AI trading agent · Daily log · AUD/USD (Australian dollar) 15-minute · Versions 1.1 and 2.0

AI agent Aussie’s AUD/USD (Australian dollar) 15-minute log, October 25, 2026

−$57.13 on a fresh $1,000 roll. 16 of 31 calls right. 7 tickets won, 15 lost.

On Sunday, October 25, 2026, Agent Aussie called 31 of 31 AUD/USD 15-minute windows and got 16 right. Aussie bought 22 tickets, only on the called side: 7 won and 15 lost, for −$57.13 on a fresh $1,000 roll. The most of the roll in use at once was $57.13. Aussie places no real orders, and every result is graded on Kalshi’s settlement.

Saved after the day closed, Oct 29, 2026 · How this page is verified

Week of October 25

‹

Calendar

October 2026

S	M	T	W	T	F	S
				1	2	3
4	5	6	7	8	9	10
11	12	13	14	15	16	17
18+$44	19+$224	20−$117	21+$104	22+$177	23−$99	24
25−$57	26−$161	27+$43	28−$143	29+$301	30+$98	31

November 2026

S	M	T	W	T	F	S
1+$5	2−$210	3	4	5	6	7
8	9	10	11	12	13	14
15	16	17	18	19	20	21
22	23	24	25	26	27	28
29	30

Each date links to that day’s log. The shaded row is this week.

›

Week through Fri Oct 30: +$80.83 · highest peak $170.51 (Mon) · 185 of 320 calls right · 124 won, 134 lost

Each day starts at a fresh $1,000, so the week’s peak is the highest single day.

Trading sessions

No market · Pacific time (PDT)

Sunday

12 AM–3 PM

−$5.761 of 3 right · 3 tickets

12–6 AM
Sunday night
Closed
No windows
No market this session
6 AM–3 PM
Sunday day
−$5.76
1 of 3 right · 3 tickets
Winner2:45–3:00 PM+$4.78

The week reopens

3 PM–12 AM

−$51.3715 of 28 right · 19 tickets

Best session
3–6:30 PM
Futures and Tokyo
+$50.13
5 of 9 right · 9 tickets
Winner5:45–6:00 PM+$38.65
6:30 PM–12 AM
China open
−$101.50
10 of 19 right · 10 tickets
Winner6:45–7:00 PM+$4.42

Best ticket: +$38.655:45–6:00 PM, Up
Worst ticket: −$20.6411:30–11:45 PM, Down
Biggest ticket: $19.4411:30–11:45 PM
How tickets closed: 0 took profit · 0 sold or stopped · 22 held

Trade log

Every window, October 25

−$57.13 closed · 7 won, 15 lost · 16 of 31 calls right · biggest ticket $19.44

2:15 PM–to 2:30 PMDown1%Missed−$0.22−110%10¢ to 0¢settled$0.20<0.1%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$0.22 (−110%)after $0.02 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 1%, low confidence, 2:28 PM PT
Bought
2 × 10¢ = $0.20, <0.1% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $0.22 · To win $1.78 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
2:30 PM–to 2:45 PMDown23%Missed−$10.32−105%34¢ to 0¢settled$9.861.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.32 (−105%)after $0.46 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 23%, low confidence, 2:43 PM PT
Bought
29 × 34¢ = $9.86, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.32 · To win $18.68 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
2:45 PM–to 3:00 PMUp15%Correct+$4.78+2390%4¢ to 100¢settled$0.20<0.1%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.78 (+2390%)after $0.02 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 15%, low confidence, 2:58 PM PT
Bought
5 × 4¢ = $0.20, <0.1% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $0.22 · To win $4.78 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
3:00 PM–to 3:15 PMDown53%Correct+$1.55+17%85¢ to 100¢settled$9.350.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$1.55 (+17%)after $0.10 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 53%, medium confidence, 3:13 PM PT
Bought
11 × 85¢ = $9.35, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.45 · To win $1.55 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
3:30 PM–to 3:45 PMDown4%Missed−$10.59−107%4¢ to 0¢settled$9.921.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.59 (−107%)after $0.67 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 4%, low confidence, 3:43 PM PT
Bought
248 × 4¢ = $9.92, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.59 · To win $237.41 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
4:45 PM–to 5:00 PMUp85%Correct+$3.45+37%72¢ to 100¢settled$9.360.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$3.45 (+37%)after $0.19 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 85%, very high confidence, 4:58 PM PT
Bought
13 × 72¢ = $9.36, 0.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $9.55 · To win $3.45 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
5:00 PM–to 5:15 PMDown33%Correct+$25.78+265%27¢ to 100¢settled$9.721.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$25.78 (+265%)after $0.50 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was correct.
The call
Down at 33%, low confidence, 5:09 PM PT
Bought
36 × 27¢ = $9.72, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.22 · To win $25.78 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
5:15 PM–to 5:30 PMDown56%Missed−$10.45−104%48¢ to 0¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.45 (−104%)after $0.37 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 56%, medium confidence, 5:28 PM PT
Bought
21 × 48¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.45 · To win $10.55 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
5:30 PM–to 5:45 PMUp33%Missed−$10.37−105%24¢ to 0¢settled$9.841.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.37 (−105%)after $0.53 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 33%, low confidence, 5:42 PM PT
Bought
41 × 24¢ = $9.84, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.37 · To win $30.63 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
5:45 PM–to 6:00 PMUp22%Correct+$38.65+394%20¢ to 100¢settled$9.801.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$38.65 (+394%)after $0.55 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 22%, low confidence, 5:56 PM PT
Bought
49 × 20¢ = $9.80, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.35 · To win $38.65 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:00 PM–to 6:15 PMUp33%Correct+$23.30+228%30¢ to 100¢settled$10.201.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$23.30 (+228%)after $0.50 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 33%, low confidence, 6:09 PM PT
Bought
34 × 30¢ = $10.20, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.70 · To win $23.30 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:15 PM–to 6:30 PMDown7%Missed−$11.19−107%7¢ to 0¢settled$10.501.1%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$11.19 (−107%)after $0.69 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 7%, low confidence, 6:24 PM PT
Bought
150 × 7¢ = $10.50, 1.1% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $11.19 · To win $138.81 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
6:45 PM–to 7:00 PMUp52%Correct+$4.42+43%69¢ to 100¢settled$10.351.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 100¢
Net
+$4.42 (+43%)after $0.23 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was correct.
The call
Up at 52%, medium confidence, 6:58 PM PT
Bought
15 × 69¢ = $10.35, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.58 · To win $4.42 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
7:00 PM–to 7:15 PMUp33%Missed−$10.96−105%29¢ to 0¢settled$10.441.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.96 (−105%)after $0.52 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 33%, low confidence, 7:09 PM PT
Bought
36 × 29¢ = $10.44, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.96 · To win $25.04 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
7:15 PM–to 7:30 PMDown20%Missed−$11.06−107%4¢ to 0¢settled$10.361.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$11.06 (−107%)after $0.70 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 20%, low confidence, 7:28 PM PT
Bought
259 × 4¢ = $10.36, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $11.06 · To win $247.94 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
7:30 PM–to 7:45 PMUp22%Missed−$10.80−106%17¢ to 0¢settled$10.201.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.80 (−106%)after $0.60 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 22%, low confidence, 7:42 PM PT
Bought
60 × 17¢ = $10.20, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.80 · To win $49.20 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
7:45 PM–to 8:00 PMDown18%Missed−$10.68−106%16¢ to 0¢settled$10.081.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.68 (−106%)after $0.60 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 18%, low confidence, 7:56 PM PT
Bought
63 × 16¢ = $10.08, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.68 · To win $52.32 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
8:00 PM–to 8:15 PMDown7%Missed−$10.65−106%10¢ to 0¢settled$10.001.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.65 (−106%)after $0.65 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 7%, low confidence, 8:10 PM PT
Bought
102 × 10¢ = $10.00, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.65 · To win $91.35 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
8:15 PM–to 8:30 PMUp37%Missed−$10.49−106%15¢ to 0¢settled$9.901.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.49 (−106%)after $0.59 in fees
The window
Went DownThe call was missed.
The call
Up at 37%, low confidence, 8:28 PM PT
Bought
66 × 15¢ = $9.90, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.49 · To win $55.51 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
8:30 PM–to 8:45 PMDown7%Missed−$10.48−107%8¢ to 0¢settled$9.841.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.48 (−107%)after $0.64 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 7%, low confidence, 8:40 PM PT
Bought
123 × 8¢ = $9.84, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.48 · To win $112.52 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
8:45 PM–to 9:00 PMDown95%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
9:00 PM–to 9:15 PMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
9:15 PM–to 9:30 PMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
9:30 PM–to 9:45 PMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
9:45 PM–to 10:00 PMDown100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
10:15 PM–to 10:30 PMDown99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
10:30 PM–to 10:45 PMDown99%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
10:45 PM–to 11:00 PMDown98%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
11:15 PM–to 11:30 PMUp100%CorrectNo ticketNot tradedat that price$00%
11:30 PM–to 11:45 PMDown25%Missed−$20.64−106%12¢ to 0¢settled$19.441.9%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$20.64 (−106%)after $1.20 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 25%, low confidence, 11:39 PM PT
Bought
162 × 12¢ = $19.44, 1.9% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $20.64 · To win $141.36 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close
11:45 PM–to 12:00 AMDown1%Missed−$10.16−107%4¢ to 0¢settled$9.521.0%Hold
Closed
Settled at 0¢
Net
−$10.16 (−107%)after $0.64 in fees
The window
Went UpThe call was missed.
The call
Down at 1%, low confidence, 11:58 PM PT
Bought
238 × 4¢ = $9.52, 1.0% of the day’s $1,000
Risk · To win
Risk $10.16 · To win $227.84 at a $1 settle
Plan
Hold to the close

Oldest first. Entry at the ask, the fee on both fills and none on settlement. Every result is Kalshi’s settlement. Times in Pacific.

How this page is verified

Every result. On the record.

Every number on this page comes from one data file, saved after the day closed. Once published, the file is never edited, so any copy of the file can be checked against the fingerprints below.

Saved

Oct 29, 2026

This file holds all of Aussie’s trading for Oct 25, 2026.

31Windows
31Calls
22Tickets

Trading data file

SHA-256 fingerprint

85a49131a62891f72fdfc3a67ab943d1866b299f35bbdf837d7e9b24e4b83680

Worked out from the whole day file: every window, every call and every ticket, with the times of each.

How a fingerprint works

A fingerprint is a code worked out from every character in a file. Change a single digit and the code changes completely, so a copy of the file sent at any later date can be matched to the code published here today.

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Request the file

Corrections

We never edit a published day. If anything turns out to be wrong, we add a dated note here and leave the original numbers and file in place.

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Request the original file for Oct 25, 2026

October 25 across the agents

Same day, other markets

Questions about this day

Did Agent Aussie make money on October 25, 2026?: No. Aussie lost $57.13 on a $1,000 bankroll: 16 of 31 calls right, 7 tickets won and 15 lost. The best session was Futures and Tokyo (+$50.13) and the worst was China open (−$101.50).
What is a Kalshi 15-minute AUD/USD contract?: A yes-or-no contract on whether AUD/USD finishes a 15-minute window above the window’s price to beat. Each contract pays $1.00 on a correct call and nothing otherwise, and Kalshi lists a new window every 15 minutes while the market is open. Our 15-minute markets lesson
Do AI trading bots make money?: Not reliably, and anyone promising otherwise is a warning sign. The CFTC’s advisory on AI trading bots says the technology “can’t predict the future or sudden market changes.” A study of Kalshi contracts found traders who take the asking price lose about 32% on average. That is why every day here is published in full, losing days included: Aussie’s record since launch is +$275.73. CFTC advisory on AI trading bots

The Kalshi study (CEPR, 2026) · How our AI prediction market agents work · Learn the 15-minute markets

Daily log result

Oct 25, 2026

Started with A fresh $1,000 every day since launch, Oct 18: wins and losses never carry into the next day.

Ended with: $942.87
Day, net: −$57.13

Peak bankroll used$57.13

$942.87 (94%) never touched · 22 tickets

Calls right: 16 of 310 passes · 31 windows
Tickets: 7 won, 15 lost
All-time calls right: 212 of 345since Oct 18
Since launch: +$275.7397 won, 132 lost

Versions 1.1 and 2.0 · patch notes

Watch Aussie on the AUD/USD desk

Trade on Kalshi

Aussie places no real orders, and an agent’s record is not advice. Prediction markets can lose you money fast; only risk what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET. Not affiliated with Kalshi.

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