wed) · 317 of 423 calls right · 256 won, 137 lost
Each day starts at a fresh $2,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.
How Copper (HG) traded on October 11
Pacific timeCopper's price to beat started October 11 at $6.74992 (3:15 PM) and was $6.77764 by the 11:45 PM window, up $0.02772 (0.41%). The day's high was $6.79819 at 9:45 PM and the low $6.74758 at 4 PM; Copper finished higher in 20 of 35 windows.
- Start$6.749923:15 PM window
- Last$6.7776411:45 PM window
- Change+0.41%+$0.02772
- High$6.798199:45 PM
- Low$6.747584 PM
- Biggest 15-minute move+$0.019146 PM to 6:15 PM
| Part of the day | Copper moved | Windows | Nelly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunday12 AM–3 PM | No priceNo called window | 0 up, 0 down0 windows | No tickets |
| The week reopens3 PM–12 AM | +$0.02772+0.41%, $6.74992 to $6.77764 | 20 up, 15 down35 windows | +$4.1130 tickets |
Prices are Kalshi’s price to beat for each window, as Kalshi set the price when the window opened, kept in this day’s prices file (35 of 35 windows; the rest had no call). Up and down count every window’s result.
Trading sessions
No market · Pacific time (PDT)
Sunday
12 AM–3 PM
No tickets0 of 0 right
12–6 AM
Sunday night
Closed
No windows
No market this session
6 AM–3 PM
Sunday day
Closed
No windows
No market this session
The week reopens
3 PM–12 AM
+$4.1126 of 35 right · 30 tickets
- Best session
3–6:30 PM
Futures and Tokyo
+$5.97
9 of 13 right · 9 tickets
Winner5:30–5:45 PM+$82.08
6:30 PM–12 AM
China open
−$1.86
17 of 22 right · 21 tickets
Winner7:15–7:30 PM+$87.35
- Best ticket
- +$87.357:15–7:30 PM, Up
- Worst ticket
- −$90.718:30–8:45 PM, Down
- Biggest ticket
- $209.007:00–7:15 PM
- How tickets closed
- 8 took profit · 11 sold or stopped · 11 held
Trade log
Every window, October 11
+$4.11 closed · 18 won, 12 lost · 26 of 35 calls right · biggest ticket $209.00
3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMDown67%Missed−$0.70−28%63¢ to 49¢sold early$2.520.1%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 49¢: the numbers turned against the call, 3:26 PM PT
- Net
- −$0.70 (−28%)after $0.14 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $1.89Sold early at 49¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$2.59, so selling saved $1.89.
- The call
- Down at 67%, medium confidence, 3:21 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.74627, $0.00365 below the line of $6.74992
- Bought
- 4 × 63¢ = $2.52, 0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 49¢ (bought at 63¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 42%), so I closed the position early.
- 3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMDown76%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMDown69%Correct+$0.30+44%68¢ to 100¢settled$0.68<0.1%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.30 (+44%)after $0.02 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 69%, medium confidence, 3:53 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.74595, $0.00355 below the line of $6.74950
- Bought
- 1 × 68¢ = $0.68, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 34¢
4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMUp84%Correct+$13.78+18%82¢ to 98¢took profit$76.263.8%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 98¢, banked while the market paid, 4:13 PM PT
- Net
- +$13.78 (+18%)after $1.10 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 84%, very high confidence, 4:11 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.75008, $0.00250 above the line of $6.74758
- Bought
- 93 × 82¢ = $76.26, 3.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 41¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 98¢ (bought at 82¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMUp66%Correct+$11.76*+23%66¢ to 84¢sold early$50.162.5%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 84¢: the numbers turned against the call, 4:26 PM PT
- Net
- +$11.76 (+23%)after $1.92 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$24.64Sold at 84¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$24.64.
- The call
- Up at 66%, medium confidence, 4:18 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.75422, $0.00200 above the line of $6.75222
- Bought
- 76 × 66¢ = $50.16, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 84¢ (bought at 66¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 45%), so I closed the position early.
4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMUp75%Correct+$35.72+56%63¢ to 100¢settled$63.633.2%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$35.72 (+56%)after $1.65 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 75%, high confidence, 4:37 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.75671, $0.00255 above the line of $6.75416
- Bought
- 101 × 63¢ = $63.63, 3.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
- 4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMDown83%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMDown67%Missed−$27.49−50%58¢ to 32¢sold early$54.522.7%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 32¢: the numbers turned against the call, 5:07 PM PT
- Net
- −$27.49 (−50%)after $3.05 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $28.64Sold early at 32¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$56.13, so selling saved $28.64.
- The call
- Down at 67%, medium confidence, 5:06 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.75042, $0.00190 below the line of $6.75232
- Bought
- 94 × 58¢ = $54.52, 2.7% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 29¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 32¢ (bought at 58¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 37%), so I closed the position early.
- 5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMUp91%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMUp75%Correct+$82.08+40%69¢ to 98¢took profit$207.0010.3%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 98¢, banked while the market paid, 5:40 PM PT
- Net
- +$82.08 (+40%)after $4.92 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 75%, high confidence, 5:33 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.76498, $0.00470 above the line of $6.76028
- Bought
- 300 × 69¢ = $207.00, 10.3% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 98¢ (bought at 69¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMDown68%Missed−$80.22−103%61¢ to 0¢settled$78.083.9%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$80.22 (−103%)after $2.14 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was missed.
- The call
- Down at 68%, medium confidence, 5:47 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.76175, $0.00360 below the line of $6.76535
- Bought
- 128 × 61¢ = $78.08, 3.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 31¢
- 6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMUp90%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMUp72%Missed−$29.26−49%60¢ to 34¢sold early$60.003.0%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 34¢: the numbers turned against the call, 6:25 PM PT
- Net
- −$29.26 (−49%)after $3.26 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $32.42Sold early at 34¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$61.68, so selling saved $32.42.
- The call
- Up at 72%, medium confidence, 6:21 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.78985, $0.00430 above the line of $6.78555
- Bought
- 100 × 60¢ = $60.00, 3.0% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 30¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 34¢ (bought at 60¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 39%), so I closed the position early.
6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMUp79%Correct+$7.90+42%67¢ to 97¢took profit$18.760.9%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 6:40 PM PT
- Net
- +$7.90 (+42%)after $0.50 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 79%, high confidence, 6:34 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.78478, $0.00640 above the line of $6.77838
- Bought
- 28 × 67¢ = $18.76, 0.9% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 34¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 97¢ (bought at 67¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMUp81%Correct+$0.71+32%75¢ to 100¢settled$2.250.1%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.71 (+32%)after $0.04 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 81%, high confidence, 6:51 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79423, $0.00705 above the line of $6.78718
- Bought
- 3 × 75¢ = $2.25, 0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 38¢
7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMDown81%Correct+$62.48+30%76¢ to 100¢settled$209.0010.4%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$62.48 (+30%)after $3.52 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 81%, high confidence, 7:02 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.78571, $0.00860 below the line of $6.79431
- Bought
- 275 × 76¢ = $209.00, 10.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 38¢
7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMUp65%Correct+$87.35+56%63¢ to 100¢settled$155.617.8%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$87.35 (+56%)after $4.04 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 65%, medium confidence, 7:19 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79405, $0.00275 above the line of $6.79130
- Bought
- 247 × 63¢ = $155.61, 7.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMDown66%Correct−$9.34*−46%61¢ to 36¢sold early$20.131.0%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 36¢: the numbers turned against the call, 7:37 PM PT
- Net
- −$9.34 (−46%)after $1.09 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$12.32Sold at 36¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$12.32.
- The call
- Down at 66%, medium confidence, 7:35 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79201, $0.00255 below the line of $6.79456
- Bought
- 33 × 61¢ = $20.13, 1.0% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 31¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 36¢ (bought at 61¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 41%), so I closed the position early.
7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMDown75%Correct+$0.15+19%79¢ to 97¢took profit$0.79<0.1%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 7:58 PM PT
- Net
- +$0.15 (+19%)after $0.03 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 75%, high confidence, 7:49 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.78578, $0.00430 below the line of $6.79008
- Bought
- 1 × 79¢ = $0.79, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 40¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 97¢ (bought at 79¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMDown81%Correct−$3.59*−49%82¢ to 45¢sold early$7.380.4%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 45¢: the numbers turned against the call, 8:10 PM PT
- Net
- −$3.59 (−49%)after $0.26 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$1.52Sold at 45¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$1.52.
- The call
- Down at 81%, high confidence, 8:02 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.77773, $0.00530 below the line of $6.78303
- Bought
- 9 × 82¢ = $7.38, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 41¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 45¢ (bought at 82¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 22%), so I closed the position early.
8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMDown66%Missed−$46.60−61%57¢ to 25¢stopped$75.813.8%Sell 94¢
- Closed
- Stopped at 25¢, 8:20 PM PT
- Net
- −$46.60 (−61%)after $4.04 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $31.50Sold early at 25¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$78.10, so selling saved $31.50.
- The call
- Down at 66%, medium confidence, 8:18 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.77926, $0.00230 below the line of $6.78156
- Bought
- 133 × 57¢ = $75.81, 3.8% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 94¢, stop at 29¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 25¢ on my 29¢ stop (bought at 57¢). The market moved against my call, and the stop keeps the loss contained.
8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMDown89%Missed−$90.71−101%83¢ to 0¢settled$89.644.5%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$90.71 (−101%)after $1.07 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was missed.
- The call
- Down at 89%, very high confidence, 8:37 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.78587, $0.00655 below the line of $6.79242
- Bought
- 108 × 83¢ = $89.64, 4.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 42¢
8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMUp79%Correct+$0.74+24%77¢ to 97¢took profit$3.080.2%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 97¢, banked while the market paid, 8:56 PM PT
- Net
- +$0.74 (+24%)after $0.06 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 79%, high confidence, 8:48 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79835, $0.00505 above the line of $6.79330
- Bought
- 4 × 77¢ = $3.08, 0.2% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 39¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Up at 97¢ (bought at 77¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMDown72%Correct+$6.95+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$49.592.5%Sell 99¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$6.95 (+14%)after $0.46 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 72%, medium confidence, 9:11 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79506, $0.00195 below the line of $6.79701
- Bought
- 57 × 87¢ = $49.59, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 99¢, stop at 44¢
9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMUp66%Correct+$1.49+61%61¢ to 100¢settled$2.440.1%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.49 (+61%)after $0.07 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 66%, medium confidence, 9:21 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79802, $0.00195 above the line of $6.79607
- Bought
- 4 × 61¢ = $2.44, 0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 31¢
9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMDown72%Missed−$83.90−102%69¢ to 0¢settled$82.114.1%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$83.90 (−102%)after $1.79 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was missed.
- The call
- Down at 72%, medium confidence, 9:34 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79514, $0.00265 below the line of $6.79779
- Bought
- 119 × 69¢ = $82.11, 4.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 35¢
9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMDown70%Correct+$27.25+39%68¢ to 96¢took profit$70.723.5%Sell 96¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 9:52 PM PT
- Net
- +$27.25 (+39%)after $1.87 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 70%, medium confidence, 9:47 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79574, $0.00245 below the line of $6.79819
- Bought
- 104 × 68¢ = $70.72, 3.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 96¢, stop at 34¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 96¢ (bought at 68¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMDown86%Correct−$1.41*−15%78¢ to 69¢sold early$9.360.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold at 69¢ to protect the ticket, 10:08 PM PT
- Net
- −$1.41 (−15%)after $0.33 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$2.49Sold at 69¢ to protect the roll. The Down call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$2.49.
- The call
- Down at 86%, very high confidence, 10:01 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.78941, $0.00525 below the line of $6.79466
- Bought
- 12 × 78¢ = $9.36, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 39¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 69¢ (bought at 78¢). The position had been in profit, returned to my entry, and my numbers turned (Down 30%). I closed the position before a gain could become a loss.
10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMUp74%Missed−$0.59−32%61¢ to 45¢sold early$1.83<0.1%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 45¢: the numbers turned against the call, 10:20 PM PT
- Net
- −$0.59 (−32%)after $0.11 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $1.29Sold early at 45¢. The Up call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$1.88, so selling saved $1.29.
- The call
- Up at 74%, high confidence, 10:17 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.79321, $0.00295 above the line of $6.79026
- Bought
- 3 × 61¢ = $1.83, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 31¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 45¢ (bought at 61¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 40%), so I closed the position early.
10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMDown86%Missed−$4.16−46%83¢ to 48¢sold early$9.130.5%Hold
- Closed
- Sold early at 48¢: the numbers turned against the call, 10:34 PM PT
- Net
- −$4.16 (−46%)after $0.31 in fees
- If held
- Selling saved $5.08Sold early at 48¢. The Down call missed: held to settlement this ticket would have lost −$9.24, so selling saved $5.08.
- The call
- Down at 86%, very high confidence, 10:32 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.77633, $0.00645 below the line of $6.78278
- Bought
- 11 × 83¢ = $9.13, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close, stop at 42¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Down at 48¢ (bought at 83¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Down 43%), so I closed the position early.
- 10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMUp84%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMDown80%Correct+$0.38+25%77¢ to 98¢took profit$1.54<0.1%Sell 97¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 98¢, banked while the market paid, 11:09 PM PT
- Net
- +$0.38 (+25%)after $0.04 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 80%, high confidence, 11:05 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.78708, $0.00550 below the line of $6.79258
- Bought
- 2 × 77¢ = $1.54, <0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 97¢, stop at 39¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 98¢ (bought at 77¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMDown66%Correct+$38.54+47%64¢ to 96¢took profit$81.924.1%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Took profit at 96¢, banked while the market paid, 11:21 PM PT
- Net
- +$38.54 (+47%)after $2.42 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 66%, medium confidence, 11:17 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.78267, $0.00330 below the line of $6.78597
- Bought
- 128 × 64¢ = $81.92, 4.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 32¢
In Nelly’s words
Took profit on Down at 96¢ (bought at 64¢). The market paid what the position was worth, and I accepted the terms.
11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMDown78%Correct+$1.29+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$2.640.1%Sell 95¢
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$1.29 (+49%)after $0.07 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 78%, high confidence, 11:37 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.77545, $0.00450 below the line of $6.77995
- Bought
- 4 × 66¢ = $2.64, 0.1% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 95¢, stop at 33¢
11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMUp67%Correct+$3.21*+6%82¢ to 89¢sold early$50.022.5%Sell 98¢
- Closed
- Sold early at 89¢: the numbers turned against the call, 11:58 PM PT
- Net
- +$3.21 (+6%)after $1.06 in fees
- If held
- Would have paid +$10.34Sold at 89¢ to protect the roll. The Up call was right: held to settlement this ticket would have paid +$10.34.
- The call
- Up at 67%, medium confidence, 11:52 PM PT
- Copper at the call
- $6.78014, $0.00250 above the line of $6.77764
- Bought
- 61 × 82¢ = $50.02, 2.5% of the day’s $2,000
- Plan
- Sell at 98¢, stop at 41¢
In Nelly’s words
Sold Up at 89¢ (bought at 82¢). My numbers now favor the other side (Up 23%), so I closed the position early.
Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.
How this page is verified
Every result. On the record.
Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.
Saved
Oct 15, 2026
This file holds all of Nelly’s trading for Oct 11, 2026.
- 35Windows
- 35Calls
- 30Tickets
Trading data file
SHA-256 fingerprint
dea8b2c70905e382a31d05c884d6149a36331d5fefd4e9d4c49c6acbc421adf4Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.
Copper price file
SHA-256 fingerprint
7151b09a15f922b739f08e48e6cf1b9ba046833ea0412974affbaf0c86fd1428Worked out from Copper’s price at the moment of each call and each ticket.
How a fingerprint works
A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.
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October 11 across the agents
Same day, other markets
Questions about this day
- How did Copper trade on October 11, 2026?
- Copper's price to beat started October 11 at $6.74992 (3:15 PM) and was $6.77764 by the 11:45 PM window, up $0.02772 (0.41%). The day's high was $6.79819 at 9:45 PM and the low $6.74758 at 4 PM; Copper finished higher in 20 of 35 windows.
- Did Agent Nelly make money on October 11, 2026?
- Yes. Nelly made $4.11 on a $2,000 bankroll: 26 of 35 calls right, 18 tickets won and 12 lost. The best session was Futures and Tokyo (+$5.97) and the worst was China open (−$1.86).
- What is a Kalshi 15-minute Copper contract?
- A yes-or-no contract on whether Copper finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
- Do AI trading bots make money?
- Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: Nelly’s record since launch is +$4.11. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots
The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets
Nelly places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.