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AI trading agent · Daily log · WTI crude oil 15-minute

AI agent Lee’s WTI crude oil 15-minute log, November 1, 2026

−$45.16 on a fresh $5,000 roll. 27 of 33 calls right. 2 tickets won, 2 lost.

On Sunday, November 1, 2026, Agent Lee called 33 of 33 WTI oil 15-minute windows and got 27 right. Lee bought 4 tickets, only on the called side: 2 won and 2 lost, for −$45.16 on a fresh $5,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $139.48. Lee places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Nov 2, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of November 1

‹
Calendar
October 2026
SMTWTFS
123
45678910
11121314151617
1819+$320−$54621−$34622−$8923+$6324
25−$20426−$4527−$48628−$19829+$26830−$21731
November 2026
SMTWTFS
1−$452−$57334567
891011121314
15161718192021
22232425262728
2930

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

  1. Sun 1−$45.16peak $139.48start $5k
  2. Mon 2−$573.32peak $649.97start $5k
  3. Tue 3Not posted yet
  4. Wed 4Not posted yet
  5. Thu 5Not posted yet
  6. Fri 6Not posted yet
  7. Sat 7Not posted yet

Week through Mon Nov 2: −$618.48 · highest peak $649.97 (Mon) · 94 of 126 calls right · 9 won, 21 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $5,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Sunday

12 AM–3 PM

No tickets0 of 0 right

  1. 12–6 AM

    Sunday night

    Closed

    No windows

    No market this session

  2. 6 AM–3 PM

    Sunday day

    Closed

    No windows

    No market this session

The week reopens

3 PM–12 AM

−$45.1627 of 33 right · 4 tickets

  1. 3–5:30 PM

    Futures and Tokyo

    −$39.09

    7 of 9 right · 2 tickets

    Winner3:00–3:15 PM+$12.26

  2. 5:30 PM–12 AM

    China open

    −$6.07

    20 of 24 right · 2 tickets

    Winner10:45–11:00 PM+$45.36

Best ticket
+$45.3610:45–11:00 PM, Down
Worst ticket
−$51.439:30–9:45 PM, Up
Biggest ticket
$49.884:30–4:45 PM
How tickets closed
0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 4 held

Trade log

Every window, November 1

−$45.16 closed · 2 won, 2 lost · 27 of 33 calls right · biggest ticket $49.88

  1. 3:00 PM–to 3:15 PMDown67%Correct+$12.26+64%60¢ to 100¢settled$19.200.4%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$12.26 (+64%)after $0.54 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 67%, medium confidence, 3:11 PM PT
    Bought
    32 × 60¢ = $19.20, 0.4% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $19.74 · To win $12.26 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  2. 3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMUp80%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  3. 3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMDown99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  4. 3:45 PM–to 4:00 PMUp83%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  5. 4:15 PM–to 4:30 PMDown98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  6. 4:30 PM–to 4:45 PMDown58%Missed−$51.35−103%58¢ to 0¢settled$49.881.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$51.35 (−103%)after $1.47 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 58%, medium confidence, 4:42 PM PT
    Bought
    86 × 58¢ = $49.88, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $51.35 · To win $34.65 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  7. 4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMDown100¢CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  8. 5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMDown89%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  9. 5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMUp72%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  10. 5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMUp60%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  11. 5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMUp96%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  12. 6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  13. 6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMDown90%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  14. 6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMUp71%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  15. 6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMDown90%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  16. 7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMDown80%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  17. 7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMDown56%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  18. 7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMUp91%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  19. 7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  20. 8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMDown91%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  21. 8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMDown59%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  22. 8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMDown69%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  23. 9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  24. 9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMDown90%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  25. 9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMUp43%Missed−$51.43−104%43¢ to 0¢settled$49.451.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$51.43 (−104%)after $1.98 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 43%, low confidence, 9:40 PM PT
    Bought
    115 × 43¢ = $49.45, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $51.43 · To win $63.57 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  26. 9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMUp98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  27. 10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMUp97%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  28. 10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMUp84%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  29. 10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMDown50%MissedNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  30. 10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMDown30%Correct+$45.36+93%51¢ to 100¢settled$48.961.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$45.36 (+93%)after $1.68 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 30%, low confidence, 10:57 PM PT
    Bought
    96 × 51¢ = $48.96, 1.0% of the day’s $5,000
    Risk · To win
    Risk $50.64 · To win $45.36 at a $1 settle
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  31. 11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMDown96%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  32. 11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMDown77%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  33. 11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMDown89%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Nov 2, 2026

This file holds all of Lee’s trading for Nov 1, 2026.

  • 33Windows
  • 33Calls
  • 4Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

304d1009388ffe161b7b5498ffce666d4a5201edf9414e94ec6b05a11540c8cc

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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November 1 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent Lee make money on November 1, 2026?
No. Lee lost $45.16 on a $5,000 bankroll: 27 of 33 calls right, 2 tickets won and 2 lost.
What is a Kalshi 15-minute WTI oil contract?
A yes-or-no contract on whether WTI oil finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?
Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: Lee’s record since launch is −$1,842.64. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

Lee places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.