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AI trading agent · Daily log · WTI crude oil 15-minute · Version 1.1

AI agent Lee’s WTI crude oil 15-minute log, October 21, 2026

−$345.82 on a fresh $5,000 roll. 72 of 96 calls right. 69 tickets won, 24 lost.

On Wednesday, October 21, 2026, Agent Lee called 96 of 96 WTI oil 15-minute windows and got 72 right. Lee bought 93 tickets, only on the called side: 69 won and 24 lost, for −$345.82 on a fresh $5,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $823.91. Lee places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 23, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 18

Calendar
October 2026
SMTWTFS
123
45678910
11121314151617
1819+$320−$54621−$34622−$892324
25262728293031

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

  1. Sun 18Before launch
  2. Mon 19+$3.23peak $24.07start $1k
  3. Tue 20−$546.12peak $546.12start $5k
  4. Wed 21−$345.82peak $823.91start $5k
  5. Thu 22−$88.98peak $302.77start $5k
  6. Fri 23Not posted yet
  7. Sat 24Not posted yet

Week through Thu Oct 22: −$977.69 · highest peak $823.91 (Wed) · 222 of 300 calls right · 191 won, 67 lost

Days in this week did not all start from the same roll (each day says how the day’s money started), so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

−$331.5919 of 26 right · 25 tickets

  1. 12–5:30 AM

    Pre-market

    −$158.65

    17 of 22 right · 21 tickets

    Winner3:30–3:45 AM+$80.04

  2. 5:30–6:30 AM

    US data

    −$172.94

    2 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner5:45–6:00 AM+$13.55

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

−$331.1917 of 26 right · 25 tickets

  1. 6:30–7:30 AM

    US open

    −$62.61

    3 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner6:30–6:45 AM+$19.17

  2. 7:30 AM–12 PM

    Midday

    −$205.14

    12 of 18 right · 17 tickets

    Winner8:00–8:15 AM+$46.43

  3. 12–1 PM

    Final hour

    −$63.44

    2 of 4 right · 4 tickets

    Winner12:45–1:00 PM+$76.03

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

+$316.9636 of 44 right · 43 tickets

  1. 1–3 PM

    After the close

    +$80.62

    7 of 8 right · 7 tickets

    Winner1:15–1:30 PM+$55.18

  2. 3–6:30 PM

    Futures and Tokyo

    +$88.80

    12 of 14 right · 14 tickets

    Winner6:00–6:15 PM+$45.43

  3. Best session

    6:30 PM–12 AM

    China open

    +$147.54

    17 of 22 right · 22 tickets

    Winner11:30–11:45 PM+$106.99

Best ticket
+$106.9911:30–11:45 PM, Up
Worst ticket
−$106.793:45–4:00 AM, Up
Biggest ticket
$103.313:45–4:00 AM
How tickets closed
0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 93 held

Trade log

Every window, October 21

−$345.82 closed · 69 won, 24 lost · 72 of 96 calls right · biggest ticket $103.31

  1. 12:00 AM–to 12:15 AMDown93%Correct+$11.55+12%89¢ to 100¢settled$99.682.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$11.55 (+12%)after $0.77 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 93%, very high confidence, 12:08 AM PT
    Bought
    112 × 89¢ = $99.68, 2.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  2. 12:15 AM–to 12:30 AMDown83%Correct+$23.60+24%80¢ to 100¢settled$100.002.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$23.60 (+24%)after $1.40 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 83%, very high confidence, 12:23 AM PT
    Bought
    125 × 80¢ = $100.00, 2.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  3. 12:30 AM–to 12:45 AMUp98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  4. 12:45 AM–to 1:00 AMDown74%Correct+$15.39+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$100.622.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$15.39 (+15%)after $0.99 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 74%, high confidence, 12:53 AM PT
    Bought
    117 × 86¢ = $100.62, 2.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  5. 1:00 AM–to 1:15 AMUp83%Correct+$20.86+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$100.862.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$20.86 (+21%)after $1.28 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 83%, very high confidence, 1:08 AM PT
    Bought
    123 × 82¢ = $100.86, 2.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  6. 1:15 AM–to 1:30 AMUp82%Correct+$16.78+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$101.152.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$16.78 (+17%)after $1.07 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 82%, high confidence, 1:23 AM PT
    Bought
    119 × 85¢ = $101.15, 2.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  7. 1:30 AM–to 1:45 AMUp90%Correct+$6.05+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$101.522.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$6.05 (+6%)after $0.43 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 90%, very high confidence, 1:38 AM PT
    Bought
    108 × 94¢ = $101.52, 2.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  8. 1:45 AM–to 2:00 AMUp83%Correct+$18.22+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$101.642.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$18.22 (+18%)after $1.14 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 83%, high confidence, 1:53 AM PT
    Bought
    121 × 84¢ = $101.64, 2.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  9. 2:00 AM–to 2:15 AMDown95%Correct+$8.30+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$102.122.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$8.30 (+8%)after $0.58 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 95%, very high confidence, 2:08 AM PT
    Bought
    111 × 92¢ = $102.12, 2.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  10. 2:15 AM–to 2:30 AMUp75%Missed−$72.15−101%79¢ to 0¢settled$71.101.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$72.15 (−101%)after $1.05 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 75%, high confidence, 2:23 AM PT
    Bought
    90 × 79¢ = $71.10, 1.4% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  11. 2:30 AM–to 2:45 AMUp79%Correct+$35.35+35%73¢ to 100¢settled$100.742.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$35.35 (+35%)after $1.91 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 79%, high confidence, 2:38 AM PT
    Bought
    138 × 73¢ = $100.74, 2.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  12. 2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMUp90%Correct+$7.16+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$101.342.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$7.16 (+7%)after $0.50 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 90%, very high confidence, 2:53 AM PT
    Bought
    109 × 93¢ = $101.34, 2.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  13. 3:00 AM–to 3:15 AMUp90%Correct+$8.23+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$101.202.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$8.23 (+8%)after $0.57 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 90%, very high confidence, 3:08 AM PT
    Bought
    110 × 92¢ = $101.20, 2.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  14. 3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMDown77%Correct+$5.39+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$58.241.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$5.39 (+9%)after $0.37 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 77%, high confidence, 3:23 AM PT
    Bought
    64 × 91¢ = $58.24, 1.2% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  15. 3:30 AM–to 3:45 AMDown55%Correct+$80.04+79%55¢ to 100¢settled$101.752.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$80.04 (+79%)after $3.21 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 55%, medium confidence, 3:38 AM PT
    Bought
    185 × 55¢ = $101.75, 2.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  16. 3:45 AM–to 4:00 AMUp66%Missed−$106.79−103%52¢ to 0¢settled$103.312.1%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$106.79 (−103%)after $3.48 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 66%, medium confidence, 3:53 AM PT
    Bought
    199 × 52¢ = $103.31, 2.1% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  17. 4:00 AM–to 4:15 AMDown96%Correct+$3.31+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$101.472.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.31 (+3%)after $0.22 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 96%, very high confidence, 4:08 AM PT
    Bought
    105 × 97¢ = $101.47, 2.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  18. 4:15 AM–to 4:30 AMDown94%Correct+$7.13+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$101.372.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$7.13 (+7%)after $0.50 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 94%, very high confidence, 4:23 AM PT
    Bought
    109 × 93¢ = $101.37, 2.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  19. 4:30 AM–to 4:45 AMUp36%Missed−$104.81−103%52¢ to 0¢settled$101.402.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$104.81 (−103%)after $3.41 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 36%, low confidence, 4:38 AM PT
    Bought
    195 × 52¢ = $101.40, 2.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  20. 4:45 AM–to 5:00 AMUp47%Missed−$103.03−104%49¢ to 0¢settled$99.472.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$103.03 (−104%)after $3.56 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 47%, low confidence, 4:53 AM PT
    Bought
    203 × 49¢ = $99.47, 2.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  21. 5:00 AM–to 5:15 AMUp68%Missed−$100.15−103%59¢ to 0¢settled$97.351.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$100.15 (−103%)after $2.80 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 68%, medium confidence, 5:08 AM PT
    Bought
    165 × 59¢ = $97.35, 1.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  22. 5:15 AM–to 5:30 AMDown78%Correct+$60.92+64%60¢ to 100¢settled$95.401.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$60.92 (+64%)after $2.68 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 78%, high confidence, 5:23 AM PT
    Bought
    159 × 60¢ = $95.40, 1.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  23. 5:30 AM–to 5:45 AMDown82%Correct+$7.85+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$96.601.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$7.85 (+8%)after $0.55 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 82%, high confidence, 5:38 AM PT
    Bought
    105 × 92¢ = $96.60, 1.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  24. 5:45 AM–to 6:00 AMDown73%Correct+$13.55+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$96.571.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$13.55 (+14%)after $0.88 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 73%, medium confidence, 5:53 AM PT
    Bought
    111 × 87¢ = $96.57, 1.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  25. 6:00 AM–to 6:15 AMDown87%Missed−$97.89−101%90¢ to 0¢settled$97.201.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$97.89 (−101%)after $0.69 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 87%, very high confidence, 6:08 AM PT
    Bought
    108 × 90¢ = $97.20, 1.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  26. 6:15 AM–to 6:30 AMDown62%Missed−$96.45−102%74¢ to 0¢settled$94.721.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$96.45 (−102%)after $1.73 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 62%, medium confidence, 6:23 AM PT
    Bought
    128 × 74¢ = $94.72, 1.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  27. 6:30 AM–to 6:45 AMDown86%Correct+$19.17+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$92.661.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$19.17 (+21%)after $1.17 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 86%, very high confidence, 6:38 AM PT
    Bought
    113 × 82¢ = $92.66, 1.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  28. 6:45 AM–to 7:00 AMDown72%Missed−$94.68−102%77¢ to 0¢settled$93.171.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$94.68 (−102%)after $1.51 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 72%, medium confidence, 6:53 AM PT
    Bought
    121 × 77¢ = $93.17, 1.9% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  29. 7:00 AM–to 7:15 AMUp94%Correct+$8.42+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$91.001.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$8.42 (+9%)after $0.58 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 94%, very high confidence, 7:08 AM PT
    Bought
    100 × 91¢ = $91.00, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  30. 7:15 AM–to 7:30 AMUp91%Correct+$4.48+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$91.201.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.48 (+5%)after $0.32 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 91%, very high confidence, 7:23 AM PT
    Bought
    96 × 95¢ = $91.20, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  31. 7:30 AM–to 7:45 AMUp72%Correct+$20.25+22%81¢ to 100¢settled$91.531.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$20.25 (+22%)after $1.22 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 72%, medium confidence, 7:38 AM PT
    Bought
    113 × 81¢ = $91.53, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  32. 7:45 AM–to 8:00 AMDown61%Missed−$94.49−103%64¢ to 0¢settled$92.161.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$94.49 (−103%)after $2.33 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 61%, medium confidence, 7:53 AM PT
    Bought
    144 × 64¢ = $92.16, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  33. 8:00 AM–to 8:15 AMDown77%Correct+$46.43+51%65¢ to 100¢settled$90.351.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$46.43 (+51%)after $2.22 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 77%, high confidence, 8:08 AM PT
    Bought
    139 × 65¢ = $90.35, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  34. 8:15 AM–to 8:30 AMDown79%Correct+$24.33+27%78¢ to 100¢settled$91.261.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$24.33 (+27%)after $1.41 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 79%, high confidence, 8:23 AM PT
    Bought
    117 × 78¢ = $91.26, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  35. 8:30 AM–to 8:45 AMDown41%Missed−$95.14−103%52¢ to 0¢settled$92.041.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$95.14 (−103%)after $3.10 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 41%, low confidence, 8:38 AM PT
    Bought
    177 × 52¢ = $92.04, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  36. 8:45 AM–to 9:00 AMDown75%Correct+$13.68+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$89.441.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$13.68 (+15%)after $0.88 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 75%, high confidence, 8:53 AM PT
    Bought
    104 × 86¢ = $89.44, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  37. 9:00 AM–to 9:15 AMUp68%Correct+$24.74+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$89.821.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$24.74 (+28%)after $1.44 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 68%, medium confidence, 9:08 AM PT
    Bought
    116 × 77¢ = $89.82, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  38. 9:15 AM–to 9:30 AMDown64%Missed−$91.93−102%74¢ to 0¢settled$90.281.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$91.93 (−102%)after $1.65 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 64%, medium confidence, 9:23 AM PT
    Bought
    122 × 74¢ = $90.28, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  39. 9:30 AM–to 9:45 AMDown70%Correct+$34.44+39%71¢ to 100¢settled$88.751.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$34.44 (+39%)after $1.81 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 70%, medium confidence, 9:38 AM PT
    Bought
    125 × 71¢ = $88.75, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  40. 9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMUp49%Missed−$92.45−103%52¢ to 0¢settled$89.441.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$92.45 (−103%)after $3.01 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 49%, low confidence, 9:53 AM PT
    Bought
    172 × 52¢ = $89.44, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  41. 10:00 AM–to 10:15 AMDown63%Missed−$88.86−101%80¢ to 0¢settled$87.631.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$88.86 (−101%)after $1.23 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 63%, medium confidence, 10:08 AM PT
    Bought
    109 × 80¢ = $87.63, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  42. 10:15 AM–to 10:30 AMUp94%Correct+$12.08+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$86.131.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$12.08 (+14%)after $0.79 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 94%, very high confidence, 10:23 AM PT
    Bought
    99 × 87¢ = $86.13, 1.7% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  43. 10:30 AM–to 10:45 AMUp65%Correct+$27.24+32%75¢ to 100¢settled$86.251.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$27.24 (+32%)after $1.51 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 65%, medium confidence, 10:38 AM PT
    Bought
    115 × 75¢ = $86.25, 1.7% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  44. 10:45 AM–to 11:00 AMDown88%Correct+$11.03+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$86.241.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$11.03 (+13%)after $0.73 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 88%, very high confidence, 10:53 AM PT
    Bought
    98 × 88¢ = $86.24, 1.7% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  45. 11:00 AM–to 11:15 AMUp93%Correct+$21.82+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$86.901.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$21.82 (+25%)after $1.28 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 93%, very high confidence, 11:08 AM PT
    Bought
    110 × 79¢ = $86.90, 1.7% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  46. 11:15 AM–to 11:30 AMUp71%Correct+$31.56+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$73.831.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$31.56 (+43%)after $1.61 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 71%, medium confidence, 11:23 AM PT
    Bought
    107 × 69¢ = $73.83, 1.5% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  47. 11:30 AM–to 11:45 AMUp68%Missed−$9.87−102%69¢ to 0¢settled$9.660.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.87 (−102%)after $0.21 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 68%, medium confidence, 11:38 AM PT
    Bought
    14 × 69¢ = $9.66, 0.2% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  48. 11:45 AM–to 12:00 PMUp99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  49. 12:00 PM–to 12:15 PMUp53%Missed−$90.16−103%58¢ to 0¢settled$87.581.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$90.16 (−103%)after $2.58 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 53%, medium confidence, 12:08 PM PT
    Bought
    151 × 58¢ = $87.58, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  50. 12:15 PM–to 12:30 PMDown57%Correct+$40.25+47%67¢ to 100¢settled$85.761.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$40.25 (+47%)after $1.99 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 57%, medium confidence, 12:23 PM PT
    Bought
    128 × 67¢ = $85.76, 1.7% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  51. 12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMDown52%Missed−$89.56−103%58¢ to 0¢settled$87.001.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$89.56 (−103%)after $2.56 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 52%, medium confidence, 12:38 PM PT
    Bought
    150 × 58¢ = $87.00, 1.7% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  52. 12:45 PM–to 1:00 PMUp47%Correct+$76.03+89%52¢ to 100¢settled$85.101.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$76.03 (+89%)after $2.87 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 47%, low confidence, 12:53 PM PT
    Bought
    164 × 52¢ = $85.10, 1.7% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  53. 1:00 PM–to 1:15 PMUp88%Correct+$5.15+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$86.481.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$5.15 (+6%)after $0.37 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 88%, very high confidence, 1:08 PM PT
    Bought
    92 × 94¢ = $86.48, 1.7% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  54. 1:15 PM–to 1:30 PMDown73%Correct+$55.18+64%60¢ to 100¢settled$86.401.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$55.18 (+64%)after $2.42 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 73%, high confidence, 1:23 PM PT
    Bought
    144 × 60¢ = $86.40, 1.7% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  55. 1:30 PM–to 1:45 PMDown90%Correct+$8.08+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$87.361.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$8.08 (+9%)after $0.56 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 90%, very high confidence, 1:38 PM PT
    Bought
    96 × 91¢ = $87.36, 1.7% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  56. 1:45 PM–to 2:00 PMUp79%Correct+$29.33+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$88.061.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$29.33 (+33%)after $1.61 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 79%, high confidence, 1:53 PM PT
    Bought
    119 × 74¢ = $88.06, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  57. 2:00 PM–to 2:15 PMUp89%Correct+$11.26+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$88.001.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$11.26 (+13%)after $0.74 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 89%, very high confidence, 2:08 PM PT
    Bought
    100 × 88¢ = $88.00, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  58. 2:15 PM–to 2:30 PMUp72%Correct+$47.45+54%64¢ to 100¢settled$88.321.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$47.45 (+54%)after $2.23 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 72%, medium confidence, 2:23 PM PT
    Bought
    138 × 64¢ = $88.32, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  59. 2:30 PM–to 2:45 PMUp50%Missed−$75.83−103%58¢ to 0¢settled$73.661.5%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$75.83 (−103%)after $2.17 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 50%, medium confidence, 2:38 PM PT
    Bought
    127 × 58¢ = $73.66, 1.5% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  60. 2:45 PM–to 3:00 PMUp99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  61. 3:00 PM–to 3:15 PMDown94%Correct+$13.47+15%86¢ to 100¢settled$87.671.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$13.47 (+15%)after $0.86 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 94%, very high confidence, 3:08 PM PT
    Bought
    102 × 86¢ = $87.67, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  62. 3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMUp76%Correct+$12.21+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$59.041.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$12.21 (+21%)after $0.75 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 76%, high confidence, 3:23 PM PT
    Bought
    72 × 82¢ = $59.04, 1.2% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  63. 3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMDown63%Correct+$32.70+37%72¢ to 100¢settled$88.561.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$32.70 (+37%)after $1.74 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 63%, medium confidence, 3:38 PM PT
    Bought
    123 × 72¢ = $88.56, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  64. 3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMUp84%Correct+$7.26+8%92¢ to 100¢settled$89.241.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$7.26 (+8%)after $0.50 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 84%, very high confidence, 3:53 PM PT
    Bought
    97 × 92¢ = $89.24, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  65. 4:00 PM–to 4:15 PMDown92%Correct+$6.28+7%93¢ to 100¢settled$89.281.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$6.28 (+7%)after $0.44 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 92%, very high confidence, 4:08 PM PT
    Bought
    96 × 93¢ = $89.28, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  66. 4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMUp94%Correct+$12.57+14%87¢ to 100¢settled$89.611.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$12.57 (+14%)after $0.82 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 94%, very high confidence, 4:23 PM PT
    Bought
    103 × 87¢ = $89.61, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  67. 4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMUp78%Missed−$35.50−101%88¢ to 0¢settled$35.200.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$35.50 (−101%)after $0.30 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 78%, high confidence, 4:38 PM PT
    Bought
    40 × 88¢ = $35.20, 0.7% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  68. 4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMUp98%Correct+$5.32+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$89.301.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$5.32 (+6%)after $0.38 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 98%, very high confidence, 4:53 PM PT
    Bought
    95 × 94¢ = $89.30, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  69. 5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMDown91%Correct+$31.25+35%73¢ to 100¢settled$89.061.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$31.25 (+35%)after $1.69 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 91%, very high confidence, 5:08 PM PT
    Bought
    122 × 73¢ = $89.06, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  70. 5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMUp89%Correct+$9.37+10%90¢ to 100¢settled$90.001.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$9.37 (+10%)after $0.63 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 89%, very high confidence, 5:23 PM PT
    Bought
    100 × 90¢ = $90.00, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  71. 5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMDown70%Correct+$29.83+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$89.541.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$29.83 (+33%)after $1.63 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 70%, medium confidence, 5:38 PM PT
    Bought
    121 × 74¢ = $89.54, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  72. 5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMDown66%Missed−$92.87−103%59¢ to 0¢settled$90.271.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$92.87 (−103%)after $2.60 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 66%, medium confidence, 5:53 PM PT
    Bought
    153 × 59¢ = $90.27, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  73. 6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMDown71%Correct+$45.43+51%65¢ to 100¢settled$88.401.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$45.43 (+51%)after $2.17 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 71%, medium confidence, 6:08 PM PT
    Bought
    136 × 65¢ = $88.40, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  74. 6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMUp78%Correct+$11.48+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$89.761.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$11.48 (+13%)after $0.76 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 78%, high confidence, 6:23 PM PT
    Bought
    102 × 88¢ = $89.76, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  75. 6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMDown69%Missed−$12.11−102%66¢ to 0¢settled$11.820.2%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$12.11 (−102%)after $0.29 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 69%, medium confidence, 6:38 PM PT
    Bought
    18 × 66¢ = $11.82, 0.2% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  76. 6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMUp88%Correct+$16.11+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$89.881.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$16.11 (+18%)after $1.01 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 88%, very high confidence, 6:53 PM PT
    Bought
    107 × 84¢ = $89.88, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  77. 7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMUp70%Missed−$91.17−102%74¢ to 0¢settled$89.541.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$91.17 (−102%)after $1.63 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 70%, medium confidence, 7:08 PM PT
    Bought
    121 × 74¢ = $89.54, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  78. 7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMDown96%Missed−$88.83−101%91¢ to 0¢settled$88.271.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$88.83 (−101%)after $0.56 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 96%, very high confidence, 7:23 PM PT
    Bought
    97 × 91¢ = $88.27, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  79. 7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMUp66%Correct+$65.10+75%56¢ to 100¢settled$86.241.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$65.10 (+75%)after $2.66 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 66%, medium confidence, 7:38 PM PT
    Bought
    154 × 56¢ = $86.24, 1.7% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  80. 7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMDown81%Missed−$88.71−102%78¢ to 0¢settled$87.361.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$88.71 (−102%)after $1.35 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 81%, high confidence, 7:53 PM PT
    Bought
    112 × 78¢ = $87.36, 1.7% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  81. 8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMUp80%Correct+$14.24+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$85.851.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$14.24 (+17%)after $0.91 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 80%, high confidence, 8:08 PM PT
    Bought
    101 × 85¢ = $85.85, 1.7% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  82. 8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMUp67%Correct+$42.15+49%66¢ to 100¢settled$85.801.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$42.15 (+49%)after $2.05 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 67%, medium confidence, 8:23 PM PT
    Bought
    130 × 66¢ = $85.80, 1.7% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  83. 8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMUp88%Missed−$35.22−101%85¢ to 0¢settled$34.850.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$35.22 (−101%)after $0.37 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 88%, very high confidence, 8:38 PM PT
    Bought
    41 × 85¢ = $34.85, 0.7% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  84. 8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMUp97%Correct+$4.03+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$85.671.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.03 (+5%)after $0.30 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 97%, very high confidence, 8:53 PM PT
    Bought
    90 × 95¢ = $85.67, 1.7% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  85. 9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMDown65%Correct+$28.84+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$86.581.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$28.84 (+33%)after $1.58 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 65%, medium confidence, 9:08 PM PT
    Bought
    117 × 74¢ = $86.58, 1.7% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  86. 9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMUp98%Correct+$5.15+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$86.481.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$5.15 (+6%)after $0.37 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 98%, very high confidence, 9:23 PM PT
    Bought
    92 × 94¢ = $86.48, 1.7% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  87. 9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMDown76%Correct+$24.58+28%77¢ to 100¢settled$87.011.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$24.58 (+28%)after $1.41 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 76%, high confidence, 9:38 PM PT
    Bought
    113 × 77¢ = $87.01, 1.7% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  88. 9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMUp83%Correct+$18.15+21%82¢ to 100¢settled$87.741.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$18.15 (+21%)after $1.11 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 83%, high confidence, 9:53 PM PT
    Bought
    107 × 82¢ = $87.74, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  89. 10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMUp99%Correct+$5.21+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$87.421.7%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$5.21 (+6%)after $0.37 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 99%, very high confidence, 10:08 PM PT
    Bought
    93 × 94¢ = $87.42, 1.7% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  90. 10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMDown37%Correct+$39.31+45%68¢ to 100¢settled$87.721.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$39.31 (+45%)after $1.97 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 37%, low confidence, 10:23 PM PT
    Bought
    129 × 68¢ = $87.72, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  91. 10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMUp54%Correct+$61.65+69%58¢ to 100¢settled$88.741.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$61.65 (+69%)after $2.61 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 54%, medium confidence, 10:38 PM PT
    Bought
    153 × 58¢ = $88.74, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  92. 10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMUp78%Correct+$5.38+6%94¢ to 100¢settled$90.241.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$5.38 (+6%)after $0.38 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 78%, high confidence, 10:53 PM PT
    Bought
    96 × 94¢ = $90.24, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  93. 11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMUp77%Correct+$10.69+51%65¢ to 100¢settled$20.800.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$10.69 (+51%)after $0.51 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 77%, high confidence, 11:08 PM PT
    Bought
    32 × 65¢ = $20.80, 0.4% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  94. 11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMUp98%Correct+$11.48+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$89.761.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$11.48 (+13%)after $0.76 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 98%, very high confidence, 11:23 PM PT
    Bought
    102 × 88¢ = $89.76, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  95. 11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMUp50%Correct+$106.99+118%45¢ to 100¢settled$90.521.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$106.99 (+118%)after $3.49 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 50%, medium confidence, 11:38 PM PT
    Bought
    201 × 45¢ = $90.52, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  96. 11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMDown96%Correct+$4.52+5%95¢ to 100¢settled$92.151.8%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.52 (+5%)after $0.33 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 96%, very high confidence, 11:53 PM PT
    Bought
    97 × 95¢ = $92.15, 1.8% of the day’s $5,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 23, 2026

This file holds all of Lee’s trading for Oct 21, 2026.

  • 96Windows
  • 96Calls
  • 93Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

f738f0182f717c02ceacf96edf2f05be892bdb9ccd5bb120f628251b1cc8a071

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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October 21 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent Lee make money on October 21, 2026?
No. Lee lost $345.82 on a $5,000 bankroll: 72 of 96 calls right, 69 tickets won and 24 lost. The best session was China open (+$147.54) and the worst was Midday (−$205.14).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute WTI oil contract?
A yes-or-no contract on whether WTI oil finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?
Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: Lee’s record since launch is −$888.71. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

Lee places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.