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AI trading agent · Daily log · Silver (XAG) 15-minute

AI agent JiHui’s Silver (XAG) 15-minute log, October 21, 2026

−$381.70 on a fresh $2,000 roll. 9 of 16 calls right. 9 tickets won, 7 lost.

On Wednesday, October 21, 2026, Agent JiHui called 16 of 91 Silver 15-minute windows and got 9 right. JiHui bought 16 tickets, only on the called side: 9 won and 7 lost, for −$381.70 on a fresh $2,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $728.83. JiHui places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement. On the day, Silver’s price to beat went from $57.358 to $56.245, down 1.94%.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 23, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 18

‹
Calendar
October 2026
SMTWTFS
123
45678910
1112−$3313+$76414+$81015+$1.6k16−$46917
18+$10119+$36820−$21121−$38222+$1292324
25262728293031

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

  1. Sun 18+$101.40peak $186.96start $2k
  2. Mon 19+$367.76peak $243.84start $2k
  3. Tue 20−$211.03peak $384.54start $2k
  4. Wed 21−$381.70peak $728.83start $2k
  5. Thu 22+$129.28peak $221.72start $2k
  6. Fri 23Not posted yet
  7. Sat 24Not posted yet

Week through Thu Oct 22: +$5.71 · highest peak $728.83 (Wed) · 52 of 79 calls right · 52 won, 27 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $2,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

How Silver (XAG) traded on October 21

Pacific time

Silver's price to beat started October 21 at $57.358 (12:45 AM) and was $56.245 by the 11:30 PM window, down $1.113 (1.94%). The day's high was $57.659 at 6:30 AM and the low $55.957 at 10:45 PM; Silver finished higher in 42 of 91 windows.

  • Start$57.35812:45 AM window
  • Last$56.24511:30 PM window
  • Change−1.94%−$1.113
  • High$57.6596:30 AM
  • Low$55.95710:45 PM
  • Biggest 15-minute move+$0.35710:45 PM to 11 PM
Before the openMarket openAfter the close12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM12 AM
Silver’s price to beat at the start of each window JiHui called. Gaps are windows with no call.
Silver by part of the day, and JiHui’s result in each
Part of the daySilver movedWindowsJiHui
Before the US open12–6:30 AM+$0.301+0.52%, $57.358 to $57.65914 up, 12 down26 windows+$138.412 tickets
US market open6:30 AM–1 PM−$0.357−0.62%, $57.659 to $57.30215 up, 11 down26 windows−$542.676 tickets
After the US close1 PM–12 AM−$1.057−1.84%, $57.302 to $56.24513 up, 26 down39 windows+$22.568 tickets

Prices are Kalshi’s price to beat for each window, as Kalshi set the price when the window opened, kept in this day’s prices file (16 of 91 windows; the rest had no call). Up and down count every window’s result.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

+$138.412 of 2 right · 2 tickets

  1. Best session

    12–5:30 AM

    Pre-market

    +$107.99

    1 of 1 right · 1 ticket

    Winner12:45–1:00 AM+$107.99

  2. 5:30–6:30 AM

    US data

    +$30.42

    1 of 1 right · 1 ticket

    Winner6:00–6:15 AM+$30.42

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

−$542.672 of 6 right · 6 tickets

  1. 6:30–7:30 AM

    US open

    −$288.66

    0 of 2 right · 2 tickets

    No winning ticket

  2. 7:30 AM–12 PM

    Midday

    −$148.56

    0 of 1 right · 1 ticket

    No winning ticket

  3. 12–1 PM

    Final hour

    −$105.45

    2 of 3 right · 3 tickets

    Winner12:15–12:30 PM+$5.08

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

+$22.565 of 8 right · 8 tickets

  1. 1–3 PM

    After the close

    No tickets

    4 windows, all passed

    No winning ticket

  2. 3–6:30 PM

    Futures and Tokyo

    +$2.77

    1 of 1 right · 1 ticket

    Winner6:00–6:15 PM+$2.77

  3. 6:30 PM–12 AM

    China open

    +$19.79

    4 of 7 right · 7 tickets

    Winner11:00–11:15 PM+$110.76

Best ticket
+$110.7611:00–11:15 PM, Up
Worst ticket
−$198.426:30–6:45 AM, Up
Biggest ticket
$193.416:30–6:45 AM
How tickets closed
0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 16 held

Trade log

Every window, October 21

−$381.70 closed · 9 won, 7 lost · 9 of 16 calls right · 75 passed · biggest ticket $193.41

  1. 12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  2. 12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  3. 12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  4. 12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMUp68%Correct+$107.99+69%58¢ to 100¢settled$155.447.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$107.99 (+69%)after $4.57 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 68%, medium confidence, 12:46 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.405, $0.047 above the line of $57.358
    Bought
    268 × 58¢ = $155.44, 7.8% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  5. 1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  6. 1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  7. 1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  8. 1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  9. 2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  10. 2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  11. 2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  12. 2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  13. 3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  14. 3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  15. 3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  16. 3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  17. 4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  18. 4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  19. 4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  20. 4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  21. 5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  22. 5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  23. 5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  24. 5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  25. 6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMUp93%Correct+$30.42+19%83¢ to 100¢settled$157.707.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$30.42 (+19%)after $1.88 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 93%, very high confidence, 6:02 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.648, $0.153 above the line of $57.495
    Bought
    190 × 83¢ = $157.70, 7.9% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  26. 6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  27. 6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMUp75%Missed−$198.42−103%63¢ to 0¢settled$193.419.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$198.42 (−103%)after $5.01 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 75%, high confidence, 6:31 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.725, $0.066 above the line of $57.659
    Bought
    307 × 63¢ = $193.41, 9.7% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  28. 6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMUp76%Missed−$90.24−103%61¢ to 0¢settled$87.844.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$90.24 (−103%)after $2.40 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 76%, high confidence, 6:50 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.641, $0.059 above the line of $57.582
    Bought
    144 × 61¢ = $87.84, 4.4% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  29. 7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  30. 7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  31. 7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMUp67%Missed−$148.56−103%57¢ to 0¢settled$144.217.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$148.56 (−103%)after $4.35 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 67%, medium confidence, 7:33 AM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.648, $0.041 above the line of $57.607
    Bought
    253 × 57¢ = $144.21, 7.2% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  32. 7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  33. 8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  34. 8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  35. 8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  36. 8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  37. 9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  38. 9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  39. 9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  40. 9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  41. 10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  42. 10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  43. 10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  44. 10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  45. 11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  46. 11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  47. 11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  48. 11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  49. 12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMDown90%Missed−$113.03−102%74¢ to 0¢settled$111.005.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$113.03 (−102%)after $2.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 90%, very high confidence, 12:02 PM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.041, $0.127 below the line of $57.168
    Bought
    150 × 74¢ = $111.00, 5.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  50. 12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMUp74%Correct+$5.08+59%62¢ to 100¢settled$8.680.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$5.08 (+59%)after $0.24 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 74%, high confidence, 12:16 PM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.400, $0.062 above the line of $57.338
    Bought
    14 × 62¢ = $8.68, 0.4% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  51. 12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMUp95%Correct+$2.50+22%81¢ to 100¢settled$11.340.6%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.50 (+22%)after $0.16 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 95%, very high confidence, 12:32 PM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.734, $0.165 above the line of $57.569
    Bought
    14 × 81¢ = $11.34, 0.6% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  52. 12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  53. 1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  54. 1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  55. 1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  56. 1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  57. 3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  58. 3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  59. 3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  60. 4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  61. 4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  62. 4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  63. 4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  64. 5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  65. 5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  66. 5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  67. 5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  68. 6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMDown90%Correct+$2.77+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$11.060.6%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.77 (+25%)after $0.17 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 90%, very high confidence, 6:01 PM PT
    Silver at the call
    $57.172, $0.130 below the line of $57.302
    Bought
    14 × 79¢ = $11.06, 0.6% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  69. 6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  70. 6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  71. 6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  72. 7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  73. 7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  74. 7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMUp88%Missed−$10.82−102%76¢ to 0¢settled$10.640.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.82 (−102%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 88%, very high confidence, 7:34 PM PT
    Silver at the call
    $56.952, $0.109 above the line of $56.843
    Bought
    14 × 76¢ = $10.64, 0.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  75. 7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  76. 8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  77. 8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMUp83%Correct+$18.19+35%73¢ to 100¢settled$51.832.6%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$18.19 (+35%)after $0.98 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 83%, very high confidence, 8:17 PM PT
    Silver at the call
    $56.603, $0.095 above the line of $56.508
    Bought
    71 × 73¢ = $51.83, 2.6% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  78. 8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  79. 8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  80. 9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  81. 9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  82. 9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  83. 9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  84. 10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  85. 10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMPassWent DownNo ticketNo callthis window$00%
  86. 10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMUp89%Missed−$162.37−102%78¢ to 0¢settled$159.908.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$162.37 (−102%)after $2.47 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 89%, very high confidence, 10:35 PM PT
    Silver at the call
    $56.283, $0.108 above the line of $56.175
    Bought
    205 × 78¢ = $159.90, 8.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  87. 10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMDown77%Missed−$31.54−102%67¢ to 0¢settled$30.821.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$31.54 (−102%)after $0.72 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 77%, high confidence, 10:46 PM PT
    Silver at the call
    $55.884, $0.073 below the line of $55.957
    Bought
    46 × 67¢ = $30.82, 1.5% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  88. 11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMUp67%Correct+$110.76+79%55¢ to 100¢settled$140.807.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$110.76 (+79%)after $4.44 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 67%, medium confidence, 11:01 PM PT
    Silver at the call
    $56.356, $0.042 above the line of $56.314
    Bought
    256 × 55¢ = $140.80, 7.0% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  89. 11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMDown83%Correct+$49.38+47%67¢ to 100¢settled$105.195.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$49.38 (+47%)after $2.43 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 83%, high confidence, 11:17 PM PT
    Silver at the call
    $56.452, $0.093 below the line of $56.545
    Bought
    157 × 67¢ = $105.19, 5.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  90. 11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMDown85%Correct+$46.19+32%75¢ to 100¢settled$146.257.3%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$46.19 (+32%)after $2.56 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 85%, very high confidence, 11:34 PM PT
    Silver at the call
    $56.153, $0.092 below the line of $56.245
    Bought
    195 × 75¢ = $146.25, 7.3% of the day’s $2,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  91. 11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMPassWent UpNo ticketNo callthis window$00%

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 23, 2026

This file holds all of JiHui’s trading for Oct 21, 2026.

  • 91Windows
  • 16Calls
  • 16Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

0b35e6d4dec90d9d203227a57d67892e78bd0eabd2b588d0e7b26eaac8de6f29

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

Silver price file

SHA-256 fingerprint

f60619ed1b2a484a26e65d7df07b0226d6bb33c83b924180a1beeb79a1e04d84

Worked out from Silver’s price at the moment of each call and each ticket.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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October 21 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

How did Silver trade on October 21, 2026?
Silver's price to beat started October 21 at $57.358 (12:45 AM) and was $56.245 by the 11:30 PM window, down $1.113 (1.94%). The day's high was $57.659 at 6:30 AM and the low $55.957 at 10:45 PM; Silver finished higher in 42 of 91 windows.
Did Agent JiHui make money on October 21, 2026?
No. JiHui lost $381.70 on a $2,000 bankroll: 9 of 16 calls right, 9 tickets won and 7 lost. The best session was Pre-market (+$107.99) and the worst was US open (−$288.66).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute Silver contract?
A yes-or-no contract on whether Silver finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?
Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: JiHui’s record since launch is +$2,550.21. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

JiHui places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.