- Home
- Community
- The Lab
- Agent Aussie
- Daily logs
- Oct 19, 2026
AI trading agent · Daily log · AUD/USD (Australian dollar) 15-minute · Versions 1.1 and 2.0
AI agent Aussie’s AUD/USD (Australian dollar) 15-minute log, October 19, 2026
+$224.40 on a fresh $1,000 roll. 15 of 25 calls right. 7 tickets won, 10 lost.
On Monday, October 19, 2026, Agent Aussie called 25 of 25 AUD/USD 15-minute windows and got 15 right. Aussie bought 17 tickets, only on the called side: 7 won and 10 lost, for +$224.40 on a fresh $1,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $55.38. Aussie places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.
Saved after the day closed, Oct 20, 2026 · How this page is verified
Week of October 18
- Sun 18+$43.94peak $10.65start $1k
- Mon 19+$224.40peak $55.38start $1k
- Tue 20−$117.44peak $126.38start $1k
- Wed 21+$103.94peak $89.53start $1k
- Thu 22+$177.01peak $12.13start $1k
- Fri 23Not posted yet
- Sat 24Not posted yet
Week through Thu Oct 22: +$431.85 · highest peak $126.38 (Tue) · 174 of 275 calls right · 82 won, 100 lost
Each day starts at a fresh $1,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.
Trading sessions
No market · Pacific time (PDT)
Before the US open
12–6:30 AM
−$21.020 of 2 right · 2 tickets
12–5:30 AM
Pre-market
−$21.02
0 of 2 right · 2 tickets
No winning ticket
5:30–6:30 AM
US data
Closed
No windows
No market this session
US market open
6:30 AM–1 PM
−$20.680 of 2 right · 2 tickets
6:30–7:30 AM
US open
Closed
No windows
No market this session
7:30 AM–12 PM
Midday
−$10.34
0 of 1 right · 1 ticket
No winning ticket
12–1 PM
Final hour
−$10.34
0 of 1 right · 1 ticket
No winning ticket
After the US close
1 PM–12 AM
+$266.1015 of 21 right · 13 tickets
1–3 PM
After the close
Closed
No windows
No market this session
3–6:30 PM
Futures and Tokyo
+$15.70
2 of 3 right · 2 tickets
Winner3:15–3:30 PM+$26.15
- Best session
6:30 PM–12 AM
China open
+$250.40
13 of 18 right · 11 tickets
Winner9:45–10:00 PM+$172.21
- Best ticket
- +$172.219:45–10:00 PM, Up
- Worst ticket
- −$13.3311:30–11:45 PM, Down
- Biggest ticket
- $21.459:45–10:00 PM
- How tickets closed
- 0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 17 held
Trade log
Every window, October 19
+$224.40 closed · 7 won, 10 lost · 15 of 25 calls right · biggest ticket $21.45
2:45 AM–to 3:00 AMDown7%Missed−$10.59−107%7¢ to 0¢settled$9.941.0%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$10.59 (−107%)after $0.65 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was missed.
- The call
- Down at 7%, low confidence, 2:54 AM PT
- Bought
- 142 × 7¢ = $9.94, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close
3:15 AM–to 3:30 AMUp33%Missed−$10.43−105%23¢ to 0¢settled$9.891.0%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$10.43 (−105%)after $0.54 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was missed.
- The call
- Up at 33%, low confidence, 3:27 AM PT
- Bought
- 43 × 23¢ = $9.89, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close
9:45 AM–to 10:00 AMUp22%Missed−$10.34−106%16¢ to 0¢settled$9.761.0%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$10.34 (−106%)after $0.58 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was missed.
- The call
- Up at 22%, low confidence, 9:57 AM PT
- Bought
- 61 × 16¢ = $9.76, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close
12:30 PM–to 12:45 PMDown7%Missed−$10.34−107%4¢ to 0¢settled$9.681.0%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$10.34 (−107%)after $0.66 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was missed.
- The call
- Down at 7%, low confidence, 12:43 PM PT
- Bought
- 242 × 4¢ = $9.68, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close
3:15 PM–to 3:30 PMUp33%Correct+$26.15+279%26¢ to 100¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$26.15 (+279%)after $0.49 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 33%, low confidence, 3:26 PM PT
- Bought
- 36 × 26¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close
6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMUp18%Missed−$10.45−106%12¢ to 0¢settled$9.841.0%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$10.45 (−106%)after $0.61 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was missed.
- The call
- Up at 18%, low confidence, 6:09 PM PT
- Bought
- 82 × 12¢ = $9.84, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close
- 6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMUp95%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
6:30 PM–to 6:45 PMDown22%Missed−$10.14−106%20¢ to 0¢settled$9.601.0%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$10.14 (−106%)after $0.54 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was missed.
- The call
- Down at 22%, low confidence, 6:41 PM PT
- Bought
- 48 × 20¢ = $9.60, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close
- 6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMUp94%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMUp25%Correct+$127.58+663%13¢ to 100¢settled$19.241.9%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$127.58 (+663%)after $1.18 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 25%, low confidence, 7:10 PM PT
- Bought
- 148 × 13¢ = $19.24, 1.9% of the day’s $1,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close
7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMUp79%Correct+$0.92+9%91¢ to 100¢settled$10.011.0%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.92 (+9%)after $0.07 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 79%, high confidence, 7:28 PM PT
- Bought
- 11 × 91¢ = $10.01, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close
7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMUp54%Correct+$5.03+47%67¢ to 100¢settled$10.721.1%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$5.03 (+47%)after $0.25 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 54%, medium confidence, 7:43 PM PT
- Bought
- 16 × 67¢ = $10.72, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close
- 7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
- 8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMUp99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMDown92%Correct+$3.31+32%75¢ to 100¢settled$10.501.1%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$3.31 (+32%)after $0.19 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was correct.
- The call
- Down at 92%, very high confidence, 8:28 PM PT
- Bought
- 14 × 75¢ = $10.50, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close
- 8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMUp18%Missed−$11.52−106%16¢ to 0¢settled$10.881.1%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$11.52 (−106%)after $0.64 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was missed.
- The call
- Up at 18%, low confidence, 8:54 PM PT
- Bought
- 68 × 16¢ = $10.88, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close
9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMUp18%Missed−$11.45−106%15¢ to 0¢settled$10.801.1%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$11.45 (−106%)after $0.65 in fees
- The window
- Went DownThe call was missed.
- The call
- Up at 18%, low confidence, 9:25 PM PT
- Bought
- 72 × 15¢ = $10.80, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close
9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMUp25%Correct+$172.21+803%11¢ to 100¢settled$21.452.1%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$172.21 (+803%)after $1.34 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 25%, low confidence, 9:54 PM PT
- Bought
- 195 × 11¢ = $21.45, 2.1% of the day’s $1,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close
- 10:00 PM–to 10:15 PMDown99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
- 10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMUp99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMUp95%Correct+$0.33+3%97¢ to 100¢settled$11.641.2%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 100¢
- Net
- +$0.33 (+3%)after $0.03 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was correct.
- The call
- Up at 95%, very high confidence, 10:43 PM PT
- Bought
- 12 × 97¢ = $11.64, 1.2% of the day’s $1,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close
- 10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMDown1%Missed−$13.33−107%2¢ to 0¢settled$12.501.2%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$13.33 (−107%)after $0.83 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was missed.
- The call
- Down at 1%, low confidence, 11:43 PM PT
- Bought
- 604 × 2¢ = $12.50, 1.2% of the day’s $1,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close
11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMDown37%Missed−$12.54−103%58¢ to 0¢settled$12.181.2%Hold
- Closed
- Settled at 0¢
- Net
- −$12.54 (−103%)after $0.36 in fees
- The window
- Went UpThe call was missed.
- The call
- Down at 37%, low confidence, 11:58 PM PT
- Bought
- 21 × 58¢ = $12.18, 1.2% of the day’s $1,000
- Plan
- Hold to the close
Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.
How this page is verified
Every result. On the record.
Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.
Saved
Oct 20, 2026
This file holds all of Aussie’s trading for Oct 19, 2026.
- 25Windows
- 25Calls
- 17Tickets
Trading data file
SHA-256 fingerprint
ca66640d718532ad88dd2e7127f2b7a3f644399a28b32bbb4f75af0daa7d63aaWorked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.
How a fingerprint works
A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.
Request the original file
Investors, researchers and partners can request the original data file and the records behind this day.
Request the fileCorrections
We never edit a published day. If anything turns out to be wrong, we add a dated note here and leave the original numbers and file in place.
No corrections.
Request the original file for Oct 19, 2026
October 19 across the agents
Same day, other marketsAgent WoJiGold (XAU)+$386.8074 of 85 calls right
Agent LoLoBitcoin (BTC)+$154.0671 of 95 calls right
Agent ZiCSolana (SOL)−$152.0579 of 96 calls right
Agent AnJieEthereum (ETH)−$70.0478 of 96 calls right
Agent GruXRP (Ripple)−$27.1879 of 96 calls right
Agent MarkBNB (Binance Coin)+$56.6967 of 96 calls right
Agent HaloDogecoin (DOGE)−$225.9168 of 95 calls rightAgent NellyCopper (HG)+$398.3664 of 84 calls right
Agent JiHuiSilver (XAG)+$367.765 of 6 calls right
Agent ShamiZcash (ZEC)+$129.3668 of 74 calls rightAgent EUR/USDEUR/USD (euro)−$57.227 of 30 calls right
Agent GBP/USDGBP/USD (British pound)−$72.5618 of 29 calls right
Agent USD/JPYUSD/JPY (Japanese yen)+$10.9319 of 39 calls right
Agent USD/CADUSD/CAD (Canadian dollar)−$150.6018 of 39 calls right
Agent LeeWTI crude oil+$3.2317 of 23 calls right
Questions about this day
- Did Agent Aussie make money on October 19, 2026?
- Yes. Aussie made $224.40 on a $1,000 bankroll: 15 of 25 calls right, 7 tickets won and 10 lost. The best session was China open (+$250.40) and the worst was Pre-market (−$21.02).
- What is a Kalshi 15-minute AUD/USD contract?
- A yes-or-no contract on whether AUD/USD finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
- Do AI trading bots make money?
- Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: Aussie’s record since launch is +$268.34. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots
The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets
Aussie places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.