Get freeFree trades
  1. Home
  2. Community
  3. The Lab
  4. Agent Lee
  5. Daily logs
  6. Oct 19, 2026

AI trading agent · Daily log · WTI crude oil 15-minute · Version 1.0

AI agent Lee’s WTI crude oil 15-minute log, October 19, 2026

+$3.23 on a fresh $1,000 roll. 17 of 23 calls right. 15 tickets won, 6 lost.

On Monday, October 19, 2026, Agent Lee called 23 of 23 WTI oil 15-minute windows and got 17 right. Lee bought 21 tickets, only on the called side: 15 won and 6 lost, for +$3.23 on a fresh $1,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $24.07. Lee places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 20, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 18

Calendar
October 2026
SMTWTFS
123
45678910
11121314151617
1819+$320−$54621−$34622−$892324
25262728293031

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

  1. Sun 18Before launch
  2. Mon 19+$3.23peak $24.07start $1k
  3. Tue 20−$546.12peak $546.12start $5k
  4. Wed 21−$345.82peak $823.91start $5k
  5. Thu 22−$88.98peak $302.77start $5k
  6. Fri 23Not posted yet
  7. Sat 24Not posted yet

Week through Thu Oct 22: −$977.69 · highest peak $823.91 (Wed) · 222 of 300 calls right · 191 won, 67 lost

Days in this week did not all start from the same roll (each day says how the day’s money started), so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Before the US open

12–6:30 AM

No tickets0 of 0 right

  1. 12–5:30 AM

    Pre-market

    Closed

    No windows

    No market this session

  2. 5:30–6:30 AM

    US data

    Closed

    No windows

    No market this session

US market open

6:30 AM–1 PM

No tickets0 of 0 right

  1. 6:30–7:30 AM

    US open

    Closed

    No windows

    No market this session

  2. 7:30 AM–12 PM

    Midday

    Closed

    No windows

    No market this session

  3. 12–1 PM

    Final hour

    Closed

    No windows

    No market this session

After the US close

1 PM–12 AM

+$3.2317 of 23 right · 21 tickets

  1. 1–3 PM

    After the close

    Closed

    No windows

    No market this session

  2. Best session

    3–6:30 PM

    Futures and Tokyo

    +$4.26

    1 of 1 right · 1 ticket

    Winner6:15–6:30 PM+$4.26

  3. 6:30 PM–12 AM

    China open

    −$1.03

    16 of 22 right · 20 tickets

    Winner8:15–8:30 PM+$16.84

Best ticket
+$16.848:15–8:30 PM, Down
Worst ticket
−$10.409:15–9:30 PM, Down
Biggest ticket
$10.089:15–9:30 PM
How tickets closed
0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 21 held

Trade log

Every window, October 19

+$3.23 closed · 15 won, 6 lost · 17 of 23 calls right · biggest ticket $10.08

  1. 6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMUp68%Correct+$4.26+45%68¢ to 100¢settled$9.521.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$4.26 (+45%)after $0.22 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 68%, medium confidence, 6:23 PM PT
    Bought
    14 × 68¢ = $9.52, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  2. 6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMUp55%Missed−$10.22−103%55¢ to 0¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.22 (−103%)after $0.32 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 55%, medium confidence, 6:38 PM PT
    Bought
    18 × 55¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  3. 6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMDown58%Correct+$6.85+69%58¢ to 100¢settled$9.861.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$6.85 (+69%)after $0.29 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 58%, medium confidence, 6:53 PM PT
    Bought
    17 × 58¢ = $9.86, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  4. 7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMDown84%Correct+$1.65+18%84¢ to 100¢settled$9.240.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.65 (+18%)after $0.11 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 84%, very high confidence, 7:08 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 84¢ = $9.24, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  5. 7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMDown76%Correct+$2.95+30%76¢ to 100¢settled$9.881.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.95 (+30%)after $0.17 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 76%, high confidence, 7:23 PM PT
    Bought
    13 × 76¢ = $9.88, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  6. 7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMDown70%Missed−$10.01−102%70¢ to 0¢settled$9.801.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.01 (−102%)after $0.21 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 70%, medium confidence, 7:38 PM PT
    Bought
    14 × 70¢ = $9.80, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  7. 7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMDown60%Missed−$9.87−103%60¢ to 0¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.87 (−103%)after $0.27 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 60%, medium confidence, 7:53 PM PT
    Bought
    16 × 60¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  8. 8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMUp88%Correct+$1.23+13%88¢ to 100¢settled$9.681.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$1.23 (+13%)after $0.09 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 88%, very high confidence, 8:08 PM PT
    Bought
    11 × 88¢ = $9.68, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  9. 8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMDown36%Correct+$16.84+173%36¢ to 100¢settled$9.721.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$16.84 (+173%)after $0.44 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 36%, low confidence, 8:23 PM PT
    Bought
    27 × 36¢ = $9.72, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  10. 8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMDown97%Correct+$0.27+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$9.701.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.27 (+3%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 97%, very high confidence, 8:38 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 97¢ = $9.70, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  11. 8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMDown57%Correct+$7.01+72%57¢ to 100¢settled$9.691.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$7.01 (+72%)after $0.30 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 57%, medium confidence, 8:53 PM PT
    Bought
    17 × 57¢ = $9.69, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  12. 9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMDown79%Correct+$2.38+25%79¢ to 100¢settled$9.480.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.38 (+25%)after $0.14 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 79%, high confidence, 9:08 PM PT
    Bought
    12 × 79¢ = $9.48, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  13. 9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMDown56%Missed−$10.40−103%56¢ to 0¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$10.40 (−103%)after $0.32 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was missed.
    The call
    Down at 56%, medium confidence, 9:23 PM PT
    Bought
    18 × 56¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  14. 9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMUp60%Missed−$9.87−103%60¢ to 0¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.87 (−103%)after $0.27 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 60%, medium confidence, 9:38 PM PT
    Bought
    16 × 60¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  15. 9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMUp75%Correct+$3.07+31%75¢ to 100¢settled$9.751.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.07 (+31%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 75%, high confidence, 9:53 PM PT
    Bought
    13 × 75¢ = $9.75, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  16. 10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMUp75%Correct+$3.07+31%75¢ to 100¢settled$9.751.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.07 (+31%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 75%, high confidence, 10:08 PM PT
    Bought
    13 × 75¢ = $9.75, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  17. 10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMDown74%Correct+$3.20+33%74¢ to 100¢settled$9.621.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$3.20 (+33%)after $0.18 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 74%, high confidence, 10:23 PM PT
    Bought
    13 × 74¢ = $9.62, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  18. 10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMUp57%Correct+$7.01+72%57¢ to 100¢settled$9.691.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$7.01 (+72%)after $0.30 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 57%, medium confidence, 10:38 PM PT
    Bought
    17 × 57¢ = $9.69, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  19. 10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMUp96%Correct+$0.37+4%96¢ to 100¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$0.37 (+4%)after $0.03 in fees
    The window
    Went UpThe call was correct.
    The call
    Up at 96%, very high confidence, 10:53 PM PT
    Bought
    10 × 96¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  20. 11:00 PM–to 11:15 PMDown76%Correct+$2.95+30%76¢ to 100¢settled$9.881.0%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 100¢
    Net
    +$2.95 (+30%)after $0.17 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was correct.
    The call
    Down at 76%, high confidence, 11:08 PM PT
    Bought
    13 × 76¢ = $9.88, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  21. 11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMDown99¢CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
  22. 11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMUp78%Missed−$9.51−102%78¢ to 0¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
    Closed
    Settled at 0¢
    Net
    −$9.51 (−102%)after $0.15 in fees
    The window
    Went DownThe call was missed.
    The call
    Up at 78%, high confidence, 11:38 PM PT
    Bought
    12 × 78¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
    Plan
    Hold to the close
  23. 11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMUp98¢CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 20, 2026

This file holds all of Lee’s trading for Oct 19, 2026.

  • 23Windows
  • 23Calls
  • 21Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

e7ffc5f275b42391a04b7729913ac8f0021753308c2f01dc2476102315333082

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

Request the original file

Investors, researchers and partners can request the original data file and the records behind this day.

Request the file

Corrections

We never edit a published day. If anything turns out to be wrong, we add a dated note here and leave the original numbers and file in place.

No corrections.

Request the original file for Oct 19, 2026

We use these details only to reply to this request. The file is sent from a real inbox, usually within two business days.

October 19 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent Lee make money on October 19, 2026?
Yes. Lee made $3.23 on a $1,000 bankroll: 17 of 23 calls right, 15 tickets won and 6 lost. The best session was Futures and Tokyo (+$4.26) and the worst was China open (−$1.03).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute WTI oil contract?
A yes-or-no contract on whether WTI oil finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?
Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: Lee’s record since launch is +$3.23. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

Lee places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.